Jonathan Lucroy

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1986-06-13

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	32	MLBOakland Athle…	454	.241/.295/.325	4	0	74	0.9
2019	33	MLBCHC	328	.232/.308/.355	8	0	87	0.6
2021	35	AAAATL	114	.220/.360/.330	2	0	55	—	.175/.279/.237
2021	35	MLBATL	23	.316/.409/.368	0	0	119	0.3
2022	36	No MLB games played
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.9

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

xwOBA40

Avg EV25

Speed20

Barrel%10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	21	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	253	234	80	18	2	4	16	37	1	0	3	342	386	487	874	145	390	15	6	384	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+	Brevard County Manatees	—	272	236	69	12	1	10	28	45	2	1	2	292	372	479	851	186	316	17	10	369	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A	West Virginia Power	—	274	239	74	16	1	10	30	39	3	8	1	310	393	510	904	201	333	14	11	396	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	506	419	112	32	2	9	78	66	2	1	1	267	385	418	802	150	294	13	15	358	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	297	277	70	9	0	4	18	44	1	4	2	253	301	329	629	76	287	15	6	285	79	-7	+0	+36	+8	+6	4.3
2010	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	83	80	19	4	0	2	3	14	0	0	0	237	265	362	628	125	266	17	4	279	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	47	42	19	3	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	452	500	524	1.024	71	487	6	9	449	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	468	430	114	16	1	12	29	99	2	2	1	265	315	391	705	126	317	21	6	311	98	-1	+0	+46	+9	+10	6.5
2011	25	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	17	11	3	1	0	0	6	1	0	1	0	273	529	364	893	91	300	6	35	428	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	346	316	101	17	4	12	22	44	4	4	1	320	371	513	884	193	338	13	6	385	147	+19	+0	+29	+6	+7	6.3
2013	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	521	146	25	6	18	46	69	5	9	1	280	344	455	799	175	290	12	8	350	122	+15	+1	+40	+10	+13	8.1
2014	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	655	585	176	53	2	13	66	71	2	4	4	301	374	465	839	164	324	11	10	372	140	+31	-1	+26	+12	+14	8.4
2015	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	415	371	98	20	3	7	36	64	1	1	0	264	331	391	722	127	297	15	9	319	105	+2	+0	+10	+8	+9	2.9
2015	29	A+	Brevard County Manatees	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		250	0	11	279	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	544	490	143	24	3	24	47	100	3	5	0	292	357	500	857	208	322	18	9	375	127	+17	+1	+11	+10	+12	5.2
2017	31	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	481	423	112	21	3	6	46	51	8	1	0	265	348	371	719	106	286	11	10	325	93	-4	+0	-2	+9	+10	1.3
2018	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	454	415	100	21	1	4	29	65	3	0	0	241	295	325	621	84	273	14	6	278	74	-14	+0	+5	+8	+10	0.9
2019	33	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	328	293	68	10	1	8	27	51	5	0	0	232	308	355	663	123	253	16	8	299	87	-5	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.6
2021	35	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	23	19	6	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	316	409	368	778	53	400	17	13	344	119	+1	+0	-1	+2	+0	0.3
2021	35	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	114	91	20	4	0	2	17	20	3	0	0	220	360	330	690	110	250	18	15	316	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4591	4140	1134	217	24	108	369	662	34	30	9	274	338	416	755	142	301	14	8	334	112	+68	+2	+199	+87	+99	46.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	21	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	253	240	60	12	1	3	10	53	1	0	3	250	283	346	629	96	305	21	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Brevard County Manatees	—	272	243	62	11	1	9	21	64	2	1	2	255	320	420	739	165	291	24	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	274	250	65	13	1	8	19	52	3	8	1	260	320	416	736	156	292	19	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	506	443	106	30	2	8	54	80	2	1	1	239	325	370	695	131	267	16	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	297	278	71	10	0	4	17	44	1	4	2	255	301	335	635	79	287	15	6	285	79	-7	+0	+36	+8	+6	4.3
2010	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	83	81	17	3	0	2	2	18	0	0	0	210	229	321	550	111	239	22	2	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	47	43	18	3	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	419	457	488	945	70	448	9	6	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	468	430	114	17	1	11	29	99	2	2	1	265	315	386	701	121	317	21	6	313	98	-1	+0	+46	+9	+10	6.5
2011	25	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	17	13	3	1	0	0	4	1	0	1	0	231	412	308	719	77	263	6	24	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	346	317	101	18	4	11	21	44	4	4	1	319	368	505	873	186	338	13	6	385	147	+19	+0	+29	+6	+7	6.3
2013	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	523	147	27	6	17	44	69	5	9	1	281	343	453	796	172	290	12	8	349	122	+15	+1	+40	+10	+13	8.1
2014	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	655	588	180	57	2	12	63	71	2	4	4	306	375	471	846	165	324	11	10	375	140	+31	-1	+26	+12	+14	8.4
2015	29	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	415	371	99	21	3	7	36	64	1	1	0	267	333	396	730	129	297	15	9	323	105	+2	+0	+10	+8	+9	2.9
2015	29	A+ MLE	Brevard County Manatees	—	18	17	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	176	222	176	399		205	0	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	544	495	141	23	3	23	42	100	3	5	0	285	344	483	827	198	322	18	8	356	127	+17	+1	+11	+10	+12	5.2
2017	31	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	481	429	106	20	2	5	40	51	8	1	0	247	323	338	661	91	286	11	8	305	93	-4	+0	-2	+9	+10	1.3
2018	32	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	454	416	99	20	1	4	28	65	3	0	0	238	291	320	611	82	273	14	6	277	74	-14	+0	+5	+8	+10	0.9
2019	33	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	328	294	68	10	1	8	26	51	5	0	0	231	305	354	658	122	253	16	8	296	87	-5	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.6
2021	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	23	19	6	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	316	409	368	778	53	400	17	13	344	119	+1	+0	-1	+2	+0	0.3
2021	35	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	114	97	17	3	0	1	11	25	3	0	0	175	279	237	516	62	208	22	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	253	240	60	12	1	3	10	53	1	0	3	250	283	346	629	96	306	21	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	—	253	234	80	18	2	4	16	37	1	0	3	342	386	487	874	145	390	15	6	384	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	546	493	127	24	2	17	40	116	5	9	3	258	320	418	738	160	299	21	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	546	475	143	28	2	20	58	84	5	9	3	301	383	495	878	194	325	15	11	383	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	506	443	106	30	2	8	54	80	2	1	1	239	325	370	695	131	271	16	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA RAW	Huntsville Stars	—	506	419	112	32	2	9	78	66	2	1	1	267	385	418	802	150	294	13	15	358	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	427	402	105	16	0	5	22	66	1	4	2	261	301	338	639	77	301	15	5	287	80	-10	+0	+36	+8	+9	4.4
2010	24	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	427	399	108	16	0	6	25	61	1	4	2	271	315	356	671	85	306	14	6	302	80	-10	+0	+36	+8	+9	4.4
2011	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	485	443	118	18	1	11	33	100	2	3	1	266	320	386	706	120	319	21	7	314	99	-1	+0	+46	+9	+11	6.6
2011	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	485	441	117	17	1	12	35	100	2	3	1	265	322	390	712	125	316	21	7	316	99	-1	+0	+46	+9	+11	6.6
2012	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	346	317	101	18	4	11	21	44	4	4	1	319	368	505	873	186	340	13	6	385	147	+19	+0	+29	+6	+7	6.3
2012	26	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	346	316	101	17	4	12	22	44	4	4	1	320	371	513	884	193	338	13	6	385	147	+19	+0	+29	+6	+7	6.3
2013	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	523	147	27	6	17	44	69	5	9	1	281	343	453	796	172	292	12	8	349	122	+15	+1	+40	+10	+13	8.1
2013	27	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	521	146	25	6	18	46	69	5	9	1	280	344	455	799	175	290	12	8	350	122	+15	+1	+40	+10	+13	8.1
2014	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	655	588	180	57	2	12	63	71	2	4	4	306	375	471	846	165	331	11	10	375	140	+31	-1	+26	+12	+14	8.4
2014	28	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	655	585	176	53	2	13	66	71	2	4	4	301	374	465	839	164	324	11	10	372	140	+31	-1	+26	+12	+14	8.4
2015	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	433	388	103	21	3	7	37	64	1	1	0	265	331	389	720	124	297	15	9	319	102	+1	+0	+10	+8	+9	2.8
2015	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	433	387	102	20	3	7	38	64	1	1	0	264	331	385	716	121	295	15	9	318	102	+1	+0	+10	+8	+9	2.8
2016	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	544	495	141	23	3	23	42	100	3	5	0	285	344	483	827	198	314	18	8	356	127	+17	+1	+11	+10	+12	5.2
2016	30	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	544	490	143	24	3	24	47	100	3	5	0	292	357	500	857	208	322	18	9	375	127	+17	+1	+11	+10	+12	5.2
2017	31	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	481	429	106	20	2	5	40	51	8	1	0	247	323	338	661	91	268	11	8	305	93	-4	+0	-2	+9	+10	1.3
2017	31	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	—	481	423	112	21	3	6	46	51	8	1	0	265	348	371	719	106	286	11	10	325	93	-4	+0	-2	+9	+10	1.3
2018	32	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	454	416	99	20	1	4	28	65	3	0	0	238	291	320	611	82	269	14	6	277	74	-14	+0	+5	+8	+10	0.9
2018	32	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	454	415	100	21	1	4	29	65	3	0	0	241	295	325	621	84	273	14	6	278	74	-14	+0	+5	+8	+10	0.9
2019	33	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	328	294	68	10	1	8	26	51	5	0	0	231	305	354	658	122	252	16	8	296	87	-5	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.6
2019	33	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	328	293	68	10	1	8	27	51	5	0	0	232	308	355	663	123	253	16	8	299	87	-5	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.6
2021	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	137	116	23	4	0	1	14	29	3	0	0	198	301	259	559	60	247	21	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	137	110	26	5	0	2	20	24	3	0	0	236	368	336	705	100	276	18	15	321	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	253	240	60	12	1	3	10	53	1	0	3	250	283	346	629	96	305	21	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	546	496	127	24	2	17	40	116	5	9	3	256	320	415	735	159	292	21	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	506	445	106	30	2	8	54	80	2	1	1	238	325	369	693	130	267	16	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	427	401	105	16	0	5	22	66	1	4	2	262	301	339	640	77	295	15	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	485	447	118	18	1	11	33	100	2	3	1	264	320	383	703	119	315	21	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	346	318	101	18	4	11	21	44	4	4	1	318	368	503	872	186	338	13	6	385	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	526	147	27	6	17	44	69	5	9	1	279	343	451	793	171	290	12	8	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	655	585	180	57	2	12	63	71	2	4	4	308	375	474	849	166	324	11	10	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	433	392	103	21	3	7	37	64	1	1	0	263	331	385	716	122	294	15	9	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	544	494	141	23	3	23	42	100	3	5	0	285	344	484	828	198	322	18	8	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	481	430	106	20	2	5	40	51	8	1	0	247	323	337	660	91	286	11	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	454	420	99	20	1	4	28	65	3	0	0	236	291	317	607	81	273	14	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	328	294	68	10	1	8	26	51	5	0	0	231	305	354	658	122	253	16	8	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	137	119	23	4	0	1	14	29	3	0	0	193	301	252	553	59	240	21	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4591	4140	1134	217	24	108	369	662	34	30	9	274	338	416	755	142	301	14	8	334	104	+68	+2	+199	+87	+99	46.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	160	31	3	15	52	94	5	4	1	273	337	413	750	140	300	14	8	334	104	+10	+0	+28	+12	+14	6.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6175	5587	1484	300	28	132	474	959	45	41	16	266	328	400	728	135	297	16	8	323	104	+68	+2	+199	+87	+99	46.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	157	32	3	14	50	101	5	4	2	267	330	403	733	136	299	16	8	323	104	+10	+0	+28	+12	+14	6.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 114 PAwOBA .317 → .249 (−68)K% 17.5% → 21.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.54%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	21.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.91%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×0.940	9.54%
HBP% /PA	2.63%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	2.33%
Singles /BIP	19.72%	÷1.011	×0.930	×0.999	×0.940	17.04%
Doubles /BIP	5.63%	÷1.039	×0.830	×0.999	×0.940	4.23%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.999	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.82%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.85%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .317 → .249; ISO .110 → .082; BABIP .250 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+Brevard County Manatees · 18 PAwOBA .272 → .221 (−52)K% 0.0% → 0.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	0.00%	÷0.986	×1.420	—	—	0.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷0.987	×0.750	—	×0.940	7.93%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.057	×0.920	—	×0.940	20.46%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.911	×0.960	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.887	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 111, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .272 → .221; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAHuntsville Stars · 17 PAwOBA .420 → .341 (−79)K% 5.9% → 7.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.88%	÷1.005	×1.220	—	—	7.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	35.29%	÷1.047	×0.680	—	×0.998	22.87%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.023	×0.920	—	×0.998	17.95%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.087	×0.910	—	×0.998	8.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.933	×0.880	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.993	×0.800	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 105, 2B 117, 3B 87, K 101, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .420 → .341; ISO .091 → .090; BABIP .300 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAANashville Sounds · 83 PAwOBA .271 → .225 (−46)K% 16.9% → 22.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.87%	÷0.991	×1.290	—	—	21.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.61%	÷0.989	×0.710	—	×1.048	2.72%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.70%	÷1.009	×0.900	×1.004	×1.048	18.49%
Doubles /BIP	6.06%	÷1.089	×0.810	×1.004	×1.048	4.74%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.004	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.03%	÷0.943	×0.780	—	×1.048	2.63%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .271 → .225; ISO .125 → .099; BABIP .266 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAHuntsville Stars · 47 PAwOBA .438 → .406 (−32)K% 6.4% → 7.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.38%	÷1.029	×1.220	—	—	7.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.51%	÷0.997	×0.680	—	×1.012	5.87%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	41.03%	÷1.030	×0.920	—	×1.012	37.08%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.918	×0.910	—	×1.012	7.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.880	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.108	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 106, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .438 → .406; ISO .071 → .075; BABIP .487 → .448. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAHuntsville Stars · 506 PAwOBA .353 → .306 (−47)K% 13.0% → 15.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.04%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.22%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.027	10.63%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	0.34%
Singles /BIP	19.55%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.968	×1.027	17.88%
Doubles /BIP	9.07%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.968	×1.027	8.20%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷1.000	×0.880	×0.968	×1.027	0.50%
Home runs /BIP	2.55%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	2.09%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .353 → .306; ISO .150 → .137; BABIP .294 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AWest Virginia Power · 274 PAwOBA .388 → .320 (−68)K% 14.2% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.23%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	19.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.58%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	—	6.99%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.770	—	—	0.84%
Singles /BIP	23.50%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.989	—	21.38%
Doubles /BIP	8.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.989	—	6.49%
Triples /BIP	0.50%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.989	—	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	—	4.10%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .388 → .320; ISO .201 → .165; BABIP .333 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 A+Brevard County Manatees · 272 PAwOBA .368 → .318 (−49)K% 16.5% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.54%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	23.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.29%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×1.012	7.81%
HBP% /PA	0.74%	—	×0.930	—	×1.012	0.69%
Singles /BIP	24.08%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.992	×1.012	22.24%
Doubles /BIP	6.28%	÷1.000	×0.960	×0.992	×1.012	6.05%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.992	×1.012	0.43%
Home runs /BIP	5.24%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.012	4.66%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .368 → .318; ISO .186 → .164; BABIP .316 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).