Collin Cowgill

PosLF

B/TR/L

Born1986-05-22

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	31	AAA/ROK2 orgs	237	.242/.303/.400	7	4	37	—	.178/.231/.279
2018	32	AAAPHI	344	.230/.312/.408	12	3	59	—	.192/.256/.335
2019	33	AAACOL	280	.228/.331/.440	12	8	50	—	.160/.245/.296

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	22	A	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	231	201	50	13	3	1	25	61	5	1	0	249	346	358	705	109	353	26	11	323	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	260	220	61	9	5	6	29	49	7	11	4	277	379	445	824	168	325	19	11	364	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	577	502	143	34	4	16	57	73	8	25	9	285	367	464	831	179	300	13	10	363	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	100	92	22	3	0	1	8	28	0	4	2	239	300	304	604	65	333	28	8	278	67	-4	+0	+4	-7	+2	-0.5
2011	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	456	395	140	24	8	13	51	63	2	30	3	354	431	554	985	200	397	14	11	425	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	113	104	22	4	1	0	8	24	0	1	3	212	268	269	537	58	275	21	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	116	104	28	2	0	1	11	27	0	3	4	269	339	317	656	48	351	23	9	301	91	-1	-1	+1	-4	+3	-0.3
2012	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	285	260	66	17	1	4	20	50	3	8	2	254	314	373	688	119	298	18	7	308	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	162	152	32	5	2	4	7	42	0	1	0	211	245	349	594	138	264	26	4	258	62	-7	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
2013	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	162	138	42	7	0	7	18	28	3	5	0	304	396	507	903	203	340	17	11	393	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	293	260	65	10	1	5	26	74	5	4	0	250	330	354	684	104	331	25	9	311	97	-1	+1	-0	-3	+6	0.3
2015	29	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	74	69	13	2	1	1	4	19	0	2	1	188	233	290	523	101	245	26	5	232	44	-5	+0	+4	-1	+2	-0.1
2015	29	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	47	44	16	3	0	1	2	5	1	0	0	364	404	500	904	136	395	11	4	403	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	407	359	84	17	1	4	34	85	7	7	2	234	312	320	633	86	294	21	8	287	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	220	200	47	8	1	7	17	59	1	4	3	235	298	390	688	155	296	27	8	305	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	17	15	5	3	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	333	375	533	908	200	385	18	6	374	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	344	304	70	16	1	12	32	74	4	3	2	230	312	408	720	178	262	22	9	318	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	280	241	55	11	2	12	29	70	8	8	3	228	331	440	771	212	269	25	10	341	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	745	677	160	22	4	12	56	190	5	14	7	236	299	334	633	97	311	26	8	286	79	-18	+0	+8	-15	+16	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	22	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	231	209	42	10	3	1	17	83	5	1	0	201	277	292	569	91	321	36	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	260	231	55	8	4	5	18	66	7	11	4	238	312	372	685	134	295	25	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	577	520	137	34	4	11	39	89	8	25	9	263	325	408	732	144	286	15	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	100	93	22	3	0	1	7	28	0	4	2	237	290	301	591	65	333	28	7	267	67	-4	+0	+4	-7	+2	-0.5
2011	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	456	411	126	20	6	10	35	89	2	30	3	307	364	457	821	151	361	20	8	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	116	104	28	2	0	1	11	27	0	3	4	269	339	317	656	48	351	23	9	303	91	-1	-1	+1	-4	+3	-0.3
2012	26	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	285	266	60	13	1	3	14	62	3	8	2	226	272	316	588	90	278	22	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	162	152	32	5	2	4	7	42	0	1	0	211	245	349	594	138	264	26	4	259	62	-7	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
2013	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	162	143	36	6	0	6	13	37	3	5	0	252	327	420	747	168	290	23	8	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	293	260	65	10	1	5	26	74	5	4	0	250	330	354	684	104	331	25	9	312	97	-1	+1	-0	-3	+6	0.3
2015	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	74	69	13	2	1	1	4	19	0	2	1	188	233	290	523	101	245	26	5	234	44	-5	+0	+4	-1	+2	-0.1
2015	29	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	47	45	13	2	0	1	1	7	1	0	0	289	319	400	719	111	337	15	2	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	407	372	73	13	1	3	21	106	7	7	2	196	253	261	513	65	256	26	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	220	204	35	6	1	4	13	76	1	4	3	172	225	270	494	98	242	35	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	—	17	15	4	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	267	312	400	713	133	275	24	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	344	313	60	13	1	10	23	92	4	3	2	192	256	335	591	144	228	27	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	280	250	40	8	1	8	20	95	8	8	3	160	245	296	541	136	213	34	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	231	209	42	10	3	1	17	83	5	1	0	201	277	292	569	91	328	36	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A RAW	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	231	201	50	13	3	1	25	61	5	1	0	249	346	358	705	109	353	26	11	323	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	260	231	55	8	4	5	18	66	7	11	4	238	312	372	685	134	305	25	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	260	220	61	9	5	6	29	49	7	11	4	277	379	445	824	168	325	19	11	364	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	577	520	137	34	4	11	39	89	8	25	9	263	325	408	732	144	293	15	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA RAW	Mobile BayBears	—	577	502	143	34	4	16	57	73	8	25	9	285	367	464	831	179	300	13	10	363	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	669	607	177	28	7	13	51	141	2	35	8	292	348	425	774	133	361	21	8	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	669	591	184	31	9	14	67	115	2	35	8	311	383	465	849	154	367	17	10	373	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	370	88	15	1	4	25	89	3	11	6	238	291	316	608	78	300	22	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	401	364	94	19	1	5	31	77	3	11	6	258	322	357	679	99	312	19	8	306	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	324	295	67	11	2	9	20	79	3	6	0	227	283	369	653	142	280	24	6	285	79	-8	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.0
2013	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	324	290	74	12	2	11	25	70	3	6	0	255	321	424	745	169	301	22	8	326	79	-8	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.0
2014	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	293	260	65	10	1	5	26	74	5	4	0	250	330	354	684	104	331	25	9	312	97	-1	+1	-0	-3	+6	0.3
2014	28	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	293	260	65	10	1	5	26	74	5	4	0	250	330	354	684	104	331	25	9	311	97	-1	+1	-0	-3	+6	0.3
2015	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	121	114	26	4	1	2	5	26	1	2	1	228	267	333	600	105	279	21	4	267	67	-5	+0	+4	-1	+3	0.0
2015	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	121	113	29	5	1	2	6	24	1	2	1	257	300	372	672	115	310	20	5	299	67	-5	+0	+4	-1	+3	0.0
2016	30	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	407	372	73	13	1	3	21	106	7	7	2	196	253	261	513	65	264	26	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	—	407	359	84	17	1	4	34	85	7	7	2	234	312	320	633	86	294	21	8	287	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	237	220	39	8	1	4	13	80	1	4	3	177	226	277	504	100	254	34	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	237	215	52	11	1	7	18	62	1	4	3	242	303	400	703	158	304	26	8	310	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	344	313	60	13	1	10	23	92	4	3	2	192	256	335	591	144	234	27	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	344	304	70	16	1	12	32	74	4	3	2	230	312	408	720	178	262	22	9	318	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	280	250	40	8	1	8	20	95	8	8	3	160	245	296	541	136	216	34	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	280	241	55	11	2	12	29	70	8	8	3	228	331	440	771	212	269	25	10	341	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	231	207	42	10	3	1	17	83	5	1	0	203	277	295	572	92	321	36	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	260	233	55	8	4	5	18	66	7	11	4	236	312	369	682	133	295	25	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	577	525	137	34	4	11	39	89	8	25	9	261	325	404	728	143	286	15	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	669	611	177	28	7	13	51	141	2	35	8	290	348	422	771	133	356	21	8	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	370	88	15	1	4	25	89	3	11	6	238	291	316	608	78	299	22	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	324	298	67	11	2	9	20	79	3	6	0	225	283	366	649	141	277	24	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	293	260	65	10	1	5	26	74	5	4	0	250	330	354	684	104	331	25	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	121	114	26	4	1	2	5	26	1	2	1	228	267	333	600	105	281	21	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	407	376	73	13	1	3	21	106	7	7	2	194	253	258	510	64	256	26	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	237	221	39	8	1	4	13	80	1	4	3	176	226	276	503	100	244	34	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	344	314	60	13	1	10	23	92	4	3	2	191	256	334	590	143	228	27	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	280	250	40	8	1	8	20	95	8	8	3	160	245	296	541	136	213	34	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	745	677	160	22	4	12	56	190	5	14	7	236	299	334	633	97	311	26	8	286	77	-18	+0	+8	-15	+16	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	138	19	3	10	49	166	4	12	6	234	297	327	623	93	308	26	8	286	77	-16	+0	+7	-13	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4144	3761	869	162	27	75	278	1020	54	117	38	231	293	348	642	117	295	25	7	282	77	-18	+0	+8	-15	+16	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	136	25	4	12	44	160	8	18	6	231	293	347	640	117	294	25	7	282	77	-16	+0	+7	-13	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 280 PAwOBA .334 → .242 (−91)K% 25.0% → 33.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.953	×1.290	—	—	33.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.36%	÷0.990	×0.710	—	×0.942	6.99%
HBP% /PA	2.86%	—	×0.980	—	×0.942	2.64%
Singles /BIP	17.54%	÷0.959	×0.900	×0.950	×0.942	14.73%
Doubles /BIP	6.43%	÷0.976	×0.810	×0.950	×0.942	4.78%
Triples /BIP	1.17%	÷1.140	×0.810	×0.950	×0.942	0.74%
Home runs /BIP	7.02%	÷0.962	×0.780	—	×0.942	5.36%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 128, K 91, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .334 → .242; ISO .212 → .147; BABIP .269 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 344 PAwOBA .313 → .256 (−57)K% 21.5% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.51%	÷0.962	×1.200	—	—	26.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.30%	÷0.932	×0.690	—	×0.952	6.56%
HBP% /PA	1.16%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.04%
Singles /BIP	17.83%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.010	×0.952	15.94%
Doubles /BIP	6.96%	÷0.971	×0.830	×1.010	×0.952	5.72%
Triples /BIP	0.43%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.010	×0.952	0.45%
Home runs /BIP	5.22%	÷0.954	×0.840	—	×0.952	4.37%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .313 → .256; ISO .178 → .146; BABIP .262 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 220 PAwOBA .298 → .219 (−79)K% 26.8% → 34.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.82%	÷1.005	×1.290	—	—	34.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.73%	÷0.921	×0.710	—	×0.962	5.73%
HBP% /PA	0.45%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.43%
Singles /BIP	21.99%	÷1.040	×0.900	×1.008	×0.962	18.46%
Doubles /BIP	5.67%	÷0.983	×0.810	×1.008	×0.962	4.53%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.049	×0.810	×1.008	×0.962	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	4.96%	÷1.087	×0.780	—	×0.962	3.43%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 108, 2B 97, 3B 110, K 101, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .298 → .219; ISO .155 → .104; BABIP .296 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKAZL Padres 2 · 17 PAwOBA .387 → .270 (−117)K% 17.6% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	25.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.940	3.43%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	12.85%
Doubles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	16.92%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .387 → .270; ISO .200 → .136; BABIP .385 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAColumbus Clippers · 407 PAwOBA .281 → .228 (−54)K% 20.9% → 26.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.88%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	25.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.35%	÷1.077	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.20%
HBP% /PA	1.72%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.57%
Singles /BIP	22.63%	÷1.018	×0.930	×1.009	×0.972	20.29%
Doubles /BIP	6.20%	÷1.043	×0.830	×1.009	×0.972	4.84%
Triples /BIP	0.36%	÷0.901	×0.970	×1.009	×0.972	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	1.46%	÷1.113	×0.840	—	×0.972	1.07%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .281 → .228; ISO .086 → .067; BABIP .294 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAASalt Lake Bees · 47 PAwOBA .392 → .319 (−72)K% 10.6% → 14.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.64%	÷0.952	×1.290	—	—	14.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.26%	÷1.025	×0.710	—	×0.982	2.90%
HBP% /PA	2.13%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	2.05%
Singles /BIP	30.77%	÷1.012	×0.900	—	×0.982	26.86%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.001	×0.810	—	×0.982	6.11%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.987	×0.810	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.56%	÷0.980	×0.780	—	×0.982	2.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .392 → .319; ISO .136 → .104; BABIP .395 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAASalt Lake Bees · 162 PAwOBA .383 → .311 (−71)K% 17.3% → 23.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.28%	÷0.964	×1.290	—	—	23.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷1.016	×0.710	—	×1.003	7.79%
HBP% /PA	1.85%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	1.82%
Singles /BIP	25.45%	÷0.997	×0.900	×0.971	×1.003	22.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.36%	÷0.977	×0.810	×0.971	×1.003	5.14%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.971	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.36%	÷0.973	×0.780	—	×1.003	5.12%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .383 → .311; ISO .203 → .162; BABIP .340 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASacramento River Cats · 285 PAwOBA .302 → .261 (−41)K% 17.5% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.54%	÷1.034	×1.290	—	—	21.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.02%	÷1.064	×0.710	—	×1.018	4.77%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	1.05%
Singles /BIP	20.95%	÷0.940	×0.900	×1.016	×1.018	20.75%
Doubles /BIP	8.10%	÷1.045	×0.810	×1.016	×1.018	6.49%
Triples /BIP	0.48%	÷1.062	×0.810	×1.016	×1.018	0.38%
Home runs /BIP	1.90%	÷0.925	×0.780	—	×1.018	1.63%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 112, K 107, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .302 → .261; ISO .119 → .096; BABIP .298 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).