Devin Lohman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 24 | AAMIA | 548 | .235/.305/.330 | 8 | 16 | 52 | — | .212/.268/.288 |
| 2014 | 25 | AAMIA | 375 | .245/.316/.352 | 5 | 8 | 59 | — | .224/.275/.315 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA/AA/A+PHI | 200 | .207/.268/.263 | 1 | 4 | 18 | — | .172/.227/.217 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 270 | 230 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 239 | 327 | 322 | 649 | 83 | 293 | 17 | 9 | 289 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 147 | 130 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 331 | 400 | 554 | 954 | 223 | 373 | 16 | 9 | 412 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 235 | 207 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 47 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 208 | 271 | 256 | 527 | 48 | 261 | 20 | 7 | 235 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 138 | 115 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 322 | 426 | 461 | 887 | 139 | 363 | 16 | 12 | 395 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 575 | 494 | 127 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 108 | 15 | 34 | 9 | 257 | 355 | 401 | 756 | 144 | 301 | 19 | 10 | 339 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 548 | 485 | 114 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 84 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 235 | 305 | 330 | 635 | 95 | 268 | 15 | 7 | 284 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 375 | 330 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 74 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 245 | 316 | 352 | 667 | 106 | 295 | 20 | 7 | 295 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 33 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 156 | 219 | 375 | 62 | 250 | 36 | 0 | 160 | -34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 190 | 190 | 381 | 211 | 14 | 0 | 165 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 145 | 126 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 305 | 286 | 591 | 63 | 273 | 19 | 8 | 269 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 270 | 240 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 68 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 175 | 238 | 229 | 468 | 54 | 228 | 25 | 5 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 147 | 134 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 284 | 338 | 463 | 801 | 179 | 329 | 21 | 6 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 235 | 212 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 64 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 189 | 236 | 231 | 467 | 42 | 247 | 27 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 138 | 121 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 248 | 331 | 347 | 678 | 99 | 286 | 23 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 575 | 511 | 109 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 145 | 15 | 34 | 9 | 213 | 293 | 317 | 611 | 104 | 268 | 25 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 548 | 496 | 105 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 98 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 212 | 268 | 288 | 556 | 77 | 243 | 18 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 375 | 340 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 89 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 224 | 275 | 315 | 589 | 91 | 269 | 24 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 33 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 125 | 156 | 281 | 31 | 208 | 42 | 0 | 118 | -34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 190 | 190 | 381 | 203 | 14 | 0 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 145 | 128 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 180 | 255 | 234 | 490 | 55 | 242 | 28 | 6 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 270 | 240 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 68 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 175 | 238 | 229 | 468 | 54 | 237 | 25 | 5 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK RAW | Billings Mustangs | — | 270 | 230 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 239 | 327 | 322 | 649 | 83 | 293 | 17 | 9 | 289 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 520 | 467 | 107 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 127 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 229 | 289 | 321 | 610 | 92 | 295 | 24 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 520 | 452 | 123 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 92 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 272 | 350 | 394 | 744 | 122 | 319 | 18 | 9 | 328 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 575 | 511 | 109 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 145 | 15 | 34 | 9 | 213 | 293 | 317 | 611 | 104 | 276 | 25 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 575 | 494 | 127 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 108 | 15 | 34 | 9 | 257 | 355 | 401 | 756 | 144 | 301 | 19 | 10 | 339 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 548 | 496 | 105 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 98 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 212 | 268 | 288 | 556 | 77 | 251 | 18 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 548 | 485 | 114 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 84 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 235 | 305 | 330 | 635 | 95 | 268 | 15 | 7 | 284 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 375 | 340 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 89 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 224 | 275 | 315 | 589 | 91 | 283 | 24 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 375 | 330 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 74 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 245 | 316 | 352 | 667 | 106 | 295 | 20 | 7 | 295 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 200 | 181 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 58 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 177 | 232 | 227 | 458 | 50 | 250 | 29 | 4 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 200 | 179 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 207 | 268 | 263 | 531 | 56 | 261 | 21 | 6 | 240 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 270 | 248 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 68 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 169 | 238 | 222 | 460 | 52 | 228 | 25 | 5 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 520 | 476 | 107 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 127 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 225 | 289 | 315 | 604 | 90 | 281 | 24 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 575 | 512 | 109 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 145 | 15 | 34 | 9 | 213 | 293 | 316 | 610 | 104 | 268 | 25 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 548 | 505 | 105 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 98 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 208 | 268 | 283 | 551 | 75 | 243 | 18 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 375 | 348 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 89 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 218 | 275 | 307 | 582 | 89 | 269 | 24 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 200 | 185 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 58 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 173 | 232 | 222 | 454 | 49 | 232 | 29 | 4 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2488 | 2235 | 471 | 83 | 7 | 30 | 141 | 585 | 51 | 83 | 38 | 211 | 273 | 294 | 568 | 84 | 269 | 24 | 6 | 248 | 54 | -137 | +1 | +0 | +27 | +54 | -5.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 124 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 153 | 13 | 22 | 10 | 212 | 274 | 298 | 572 | 86 | 271 | 24 | 6 | 248 | 54 | -36 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 A+Clearwater Threshers · 145 PAwOBA .264 → .217 (−47)K% 18.6% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.62% | ÷0.940 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷0.918 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.968 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.76% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.968 | 2.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×0.968 | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.05% | ÷0.950 | ×0.960 | ×0.955 | ×0.968 | 4.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | ×0.955 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.117 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 0.77% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 93, 2B 90, 3B 97, K 88, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .264 → .217; ISO .063 → .051; BABIP .273 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 33 PAwOBA .155 → .118 (−38)K% 36.4% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.36% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 14.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.314 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 6.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.845 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .155 → .118; ISO .062 → .038; BABIP .250 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAReading Fightin Phils · 22 PAwOBA .168 → .166 (−1)K% 13.6% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.060 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 21.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.021 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 112, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .168 → .166; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .211 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 375 PAwOBA .292 → .255 (−37)K% 19.7% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.73% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.93% | ÷1.051 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.66% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 21.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.61% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .292 → .255; ISO .106 → .092; BABIP .295 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 548 PAwOBA .278 → .245 (−33)K% 15.3% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.33% | ÷1.050 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.93% | ÷0.966 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.01% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.95% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 19.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.109 | ×0.880 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.54% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 104, 2B 104, 3B 122, K 110, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .278 → .245; ISO .095 → .082; BABIP .268 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 575 PAwOBA .332 → .270 (−62)K% 18.8% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.78% | ÷0.999 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷0.977 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.61% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.976 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 20.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.96% | ÷0.970 | ×0.820 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.63% | ÷1.216 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 2.74% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 95, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .332 → .270; ISO .144 → .110; BABIP .301 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ADayton Dragons · 235 PAwOBA .231 → .201 (−31)K% 20.0% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.997 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.23% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.50% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | — | 21.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | — | 2.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | — | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.221 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 97, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .231 → .201; ISO .048 → .037; BABIP .261 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 147 PAwOBA .401 → .333 (−67)K% 15.6% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.65% | ÷0.993 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.84% | ÷1.003 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.30% | ÷0.981 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 22.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.35% | ÷1.009 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 7.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.67% | ÷1.122 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 3.88% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .401 → .333; ISO .223 → .181; BABIP .373 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).