Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 23 | 120 | 522 | 72 | 37 | 15 | 100% | 5.2 | 12.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.64 | +1.1 |
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 23 | 120 | 522 | 72 | 37 | 15 | 100% | 5.2 | 13.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.45 | +1.3 |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 33 | 169 | 743 | 132 | 58 | 24 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 5.22 | 4.55 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 33 | 169 | 743 | 132 | 58 | 24 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 5.22 | 4.41 | +1.9 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 8 | 73 | 340 | 62 | 40 | 10 | 25% | 2.3 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 6.87 | 4.78 | +0.0 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 8 | 73 | 340 | 62 | 40 | 10 | 25% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 6.87 | 4.82 | +0.0 |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 2 | 69 | 306 | 74 | 41 | 7 | 4% | 1.3 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 4.02 | 4.18 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 2 | 69 | 306 | 74 | 41 | 7 | 4% | 1.3 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 2.3% | 4.02 | 4.05 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 42 | 0 | 40 | 176 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.80 | 5.58 | -0.5 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 42 | 0 | 40 | 176 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.80 | 5.50 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 113 | 482 | 79 | 46 | 14 | 96% | 4.5 | 15.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.02 | 4.70 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 113 | 482 | 79 | 46 | 14 | 96% | 4.5 | 16.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 3.02 | 4.53 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 2 | 46 | 200 | 42 | 27 | 2 | 6% | 1.3 | 19.0% | 14.3% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 2.56 | 4.02 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 2 | 46 | 200 | 42 | 27 | 2 | 6% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 1.0% | 2.56 | 3.60 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 34 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 24 | 24 | 103 | 460 | 100 | 55 | 13 | 100% | 4.3 | 19.1% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 6.31 | 4.61 | — |
| 2023 | 34 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 24 | 24 | 103 | 460 | 100 | 55 | 13 | 100% | 4.3 | 21.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 6.31 | 4.41 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 17 | 4 | 33 | 145 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 24% | 1.9 | 17.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.44 | 6.46 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 17 | 4 | 33 | 145 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 24% | 1.9 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 7.44 | 5.40 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | PIT | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 4.87 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | PIT | 21 | 0 | 22 | 91 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 5.09 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | PIT | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 5.08 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 209 | 70 | 522 | 2287 | 372 | 219 | 71 | 33% | 2.5 | 16.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.65 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 27 | 200 | 876 | 143 | 84 | 27 | 34% | 2.5 | 16.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.65 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 285 | 120 | 766 | 3374 | 575 | 345 | 106 | 42% | 2.7 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 4.93 | 4.69 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 31 | 200 | 881 | 150 | 90 | 28 | 42% | 2.7 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 4.93 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wily Peralta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 21.2% | 10.1% | 3.4% | — | 5.24 | 20.1% | 9.3% | 22 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.02 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 394 | 66 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 65 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 63 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 58 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 57 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 55 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 37 | SU | 4.04 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.08 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.04 | 3.51 | 219 | 55 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 55 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2024 · 5.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 5.63 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.3% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 261 | 54 |
| Jake Peavy R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.36 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 262 | 54 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 53 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.16 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 113 | 53 |
| Edinson Volquez R 2025 · 6.14 FIP | 36 | SW | 6.14 | 13.3% | 16.0% | 3.9% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 498 | 53 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 52 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2024 · 6.00 FIP | 35 | SU | 6.00 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 150 | 52 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 48 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.30 | 18.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.81 | 226 | 45 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.35 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 138 | 44 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2024 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 240 | 43 |
| Joe Blanton R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.94 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 240 | 43 |