Matt Clark
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 29 | AAAVaqueros de l… | 18 | .200/.333/.467 | 1 | 0 | 65 | — | .176/.222/.412 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 516 | .268/.355/.476 | 23 | 0 | 79 | — | .217/.269/.372 |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 369 | .306/.406/.642 | 27 | 0 | 97 | — | .224/.292/.436 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 286 | 250 | 73 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 62 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 292 | 372 | 524 | 896 | 232 | 335 | 22 | 10 | 388 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 287 | 252 | 67 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 353 | 484 | 837 | 218 | 329 | 25 | 11 | 368 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 558 | 499 | 134 | 22 | 1 | 28 | 47 | 146 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 341 | 485 | 826 | 216 | 322 | 26 | 8 | 362 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 51 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 275 | 217 | 492 | 22 | 290 | 29 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 537 | 462 | 135 | 24 | 1 | 23 | 58 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 292 | 371 | 498 | 869 | 206 | 333 | 22 | 11 | 373 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 98 | 79 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 357 | 481 | 838 | 278 | 182 | 18 | 19 | 370 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 511 | 445 | 129 | 26 | 2 | 22 | 57 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 371 | 506 | 877 | 216 | 338 | 22 | 11 | 380 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 88 | 77 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 325 | 402 | 649 | 1.052 | 325 | 380 | 25 | 11 | 447 | 188 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 31 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 241 | 519 | 760 | 333 | 111 | 26 | 6 | 305 | 56 | -2 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 213 | 195 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 16 | 15 | 52 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 313 | 371 | 605 | 976 | 292 | 354 | 24 | 7 | 423 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 255 | 219 | 65 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 386 | 498 | 884 | 201 | 327 | 18 | 10 | 386 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 548 | 478 | 139 | 34 | 1 | 20 | 58 | 106 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 291 | 372 | 492 | 864 | 201 | 331 | 19 | 11 | 376 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 63 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 302 | 218 | 520 | 18 | 256 | 19 | 11 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 467 | 800 | 267 | 182 | 17 | 17 | 353 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 445 | 394 | 109 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 47 | 106 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 277 | 357 | 495 | 852 | 218 | 327 | 24 | 11 | 374 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 71 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 343 | 345 | 688 | 138 | 278 | 30 | 17 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA | Bravos de Leon | — | 339 | 285 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 27 | 44 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 316 | 413 | 681 | 1.093 | 365 | 328 | 22 | 13 | 457 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 200 | 533 | 357 | 37 | 13 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 31 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 241 | 519 | 760 | 333 | 111 | 26 | 6 | 305 | 92 | -0 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +1 | -1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 286 | 258 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 83 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 298 | 415 | 713 | 182 | 285 | 29 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 287 | 262 | 52 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 98 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 266 | 351 | 617 | 153 | 276 | 34 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 558 | 514 | 122 | 19 | 1 | 25 | 32 | 179 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 292 | 424 | 717 | 187 | 305 | 32 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 537 | 480 | 112 | 19 | 1 | 18 | 42 | 160 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 296 | 390 | 686 | 156 | 285 | 30 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 511 | 465 | 105 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 149 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 286 | 376 | 662 | 151 | 285 | 29 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 31 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 172 | 483 | 655 | 310 | 111 | 26 | 0 | 250 | 56 | -2 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 213 | 201 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 9 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 282 | 463 | 744 | 224 | 299 | 33 | 4 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 255 | 228 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 319 | 404 | 722 | 154 | 279 | 21 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 548 | 501 | 107 | 21 | 1 | 17 | 35 | 140 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 270 | 361 | 632 | 148 | 249 | 26 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 412 | 634 | 235 | 156 | 22 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 445 | 414 | 90 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 27 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 269 | 372 | 641 | 155 | 273 | 29 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | Bravos de Leon | — | 339 | 303 | 68 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 292 | 436 | 728 | 211 | 243 | 25 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 573 | 521 | 112 | 26 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 181 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 280 | 382 | 662 | 167 | 285 | 32 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 573 | 502 | 140 | 35 | 3 | 24 | 61 | 134 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 279 | 363 | 504 | 867 | 225 | 332 | 23 | 11 | 378 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 559 | 133 | 21 | 1 | 27 | 35 | 195 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 296 | 424 | 720 | 186 | 311 | 32 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 609 | 545 | 143 | 23 | 1 | 28 | 49 | 161 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 336 | 462 | 798 | 200 | 319 | 26 | 8 | 351 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 635 | 570 | 132 | 22 | 1 | 22 | 50 | 189 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 232 | 295 | 389 | 684 | 158 | 296 | 30 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 635 | 541 | 151 | 28 | 1 | 29 | 77 | 134 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 279 | 369 | 495 | 864 | 216 | 312 | 21 | 12 | 372 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 599 | 546 | 124 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 174 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 286 | 381 | 667 | 154 | 291 | 29 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 599 | 522 | 154 | 33 | 2 | 28 | 67 | 135 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 295 | 376 | 527 | 902 | 232 | 343 | 23 | 11 | 390 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 499 | 457 | 109 | 17 | 0 | 23 | 26 | 132 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 294 | 427 | 721 | 188 | 279 | 26 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 499 | 441 | 131 | 23 | 0 | 29 | 42 | 105 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 371 | 546 | 918 | 249 | 326 | 21 | 8 | 397 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 611 | 559 | 120 | 24 | 1 | 19 | 39 | 156 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 272 | 363 | 635 | 148 | 258 | 26 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 611 | 533 | 150 | 35 | 1 | 20 | 65 | 118 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 281 | 365 | 463 | 828 | 182 | 323 | 19 | 11 | 364 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 412 | 634 | 235 | 167 | 22 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 467 | 800 | 267 | 182 | 17 | 17 | 353 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 480 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 148 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 267 | 369 | 636 | 152 | 274 | 29 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 516 | 452 | 121 | 25 | 0 | 23 | 59 | 127 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 355 | 476 | 830 | 208 | 321 | 25 | 11 | 366 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 369 | 330 | 75 | 19 | 1 | 17 | 28 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 296 | 445 | 741 | 218 | 254 | 25 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 369 | 310 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 27 | 48 | 84 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 306 | 406 | 642 | 1.048 | 335 | 330 | 23 | 13 | 441 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 573 | 521 | 112 | 26 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 181 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 280 | 382 | 662 | 167 | 280 | 32 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 558 | 133 | 21 | 1 | 27 | 35 | 195 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 296 | 425 | 721 | 186 | 305 | 32 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 635 | 579 | 132 | 22 | 1 | 22 | 50 | 189 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 228 | 295 | 383 | 678 | 155 | 285 | 30 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 599 | 549 | 124 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 174 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 286 | 379 | 665 | 153 | 285 | 29 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 499 | 460 | 109 | 17 | 0 | 23 | 26 | 132 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 294 | 424 | 718 | 187 | 277 | 26 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 611 | 562 | 120 | 24 | 1 | 19 | 39 | 156 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 272 | 361 | 633 | 148 | 249 | 26 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 412 | 634 | 235 | 156 | 22 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 478 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 148 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 267 | 370 | 637 | 153 | 273 | 29 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 369 | 334 | 75 | 19 | 1 | 17 | 28 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 225 | 296 | 440 | 736 | 216 | 243 | 25 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 31 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 241 | 519 | 760 | 333 | 111 | 26 | 6 | 305 | 86 | -0 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +1 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 566 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 42 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 242 | 519 | 761 | 334 | 111 | 26 | 6 | 305 | 86 | -6 | +0 | -33 | -187 | +14 | -21.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4429 | 4039 | 912 | 175 | 8 | 164 | 296 | 1271 | 39 | 3 | 5 | 226 | 285 | 395 | 680 | 169 | 281 | 29 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -0 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +1 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 134 | 26 | 1 | 24 | 43 | 187 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 285 | 395 | 680 | 169 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -6 | +0 | -33 | -187 | +14 | -21.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAABravos de Leon · 339 PAwOBA .451 → .316 (−135)K% 21.5% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.53% | ÷1.032 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.09% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.34% | ÷1.037 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 15.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.91% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.125 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.74% | ÷1.227 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 6.84% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 107, 2B 95, 3B 125, K 106, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .451 → .316; ISO .365 → .228; BABIP .328 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAAcereros del Norte · 445 PAwOBA .360 → .281 (−79)K% 23.8% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.82% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.99% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.57% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×0.962 | 19.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.99% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×0.962 | 6.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.109 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.29% | ÷0.969 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 5.07% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 122, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .360 → .281; ISO .218 → .160; BABIP .327 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 18 PAwOBA .324 → .264 (−60)K% 16.7% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 7.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 7.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 6.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.929 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 6.10% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 93, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .324 → .264; ISO .267 → .219; BABIP .182 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 548 PAwOBA .368 → .279 (−89)K% 19.3% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.34% | ÷0.979 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.31% | ÷1.015 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.044 | ×0.900 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | 18.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.14% | ÷1.214 | ×0.810 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | 0.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷0.886 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 4.65% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 109, 2B 143, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .368 → .279; ISO .201 → .155; BABIP .331 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABinghamton Mets · 255 PAwOBA .382 → .309 (−72)K% 17.6% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.75% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 2.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.56% | ÷0.990 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 21.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.05% | ÷1.050 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.75% | ÷1.009 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 4.30% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 107, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .382 → .309; ISO .201 → .155; BABIP .327 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANashville Sounds · 213 PAwOBA .409 → .320 (−89)K% 24.4% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.41% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.57% | ÷1.040 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.17% | ÷0.975 | ×0.900 | ×0.967 | ×0.992 | 22.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.29% | ÷1.051 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×0.992 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.19% | ÷0.875 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 9.90% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .409 → .320; ISO .292 → .231; BABIP .354 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAATucson Padres · 511 PAwOBA .374 → .291 (−83)K% 22.1% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.11% | ÷0.979 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.76% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.80% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | ×0.972 | ×1.018 | 21.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷1.013 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×1.018 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×1.018 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.63% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 5.01% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .374 → .291; ISO .216 → .160; BABIP .338 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAATucson Padres · 537 PAwOBA .372 → .299 (−73)K% 21.6% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.60% | ÷0.935 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.80% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.14% | ÷1.022 | ×0.900 | ×0.969 | ×1.033 | 22.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.001 | ×0.810 | ×0.969 | ×1.033 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.969 | ×1.033 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.65% | ÷0.968 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 5.53% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 87, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .372 → .299; ISO .206 → .164; BABIP .333 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .