Gustavo Nunez

PosSS

B/TS/R

Born1988-02-08

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	36	INTLDominican Rep…	181	.212/.274/.261	2	14	53	—
2025	37	INTLDominican Rep…	235	.290/.358/.362	2	21	106	—
2026	38	INTLTigres del Li…	32	.345/.406/.552	0	4	168	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	19	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	291	243	69	10	3	0	32	45	3	9	7	284	374	350	724	66	343	15	11	319	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	164	147	36	4	0	0	11	29	2	1	3	245	306	272	578	27	303	18	7	264	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	ROK	GCL Tigers	—	43	40	8	3	0	0	2	6	0	1	1	200	238	275	513	75	229	14	5	227	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	514	464	146	16	10	5	25	62	11	45	25	315	364	425	789	110	351	12	5	344	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	ROK	GCL Tigers	—	24	21	4	0	0	1	1	5	1	3	0	190	261	333	594	143	200	21	4	260	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	572	523	116	13	6	2	21	93	9	33	8	222	264	281	545	59	265	16	4	241	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	131	121	26	3	0	2	5	27	1	4	3	215	252	289	541	74	261	21	4	238	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	294	260	79	10	7	3	25	40	2	14	10	304	369	431	800	127	349	14	9	349	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	24	22	5	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	1	227	292	273	564	45	278	17	8	262	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	18	17	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	294	333	353	686	59	357	17	6	311	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	16	13	4	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	308	438	308	745		364	12	19	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	202	186	36	4	0	0	12	45	0	6	5	194	242	215	457	22	255	22	6	210	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	51	44	11	1	0	0	6	14	0	0	2	250	340	273	613	23	367	27	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	338	306	92	10	3	2	24	57	1	10	6	301	353	373	726	72	364	17	7	323	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	154	144	40	10	1	3	4	33	0	7	2	278	297	424	721	146	336	21	3	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	381	340	94	10	1	2	23	52	3	19	10	276	328	329	657	53	319	14	6	289	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	137	120	29	3	0	1	14	20	0	4	3	242	321	292	613	50	283	15	10	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	391	348	97	12	3	2	36	51	3	14	12	279	351	348	699	69	320	13	9	317	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	154	132	30	4	0	0	16	15	0	4	2	227	311	258	568	30	256	10	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	280	259	68	11	2	1	16	40	0	9	5	263	305	332	638	69	303	14	6	284	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	168	147	45	4	2	0	12	23	0	10	3	306	358	361	719	54	357	14	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	108	96	21	2	0	0	7	20	1	7	3	219	279	240	518	21	276	19	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	111	105	23	1	1	0	4	19	0	4	1	219	248	248	495	29	264	17	4	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	68	60	16	2	0	0	7	10	0	4	1	267	343	300	643	33	320	15	10	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	108	97	29	2	0	0	6	16	0	12	1	299	340	320	659	21	349	15	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	186	168	48	5	1	0	17	14	0	6	7	286	351	327	679	42	310	8	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	153	131	40	5	0	1	17	26	1	3	2	305	389	366	756	61	371	17	11	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	36	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	181	165	35	2	0	2	14	31	0	14	2	212	274	261	534	48	248	17	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	37	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	235	210	61	9	0	2	21	42	1	21	3	290	358	362	720	71	351	18	9	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	38	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	32	29	10	2	2	0	3	6	0	4	0	345	406	552	958	207	435	19	9	416	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers	—	291	253	52	7	2	0	22	55	3	9	7	206	277	249	526	43	239	19	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	164	149	35	4	0	0	9	41	2	1	3	235	287	262	549	27	306	25	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	ROK MLE	GCL Tigers	—	43	41	6	2	0	0	1	9	0	1	1	146	167	195	362	49	178	21	2	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	514	472	137	14	9	4	17	84	11	45	25	290	330	383	713	93	329	16	3	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	ROK MLE	GCL Tigers	—	24	21	3	0	0	1	1	7	1	3	0	143	217	286	503	143	159	29	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	572	528	103	12	4	2	16	137	9	33	8	195	231	244	476	49	247	24	3	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	131	122	26	3	0	1	4	34	1	4	3	213	244	262	506	49	264	26	3	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	294	267	74	10	5	3	18	60	2	14	10	277	328	386	713	109	333	20	6	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	24	22	5	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	1	227	292	273	564	45	255	21	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	18	17	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	235	278	294	572	59	324	22	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	202	190	36	4	0	0	8	53	0	6	5	189	222	211	433	21	251	26	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	338	315	86	9	3	2	15	71	1	10	6	273	308	340	648	67	338	21	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	381	349	91	9	1	2	14	64	3	19	10	261	295	309	605	49	296	17	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	391	360	92	11	3	1	24	62	3	14	12	256	307	311	619	56	299	16	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	280	265	67	9	2	1	10	47	0	9	5	253	280	313	593	60	290	17	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers	—	291	253	52	7	2	0	22	55	3	9	7	206	277	249	526	43	259	19	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers	—	291	243	69	10	3	0	32	45	3	9	7	284	374	350	724	66	343	15	11	319	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	207	190	41	6	0	0	10	50	2	2	4	216	262	247	510	32	289	24	5	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	207	187	44	7	0	0	13	35	2	2	4	235	292	273	565	37	286	17	6	256	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	538	493	140	14	9	5	18	91	12	48	25	284	325	379	704	95	336	17	3	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	538	485	150	16	10	6	26	67	12	48	25	309	359	421	780	111	345	12	5	340	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	572	528	103	12	4	2	16	137	9	33	8	195	231	244	476	49	258	24	3	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	572	523	116	13	6	2	21	93	9	33	8	222	264	281	545	59	265	16	4	241	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	425	390	99	13	5	4	21	94	3	18	13	254	297	344	641	90	324	22	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	425	381	105	13	7	5	30	67	3	18	13	276	333	386	719	110	323	16	7	315	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	58	55	12	2	0	0	3	13	0	1	1	218	259	255	513	36	286	22	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	58	52	14	2	0	0	6	9	0	1	1	269	345	308	653	38	326	16	10	304	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	253	238	45	5	0	0	10	67	0	6	7	189	222	210	432	21	263	26	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	253	230	47	5	0	0	18	59	0	6	7	204	262	226	488	22	275	23	7	225	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	456	126	14	4	3	22	104	1	17	8	276	311	344	655	68	350	21	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	492	450	132	20	4	5	28	90	1	17	8	293	336	389	725	96	356	18	6	317	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	518	478	124	12	1	3	19	87	3	23	13	259	292	308	600	48	310	17	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	518	460	123	13	1	3	37	72	3	23	13	267	326	320	646	52	310	14	7	287	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	545	499	128	15	4	2	33	87	3	18	14	257	307	315	621	58	306	16	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA RAW	2 teams	—	545	480	127	16	3	2	52	66	3	18	14	265	340	323	663	58	302	12	10	301	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AA MLE	2 teams	—	448	418	106	15	3	1	16	75	0	19	8	254	281	311	592	57	303	17	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AA RAW	2 teams	—	448	406	113	15	4	1	28	63	0	19	8	278	325	342	667	64	323	14	6	294	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	108	96	21	2	0	0	7	20	1	7	3	219	279	240	518	21	276	19	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	108	96	21	2	0	0	7	20	1	7	3	219	279	240	518	21	276	19	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	111	105	23	1	1	0	4	19	0	4	1	219	248	248	495	29	264	17	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	111	105	23	1	1	0	4	19	0	4	1	219	248	248	495	29	264	17	4	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	INTL MLE	Estrellas Orientales	—	68	60	16	2	0	0	7	10	0	4	1	267	343	300	643	33	320	15	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	INTL RAW	Estrellas Orientales	—	68	60	16	2	0	0	7	10	0	4	1	267	343	300	643	33	320	15	10	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	108	97	29	2	0	0	6	16	0	12	1	299	340	320	659	21	349	15	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	108	97	29	2	0	0	6	16	0	12	1	299	340	320	659	21	349	15	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	186	168	48	5	1	0	17	14	0	6	7	286	351	327	679	42	310	8	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	186	168	48	5	1	0	17	14	0	6	7	286	351	327	679	42	310	8	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	153	131	40	5	0	1	17	26	1	3	2	305	389	366	756	61	371	17	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	153	131	40	5	0	1	17	26	1	3	2	305	389	366	756	61	371	17	11	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	36	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	181	165	35	2	0	2	14	31	0	14	2	212	274	261	534	48	248	17	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	36	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	181	165	35	2	0	2	14	31	0	14	2	212	274	261	534	48	248	17	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	37	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	235	210	61	9	0	2	21	42	1	21	3	290	358	362	720	71	351	18	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	37	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	235	210	61	9	0	2	21	42	1	21	3	290	358	362	720	71	351	18	9	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	38	INTL MLE	Tigres del Licey	—	32	29	10	2	2	0	3	6	0	4	0	345	406	552	958	207	435	19	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	38	INTL RAW	Tigres del Licey	—	32	29	10	2	2	0	3	6	0	4	0	345	406	552	958	207	435	19	9	416	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers	—	291	264	52	7	2	0	22	55	3	9	7	197	277	239	516	42	239	19	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	207	193	41	6	0	0	10	50	2	2	4	212	262	244	506	31	279	24	5	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	538	503	140	14	9	5	18	91	12	48	25	278	325	372	697	93	321	17	3	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	572	542	103	12	4	2	16	137	9	33	8	190	231	238	469	48	247	24	3	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	425	398	99	13	5	4	21	94	3	18	13	249	297	337	634	88	312	22	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	58	55	12	2	0	0	3	13	0	1	1	218	259	255	513	36	285	22	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	253	241	45	5	0	0	10	67	0	6	7	187	222	207	429	21	251	26	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	466	126	14	4	3	22	104	1	17	8	270	311	337	648	67	338	21	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	518	491	124	12	1	3	19	87	3	23	13	253	292	299	591	47	296	17	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	545	504	128	15	4	2	33	87	3	18	14	254	307	312	618	58	299	16	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AA MLE	2 teams	—	448	429	106	15	3	1	16	75	0	19	8	247	281	303	584	56	290	17	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	5529	5059	1259	145	36	25	286	1044	39	269	128	249	294	307	601	58	307	19	5	200	22	-516	+3	+0	+59	+120	-34.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	148	17	4	3	34	123	5	32	15	249	295	306	601	57	307	19	5	200	22	-61	+0	+0	+7	+14	-4.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 280 PAwOBA .278 → .254 (−24)K% 14.3% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷1.046	×1.220	—	—	16.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.36%	÷0.986	×0.700	—	×0.958	3.65%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.66%	÷0.971	×0.970	×1.038	×0.958	24.51%
Doubles /BIP	5.02%	÷1.056	×0.860	×1.038	×0.958	4.07%
Triples /BIP	0.91%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.038	×0.958	0.75%
Home runs /BIP	0.46%	÷1.365	×0.780	—	×0.958	0.25%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .278 → .254; ISO .069 → .054; BABIP .303 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAErie SeaWolves · 391 PAwOBA .311 → .274 (−38)K% 13.0% → 15.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.04%	÷0.998	×1.220	—	—	15.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.21%	÷1.027	×0.700	—	×0.968	6.07%
HBP% /PA	0.77%	—	×0.850	—	×0.968	0.63%
Singles /BIP	26.94%	÷1.045	×0.970	×1.050	×0.968	25.42%
Doubles /BIP	4.04%	÷0.973	×0.860	×1.050	×0.968	3.63%
Triples /BIP	1.01%	÷1.127	×0.950	×1.050	×0.968	0.87%
Home runs /BIP	0.67%	÷1.095	×0.780	—	×0.968	0.46%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 125, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .311 → .274; ISO .069 → .059; BABIP .320 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 381 PAwOBA .282 → .259 (−23)K% 13.6% → 16.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.65%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	16.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.77%	÷1.077	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.71%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.74%
Singles /BIP	28.12%	÷1.044	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	26.39%
Doubles /BIP	3.47%	÷1.050	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	2.89%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷1.041	×0.970	×1.050	×1.003	0.34%
Home runs /BIP	0.69%	÷0.847	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.69%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 108, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .282 → .259; ISO .053 → .050; BABIP .319 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAMississippi Braves · 338 PAwOBA .314 → .279 (−35)K% 16.9% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.86%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	21.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.10%	÷1.056	×0.680	—	×0.988	4.52%
HBP% /PA	0.30%	—	×0.840	—	×0.988	0.25%
Singles /BIP	30.92%	÷1.030	×0.920	×1.050	×0.988	28.66%
Doubles /BIP	4.02%	÷1.015	×0.910	×1.050	×0.988	3.74%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷1.004	×0.880	×1.050	×0.988	1.10%
Home runs /BIP	0.80%	÷0.813	×0.800	—	×0.988	0.78%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 106, 2B 103, 3B 101, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .314 → .279; ISO .072 → .068; BABIP .364 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 202 PAwOBA .205 → .188 (−17)K% 22.3% → 26.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.28%	÷1.011	×1.200	—	—	26.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.94%	÷1.041	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.07%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.70%	÷1.016	×0.930	×1.050	×1.033	22.53%
Doubles /BIP	2.84%	÷0.994	×0.830	×1.050	×1.033	2.57%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.050	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.883	×0.840	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .205 → .188; ISO .022 → .019; BABIP .255 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAltoona Curve · 24 PAwOBA .256 → .218 (−38)K% 16.7% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.979	×1.220	—	—	20.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷0.943	×0.700	—	×1.012	6.26%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷1.018	×0.970	—	×1.012	21.43%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.173	×0.860	—	×1.012	4.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.026	×0.950	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.042	×0.780	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 135, 3B 105, K 96, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .256 → .218; ISO .045 → .033; BABIP .278 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Bradenton Marauders · 18 PAwOBA .303 → .248 (−55)K% 16.7% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.962	×1.420	—	—	24.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.56%	÷1.167	×0.750	—	×0.988	3.53%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.022	×0.920	—	×0.988	25.42%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.969	×0.960	—	×0.988	6.99%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.074	×0.810	—	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.385	×0.880	—	×0.988	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 115, K 92, BB 133 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .303 → .248; ISO .059 → .053; BABIP .357 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 294 PAwOBA .341 → .302 (−40)K% 13.6% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.61%	÷0.947	×1.420	—	—	20.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.50%	÷1.062	×0.750	—	×0.998	5.99%
HBP% /PA	0.68%	—	×0.930	—	×0.998	0.63%
Singles /BIP	26.82%	÷0.999	×0.920	×1.050	×0.998	25.89%
Doubles /BIP	4.55%	÷0.955	×0.960	×1.050	×0.998	4.79%
Triples /BIP	3.18%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.050	×0.998	2.35%
Home runs /BIP	1.36%	÷0.962	×0.880	—	×0.998	1.24%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .341 → .302; ISO .127 → .109; BABIP .349 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .