Mike Bianucci
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 310 | .264/.336/.513 | 17 | 0 | 93 | — | .222/.279/.424 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 439 | .268/.316/.507 | 25 | 2 | 86 | — | .226/.261/.425 |
| 2015 | 29 | AANorthwest Ark… | 225 | .278/.323/.507 | 12 | 1 | 73 | — | .214/.242/.395 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 218 | 198 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 293 | 510 | 803 | 278 | 265 | 32 | 6 | 344 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 297 | 260 | 86 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 24 | 50 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 331 | 406 | 600 | 1.006 | 269 | 357 | 17 | 8 | 432 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 507 | 462 | 119 | 23 | 2 | 18 | 31 | 114 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 258 | 311 | 433 | 744 | 175 | 302 | 22 | 6 | 324 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 587 | 535 | 130 | 29 | 1 | 30 | 35 | 136 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 304 | 469 | 773 | 226 | 268 | 23 | 6 | 337 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 351 | 325 | 87 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 17 | 79 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 318 | 440 | 758 | 172 | 312 | 23 | 5 | 335 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 18 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 500 | 611 | 1.000 | 1.611 | 500 | 667 | 22 | 17 | 659 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 65 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 308 | 351 | 659 | 123 | 245 | 11 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 221 | 196 | 55 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 356 | 536 | 892 | 255 | 301 | 19 | 10 | 386 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 89 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 284 | 457 | 741 | 235 | 255 | 29 | 7 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 103 | 93 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 330 | 591 | 921 | 333 | 222 | 19 | 10 | 396 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 258 | 241 | 66 | 17 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 311 | 502 | 813 | 228 | 303 | 21 | 4 | 349 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 78 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 312 | 417 | 728 | 153 | 258 | 10 | 4 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 225 | 209 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 323 | 507 | 830 | 230 | 313 | 23 | 6 | 360 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 218 | 202 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 92 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 223 | 386 | 609 | 213 | 218 | 42 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 297 | 270 | 71 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 67 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 263 | 321 | 470 | 791 | 207 | 295 | 23 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 507 | 473 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 162 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 203 | 243 | 340 | 583 | 137 | 259 | 32 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 587 | 548 | 104 | 23 | 1 | 20 | 23 | 167 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 238 | 345 | 583 | 155 | 227 | 28 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 351 | 329 | 75 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 98 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 272 | 374 | 646 | 146 | 283 | 28 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 18 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 500 | 800 | 1.300 | 400 | 458 | 33 | 11 | 432 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 221 | 203 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 279 | 424 | 702 | 202 | 245 | 26 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 103 | 96 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 252 | 427 | 680 | 229 | 191 | 25 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 258 | 245 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 264 | 424 | 688 | 188 | 265 | 24 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 225 | 215 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 242 | 395 | 638 | 181 | 247 | 28 | 3 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 472 | 106 | 22 | 2 | 24 | 24 | 160 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 225 | 280 | 432 | 712 | 208 | 278 | 31 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 515 | 458 | 132 | 29 | 3 | 30 | 38 | 119 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 288 | 358 | 561 | 919 | 273 | 323 | 23 | 7 | 395 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 507 | 473 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 162 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 203 | 243 | 340 | 583 | 137 | 270 | 32 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ RAW | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 507 | 462 | 119 | 23 | 2 | 18 | 31 | 114 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 258 | 311 | 433 | 744 | 175 | 302 | 22 | 6 | 324 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 587 | 548 | 104 | 23 | 1 | 20 | 23 | 167 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 238 | 345 | 583 | 155 | 230 | 28 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 587 | 535 | 130 | 29 | 1 | 30 | 35 | 136 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 304 | 469 | 773 | 226 | 268 | 23 | 6 | 337 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 434 | 405 | 94 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 122 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 280 | 385 | 665 | 153 | 293 | 28 | 4 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 434 | 396 | 107 | 22 | 0 | 16 | 25 | 90 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 329 | 447 | 776 | 177 | 312 | 21 | 6 | 343 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 310 | 285 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 19 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 274 | 418 | 691 | 200 | 247 | 26 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 310 | 277 | 73 | 18 | 0 | 17 | 27 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 264 | 336 | 513 | 848 | 249 | 289 | 22 | 9 | 367 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 439 | 413 | 93 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 17 | 105 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225 | 263 | 419 | 682 | 194 | 249 | 24 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 439 | 406 | 109 | 20 | 1 | 25 | 24 | 83 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 268 | 316 | 507 | 823 | 239 | 277 | 19 | 5 | 355 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 225 | 215 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 242 | 395 | 638 | 181 | 248 | 28 | 3 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 225 | 209 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 323 | 507 | 830 | 230 | 313 | 23 | 6 | 360 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 474 | 106 | 22 | 2 | 24 | 24 | 160 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 224 | 280 | 430 | 710 | 207 | 262 | 31 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 507 | 477 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 162 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 201 | 243 | 338 | 580 | 136 | 259 | 32 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 587 | 547 | 104 | 23 | 1 | 20 | 23 | 167 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 238 | 346 | 584 | 155 | 227 | 28 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 434 | 404 | 94 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 122 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 280 | 386 | 666 | 153 | 292 | 28 | 4 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 310 | 285 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 19 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 274 | 418 | 691 | 200 | 245 | 26 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 439 | 415 | 93 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 17 | 105 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 263 | 417 | 680 | 193 | 244 | 24 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 225 | 215 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 242 | 395 | 638 | 181 | 247 | 28 | 3 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3017 | 2811 | 601 | 120 | 6 | 118 | 127 | 858 | 47 | 19 | 11 | 214 | 260 | 387 | 646 | 173 | 259 | 28 | 4 | 278 | 74 | -93 | -1 | +0 | -18 | +65 | -4.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 129 | 26 | 1 | 25 | 27 | 185 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 213 | 258 | 383 | 641 | 170 | 259 | 28 | 4 | 278 | 74 | -20 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 225 PAwOBA .351 → .276 (−75)K% 23.1% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.11% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.33% | ÷1.072 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 3.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.958 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.66% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.958 | 17.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.64% | ÷1.024 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.958 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.64% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 6.63% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 110, K 105, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .351 → .276; ISO .230 → .189; BABIP .313 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAArkansas Travelers · 258 PAwOBA .344 → .290 (−54)K% 21.3% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.32% | ÷1.106 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.26% | ÷1.012 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 2.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.968 | 17.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.14% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | ×0.988 | ×0.968 | 7.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.988 | ×0.968 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.986 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 5.07% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 121, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .344 → .290; ISO .228 → .184; BABIP .303 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAAcereros del Norte · 103 PAwOBA .385 → .289 (−96)K% 19.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.42% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.81% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 16.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 1.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.70% | ÷0.952 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 9.99% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .385 → .289; ISO .333 → .237; BABIP .222 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARound Rock Express · 221 PAwOBA .376 → .300 (−76)K% 19.5% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.46% | ÷0.978 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.60% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.95% | ÷1.056 | ×0.900 | ×0.982 | ×1.003 | 15.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.15% | ÷1.009 | ×0.810 | ×0.982 | ×1.003 | 7.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.982 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.84% | ÷0.915 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 6.71% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .376 → .300; ISO .255 → .207; BABIP .301 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAARound Rock Express · 351 PAwOBA .327 → .280 (−47)K% 22.5% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.51% | ÷1.046 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.84% | ÷0.963 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.98% | ÷0.997 | ×0.900 | ×0.998 | ×1.018 | 22.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.69% | ÷0.925 | ×0.810 | ×0.998 | ×1.018 | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.998 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.69% | ÷0.883 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 5.12% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 99, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 109, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .327 → .280; ISO .172 → .147; BABIP .312 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKAZL Rangers · 18 PAwOBA .641 → .432 (−209)K% 22.2% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 9.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 15.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 27.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 7.33% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .641 → .432; ISO .500 → .344; BABIP .667 → .458. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 587 PAwOBA .328 → .254 (−75)K% 23.2% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.17% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.62% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.54% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 15.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷0.968 | ×0.840 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.25% | ÷1.067 | ×0.940 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.52% | ÷1.132 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.30% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 113, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .328 → .254; ISO .226 → .161; BABIP .268 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 507 PAwOBA .318 → .248 (−69)K% 22.5% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.49% | ÷0.945 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.11% | ÷1.080 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.84% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 19.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.61% | ÷1.051 | ×0.820 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.17% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 4.75% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 89, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .318 → .248; ISO .175 → .140; BABIP .302 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .