Kalian Sams
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 25 | AAJackson Gener… | 282 | .242/.307/.445 | 11 | 13 | 54 | — | .193/.239/.345 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 335 | .228/.341/.481 | 19 | 10 | 79 | — | .186/.262/.367 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAADelfines de C… | 29 | .269/.345/.385 | 0 | 0 | 45 | — | .185/.241/.259 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 20 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 174 | 156 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 205 | 287 | 353 | 640 | 147 | 354 | 42 | 9 | 290 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK | Pulaski Mariners | — | 122 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 204 | 295 | 528 | 823 | 324 | 235 | 39 | 9 | 356 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 62 | 56 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 230 | 339 | 569 | 179 | 267 | 40 | 8 | 248 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 302 | 266 | 48 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 132 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 180 | 268 | 414 | 682 | 233 | 270 | 44 | 8 | 298 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 63 | 60 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 238 | 583 | 821 | 383 | 214 | 41 | 5 | 347 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 357 | 321 | 76 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 102 | 2 | 25 | 4 | 237 | 304 | 464 | 768 | 227 | 283 | 29 | 8 | 333 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 282 | 256 | 62 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 81 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 242 | 307 | 445 | 752 | 203 | 309 | 29 | 8 | 329 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 57 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 263 | 260 | 523 | 100 | 250 | 37 | 12 | 247 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 188 | 157 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 28 | 44 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 268 | 385 | 586 | 971 | 318 | 280 | 23 | 15 | 418 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 90 | 78 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 192 | 300 | 410 | 710 | 218 | 275 | 38 | 12 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 345 | 385 | 729 | 115 | 538 | 45 | 10 | 330 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 174 | 161 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 99 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 124 | 190 | 199 | 388 | 75 | 316 | 57 | 6 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 122 | 112 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 197 | 321 | 518 | 196 | 169 | 55 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 62 | 58 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 148 | 224 | 372 | 121 | 232 | 55 | 5 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 302 | 275 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 182 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 105 | 174 | 240 | 414 | 135 | 213 | 60 | 5 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 63 | 61 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 131 | 159 | 393 | 552 | 262 | 156 | 56 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 357 | 333 | 60 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 134 | 2 | 25 | 4 | 180 | 224 | 354 | 579 | 174 | 235 | 38 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 282 | 264 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 102 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 193 | 239 | 345 | 584 | 152 | 266 | 36 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 57 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 193 | 192 | 385 | 77 | 217 | 51 | 9 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 188 | 169 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 55 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 207 | 283 | 420 | 704 | 213 | 236 | 29 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 241 | 259 | 501 | 74 | 451 | 52 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 174 | 161 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 99 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 124 | 190 | 199 | 388 | 75 | 300 | 57 | 6 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 174 | 156 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 205 | 287 | 353 | 640 | 147 | 354 | 42 | 9 | 290 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 122 | 112 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 197 | 321 | 518 | 196 | 205 | 55 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Mariners | — | 122 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 204 | 295 | 528 | 823 | 324 | 235 | 39 | 9 | 356 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 62 | 58 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 148 | 224 | 372 | 121 | 217 | 55 | 5 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 62 | 56 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 230 | 339 | 569 | 179 | 267 | 40 | 8 | 248 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 302 | 275 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 182 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 105 | 174 | 240 | 414 | 135 | 230 | 60 | 5 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 302 | 266 | 48 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 132 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 180 | 268 | 414 | 682 | 233 | 270 | 44 | 8 | 298 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 420 | 394 | 67 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 169 | 2 | 26 | 5 | 170 | 212 | 353 | 565 | 183 | 232 | 40 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 420 | 381 | 88 | 16 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 128 | 2 | 26 | 5 | 231 | 294 | 483 | 777 | 252 | 275 | 30 | 8 | 335 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 282 | 264 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 102 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 193 | 239 | 345 | 584 | 152 | 273 | 36 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 282 | 256 | 62 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 81 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 242 | 307 | 445 | 752 | 203 | 309 | 29 | 8 | 329 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 335 | 303 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 28 | 114 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 185 | 260 | 366 | 627 | 182 | 234 | 34 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 335 | 285 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 19 | 46 | 99 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 228 | 341 | 481 | 822 | 253 | 274 | 30 | 14 | 361 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 241 | 259 | 501 | 74 | 417 | 52 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 345 | 385 | 729 | 115 | 538 | 45 | 10 | 330 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 174 | 159 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 99 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 126 | 190 | 201 | 391 | 75 | 316 | 57 | 6 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 122 | 111 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 126 | 197 | 324 | 521 | 198 | 169 | 55 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 62 | 59 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 148 | 220 | 368 | 119 | 232 | 55 | 5 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 302 | 276 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 182 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 105 | 174 | 239 | 414 | 134 | 213 | 60 | 5 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 420 | 396 | 67 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 169 | 2 | 26 | 5 | 169 | 212 | 351 | 563 | 182 | 223 | 40 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 282 | 264 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 102 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 193 | 239 | 345 | 584 | 152 | 266 | 36 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 335 | 301 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 28 | 114 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 186 | 260 | 369 | 629 | 183 | 232 | 34 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 241 | 259 | 501 | 74 | 451 | 52 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1726 | 1594 | 248 | 45 | 11 | 60 | 99 | 782 | 20 | 56 | 13 | 156 | 214 | 311 | 525 | 155 | 247 | 45 | 6 | 227 | 40 | -123 | +6 | +0 | -18 | +37 | -10.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 94 | 17 | 4 | 23 | 37 | 294 | 8 | 21 | 5 | 157 | 216 | 313 | 529 | 157 | 248 | 45 | 6 | 227 | 40 | -46 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 29 PAwOBA .322 → .235 (−86)K% 44.8% → 52.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.83% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 52.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 27.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 17.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 106, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .322 → .235; ISO .115 → .079; BABIP .538 → .451. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 188 PAwOBA .407 → .306 (−101)K% 23.4% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.40% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.36% | ÷1.162 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 8.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.70% | ÷0.933 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×0.978 | 16.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | ×0.959 | ×0.978 | 5.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.940 | ×0.959 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.39% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 8.70% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 87, 2B 107, 3B 97, K 97, BB 132 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .407 → .306; ISO .318 → .232; BABIP .280 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAATucson Padres · 57 PAwOBA .241 → .166 (−75)K% 36.8% → 50.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.84% | ÷0.933 | ×1.290 | — | — | 50.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.28% | ÷1.045 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 8.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷1.023 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 15.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.963 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.901 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 87, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .241 → .166; ISO .100 → .069; BABIP .250 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAJackson Generals · 282 PAwOBA .320 → .248 (−72)K% 28.7% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.72% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.80% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.57% | ÷0.943 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 19.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.29% | ÷1.228 | ×0.910 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 1.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.29% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.19% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 89, 2B 146, 3B 130, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .320 → .248; ISO .203 → .151; BABIP .309 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AClinton LumberKings · 357 PAwOBA .325 → .245 (−80)K% 28.6% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.036 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.56% | ÷1.062 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.18% | ÷1.054 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×0.970 | 16.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.94% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×0.970 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×0.970 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.22% | ÷0.958 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 6.66% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 111, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 107, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .325 → .245; ISO .227 → .175; BABIP .283 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+High Desert Mavericks · 63 PAwOBA .336 → .211 (−125)K% 41.3% → 55.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.27% | ÷0.994 | ×1.340 | — | — | 55.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷1.044 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 3.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.077 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 4.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.121 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.069 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.978 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.044 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 15.20% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 115, 2B 124, 3B 114, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .336 → .211; ISO .383 → .242; BABIP .214 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AClinton LumberKings · 302 PAwOBA .291 → .182 (−109)K% 43.7% → 60.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.71% | ÷0.988 | ×1.360 | — | — | 60.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.62% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 4.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.65% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.18% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 12.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.21% | ÷1.037 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.24% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 1.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.19% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 9.54% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .291 → .182; ISO .233 → .142; BABIP .270 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AClinton LumberKings · 62 PAwOBA .241 → .164 (−77)K% 40.3% → 54.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 54.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 8.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 7.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 5.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .241 → .164; ISO .179 → .120; BABIP .267 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .