Leandro Castro

PosRF

B/TR/R

Born1989-06-15

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2020	31	INTLYaquis de Obr…	190	.237/.298/.468	11	1	112	—
2021	32	INTLYaquis de Obr…	150	.221/.262/.300	1	1	57	—
2022	33	INTLLeones del Es…	23	.182/.217/.182	0	0	14	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	18	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	262	223	62	3	5	6	26	39	6	24	9	278	369	417	786	139	306	15	10	345	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	168	161	48	9	1	3	4	25	1	9	4	298	319	422	742	124	336	15	2	325	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	74	66	10	4	0	0	5	15	2	2	1	152	233	212	445	61	192	20	7	210	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	556	502	129	27	9	10	34	92	5	22	13	257	311	406	717	149	291	17	6	310	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	243	231	64	11	3	10	5	33	4	10	2	277	304	481	785	203	287	14	2	339	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA	Reading Phillies	—	511	478	137	35	1	10	17	70	7	13	9	287	321	427	747	140	313	14	3	326	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	54	48	15	1	0	0	5	7	0	6	0	312	377	333	711	21	357	13	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	458	438	112	23	1	8	15	77	0	20	7	256	280	368	648	112	294	17	3	285	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	83	72	20	5	0	0	7	14	1	3	2	278	350	347	697	69	333	17	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	470	425	110	20	4	6	27	70	5	7	7	259	311	367	678	108	294	15	6	297	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	27	24	3	1	0	0	1	5	2	0	0	125	222	167	389	42	158	19	4	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	237	216	75	14	2	4	13	35	3	10	2	347	392	486	878	139	399	15	5	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA	Bravos de Leon	—	435	394	101	20	2	19	29	55	5	12	9	256	315	462	777	206	252	13	7	337	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	103	93	22	2	0	1	7	15	3	5	1	237	311	290	601	54	273	15	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	283	241	73	15	2	13	36	42	1	12	2	303	396	544	939	241	316	15	13	404	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	473	429	155	30	4	27	38	65	5	11	7	361	419	639	1.057	277	380	14	8	458	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	285	260	69	13	1	12	22	52	1	6	1	265	324	462	785	196	289	18	8	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	190	173	41	7	0	11	12	27	3	1	2	237	298	468	766	231	219	14	6	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	150	140	31	6	1	1	5	27	3	1	2	221	262	300	562	79	265	18	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	23	22	4	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	182	217	182	399		250	26	0	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	262	231	42	2	3	3	18	48	6	24	9	182	259	255	514	74	198	18	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	168	162	37	6	1	2	3	36	1	9	4	228	247	315	562	86	270	21	2	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	74	68	9	3	0	0	3	20	2	2	1	132	192	176	368	44	183	27	4	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	556	516	117	23	7	10	20	123	5	22	13	227	262	357	619	130	265	22	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	243	232	53	10	2	7	4	47	4	10	2	228	254	379	633	151	253	19	2	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA MLE	Reading Phillies	—	511	482	125	27	1	6	13	89	7	13	9	259	289	357	646	98	292	17	3	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	458	443	106	20	1	8	10	94	0	20	7	239	256	343	599	104	280	21	2	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	470	432	104	17	4	6	20	80	5	7	7	241	282	340	623	100	270	17	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA MLE	Bravos de Leon	—	435	405	86	17	2	14	18	70	5	12	9	212	255	368	623	156	213	16	4	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	473	442	128	22	4	18	26	70	5	11	7	290	336	480	816	190	309	15	5	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	262	231	42	2	3	3	18	48	6	24	9	182	259	255	514	74	211	18	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	—	262	223	62	3	5	6	26	39	6	24	9	278	369	417	786	139	306	15	10	345	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	168	162	37	6	1	2	3	36	1	9	4	228	247	315	562	86	280	21	2	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	—	168	161	48	9	1	3	4	25	1	9	4	298	319	422	742	124	336	15	2	325	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	74	68	9	3	0	0	3	20	2	2	1	132	192	176	368	44	184	27	4	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	74	66	10	4	0	0	5	15	2	2	1	152	233	212	445	61	192	20	7	210	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	556	516	117	23	7	10	20	123	5	22	13	227	262	357	619	130	273	22	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	556	502	129	27	9	10	34	92	5	22	13	257	311	406	717	149	291	17	6	310	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	243	232	53	10	2	7	4	47	4	10	2	228	254	379	633	151	258	19	2	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+ RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	243	231	64	11	3	10	5	33	4	10	2	277	304	481	785	203	287	14	2	339	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	565	534	137	29	1	7	14	98	7	19	9	257	285	354	639	97	297	17	2	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	565	526	152	36	1	10	22	77	7	19	9	289	326	418	744	129	317	14	4	326	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	541	520	123	23	1	9	12	111	1	23	9	237	255	337	592	100	283	21	2	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	541	510	132	28	1	8	22	91	1	23	9	259	291	365	656	106	300	17	4	289	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	497	456	110	18	4	6	21	84	7	7	7	241	285	338	623	96	280	17	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	497	449	113	21	4	6	28	75	7	7	7	252	306	356	662	105	287	15	6	291	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	237	216	75	14	2	4	13	35	3	10	2	347	392	486	878	139	399	15	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	237	216	75	14	2	4	13	35	3	10	2	347	392	486	878	139	399	15	5	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	501	105	21	2	17	22	87	8	17	10	210	254	361	616	152	218	16	4	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	538	487	123	22	2	20	36	70	8	17	10	253	315	429	744	177	256	13	7	326	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	283	241	73	15	2	13	36	42	1	12	2	303	396	544	939	241	316	15	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	283	241	73	15	2	13	36	42	1	12	2	303	396	544	939	241	316	15	13	404	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	758	710	205	36	6	29	41	112	6	17	8	289	333	479	812	190	309	15	5	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	758	689	224	43	5	39	60	117	6	17	8	325	383	572	955	247	346	15	8	415	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	190	173	41	7	0	11	12	27	3	1	2	237	298	468	766	231	219	14	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	190	173	41	7	0	11	12	27	3	1	2	237	298	468	766	231	219	14	6	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	150	140	31	6	1	1	5	27	3	1	2	221	262	300	562	79	265	18	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	150	140	31	6	1	1	5	27	3	1	2	221	262	300	562	79	265	18	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	INTL MLE	Leones del Escogido	—	23	22	4	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	182	217	182	399		250	26	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	INTL RAW	Leones del Escogido	—	23	22	4	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	182	217	182	399		250	26	0	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	262	236	42	2	3	3	18	48	6	24	9	178	259	250	509	72	198	18	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	168	162	37	6	1	2	3	36	1	9	4	228	247	315	562	86	270	21	2	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	74	69	9	3	0	0	3	20	2	2	1	130	192	174	366	43	183	27	4	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	556	526	117	23	7	10	20	123	5	22	13	222	262	350	612	127	265	22	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	243	233	53	10	2	7	4	47	4	10	2	227	254	378	632	150	253	19	2	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	565	539	137	29	1	7	14	98	7	19	9	254	285	351	635	96	292	17	2	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	541	523	123	23	1	9	12	111	1	23	9	235	255	335	590	99	280	21	2	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	497	466	110	18	4	6	21	84	7	7	7	236	285	330	616	94	270	17	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	503	105	21	2	17	22	87	8	17	10	209	254	360	614	151	213	16	4	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	758	705	205	36	6	29	41	112	6	17	8	291	333	482	815	191	309	15	5	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	5085	4722	1162	213	32	119	224	903	58	174	80	246	289	380	669	134	278	18	4	228	41	-360	+3	+0	-54	+110	-30.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	148	27	4	15	29	115	7	22	10	245	287	377	665	132	277	18	4	228	41	-46	+0	+0	-7	+14	-3.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAToros de Tijuana · 473 PAwOBA .445 → .348 (−97)K% 13.7% → 14.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.74%	÷1.111	×1.200	—	—	14.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.03%	÷1.007	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.35%
HBP% /PA	1.06%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.97%
Singles /BIP	25.82%	÷0.989	×0.930	×0.950	×0.972	22.42%
Doubles /BIP	8.24%	÷1.051	×0.830	×0.950	×0.972	6.01%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷0.993	×0.920	×0.950	×0.972	0.94%
Home runs /BIP	7.42%	÷1.023	×0.700	—	×0.972	4.93%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 99, K 122, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .445 → .348; ISO .277 → .197; BABIP .380 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAABravos de Leon · 435 PAwOBA .329 → .266 (−63)K% 12.6% → 16.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.64%	÷0.942	×1.200	—	—	16.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.75%	÷0.968	×0.690	—	×0.992	4.06%
HBP% /PA	1.15%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.07%
Singles /BIP	17.70%	÷1.036	×0.930	×0.978	×0.992	15.42%
Doubles /BIP	5.90%	÷0.960	×0.830	×0.978	×0.992	4.95%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.978	×0.992	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	5.60%	÷0.981	×0.700	—	×0.992	3.97%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 88, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .329 → .266; ISO .206 → .155; BABIP .252 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 470 PAwOBA .292 → .267 (−25)K% 14.9% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.89%	÷1.050	×1.200	—	—	17.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.74%	÷0.970	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.22%
HBP% /PA	1.06%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.03%
Singles /BIP	22.54%	÷1.006	×0.930	×0.984	×1.033	21.18%
Doubles /BIP	5.63%	÷0.999	×0.830	×0.984	×1.033	4.76%
Triples /BIP	1.13%	÷1.136	×0.970	×0.984	×1.033	0.98%
Home runs /BIP	1.69%	÷0.922	×0.840	—	×1.033	1.59%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 127, K 110, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .292 → .267; ISO .108 → .099; BABIP .294 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 458 PAwOBA .277 → .254 (−23)K% 16.8% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.81%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	20.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.06%	÷1.001	×0.690	—	×1.048	2.21%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.16%	÷0.994	×0.930	×0.996	×1.048	21.63%
Doubles /BIP	6.37%	÷0.991	×0.830	×0.996	×1.048	5.57%
Triples /BIP	0.28%	÷1.116	×0.970	×0.996	×1.048	0.25%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷0.891	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.19%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 123, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .277 → .254; ISO .112 → .102; BABIP .294 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAReading Phillies · 511 PAwOBA .322 → .279 (−43)K% 13.7% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.70%	÷0.963	×1.220	—	—	17.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.33%	÷0.947	×0.700	—	×1.027	2.53%
HBP% /PA	1.37%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	1.20%
Singles /BIP	22.30%	÷0.960	×0.970	×0.972	×1.027	22.49%
Doubles /BIP	8.58%	÷1.117	×0.860	×0.972	×1.027	6.60%
Triples /BIP	0.25%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.972	×1.027	0.26%
Home runs /BIP	2.45%	÷1.289	×0.780	—	×1.027	1.52%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 92, 2B 123, 3B 80, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .322 → .279; ISO .140 → .099; BABIP .313 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Clearwater Threshers · 243 PAwOBA .329 → .266 (−63)K% 13.6% → 19.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.58%	÷0.997	×1.420	—	—	19.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.06%	÷1.009	×0.750	—	×1.012	1.55%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.930	—	×1.012	1.55%
Singles /BIP	20.20%	÷1.024	×0.920	×0.975	×1.012	17.90%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.007	×0.960	×0.975	×1.012	5.23%
Triples /BIP	1.52%	÷0.945	×0.810	×0.975	×1.012	1.28%
Home runs /BIP	5.05%	÷1.245	×0.880	—	×1.012	3.61%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 89, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .329 → .266; ISO .203 → .152; BABIP .287 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 ALakewood BlueClaws · 556 PAwOBA .304 → .267 (−38)K% 16.5% → 22.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.55%	÷1.003	×1.340	—	—	22.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.40%	÷1.001	×0.660	—	×1.015	3.61%
HBP% /PA	0.90%	—	×0.770	—	×1.015	0.70%
Singles /BIP	20.24%	÷0.981	×0.920	×0.981	×1.015	18.90%
Doubles /BIP	6.59%	÷0.936	×0.820	×0.981	×1.015	5.74%
Triples /BIP	2.20%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.981	×1.015	1.79%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷0.862	×0.820	—	×1.015	2.36%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .304 → .267; ISO .149 → .134; BABIP .291 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 ALakewood BlueClaws · 74 PAwOBA .208 → .175 (−33)K% 20.3% → 27.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.27%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	27.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.76%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.030	4.59%
HBP% /PA	2.70%	—	×0.770	—	×1.030	2.14%
Singles /BIP	11.76%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.030	11.71%
Doubles /BIP	7.84%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.030	6.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.050	×1.030	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.030	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .208 → .175; ISO .061 → .052; BABIP .192 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .