Marwin Gonzalez

PosSS
B/TS/R
Born1989-03-14
Age (2027)38
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
MLBLAST SEASON 2022
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202031MLBMIN199.211/.292/.32050730.3
202132MLBHOU307.199/.275/.3045364-0.4
202233MLBNYY207.185/.257/.32163580.2
202334No MLB games played
202435No MLB games played
202536No MLB games played
202637No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022
Avg EV39
xwOBA35
Speed27
Barrel%26

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200617 ROKDSL Cubs — 163154 35714 8330 13 227265364629 136265 205 278 0 — — — — — —
200718 ROKAZL Cubs — 6959 17331 9101 12 288391492883 203333 1413 389 80 — — — — — —
200819 APeoria Chiefs — 122116 26700 3150 11 224244284528 60252 122 232 32 — — — — — —
200920 A+Daytona Cubs — 461424 1021542 26772 98 241288309597 68289 176 266 49 — — — — — —
201021 AATennessee Smokies — 330305 751134 17401 64 246288341629 95268 125 277 55 — — — — — —
201021 A+Daytona Cubs — 9685 23300 7131 71 271333306639 35315 147 287 63 — — — — — —
201021 INTLLeones del Caracas — 250210 681212 33310 32 324416419835 95369 1213 369 136 — — — — — —
201122 AAAIowa Cubs — 226197 541212 16211 31 274332376707 102292 97 303 79 — — — — — —
201122 AATennessee Smokies — 239216 651812 17273 42 301360421781 120335 117 346 97 — — — — — —
201122 INTLLeones del Caracas — 183168 49700 12241 32 292343333676 42338 137 307 94 — — — — — —
201223 MLBHouston Astros — 219205 481302 13290 33 234280327607 93264 136 273 68 -8 -1 +3 +4 +5 0.3
201223 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks — 4339 13401 371 00 333395513908 179387 167 402 116 — — — — — —
201223 INTLLeones del Caracas — 7261 11300 782 31 180286230515 49204 1110 242 50 — — — — — —
201324 MLBHouston Astros — 222204 45804 9370 62 221254319572 98250 174 247 52 -13 +0 +0 +5 +5 -0.2
201324 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks — 183172 451011 8230 41 262294349643 87295 134 284 53 — — — — — —
201324 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 9174 22000 1391 11 297409297706 333 1014 327 107 — — — — — —
201425 MLBHouston Astros — 310285 791516 17584 24 277327400727 123330 195 322 102 +1 -1 -1 +3 +7 0.9
201526 MLBHouston Astros — 370344 9618112 16743 45 279317442759 163326 204 329 107 +3 -1 -1 +4 +8 1.3
201627 MLBHouston Astros — 518484 12326313 221185 126 254294401694 147311 234 304 89 -7 +0 +3 -10 +11 -0.2
201627 INTLTigres de Aragua — 5446 8000 6100 00 174269174443 222 1911 212 29 — — — — — —
201728 MLBHouston Astros — 515455 13834023 49996 83 303378530908 226343 1910 395 148 +29 +0 +0 -6 +11 3.6
201829 MLBHouston Astros — 552489 12125316 531263 23 247325409734 162301 2310 324 102 +1 -1 -1 -6 +12 0.6
201930 MLBMinnesota Twins — 463425 11219015 31986 10 264323414737 151310 217 329 106 +4 +0 +4 -5 +10 1.3
202031 MLBMinnesota Twins — 199175 37405 17413 00 211292320612 109241 219 276 73 -6 +0 +4 +1 +4 0.3
202132 MLBHouston Astros — 307276 551405 20789 32 199275304580 105258 257 266 64 -13 -0 +2 +1 +7 -0.4
202132 AAASugar Land Skeeters — 1513 4101 230 00 3084006151.015 308333 2013 438 110 — — — — — —
202233 MLBNew York Yankees — 207184 34706 14544 30 185257321578 136222 267 257 58 -10 +1 +5 +2 +4 0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 38823526 8881838107 26181243 4428 252311399711 147298 217 314 99 -7 -2 +20 -6 +84 9.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200617 ROK MLEDSL Cubs — 163156 23412 6400 13 147179224403 77176 254 168 0 — — — — — —
200718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 6962 14221 6141 12 226304371675 145274 209 287 80 — — — — — —
200819 A MLEPeoria Chiefs — 122117 25600 2200 11 214227265492 51248 162 216 32 — — — — — —
200920 A+ MLEDaytona Cubs — 461430 971532 201092 98 226263288552 63291 244 241 49 — — — — — —
201021 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 330312 731033 10511 64 234260314574 80258 153 249 55 — — — — — —
201021 A+ MLEDaytona Cubs — 9686 22300 6181 71 256312291603 35303 196 262 63 — — — — — —
201122 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 226203 551112 10281 31 271308365673 94281 124 285 79 — — — — — —
201122 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 239223 641812 10353 42 287326404730 117321 154 311 97 — — — — — —
201223 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 219205 471202 13290 33 229275317592 88264 136 269 68 -8 -1 +3 +4 +5 0.3
201223 AAA MLEOklahoma City RedHawks — 4341 12401 191 00 293326463789 171356 212 339 116 — — — — — —
201324 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 222204 45804 9370 62 221254319572 98250 174 244 52 -13 +0 +0 +5 +5 -0.2
201324 AAA MLEOklahoma City RedHawks — 183175 41811 5320 41 234256309564 74278 173 247 53 — — — — — —
201425 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 310285 781416 17584 24 274324393717 119330 195 319 102 +1 -1 -1 +3 +7 0.9
201526 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 370344 9517112 16743 45 276314436750 160326 204 327 107 +3 -1 -1 +4 +8 1.3
201627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 518485 12225313 211185 126 252290396686 144311 234 300 89 -7 +0 +3 -10 +11 -0.2
201728 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 515459 13732024 45996 83 298369525894 227343 199 387 148 +29 +0 +0 -6 +11 3.6
201829 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 552492 12024316 501263 23 244317402720 159301 239 318 102 +1 -1 -1 -6 +12 0.6
201930 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 463427 11219015 29986 10 262318412730 150310 216 325 106 +4 +0 +4 -5 +10 1.3
202031 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 199175 37405 17413 00 211292320612 109241 219 276 73 -6 +0 +4 +1 +4 0.3
202132 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 307276 541305 20789 32 196272297569 101258 257 263 64 -13 -0 +2 +1 +7 -0.4
202132 AAA MLESugar Land Skeeters — 1514 4101 140 00 286333571905 286278 277 331 110 — — — — — —
202233 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 207184 34706 14544 30 185257321578 136222 267 254 58 -10 +1 +5 +2 +4 0.2
200617 ROK MLEDSL Cubs — 163156 23412 6400 13 147179224403 77184 254 168 0 — — — — — —
200617 ROK RAWDSL Cubs — 163154 35714 8330 13 227265364629 136265 205 278 0 — — — — — —
200718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 6962 14221 6141 12 226304371675 145277 209 287 80 — — — — — —
200718 ROK RAWAZL Cubs — 6959 17331 9101 12 288391492883 203333 1413 389 80 — — — — — —
200819 A MLEPeoria Chiefs — 122117 25600 2200 11 214227265492 51253 162 216 32 — — — — — —
200819 A RAWPeoria Chiefs — 122116 26700 3150 11 224244284528 60252 122 232 32 — — — — — —
200920 A+ MLEDaytona Cubs — 461430 971532 201092 98 226263288552 63297 244 241 49 — — — — — —
200920 A+ RAWDaytona Cubs — 461424 1021542 26772 98 241288309597 68289 176 266 49 — — — — — —
201021 AA MLE3 teams — 676632 1502045 251102 167 237269305574 68277 164 252 57 — — — — — —
201021 AA RAW3 teams — 676600 1662646 57842 167 277341363705 87309 128 312 57 — — — — — —
201122 AA MLE3 teams — 648598 1644025 28875 105 274312373685 99311 134 298 88 — — — — — —
201122 AA RAW3 teams — 648581 1683724 45725 105 289345380726 91321 117 320 88 — — — — — —
201223 MLB MLE3 teams — 334310 752004 18483 64 242290345635 103274 145 280 76 -10 -0 +3 +4 +7 0.4
201223 MLB RAW3 teams — 334305 722003 23443 64 236296331627 95266 137 283 76 -10 -0 +3 +4 +7 0.4
201324 MLB MLE3 teams — 496463 1062016 17841 114 229258315573 86266 173 246 52 -28 +1 +0 +5 +11 -1.1
201324 MLB RAW3 teams — 496450 1121815 30691 114 249297327624 78282 146 275 52 -28 +1 +0 +5 +11 -1.1
201425 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 310285 781416 17584 24 274324393717 119326 195 319 102 +1 -1 -1 +3 +7 0.9
201425 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 310285 791516 17584 24 277327400727 123330 195 322 102 +1 -1 -1 +3 +7 0.9
201526 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 370344 9517112 16743 45 276314436750 160322 204 327 107 +3 -1 -1 +4 +8 1.3
201526 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 370344 9618112 16743 45 279317442759 163326 204 329 107 +3 -1 -1 +4 +8 1.3
201627 MLB MLE2 teams — 572535 13427315 231305 126 250288396684 146304 234 300 89 -7 +0 +3 -10 +12 -0.2
201627 MLB RAW2 teams — 572530 13126313 281285 126 247291381672 134303 225 296 89 -7 +0 +3 -10 +12 -0.2
201728 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 515459 13732024 45996 83 298369525894 227334 199 387 148 +29 +0 +0 -6 +11 3.6
201728 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 515455 13834023 49996 83 303378530908 226343 1910 395 148 +29 +0 +0 -6 +11 3.6
201829 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 552492 12024316 501263 23 244317402720 159295 239 318 102 +1 -1 -1 -6 +12 0.6
201829 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 552489 12125316 531263 23 247325409734 162301 2310 324 102 +1 -1 -1 -6 +12 0.6
201930 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 463427 11219015 29986 10 262318412730 150308 216 325 106 +4 +0 +4 -5 +10 1.3
201930 MLB RAWMinnesota Twins — 463425 11219015 31986 10 264323414737 151310 217 329 106 +4 +0 +4 -5 +10 1.3
202031 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 199175 37405 17413 00 211292320612 109241 219 276 73 -6 +0 +4 +1 +4 0.3
202031 MLB RAWMinnesota Twins — 199175 37405 17413 00 211292320612 109241 219 276 73 -6 +0 +4 +1 +4 0.3
202132 MLB MLE2 teams — 322290 581406 21829 32 200275310585 110256 257 266 66 -13 -0 +2 +1 +7 -0.3
202132 MLB RAW2 teams — 322289 591506 22819 32 204281318600 114261 257 274 66 -13 -0 +2 +1 +7 -0.3
202233 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 207184 34706 14544 30 185257321578 136222 267 254 58 -10 +1 +5 +2 +4 0.2
202233 MLB RAWNew York Yankees — 207184 34706 14544 30 185257321578 136222 267 257 58 -10 +1 +5 +2 +4 0.2
200617 ROK MLEDSL Cubs — 163156 23412 6400 13 147179224403 77176 254 168 0 — — — — — —
200718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 6962 14221 6141 12 226304371675 145274 209 287 80 — — — — — —
200819 A MLEPeoria Chiefs — 122119 25600 2200 11 210227261487 50248 162 216 32 — — — — — —
200920 A+ MLEDaytona Cubs — 461436 971532 201092 98 222263284548 62291 244 241 49 — — — — — —
201021 AA MLE3 teams — 676644 1502045 251102 167 233269300568 67268 164 252 57 — — — — — —
201122 AA MLE3 teams — 648610 1644025 28875 105 269312366678 97302 134 298 88 — — — — — —
201223 MLB MLE3 teams — 334310 752004 18483 64 242290345635 103279 145 280 76 — — — — — —
201324 MLB MLE3 teams — 496475 1062016 17841 114 223258307565 84263 173 246 52 — — — — — —
201425 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 310286 781416 17584 24 273324392715 119330 195 319 102 — — — — — —
201526 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 370348 9517112 16743 45 273314431745 158326 204 327 107 — — — — — —
201627 MLB MLE2 teams — 572539 13427315 231305 126 249288393681 145311 234 300 89 — — — — — —
201728 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 515459 13732024 45996 83 298369525894 227343 199 387 148 — — — — — —
201829 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 552494 12024316 501263 23 243317401718 158301 239 318 102 — — — — — —
201930 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 463425 11219015 29986 10 264318414732 151310 216 325 106 — — — — — —
202031 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 199177 37405 17413 00 209292316609 107241 219 276 73 — — — — — —
202132 MLB MLE2 teams — 322289 581406 21829 32 201275311586 111259 257 266 66 — — — — — —
202233 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 207187 34706 14544 30 182257316573 134222 267 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 38823526 8881838107 26181243 4428 252311399711 147298 217 314 82 -7 -2 +20 -6 +84 9.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 14931118 441367 75 253312400712 147299 217 314 82 -1 -0 +3 -1 +14 1.5
Career— MLE — 64795959 145928521130 354127457 9057 245294365659 120290 205 289 82 -7 -2 +20 -6 +84 9.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650598 14729213 361286 96 246296366662 120291 206 289 82 -1 -0 +3 -1 +14 1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAASugar Land Skeeters · 15 PAwOBA .426 → .331 (−95)K% 20.0% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.002×1.200——23.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷0.975×0.690—×0.9528.98%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9520.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.023×0.930—×0.95217.31%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.923×0.830—×0.9528.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920—×0.9520.00%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷0.935×0.700—×0.9527.12%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 105, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .426 → .331; ISO .308 → .232; BABIP .333 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 183 PAwOBA .276 → .247 (−29)K% 12.6% → 17.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.57%÷0.938×1.290——17.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.83%÷1.003×0.710—×1.0482.84%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0480.00%
Singles /BIP22.15%÷0.984×0.900×1.014×1.04821.52%
Doubles /BIP6.71%÷1.008×0.810×1.014×1.0485.73%
Triples /BIP0.67%÷1.000×0.810×1.014×1.0480.58%
Home runs /BIP0.67%÷1.002×0.780—×1.0480.55%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 88, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .276 → .247; ISO .087 → .072; BABIP .295 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 43 PAwOBA .384 → .339 (−45)K% 16.3% → 20.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.28%÷1.018×1.290——20.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.65%÷1.079×0.710—×1.0503.21%
HBP% /PA2.33%—×0.980—×1.0502.39%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.001×0.900—×1.05023.60%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷0.960×0.810—×1.05011.07%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.101×0.810—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP3.12%÷1.033×0.780—×1.0502.48%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 92, 3B 120, K 104, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .384 → .339; ISO .179 → .150; BABIP .387 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AATennessee Smokies · 239 PAwOBA .336 → .311 (−25)K% 11.3% → 14.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.30%÷0.951×1.220——14.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.28%÷1.090×0.680—×1.0424.08%
HBP% /PA1.26%—×0.840—×1.0421.10%
Singles /BIP23.28%÷1.029×0.920×1.028×1.04222.29%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.001×0.910×1.028×1.0429.27%
Triples /BIP0.53%÷1.150×0.880×1.028×1.0420.43%
Home runs /BIP1.06%÷0.937×0.800—×1.0420.94%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 106, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 90, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .336 → .311; ISO .120 → .115; BABIP .335 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAIowa Cubs · 226 PAwOBA .296 → .285 (−12)K% 9.3% → 12.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.29%÷0.965×1.290——12.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.19%÷1.043×0.710—×1.0504.43%
HBP% /PA0.44%—×0.980—×1.0500.46%
Singles /BIP22.16%÷0.980×0.900×1.032×1.05022.05%
Doubles /BIP6.82%÷1.017×0.810×1.032×1.0505.88%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷1.086×0.810×1.032×1.0500.46%
Home runs /BIP1.14%÷0.934×0.780—×1.0501.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 117, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .296 → .285; ISO .102 → .093; BABIP .292 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AATennessee Smokies · 330 PAwOBA .271 → .249 (−21)K% 12.1% → 15.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.12%÷0.960×1.220——15.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.55%÷1.048×0.680—×1.0503.10%
HBP% /PA0.30%—×0.840—×1.0500.27%
Singles /BIP21.51%÷0.988×0.920×1.012×1.05021.29%
Doubles /BIP4.15%÷1.126×0.910×1.012×1.0503.56%
Triples /BIP1.13%÷1.006×0.880×1.012×1.0501.05%
Home runs /BIP1.51%÷1.049×0.800—×1.0501.21%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 125, 3B 101, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .271 → .249; ISO .095 → .082; BABIP .268 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Daytona Cubs · 96 PAwOBA .283 → .262 (−21)K% 13.5% → 19.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.54%÷1.010×1.420——19.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.29%÷0.938×0.750—×1.0275.99%
HBP% /PA1.04%—×0.930—×1.0270.99%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.017×0.920×1.041×1.02726.86%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷1.107×0.960×1.041×1.0273.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.810×1.041×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.026×0.880—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 102, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .283 → .262; ISO .035 → .032; BABIP .315 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Daytona Cubs · 461 PAwOBA .260 → .241 (−19)K% 16.7% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.70%÷1.000×1.420——23.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.64%÷1.000×0.750—×1.0424.41%
HBP% /PA0.43%—×0.930—×1.0420.42%
Singles /BIP23.34%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.04223.50%
Doubles /BIP4.32%÷1.000×0.960×1.050×1.0424.54%
Triples /BIP1.15%÷1.000×0.810×1.050×1.0421.02%
Home runs /BIP0.58%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0420.53%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .260 → .241; ISO .068 → .063; BABIP .289 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .