Caleb Gindl

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1988-08-31

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	26	AAATOR	335	.228/.288/.319	4	2	47	—	.206/.249/.283
2017	28	AASF	185	.284/.339/.533	8	0	102	—	.253/.290/.471
2018	29	AAA/AASF	292	.299/.375/.417	3	0	86	—	.265/.319/.371

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	18	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	231	207	77	22	3	5	20	38	0	4	4	372	427	580	1.007	208	429	16	9	433	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	578	508	156	38	4	13	63	144	5	14	5	307	389	474	863	167	405	25	11	383	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+	Brevard County Manatees	—	462	394	109	15	3	17	57	92	1	18	4	277	369	459	829	183	314	20	12	361	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	534	463	126	33	1	9	55	78	5	10	5	272	356	406	762	134	307	15	10	337	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	INTL	Surprise Rafters	—	70	58	15	5	1	2	9	20	1	0	0	259	368	483	850	224	342	29	13	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	538	472	145	23	5	15	63	93	1	6	5	307	390	472	862	165	357	17	12	383	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	124	102	24	4	0	6	21	26	1	0	0	235	371	451	822	216	257	21	17	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	498	452	118	27	5	12	37	98	2	4	1	261	319	423	742	162	306	20	7	325	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	155	132	32	7	2	5	20	25	0	2	1	242	342	439	781	197	262	16	13	341	115	+3	+0	-2	-5	+3	-0.1
2013	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	347	312	92	21	3	11	30	72	2	1	2	295	360	487	848	192	351	21	9	371	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	23	19	3	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	158	304	158	462		214	22	17	239	49	-1	+0	-1	-5	+0	-0.7
2014	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	408	362	82	20	1	8	42	88	2	2	2	227	310	354	664	127	277	22	10	301	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	335	307	70	12	2	4	25	54	1	2	2	228	288	319	608	91	263	16	7	275	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	185	169	48	4	7	8	14	35	0	0	1	284	339	533	871	249	312	19	8	374	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	59	47	13	5	0	0	9	15	0	0	1	277	393	383	776	106	394	25	15	338	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	233	207	63	14	1	3	22	33	0	0	1	304	371	425	796	121	343	14	9	352	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	178	151	35	7	2	5	24	30	0	2	1	232	337	404	741	172	256	17	13	328	108	+2	+0	-3	-10	+4	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	18	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	231	215	61	16	2	4	12	55	0	4	4	284	322	433	754	149	350	24	5	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	578	529	134	30	4	10	42	193	5	14	5	253	314	382	696	129	372	33	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ MLE	Brevard County Manatees	—	462	411	98	14	2	15	40	131	1	18	4	238	308	392	699	153	293	28	9	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	534	479	125	36	1	7	39	92	5	10	5	261	323	384	707	123	296	17	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	538	487	134	19	4	12	48	116	1	6	5	275	341	405	746	129	337	22	9	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	498	463	103	23	4	9	27	124	2	4	1	222	268	348	616	125	278	25	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	155	133	32	7	2	5	19	25	0	2	1	241	336	436	772	195	262	16	12	338	115	+3	+0	-2	-5	+3	-0.1
2013	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	347	322	81	16	3	9	20	96	2	1	2	252	299	404	703	152	319	28	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	23	19	3	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	158	304	158	462		214	22	17	240	49	-1	+0	-1	-5	+0	-0.7
2014	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	408	377	71	15	1	7	27	118	2	2	2	188	246	289	535	101	252	29	7	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	335	315	65	11	2	3	17	64	1	2	2	206	249	283	532	76	247	19	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	185	174	44	3	7	7	9	45	0	0	1	253	290	471	761	218	290	24	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	59	50	13	5	0	0	6	18	0	0	1	260	339	360	699	100	352	31	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	233	214	57	12	1	3	15	41	0	0	1	266	314	374	688	107	301	18	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	231	215	61	16	2	4	12	55	0	4	4	284	322	433	754	149	356	24	5	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	—	231	207	77	22	3	5	20	38	0	4	4	372	427	580	1.007	208	429	16	9	433	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	578	529	134	30	4	10	42	193	5	14	5	253	314	382	696	129	378	33	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	578	508	156	38	4	13	63	144	5	14	5	307	389	474	863	167	405	25	11	383	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ MLE	Brevard County Manatees	—	462	411	98	14	2	15	40	131	1	18	4	238	308	392	699	153	304	28	9	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ RAW	Brevard County Manatees	—	462	394	109	15	3	17	57	92	1	18	4	277	369	459	829	183	314	20	12	361	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	604	541	140	40	1	8	44	104	6	10	5	259	321	381	702	122	303	17	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	604	521	141	38	2	11	64	98	6	10	5	271	357	415	772	144	310	16	11	340	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	662	599	164	24	5	14	59	143	2	6	5	274	341	401	742	127	339	22	9	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	662	574	169	27	5	21	84	119	2	6	5	294	386	469	855	174	341	18	13	380	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	498	463	103	23	4	9	27	124	2	4	1	222	268	348	616	125	281	25	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	498	452	118	27	5	12	37	98	2	4	1	261	319	423	742	162	306	20	7	325	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	502	455	113	23	5	14	39	121	2	3	3	248	310	413	724	165	307	24	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	502	444	124	28	5	16	50	97	2	3	3	279	355	473	828	194	323	19	10	362	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	431	396	74	15	1	7	31	123	2	2	2	187	249	283	532	96	251	29	7	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	431	381	85	20	1	8	46	93	2	2	2	223	310	344	654	121	274	22	11	297	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	335	315	65	11	2	3	17	64	1	2	2	206	249	283	532	76	248	19	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	335	307	70	12	2	4	25	54	1	2	2	228	288	319	608	91	263	16	7	275	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	185	174	44	3	7	7	9	45	0	0	1	253	290	471	761	218	298	24	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	185	169	48	4	7	8	14	35	0	0	1	284	339	533	871	249	312	19	8	374	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AA MLE	2 teams	—	292	264	70	17	1	3	21	59	0	0	2	265	319	371	691	106	324	20	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AA RAW	2 teams	—	292	254	76	19	1	3	31	48	0	0	2	299	375	417	793	118	351	16	11	349	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	231	217	61	16	2	4	12	55	0	4	4	281	322	429	750	147	350	24	5	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	578	526	134	30	4	10	42	193	5	14	5	255	314	384	698	129	372	33	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ MLE	Brevard County Manatees	—	462	418	98	14	2	15	40	131	1	18	4	234	308	385	693	151	293	28	9	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	604	549	140	40	1	8	44	104	6	10	5	255	321	375	697	120	296	17	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	662	596	164	24	5	14	59	143	2	6	5	275	341	403	744	128	337	22	9	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	498	466	103	23	4	9	27	124	2	4	1	221	268	345	614	124	278	25	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	502	456	113	23	5	14	39	121	2	3	3	248	310	412	723	164	301	24	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	431	395	74	15	1	7	31	123	2	2	2	187	249	284	533	96	250	29	7	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	335	314	65	11	2	3	17	64	1	2	2	207	249	283	533	76	247	19	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	185	174	44	3	7	7	9	45	0	0	1	253	290	471	761	218	290	24	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	AA MLE	2 teams	—	292	269	70	17	1	3	21	59	0	0	2	260	319	364	684	104	311	20	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	178	151	35	7	2	5	24	30	0	2	1	232	337	404	741	172	256	17	13	328	86	+2	+0	-3	-10	+4	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	551	128	26	7	18	88	110	0	7	4	232	338	403	741	171	258	17	14	328	86	+6	+0	-11	-37	+14	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4780	4362	1066	216	34	94	341	1162	21	63	34	244	302	374	676	130	309	24	7	295	86	+2	+0	-3	-10	+4	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	145	29	5	13	46	158	3	9	5	245	302	376	678	132	309	24	7	295	86	+6	+0	-11	-37	+14	-2.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 233 PAwOBA .348 → .295 (−54)K% 14.2% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.16%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	17.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.44%	÷0.983	×0.700	—	×0.948	6.37%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.948	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.86%	÷0.995	×0.970	×0.969	×0.948	23.17%
Doubles /BIP	8.05%	÷0.949	×0.860	×0.969	×0.948	6.70%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.969	×0.948	0.44%
Home runs /BIP	1.72%	÷0.869	×0.780	—	×0.948	1.47%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .348 → .295; ISO .121 → .102; BABIP .343 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAASacramento River Cats · 59 PAwOBA .336 → .293 (−43)K% 25.4% → 30.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.42%	÷1.071	×1.290	—	—	30.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.25%	÷1.043	×0.710	—	×0.972	10.09%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.963	×0.900	—	×0.972	22.70%
Doubles /BIP	15.62%	÷0.910	×0.810	—	×0.972	13.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.998	×0.780	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 114, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .336 → .293; ISO .106 → .101; BABIP .394 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 185 PAwOBA .365 → .319 (−46)K% 18.9% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.92%	÷0.948	×1.220	—	—	24.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.03%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×0.958	4.84%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.64%	÷1.004	×0.970	×1.012	×0.958	20.26%
Doubles /BIP	2.99%	÷1.096	×0.860	×1.012	×0.958	2.27%
Triples /BIP	5.22%	÷0.900	×0.950	×1.012	×0.958	5.34%
Home runs /BIP	5.97%	÷0.848	×0.780	—	×0.958	5.26%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .365 → .319; ISO .249 → .223; BABIP .312 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAABuffalo Bisons · 335 PAwOBA .270 → .238 (−32)K% 16.1% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.12%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	19.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.46%	÷1.040	×0.690	—	×1.003	4.96%
HBP% /PA	0.30%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.28%
Singles /BIP	20.55%	÷0.981	×0.930	×0.998	×1.003	19.50%
Doubles /BIP	4.74%	÷0.944	×0.830	×0.998	×1.003	4.18%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.998	×1.003	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	1.58%	÷0.966	×0.840	—	×1.003	1.38%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .270 → .238; ISO .091 → .083; BABIP .263 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAANashville Sounds · 408 PAwOBA .291 → .240 (−51)K% 21.6% → 28.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.57%	÷0.964	×1.290	—	—	28.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.56%	÷1.040	×0.710	—	×1.018	6.64%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.49%
Singles /BIP	19.34%	÷0.975	×0.900	×1.020	×1.018	18.52%
Doubles /BIP	7.30%	÷1.051	×0.810	×1.020	×1.018	5.84%
Triples /BIP	0.36%	÷1.018	×0.810	×1.020	×1.018	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	2.92%	÷0.875	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.65%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .291 → .240; ISO .127 → .104; BABIP .277 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAANashville Sounds · 347 PAwOBA .362 → .301 (−61)K% 20.7% → 27.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.75%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	27.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.36%	÷1.054	×0.710	—	×1.033	5.81%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.58%
Singles /BIP	23.75%	÷1.001	×0.900	×1.038	×1.033	22.91%
Doubles /BIP	8.75%	÷1.119	×0.810	×1.038	×1.033	6.79%
Triples /BIP	1.25%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.038	×1.033	1.21%
Home runs /BIP	4.58%	÷0.934	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.96%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 124, 3B 80, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .362 → .301; ISO .192 → .155; BABIP .351 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAANashville Sounds · 498 PAwOBA .318 → .271 (−48)K% 19.7% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.68%	÷1.024	×1.290	—	—	24.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.23%	÷1.003	×0.710	—	×1.048	5.36%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.41%
Singles /BIP	20.90%	÷1.016	×0.900	×0.995	×1.048	19.32%
Doubles /BIP	7.63%	÷0.957	×0.810	×0.995	×1.048	6.73%
Triples /BIP	1.41%	÷0.938	×0.810	×0.995	×1.048	1.27%
Home runs /BIP	3.39%	÷1.022	×0.780	—	×1.048	2.71%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 88, K 105, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .318 → .271; ISO .162 → .133; BABIP .306 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAANashville Sounds · 538 PAwOBA .371 → .324 (−47)K% 17.3% → 21.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.29%	÷1.035	×1.290	—	—	21.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.34%	÷0.950	×0.710	—	×1.050	8.90%
HBP% /PA	0.19%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.19%
Singles /BIP	26.91%	÷0.980	×0.900	×1.020	×1.050	26.46%
Doubles /BIP	6.07%	÷1.024	×0.810	×1.020	×1.050	5.14%
Triples /BIP	1.32%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.020	×1.050	0.99%
Home runs /BIP	3.96%	÷1.028	×0.780	—	×1.050	3.15%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .371 → .324; ISO .165 → .131; BABIP .357 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).