Mike McDade
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 24 | AAACWS | 473 | .250/.316/.371 | 10 | 1 | 70 | — | .231/.284/.336 |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA/AATOR | 326 | .242/.300/.349 | 7 | 0 | 55 | — | .219/.260/.301 |
| 2015 | 26 | AABowie Baysox | 70 | .186/.294/.271 | 0 | 0 | 32 | — | .161/.235/.226 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 151 | 136 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 293 | 287 | 580 | 66 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 268 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 230 | 216 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 63 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 237 | 282 | 519 | 88 | 263 | 27 | 5 | 233 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 408 | 113 | 27 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 109 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 337 | 466 | 803 | 189 | 340 | 24 | 7 | 354 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 517 | 480 | 128 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 27 | 141 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 267 | 317 | 448 | 764 | 181 | 334 | 27 | 5 | 337 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 100 | 88 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 375 | 450 | 557 | 1.007 | 182 | 432 | 13 | 11 | 443 | 186 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 524 | 484 | 136 | 37 | 0 | 16 | 28 | 104 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 331 | 457 | 787 | 176 | 326 | 20 | 5 | 346 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 79 | 71 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 397 | 493 | 890 | 155 | 373 | 14 | 9 | 390 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 429 | 378 | 104 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 85 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 357 | 437 | 793 | 161 | 317 | 20 | 10 | 353 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 87 | 77 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 360 | 351 | 711 | 65 | 361 | 20 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 473 | 428 | 107 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 120 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 316 | 371 | 687 | 121 | 321 | 25 | 8 | 308 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 23 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 174 | 136 | 310 | 176 | 22 | 4 | 148 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 303 | 276 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 57 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 310 | 366 | 676 | 116 | 288 | 19 | 7 | 303 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 70 | 59 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 294 | 271 | 565 | 85 | 229 | 19 | 13 | 259 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 151 | 141 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 213 | 213 | 426 | 50 | 224 | 28 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 230 | 219 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 86 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 193 | 219 | 412 | 59 | 251 | 37 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 418 | 94 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 148 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 272 | 366 | 638 | 141 | 310 | 33 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 517 | 488 | 106 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 19 | 200 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 217 | 258 | 357 | 615 | 139 | 327 | 39 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 524 | 494 | 130 | 34 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 124 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 300 | 411 | 711 | 148 | 319 | 24 | 3 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 79 | 73 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 346 | 438 | 785 | 137 | 330 | 18 | 6 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 429 | 394 | 105 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 100 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 266 | 322 | 396 | 718 | 129 | 322 | 23 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 473 | 437 | 101 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 141 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 284 | 336 | 620 | 105 | 310 | 30 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 23 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 174 | 136 | 310 | 175 | 26 | 4 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 303 | 284 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 267 | 313 | 580 | 88 | 278 | 23 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 70 | 62 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 235 | 226 | 461 | 65 | 203 | 23 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 151 | 141 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 213 | 213 | 426 | 50 | 222 | 28 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Blue Jays | — | 151 | 136 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 293 | 287 | 580 | 66 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 268 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 230 | 219 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 86 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 193 | 219 | 412 | 59 | 256 | 37 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 230 | 216 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 63 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 237 | 282 | 519 | 88 | 263 | 27 | 5 | 233 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 418 | 94 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 148 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 272 | 366 | 638 | 141 | 315 | 33 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 408 | 113 | 27 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 109 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 337 | 466 | 803 | 189 | 340 | 24 | 7 | 354 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 617 | 583 | 128 | 22 | 1 | 20 | 23 | 238 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 220 | 260 | 364 | 624 | 144 | 330 | 39 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 617 | 568 | 161 | 33 | 2 | 22 | 38 | 154 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 283 | 338 | 465 | 803 | 181 | 353 | 25 | 6 | 354 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 524 | 494 | 130 | 34 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 124 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 300 | 411 | 711 | 148 | 324 | 24 | 3 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA RAW | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 524 | 484 | 136 | 37 | 0 | 16 | 28 | 104 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 331 | 457 | 787 | 176 | 326 | 20 | 5 | 346 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 595 | 545 | 148 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 134 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 327 | 400 | 727 | 128 | 330 | 23 | 6 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 595 | 526 | 150 | 24 | 1 | 17 | 56 | 113 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 285 | 363 | 432 | 794 | 146 | 332 | 19 | 9 | 354 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 473 | 437 | 101 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 141 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 284 | 336 | 620 | 105 | 316 | 30 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 473 | 428 | 107 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 120 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 316 | 371 | 687 | 121 | 321 | 25 | 8 | 308 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 326 | 306 | 67 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 260 | 301 | 561 | 82 | 274 | 24 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 326 | 298 | 72 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 300 | 349 | 649 | 107 | 280 | 19 | 6 | 292 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 70 | 62 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 235 | 226 | 461 | 65 | 208 | 23 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | Bowie Baysox | — | 70 | 59 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 294 | 271 | 565 | 85 | 229 | 19 | 13 | 259 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 151 | 141 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 213 | 213 | 426 | 50 | 224 | 28 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 230 | 219 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 86 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 193 | 219 | 412 | 59 | 251 | 37 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 447 | 417 | 94 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 148 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 272 | 367 | 639 | 141 | 310 | 33 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 617 | 580 | 128 | 22 | 1 | 20 | 23 | 238 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 260 | 366 | 626 | 145 | 327 | 39 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 524 | 493 | 130 | 34 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 124 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 264 | 300 | 412 | 712 | 148 | 319 | 24 | 3 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 595 | 545 | 148 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 134 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 327 | 400 | 727 | 128 | 323 | 23 | 6 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 473 | 438 | 101 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 141 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 284 | 336 | 619 | 105 | 310 | 30 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 326 | 306 | 67 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 260 | 301 | 561 | 82 | 271 | 24 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 70 | 64 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 235 | 219 | 454 | 62 | 203 | 23 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3433 | 3205 | 736 | 144 | 3 | 77 | 162 | 1007 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 276 | 349 | 624 | 119 | 307 | 29 | 5 | 272 | 71 | -120 | +0 | +0 | -61 | +74 | -10.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 140 | 27 | 1 | 15 | 31 | 191 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 278 | 353 | 630 | 122 | 308 | 29 | 5 | 272 | 71 | -23 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AABowie Baysox · 70 PAwOBA .261 → .216 (−44)K% 18.6% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.57% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.86% | ÷1.014 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 12.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 9.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.123 | ×0.950 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.197 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 125, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .261 → .216; ISO .085 → .074; BABIP .229 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 303 PAwOBA .296 → .258 (−38)K% 18.8% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.81% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.27% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.32% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 22.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.02% | ÷0.952 | ×0.860 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.950 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.20% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.33% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .296 → .258; ISO .116 → .091; BABIP .288 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 23 PAwOBA .145 → .127 (−17)K% 21.7% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷0.942 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 17.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .145 → .127; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .176 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAACharlotte Knights · 473 PAwOBA .302 → .272 (−29)K% 25.4% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.37% | ÷1.023 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.40% | ÷0.939 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.35% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 24.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.25% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .302 → .272; ISO .121 → .106; BABIP .321 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 429 PAwOBA .340 → .318 (−22)K% 19.8% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.81% | ÷1.037 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷0.943 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.91% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | ×1.027 | 26.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.46% | ÷0.987 | ×0.860 | ×1.045 | ×1.027 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.12% | ÷1.019 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.03% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .340 → .318; ISO .161 → .135; BABIP .317 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAALas Vegas 51s · 79 PAwOBA .380 → .325 (−56)K% 13.9% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.92% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷0.985 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.900 | ×0.957 | ×1.050 | 27.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.085 | ×0.810 | ×0.957 | ×1.050 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷0.994 | ×0.810 | ×0.957 | ×1.050 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 99, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .380 → .325; ISO .155 → .121; BABIP .373 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 524 PAwOBA .338 → .304 (−34)K% 19.8% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.85% | ÷1.021 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.15% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.84% | ÷1.001 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×1.042 | 22.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.74% | ÷0.979 | ×0.860 | ×1.007 | ×1.042 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.950 | ×1.007 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 93, K 104, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .338 → .304; ISO .176 → .148; BABIP .326 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 517 PAwOBA .327 → .270 (−57)K% 27.3% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.003 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.64% | ÷0.965 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 3.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.78% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×1.027 | 24.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.044 | ×0.960 | ×1.029 | ×1.027 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.029 | ×1.027 | 0.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.19% | ÷0.994 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 5.63% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 96, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 101, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .327 → .270; ISO .181 → .143; BABIP .334 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .