Jean Segura

PosSS
B/TR/R
Born1990-03-17
Age (2027)37
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTLLAST SEASON 2024
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202232AAAPHI36.200/.333/.2000225—.156/.250/.156
202232MLBPHI387.277/.337/.38710131031.6
202333MLBMIA326.219/.277/.2793662-0.9
202434AAA/INTL2 orgs240.252/.309/.3352974—.113/.203/.151
202535No MLB games played
202636No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.7
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023
xwOBA48
Speed47
Bat Spd37
Avg EV29
Barrel%24

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200717 ROKDSL Angels — 253219 71522 22283 226 324392393785 68363 119 346 52 — — — — — —
200818 ROKAZL Angels — 4336 9000 651 10 250372250622 290 1214 304 41 — — — — — —
200919 AAASalt Lake Bees — 1919 8200 040 00 421421526947 105533 210 421 120 — — — — — —
200919 ROKOrem Owlz — 177162 561043 11112 113 346394512907 167356 66 395 92 — — — — — —
201020 ACedar Rapids Kernels — 581515 161241210 45722 5010 313370464834 151342 128 358 103 — — — — — —
201121 A+Inland Empire 66ers — 202185 52943 15261 186 281338422760 141312 137 337 80 — — — — — —
201121 ROKAZL Angels — 3030 11401 030 00 367367600967 233385 100 422 86 — — — — — —
201121 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 10596 29620 7180 53 302350406756 104367 177 332 111 — — — — — —
201222 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 166151 39430 13230 71 258317325642 66302 148 289 76 -5 +1 -3 +8 +4 0.5
201222 AAHuntsville Stars — 451404 1231357 27619 3713 304361413775 109341 146 340 91 — — — — — —
201222 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 164148 48522 10163 113 324379426805 101354 106 355 127 — — — — — —
201323 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 623588 173201012 25846 4413 294330423753 129326 134 333 112 +9 +4 +10 +7 +13 4.4
201424 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 557513 1261465 28704 209 246290326615 80275 135 273 68 -21 +0 +3 +6 +12 0.1
201525 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 584560 1441656 13936 256 257282336617 79298 162 275 72 -19 +3 +4 +6 +13 0.7
201626 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 694637 20341720 3910112 3310 319369499868 181353 156 380 135 +29 +3 +10 +2 +15 6.0
201727 MLBSeattle Mariners — 566524 15730211 34836 228 300349427776 128339 156 346 120 +14 +1 +4 +6 +12 3.8
201828 MLBSeattle Mariners — 632586 17829310 32694 2011 304344415759 111327 115 334 113 +10 -0 +5 +7 +14 3.5
201929 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 618576 16137412 30738 102 280324420744 141302 125 329 107 +5 +1 -2 +7 +13 2.5
202030 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 217192 51527 23451 22 266347422769 156314 2111 343 111 +3 -0 +4 +1 +5 1.3
202131 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 567514 14927314 39789 93 290351436786 146317 147 348 117 +12 +1 +7 +2 +12 3.4
202232 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 387354 989010 25587 136 277337387724 110307 156 327 103 +2 +0 +4 +2 +8 1.6
202232 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 3630 6000 660 20 200333200533 250 1717 267 25 — — — — — —
202333 MLBMiami Marlins — 326301 66523 22472 62 219277279556 60251 147 256 62 -15 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.9
202434 AAANorfolk Tides — 6051 7300 6132 11 137254196450 59179 2210 219 2 — — — — — —
202434 INTLLeones del Escogido — 180167 48902 6284 81 287328377705 90331 163 313 98 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 59375496 154523747110 32382465 21173 281328401730 120313 145 324 105 +38 +13 +44 +55 +129 28.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200717 ROK MLEDSL Angels — 253226 52311 16343 226 230290265555 35256 136 245 52 — — — — — —
200818 ROK MLEAZL Angels — 4338 8000 471 10 211302211513 243 169 229 41 — — — — — —
200919 AAA MLESalt Lake Bees — 1919 7200 050 00 368368474842 105491 260 345 120 — — — — — —
200919 ROK MLEOrem Owlz — 177167 45732 6162 113 269303383686 114287 93 304 92 — — — — — —
201020 A MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 581533 15722109 271032 5010 295331424755 129331 185 321 103 — — — — — —
201121 A+ MLEInland Empire 66ers — 202191 48833 9361 186 251289372660 120289 184 287 80 — — — — — —
201121 ROK MLEAZL Angels — 3030 9301 040 00 300300500800 200293 130 296 86 — — — — — —
201222 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 166154 39430 10230 71 253299318617 65302 146 280 76 -5 +1 -3 +8 +4 0.5
201222 AA MLEHuntsville Stars — 451414 1181445 17819 3713 285327374702 89329 184 303 91 — — — — — —
201323 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 623589 174211011 24846 4413 295330421751 126326 134 334 112 +9 +4 +10 +7 +13 4.4
201424 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 557518 1281565 23704 209 247284328613 81275 134 269 68 -21 +0 +3 +6 +12 0.1
201525 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 584562 1461756 11936 256 260282340621 80298 162 275 72 -19 +3 +4 +6 +13 0.7
201626 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 694638 19737620 3810112 3310 309359480839 171353 155 368 135 +29 +3 +10 +2 +15 6.0
201727 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 566528 15830211 31836 228 299345426771 127339 155 346 120 +14 +1 +4 +6 +12 3.8
201828 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 632588 17929310 30694 2011 304342415757 111327 115 335 113 +10 -0 +5 +7 +14 3.5
201929 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 618577 16038411 29738 102 277321414735 137302 125 327 107 +5 +1 -2 +7 +13 2.5
202030 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 217194 51527 21451 22 263338418755 155314 2110 332 111 +3 -0 +4 +1 +5 1.3
202131 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 567517 14828313 36789 93 286343427771 141317 146 342 117 +12 +1 +7 +2 +12 3.4
202232 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 387355 97909 24587 136 273332375706 101307 156 321 103 +2 +0 +4 +2 +8 1.6
202232 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 3632 5000 470 20 156250156406 220 1911 205 25 — — — — — —
202333 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 326302 67523 21472 62 222277281558 60251 146 260 62 -15 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.9
202434 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 6053 6200 4152 11 113203151354 38147 257 171 2 — — — — — —
200717 ROK MLEDSL Angels — 253226 52311 16343 226 230290265555 35266 136 245 52 — — — — — —
200717 ROK RAWDSL Angels — 253219 71522 22283 226 324392393785 68363 119 346 52 — — — — — —
200818 ROK MLEAZL Angels — 4338 8000 471 10 211302211513 258 169 229 41 — — — — — —
200818 ROK RAWAZL Angels — 4336 9000 651 10 250372250622 290 1214 304 41 — — — — — —
200919 ROK MLE2 teams — 196186 52932 6212 113 280309392702 113305 113 308 95 — — — — — —
200919 ROK RAW2 teams — 196181 641243 11152 113 354397514911 160372 86 398 95 — — — — — —
201020 A MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 581533 15722109 271032 5010 295331424755 129345 185 321 103 — — — — — —
201020 A RAWCedar Rapids Kernels — 581515 161241210 45722 5010 313370464834 151342 128 358 103 — — — — — —
201121 A+ MLE3 teams — 337319 801545 14591 239 251284370654 119292 184 288 81 — — — — — —
201121 A+ RAW3 teams — 337311 921964 22471 239 296344434778 138336 147 343 81 — — — — — —
201222 AA MLE3 teams — 781719 1992396 3413112 5517 277320359679 82329 174 297 87 — — — — — —
201222 AA RAW3 teams — 781703 21022109 5010012 5517 299356397752 98336 136 333 87 — — — — — —
201323 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 623589 174211011 24846 4413 295330421751 126329 134 334 112 +9 +4 +10 +7 +13 4.4
201323 MLB RAWMilwaukee Brewers — 623588 173201012 25846 4413 294330423753 129326 134 333 112 +9 +4 +10 +7 +13 4.4
201424 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 557518 1281565 23704 209 247284328613 81276 134 269 68 -21 +0 +3 +6 +12 0.1
201424 MLB RAWMilwaukee Brewers — 557513 1261465 28704 209 246290326615 80275 135 273 68 -21 +0 +3 +6 +12 0.1
201525 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 584562 1461756 11936 256 260282340621 80301 162 275 72 -19 +3 +4 +6 +13 0.7
201525 MLB RAWMilwaukee Brewers — 584560 1441656 13936 256 257282336617 79298 162 275 72 -19 +3 +4 +6 +13 0.7
201626 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 694638 19737620 3810112 3310 309359480839 171341 155 368 135 +29 +3 +10 +2 +15 6.0
201626 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 694637 20341720 3910112 3310 319369499868 181353 156 380 135 +29 +3 +10 +2 +15 6.0
201727 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 566528 15830211 31836 228 299345426771 127338 155 346 120 +14 +1 +4 +6 +12 3.8
201727 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 566524 15730211 34836 228 300349427776 128339 156 346 120 +14 +1 +4 +6 +12 3.8
201828 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 632588 17929310 30694 2011 304342415757 111328 115 335 113 +10 -0 +5 +7 +14 3.5
201828 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 632586 17829310 32694 2011 304344415759 111327 115 334 113 +10 -0 +5 +7 +14 3.5
201929 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 618577 16038411 29738 102 277321414735 137300 125 327 107 +5 +1 -2 +7 +13 2.5
201929 MLB RAWPhiladelphia Phillies — 618576 16137412 30738 102 280324420744 141302 125 329 107 +5 +1 -2 +7 +13 2.5
202030 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 217194 51527 21451 22 263338418755 155310 2110 332 111 +3 -0 +4 +1 +5 1.3
202030 MLB RAWPhiladelphia Phillies — 217192 51527 23451 22 266347422769 156314 2111 343 111 +3 -0 +4 +1 +5 1.3
202131 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 567517 14828313 36789 93 286343427771 141314 146 342 117 +12 +1 +7 +2 +12 3.4
202131 MLB RAWPhiladelphia Phillies — 567514 14927314 39789 93 290351436786 146317 147 348 117 +12 +1 +7 +2 +12 3.4
202232 MLB MLE2 teams — 423387 102909 28657 156 264325357681 93296 157 311 97 -2 +1 +4 +2 +9 1.3
202232 MLB RAW2 teams — 423384 1049010 31647 156 271336372709 102302 157 322 97 -2 +1 +4 +2 +9 1.3
202333 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 326302 67523 21472 62 222277281558 60254 146 260 62 -15 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.9
202333 MLB RAWMiami Marlins — 326301 66523 22472 62 219277279556 60251 147 256 62 -15 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.9
202434 INTL MLE2 teams — 240214 24900 16586 92 112195154349 42151 247 171 2 — — — — — —
202434 INTL RAW2 teams — 240218 551202 12416 92 252309335644 83298 175 289 2 — — — — — —
200717 ROK MLEDSL Angels — 253232 52311 16343 226 224290259548 34256 136 245 52 — — — — — —
200818 ROK MLEAZL Angels — 4338 8000 471 10 211302211513 243 169 229 41 — — — — — —
200919 ROK MLE2 teams — 196186 52932 6212 113 280309392702 113307 113 308 95 — — — — — —
201020 A MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 581547 15722109 271032 5010 287331413744 126331 185 321 103 — — — — — —
201121 A+ MLE3 teams — 337319 801545 14591 239 251284370654 119290 184 288 81 — — — — — —
201222 AA MLE3 teams — 781729 1992396 3413112 5517 273320354674 81322 174 297 87 — — — — — —
201323 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 623588 174211011 24846 4413 296330422751 126326 134 334 112 — — — — — —
201424 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 557525 1281565 23704 209 244284324608 80275 134 269 68 — — — — — —
201525 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 584562 1461756 11936 256 260282340621 80298 162 275 72 — — — — — —
201626 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 694639 19737620 3810112 3310 308359479838 171353 155 368 135 — — — — — —
201727 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 566524 15830211 31836 228 302345429775 128339 155 346 120 — — — — — —
201828 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 632593 17929310 30694 2011 302342411754 110327 115 335 113 — — — — — —
201929 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 618576 16038411 29738 102 278321415736 137302 125 327 107 — — — — — —
202030 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 217193 51527 21451 22 264338420758 155314 2110 332 111 — — — — — —
202131 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 567517 14828313 36789 93 286343427771 141317 146 342 117 — — — — — —
202232 MLB MLE2 teams — 423385 102909 28657 156 265325358683 94299 157 311 97 — — — — — —
202333 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 326300 67523 21472 62 223277283560 60251 146 260 62 — — — — — —
202434 INTL MLE2 teams — 240216 24900 16586 92 111195153348 42147 247 171 2 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202434 INTL MLE2 teams — 240216 24900 16586 92 111195153348 42147 247 171 2 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 59375496 154523747110 32382465 21173 281328401730 120313 145 324 96 +38 +13 +44 +55 +129 28.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650602 16926512 35907 238 281328400728 120312 145 324 96 +4 +1 +5 +6 +14 3.1
Career— MLE — 82387635 208231570129 409122192 377119 273317383700 110309 155 310 96 +38 +13 +44 +55 +129 28.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650602 16525610 32967 309 274318385703 111311 155 310 96 +4 +1 +5 +6 +14 3.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAANorfolk Tides · 60 PAwOBA .218 → .171 (−46)K% 21.7% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.67%÷1.070×1.200——24.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷0.987×0.690—×0.9406.57%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.940—×0.9402.95%
Singles /BIP10.53%÷0.962×0.930×0.958×0.9409.16%
Doubles /BIP7.89%÷1.006×0.830×0.958×0.9405.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×0.958×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.996×0.700—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 92, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 114, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .218 → .171; ISO .059 → .046; BABIP .179 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 36 PAwOBA .262 → .205 (−57)K% 16.7% → 20.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.970×1.200——20.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷1.067×0.690—×0.95210.26%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9520.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.007×0.930—×0.95221.99%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.018×0.830—×0.9520.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×0.9520.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.039×0.700—×0.9520.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .262 → .205; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAHuntsville Stars · 451 PAwOBA .332 → .303 (−29)K% 13.5% → 17.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.53%÷0.924×1.220——17.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.32%÷1.009×0.680—×1.0423.74%
HBP% /PA2.00%—×0.840—×1.0421.75%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.038×0.920×1.043×1.04227.51%
Doubles /BIP3.79%÷0.915×0.910×1.043×1.0424.09%
Triples /BIP1.46%÷1.150×0.880×1.043×1.0421.21%
Home runs /BIP2.04%÷1.277×0.800—×1.0421.33%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 108, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 85, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .332 → .303; ISO .109 → .090; BABIP .341 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 202 PAwOBA .324 → .287 (−37)K% 12.9% → 17.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.87%÷0.962×1.340——17.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.94%÷0.924×0.710—×1.0274.69%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.790—×1.0270.40%
Singles /BIP22.64%÷0.991×0.910×1.027×1.02721.92%
Doubles /BIP5.66%÷1.007×0.820×1.027×1.0274.86%
Triples /BIP2.52%÷1.129×0.760×1.027×1.0271.79%
Home runs /BIP1.89%÷0.932×0.920—×1.0271.91%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 92, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .324 → .287; ISO .141 → .119; BABIP .312 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 ROKAZL Angels · 30 PAwOBA .409 → .296 (−113)K% 10.0% → 14.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.00%÷1.000×1.440——14.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9850.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.000×0.820—×0.98517.95%
Doubles /BIP14.81%÷1.000×0.720—×0.98510.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9852.85%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .409 → .296; ISO .233 → .163; BABIP .385 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 581 PAwOBA .352 → .321 (−31)K% 12.4% → 17.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.39%÷0.952×1.360——17.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.23%÷1.093×0.690—×1.0304.70%
HBP% /PA0.34%—×0.780—×1.0300.28%
Singles /BIP25.96%÷0.994×0.920×1.044×1.03025.84%
Doubles /BIP5.42%÷0.994×0.830×1.044×1.0304.87%
Triples /BIP2.71%÷1.150×0.910×1.044×1.0302.31%
Home runs /BIP2.26%÷0.964×0.800—×1.0301.93%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .352 → .321; ISO .151 → .133; BABIP .342 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 ROKOrem Owlz · 177 PAwOBA .385 → .304 (−81)K% 6.2% → 8.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA6.21%÷1.000×1.440——8.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.65%÷1.000×0.610—×1.0083.47%
HBP% /PA1.13%—×0.720—×1.0080.82%
Singles /BIP25.83%÷1.000×0.820×1.015×1.00821.66%
Doubles /BIP6.62%÷1.000×0.720×1.015×1.0084.88%
Triples /BIP2.65%÷1.000×0.720×1.015×1.0081.95%
Home runs /BIP1.99%÷1.000×0.750—×1.0081.50%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .385 → .304; ISO .167 → .126; BABIP .356 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAASalt Lake Bees · 19 PAwOBA .409 → .345 (−64)K% 21.1% → 27.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷1.000×1.290——27.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0500.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷1.000×0.900—×1.05037.80%
Doubles /BIP13.33%÷1.000×0.810—×1.05011.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.810—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .409 → .345; ISO .105 → .083; BABIP .533 → .491. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .