Zach Lutz

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1986-06-03

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	28	AAALas Vegas 51s	264	.291/.388/.449	7	1	86	—	.235/.308/.361
2015	29	AAALas Vegas 51s	85	.203/.306/.297	1	0	28	—	.169/.247/.247
2016	30	AAANew Orleans Z…	43	.086/.256/.086	0	0	-19	—	.054/.186/.054

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	23	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	34	29	6	1	0	0	5	7	0	0	0	207	324	241	565	34	273	21	15	273	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	415	356	101	19	2	11	50	72	7	1	1	284	383	441	824	157	327	17	12	369	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	22	20	6	4	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	300	364	650	1.014	350	312	14	9	433	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	263	225	65	14	0	17	33	63	4	0	2	289	389	578	967	289	331	24	13	419	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	ROK	GCL Mets	—	20	19	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	316	350	526	876	211	357	20	5	384	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	250	220	65	12	0	11	27	70	3	0	0	295	380	500	880	205	388	28	11	389	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	294	244	73	16	1	10	42	75	5	0	0	299	412	496	908	197	391	26	14	400	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	26	20	5	2	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	250	375	500	875	250	250	19	15	356	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB	New York Mets	—	26	20	6	2	0	0	6	6	0	0	0	300	462	400	862	100	429	23	23	399	163	+2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.5
2013	27	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	466	399	117	27	4	13	54	102	4	0	2	293	383	479	862	185	357	22	12	375	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	264	227	66	11	2	7	29	50	7	1	1	291	388	449	837	159	345	19	11	375	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	85	74	15	4	0	1	11	18	0	0	1	203	306	297	603	95	255	21	13	282	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	43	35	3	0	0	0	7	18	1	0	0	86	256	86	342		176	42	16	194	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	26	20	6	2	0	0	6	6	0	0	0	300	462	400	862	100	429	23	23	399	156	+2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	34	30	6	1	0	0	4	9	0	0	0	200	294	233	527	33	267	26	12	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	415	369	88	17	2	9	37	102	7	1	1	238	320	369	688	130	298	25	9	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	22	20	5	3	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	250	318	550	868	300	253	18	9	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	263	234	58	13	0	12	24	79	4	0	2	248	328	457	786	209	317	30	9	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	—	20	19	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	263	300	474	774	211	268	30	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	250	229	57	10	0	8	18	82	3	0	0	249	312	397	709	148	352	33	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	294	257	69	14	1	10	29	91	5	0	0	268	354	447	801	179	364	31	10	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	26	21	5	2	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	238	333	476	810	238	218	31	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	26	20	6	2	0	0	6	6	0	0	0	300	462	400	862	100	429	23	23	409	163	+2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.5
2013	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	466	415	93	20	3	9	38	138	4	0	2	224	295	352	647	128	296	30	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	264	238	56	8	2	6	18	68	7	1	1	235	308	361	669	126	302	26	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	85	77	13	3	0	1	8	24	0	0	1	169	247	247	494	78	219	28	9	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	43	37	2	0	0	0	5	23	1	0	0	54	186	54	240		148	53	12	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	449	400	94	18	2	9	40	111	7	1	1	235	315	357	673	122	301	25	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	449	385	107	20	2	11	55	79	7	1	1	278	378	426	804	148	323	18	12	361	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	305	274	67	16	0	14	26	88	4	0	2	245	319	456	775	212	308	29	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	305	264	77	19	0	19	36	70	4	0	2	292	385	580	964	288	331	23	12	417	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	250	229	57	10	0	8	18	82	3	0	0	249	312	397	709	148	353	33	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	250	220	65	12	0	11	27	70	3	0	0	295	380	500	880	205	388	28	11	389	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	320	278	73	16	1	10	32	99	5	0	0	263	349	435	784	173	364	31	10	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	320	264	78	18	1	11	46	80	5	0	0	295	410	496	906	201	379	25	14	396	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	492	435	99	22	3	9	44	144	4	0	2	228	304	354	658	126	311	29	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	492	419	123	29	4	13	60	108	4	0	2	294	387	475	862	181	361	22	12	376	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	264	238	56	8	2	6	18	68	7	1	1	235	308	361	669	126	303	26	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA RAW	Las Vegas 51s	—	264	227	66	11	2	7	29	50	7	1	1	291	388	449	837	159	345	19	11	375	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	85	77	13	3	0	1	8	24	0	0	1	169	247	247	494	78	231	28	9	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	Las Vegas 51s	—	85	74	15	4	0	1	11	18	0	0	1	203	306	297	603	95	255	21	13	282	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	43	37	2	0	0	0	5	23	1	0	0	54	186	54	240		143	53	12	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA RAW	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	43	35	3	0	0	0	7	18	1	0	0	86	256	86	342		176	42	16	194	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	449	399	94	18	2	9	40	111	7	1	1	236	315	358	674	123	296	25	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	305	272	67	16	0	14	26	88	4	0	2	246	319	460	779	213	309	29	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	250	227	57	10	0	8	18	82	3	0	0	251	312	401	713	150	352	33	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	320	280	73	16	1	10	32	99	5	0	0	261	349	432	781	171	352	31	10	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	492	441	99	22	3	9	44	144	4	0	2	224	304	349	654	125	303	29	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	264	237	56	8	2	6	18	68	7	1	1	236	308	363	671	127	302	26	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	85	77	13	3	0	1	8	24	0	0	1	169	247	247	494	78	219	28	9	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	43	37	2	0	0	0	5	23	1	0	0	54	186	54	240		148	53	12	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	26	20	6	2	0	0	6	6	0	0	0	300	462	400	862	100	429	23	23	399	90	+2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	500	150	50	0	0	150	150	0	0	0	300	462	400	862	100	429	23	23	399	90	+43	+0	+11	+44	+14	11.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2208	1968	461	93	8	57	191	639	31	2	7	234	312	377	688	142	314	29	9	302	90	+2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	135	27	2	17	56	188	9	1	2	233	310	375	685	142	312	29	9	302	90	+43	+0	+11	+44	+14	11.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 43 PAwOBA .191 → .140 (−50)K% 41.9% → 52.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	41.86%	÷1.027	×1.290	—	—	52.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.28%	÷0.964	×0.710	—	×0.972	11.66%
HBP% /PA	2.33%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	2.22%
Singles /BIP	17.65%	÷1.041	×0.900	—	×0.972	14.82%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.929	×0.810	—	×0.972	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.057	×0.810	—	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.919	×0.780	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 108, 2B 86, 3B 111, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .191 → .140; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .176 → .148. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAALas Vegas 51s · 85 PAwOBA .275 → .210 (−65)K% 21.2% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.18%	÷0.977	×1.290	—	—	27.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.94%	÷1.010	×0.710	—	×0.982	8.93%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.86%	÷0.983	×0.900	×1.004	×0.982	16.13%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.042	×0.810	×1.004	×0.982	5.47%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.061	×0.810	×1.004	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.79%	÷1.099	×0.780	—	×0.982	1.24%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 112, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .275 → .210; ISO .095 → .067; BABIP .255 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALas Vegas 51s · 264 PAwOBA .365 → .295 (−71)K% 18.9% → 25.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.94%	÷0.945	×1.290	—	—	25.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.61%	÷1.060	×0.710	—	×0.992	7.05%
HBP% /PA	2.65%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	2.58%
Singles /BIP	25.99%	÷0.991	×0.900	×1.007	×0.992	23.57%
Doubles /BIP	6.21%	÷1.057	×0.810	×1.007	×0.992	4.76%
Triples /BIP	1.13%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.007	×0.992	1.02%
Home runs /BIP	3.95%	÷0.925	×0.780	—	×0.992	3.31%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .365 → .295; ISO .159 → .125; BABIP .345 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALas Vegas 51s · 466 PAwOBA .370 → .284 (−86)K% 21.9% → 29.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.89%	÷0.952	×1.290	—	—	29.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.37%	÷0.994	×0.710	—	×1.003	8.15%
HBP% /PA	0.86%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.84%
Singles /BIP	24.58%	÷1.018	×0.900	×0.979	×1.003	21.34%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.023	×0.810	×0.979	×1.003	7.07%
Triples /BIP	1.35%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.979	×1.003	0.93%
Home runs /BIP	4.38%	÷1.078	×0.780	—	×1.003	3.18%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .370 → .284; ISO .185 → .132; BABIP .357 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAABuffalo Bisons · 294 PAwOBA .391 → .344 (−48)K% 25.5% → 31.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.51%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	30.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.95%	÷1.002	×0.690	—	×1.018	9.78%
HBP% /PA	1.70%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.63%
Singles /BIP	27.22%	÷0.992	×0.930	×0.997	×1.018	25.89%
Doubles /BIP	9.47%	÷0.963	×0.830	×0.997	×1.018	8.28%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷1.002	×0.970	×0.997	×1.018	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	5.92%	÷0.901	×0.840	—	×1.018	5.61%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 100, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .391 → .344; ISO .197 → .183; BABIP .391 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+St. Lucie Mets · 26 PAwOBA .376 → .304 (−72)K% 19.2% → 29.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.23%	÷0.933	×1.420	—	—	29.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.38%	÷1.034	×0.750	—	×0.968	10.80%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.968	0.00%
Singles /BIP	13.33%	÷1.020	×0.920	—	×0.968	11.64%
Doubles /BIP	13.33%	÷1.036	×0.960	—	×0.968	11.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.016	×0.810	—	×0.968	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.67%	÷1.239	×0.880	—	×0.968	4.58%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .376 → .304; ISO .250 → .200; BABIP .250 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAABuffalo Bisons · 250 PAwOBA .379 → .311 (−68)K% 28.0% → 32.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.00%	÷1.026	×1.200	—	—	32.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.80%	÷1.088	×0.690	—	×1.033	7.07%
HBP% /PA	1.20%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.17%
Singles /BIP	28.00%	÷1.008	×0.930	×0.986	×1.033	26.32%
Doubles /BIP	8.00%	÷0.977	×0.830	×0.986	×1.033	6.92%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.981	×0.970	×0.986	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.33%	÷1.139	×0.840	—	×1.033	5.58%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 96, K 105, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .379 → .311; ISO .205 → .159; BABIP .388 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AABinghamton Mets · 263 PAwOBA .407 → .337 (−70)K% 24.0% → 30.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.95%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	29.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.55%	÷0.975	×0.700	—	×1.012	9.12%
HBP% /PA	1.52%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	1.31%
Singles /BIP	20.99%	÷1.023	×0.970	×1.050	×1.012	21.15%
Doubles /BIP	8.64%	÷0.982	×0.860	×1.050	×1.012	8.05%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.050	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.49%	÷1.048	×0.780	—	×1.012	7.90%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .407 → .337; ISO .289 → .221; BABIP .331 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).