Brandon Hicks
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 28 | AAACOL | 152 | .218/.311/.436 | 6 | 0 | 43 | — | .153/.232/.299 | |
| 2014 | 28 | MLBSF | 242 | .162/.282/.319 | 8 | 0 | 69 | -0.0 | ||
| 2015 | 29 | AAASF | 159 | .220/.308/.326 | 2 | 0 | 27 | — | .158/.226/.226 | |
| 2016 | 30 | AAAOklahoma City… | 308 | .229/.328/.361 | 8 | 7 | 34 | — | .164/.233/.257 | |
| 2017 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | — | 157 | 128 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 312 | 436 | 492 | 928 | 180 | 364 | 17 | 17 | 412 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 74 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 375 | 466 | 841 | 241 | 263 | 24 | 16 | 365 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 64 | 54 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 339 | 389 | 728 | 148 | 324 | 27 | 11 | 319 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 400 | 342 | 80 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 122 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 234 | 337 | 480 | 816 | 246 | 300 | 30 | 11 | 355 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 534 | 464 | 110 | 25 | 4 | 10 | 53 | 131 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 237 | 322 | 373 | 695 | 136 | 306 | 25 | 10 | 308 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 287 | 261 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 74 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 211 | 280 | 333 | 613 | 123 | 267 | 26 | 7 | 278 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 22 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 91 | 48 | 139 | 83 | 41 | 5 | 73 | -65 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +0 | 0.0 | |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 407 | 361 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 137 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 252 | 333 | 446 | 779 | 194 | 354 | 34 | 10 | 345 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 70 | 64 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 172 | 243 | 391 | 633 | 219 | 267 | 44 | 9 | 279 | 79 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 383 | 328 | 80 | 26 | 3 | 18 | 47 | 115 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 244 | 351 | 506 | 857 | 262 | 316 | 30 | 12 | 375 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 354 | 318 | 90 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 111 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 283 | 349 | 450 | 798 | 167 | 401 | 31 | 8 | 351 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 242 | 204 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 77 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 162 | 282 | 319 | 600 | 157 | 208 | 32 | 13 | 273 | 69 | -9 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 152 | 133 | 29 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 311 | 436 | 747 | 218 | 295 | 32 | 9 | 330 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 159 | 141 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 308 | 326 | 634 | 106 | 337 | 33 | 10 | 292 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 308 | 266 | 61 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 104 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 229 | 328 | 361 | 689 | 132 | 344 | 34 | 12 | 312 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 334 | 289 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 117 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 261 | 315 | 575 | 159 | 210 | 35 | 12 | 261 | 63 | -15 | -0 | +1 | +11 | +7 | 0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 157 | 139 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 252 | 333 | 381 | 715 | 129 | 306 | 22 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 74 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 159 | 264 | 317 | 581 | 159 | 202 | 35 | 9 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 64 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 306 | 375 | 681 | 143 | 303 | 33 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 400 | 359 | 63 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 173 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 175 | 251 | 354 | 604 | 178 | 270 | 43 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 534 | 481 | 97 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 160 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 202 | 264 | 310 | 574 | 108 | 272 | 30 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 287 | 268 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 92 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 175 | 227 | 276 | 503 | 101 | 241 | 32 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 22 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 91 | 48 | 139 | 83 | 41 | 5 | 73 | -65 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +0 | 0.0 | |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 407 | 372 | 79 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 164 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 212 | 277 | 363 | 639 | 151 | 334 | 40 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 70 | 64 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 172 | 243 | 391 | 633 | 219 | 267 | 44 | 9 | 286 | 79 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 383 | 344 | 64 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 144 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 186 | 267 | 375 | 642 | 189 | 265 | 38 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 354 | 327 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 150 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 193 | 246 | 294 | 539 | 101 | 324 | 42 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 242 | 207 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 77 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 273 | 333 | 606 | 169 | 208 | 32 | 12 | 271 | 69 | -9 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 152 | 137 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 232 | 299 | 531 | 146 | 241 | 42 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 159 | 146 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 226 | 226 | 452 | 68 | 270 | 41 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 308 | 280 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 138 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 164 | 233 | 257 | 490 | 93 | 290 | 45 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 201 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 60 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 224 | 316 | 378 | 694 | 154 | 285 | 26 | 10 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 231 | 186 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 44 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 285 | 417 | 484 | 901 | 199 | 336 | 19 | 17 | 397 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 464 | 416 | 76 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 32 | 194 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 183 | 256 | 356 | 612 | 173 | 287 | 42 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 464 | 396 | 93 | 26 | 3 | 20 | 52 | 139 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 235 | 337 | 467 | 804 | 232 | 304 | 30 | 11 | 350 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 534 | 481 | 97 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 160 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 202 | 264 | 310 | 574 | 108 | 281 | 30 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 534 | 464 | 110 | 25 | 4 | 10 | 53 | 131 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 237 | 322 | 373 | 695 | 136 | 306 | 25 | 10 | 308 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 287 | 268 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 92 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 175 | 227 | 276 | 503 | 101 | 241 | 32 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Braves | — | 287 | 261 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 74 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 211 | 280 | 333 | 613 | 123 | 267 | 26 | 7 | 278 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 393 | 80 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 173 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 204 | 267 | 346 | 613 | 142 | 320 | 40 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 429 | 382 | 92 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 42 | 146 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 241 | 321 | 424 | 745 | 183 | 339 | 34 | 10 | 331 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 408 | 75 | 23 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 175 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 184 | 263 | 382 | 646 | 199 | 264 | 39 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 453 | 392 | 91 | 31 | 3 | 21 | 53 | 146 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 232 | 334 | 487 | 821 | 255 | 310 | 32 | 12 | 360 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 354 | 327 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 150 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 193 | 246 | 294 | 539 | 101 | 327 | 42 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas 51s | — | 354 | 318 | 90 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 111 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 283 | 349 | 450 | 798 | 167 | 401 | 31 | 8 | 351 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 344 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 141 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 260 | 323 | 582 | 160 | 225 | 36 | 10 | 256 | 59 | -19 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 394 | 337 | 62 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 126 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 293 | 365 | 658 | 181 | 242 | 32 | 12 | 295 | 59 | -19 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 159 | 146 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 226 | 226 | 452 | 68 | 275 | 41 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 159 | 141 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 308 | 326 | 634 | 106 | 337 | 33 | 10 | 292 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 308 | 280 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 138 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 164 | 233 | 257 | 490 | 93 | 294 | 45 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 308 | 266 | 61 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 104 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 229 | 328 | 361 | 689 | 132 | 344 | 34 | 12 | 312 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 202 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 60 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 223 | 316 | 376 | 692 | 153 | 273 | 26 | 10 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 464 | 420 | 76 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 32 | 194 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 181 | 256 | 352 | 608 | 171 | 275 | 42 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 534 | 488 | 97 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 160 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 199 | 264 | 305 | 570 | 107 | 272 | 30 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 287 | 267 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 92 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 176 | 227 | 277 | 504 | 101 | 241 | 32 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 392 | 80 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 173 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 204 | 267 | 347 | 614 | 143 | 321 | 40 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 406 | 75 | 23 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 175 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 185 | 263 | 384 | 648 | 200 | 265 | 39 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 354 | 328 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 150 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 192 | 246 | 293 | 538 | 101 | 324 | 42 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 346 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 141 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 162 | 260 | 321 | 580 | 159 | 221 | 36 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 159 | 145 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 226 | 228 | 454 | 69 | 270 | 41 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 308 | 280 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 138 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 164 | 233 | 257 | 490 | 93 | 290 | 45 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 334 | 289 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 117 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 261 | 315 | 575 | 159 | 210 | 35 | 12 | 261 | 58 | -15 | -0 | +1 | +11 | +7 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 562 | 87 | 21 | 2 | 21 | 76 | 228 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 155 | 260 | 311 | 572 | 157 | 210 | 35 | 12 | 261 | 58 | -29 | -0 | +3 | +21 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3613 | 3264 | 608 | 130 | 14 | 95 | 266 | 1348 | 45 | 77 | 30 | 186 | 257 | 322 | 579 | 136 | 280 | 37 | 7 | 254 | 58 | -15 | -0 | +1 | +11 | +7 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 109 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 48 | 243 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 186 | 257 | 322 | 579 | 136 | 280 | 37 | 7 | 254 | 58 | -29 | -0 | +3 | +21 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 308 PAwOBA .303 → .219 (−84)K% 33.8% → 44.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.77% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 44.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 7.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×1.012 | ×0.962 | 22.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.79% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×0.962 | 5.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.94% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .303 → .219; ISO .132 → .094; BABIP .344 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASacramento River Cats · 159 PAwOBA .282 → .208 (−75)K% 33.3% → 41.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.047 | ×1.290 | — | — | 41.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷0.960 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.86% | ÷1.003 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 19.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.95% | ÷1.024 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.925 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.982 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 85, K 109, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .282 → .208; ISO .106 → .074; BABIP .337 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 152 PAwOBA .321 → .232 (−90)K% 32.2% → 41.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.24% | ÷0.994 | ×1.290 | — | — | 41.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.21% | ÷1.005 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.002 | ×0.900 | ×0.999 | ×0.982 | 12.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.10% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.982 | 10.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.045 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 5.24% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .321 → .232; ISO .218 → .146; BABIP .295 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALas Vegas 51s · 354 PAwOBA .341 → .238 (−103)K% 31.4% → 42.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.36% | ÷0.952 | ×1.290 | — | — | 42.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷0.994 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.43% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×0.961 | ×0.992 | 25.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.023 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×0.992 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.93% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×0.992 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.31% | ÷1.078 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.82% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .341 → .238; ISO .167 → .105; BABIP .401 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASacramento River Cats · 383 PAwOBA .366 → .281 (−84)K% 30.0% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.03% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.27% | ÷1.064 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 8.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.49% | ÷0.940 | ×0.900 | ×0.973 | ×1.003 | 14.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.21% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×1.003 | 9.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.062 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×1.003 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.45% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 7.14% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 112, K 107, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .366 → .281; ISO .262 → .201; BABIP .316 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAGwinnett Braves · 407 PAwOBA .336 → .277 (−58)K% 33.7% → 40.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.66% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.07% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.89% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 24.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.003 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.04% | ÷1.055 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 6.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .336 → .277; ISO .194 → .153; BABIP .354 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAGwinnett Braves · 287 PAwOBA .269 → .226 (−43)K% 25.8% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.78% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.62% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.32% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×1.033 | 18.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.81% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.033 | 4.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×1.033 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.74% | ÷0.921 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 3.53% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 106, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .269 → .226; ISO .123 → .106; BABIP .267 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAMississippi Braves · 534 PAwOBA .302 → .252 (−50)K% 24.5% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×1.012 | 19.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×1.012 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.965 | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.43% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .302 → .252; ISO .136 → .115; BABIP .306 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).