Shawn O'Malley

PosSS

B/TS/R

Born1987-12-28

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	28	AAASEA	100	.317/.417/.439	1	5	107	—	.299/.365/.414
2016	28	MLBSEA	232	.229/.299/.319	2	6	78	0.0
2017	29	AAA/AA/ROK2 orgs	138	.235/.336/.361	3	1	49	—	.203/.270/.318
2018	30	AAACOL	169	.279/.325/.367	1	3	55	—	.253/.287/.333
2019	31	No MLB games played
2020	32	No MLB games played
2021	33	No MLB games played
2022	34	No MLB games played
2023	35	No MLB games played
2024	36	No MLB games played
2025	37	No MLB games played
2026	38	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.0

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2016

Speed90

Barrel%10

xwOBA10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	18	ROK	Princeton Devil Rays	—	189	160	34	4	1	1	16	38	7	10	3	212	311	269	580	56	270	20	8	267	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A	Columbus Catfish	—	389	334	79	14	3	0	34	77	11	28	14	237	327	296	624	60	305	20	9	285	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	447	366	98	9	2	1	58	80	15	40	14	268	390	311	701	44	338	18	13	327	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	169	144	26	1	3	0	16	32	6	9	1	181	289	229	518	49	232	19	9	246	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	34	25	8	2	2	0	4	2	3	4	0	320	469	560	1.029	240	348	6	12	424	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	362	308	85	8	5	1	42	58	4	24	13	276	370	344	714	68	336	16	12	323	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	247	216	53	4	2	2	17	49	3	11	1	245	309	310	620	65	302	20	7	273	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	144	121	28	3	3	0	17	24	2	7	3	231	336	306	641	74	286	17	12	291	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	373	321	84	12	6	3	32	60	6	24	3	262	340	364	704	103	310	16	9	309	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	8	0	2	0	188	188	188	375		375	50	0	170	1	-2	+0	-1	-5	+0	-0.7
2014	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	376	318	105	19	9	3	39	44	7	13	4	330	415	475	890	145	372	12	10	384	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	41	32	6	0	1	0	6	8	0	1	0	188	308	250	558	62	240	20	15	252	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	57	42	11	1	0	1	12	14	0	3	0	262	426	357	783	95	357	25	21	349	124	+2	+1	-0	+1	+1	0.5
2015	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	344	310	92	11	5	5	19	47	5	20	7	297	347	413	760	116	335	14	6	331	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	232	210	48	9	2	2	18	59	3	6	2	229	299	319	618	90	309	25	8	282	78	-6	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.0
2016	28	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	100	82	26	5	1	1	13	18	1	5	1	317	417	439	856	122	391	18	13	371	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	84	78	16	3	0	1	4	17	1	0	1	205	253	282	535	77	246	20	5	242	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	36	28	7	1	0	1	8	7	0	0	0	250	417	393	810	143	300	19	22	374	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	ROK	AZL Mariners	—	18	13	5	0	1	1	4	2	1	1	0	385	556	769	1.325	385	400	11	22	552	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	169	147	41	6	2	1	9	29	1	3	3	279	325	367	692	88	336	17	5	290	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	305	268	62	10	2	3	30	81	3	11	2	231	316	317	633	86	319	27	10	288	81	-7	+1	-3	+0	+7	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	18	ROK MLE	Princeton Devil Rays	—	189	166	29	3	1	1	10	54	7	10	3	175	251	223	474	48	236	29	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A MLE	Columbus Catfish	—	389	345	75	12	3	0	23	103	11	28	14	217	288	270	557	52	294	26	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	447	381	93	9	2	1	43	114	15	40	14	244	344	286	630	42	331	26	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	169	149	24	1	2	0	11	41	6	9	1	161	247	195	442	34	223	24	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	34	26	8	2	2	0	3	3	3	4	0	308	438	538	976	231	310	9	9	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	362	322	85	9	5	1	28	68	4	24	13	264	331	332	663	68	321	19	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	247	221	56	4	2	2	12	58	3	11	1	253	301	317	618	63	306	23	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	144	126	28	3	3	0	12	29	2	7	3	222	300	294	594	71	269	20	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	373	332	80	11	6	2	21	74	6	24	3	241	298	328	626	87	283	20	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	8	0	2	0	188	188	188	375		375	50	0	170	1	-2	+0	-1	-5	+0	-0.7
2014	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	376	330	98	17	8	2	27	58	7	13	4	297	363	415	778	118	335	15	7	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	41	35	6	0	1	0	4	9	0	1	0	171	256	229	485	57	220	22	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	57	42	11	1	0	1	12	14	0	3	0	262	426	357	783	95	357	25	21	351	124	+2	+1	-0	+1	+1	0.5
2015	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	344	317	85	10	5	4	12	58	5	20	7	268	305	369	674	101	302	17	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	232	210	48	9	2	2	18	59	3	6	2	229	299	319	618	90	309	25	8	284	78	-6	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.0
2016	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	100	87	26	5	1	1	8	22	1	5	1	299	365	414	778	115	360	22	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	84	79	13	2	0	1	3	21	1	0	1	165	205	228	433	63	204	25	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	36	31	7	1	0	1	5	9	0	0	0	226	333	355	688	129	261	25	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	—	18	15	5	0	1	1	2	3	1	1	0	333	444	667	1.111	333	291	17	11	396	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	169	150	38	5	2	1	6	38	1	3	3	253	287	333	620	80	293	22	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK MLE	Princeton Devil Rays	—	189	166	29	3	1	1	10	54	7	10	3	175	251	223	474	48	250	29	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK RAW	Princeton Devil Rays	—	189	160	34	4	1	1	16	38	7	10	3	212	311	269	580	56	270	20	8	267	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A MLE	Columbus Catfish	—	389	345	75	12	3	0	23	103	11	28	14	217	288	270	557	52	307	26	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A RAW	Columbus Catfish	—	389	334	79	14	3	0	34	77	11	28	14	237	327	296	624	60	305	20	9	285	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	447	381	93	9	2	1	43	114	15	40	14	244	344	286	630	42	343	26	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ RAW	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	447	366	98	9	2	1	58	80	15	40	14	268	390	311	701	44	338	18	13	327	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	203	175	33	3	4	0	14	44	9	13	1	189	283	251	534	63	252	22	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	203	169	34	3	5	0	20	34	9	13	1	201	318	278	596	77	252	17	10	276	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	362	322	85	9	5	1	28	68	4	24	13	264	331	332	663	68	331	19	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	362	308	85	8	5	1	42	58	4	24	13	276	370	344	714	68	336	16	12	323	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	391	347	84	7	5	2	24	87	5	18	4	242	301	308	609	66	312	22	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	391	337	81	7	5	2	34	73	5	18	4	240	319	309	628	68	296	19	9	279	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	373	332	80	11	6	2	21	74	6	24	3	241	298	328	626	87	301	20	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	373	321	84	12	6	3	32	60	6	24	3	262	340	364	704	103	310	16	9	309	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	433	381	107	17	9	2	31	74	7	16	4	281	346	388	735	108	340	17	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	433	366	114	19	10	3	45	60	7	16	4	311	396	443	839	131	362	14	10	364	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	359	96	11	5	5	24	72	5	23	7	267	322	368	690	100	319	18	6	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	401	352	103	12	5	6	31	61	5	23	7	293	358	406	764	114	337	15	8	333	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	332	297	74	14	3	3	26	81	4	11	3	249	318	347	665	98	332	24	8	297	87	-5	+1	-3	+4	+7	0.4
2016	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	332	292	74	14	3	3	31	77	4	11	3	253	333	353	686	99	333	23	9	309	87	-5	+1	-3	+4	+7	0.4
2017	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	138	125	23	3	1	2	10	33	2	1	1	184	255	272	527	88	231	24	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	138	119	28	4	1	3	16	26	2	1	1	235	336	361	697	126	275	19	12	317	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	169	150	38	5	2	1	6	38	1	3	3	253	287	333	620	80	327	22	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	169	147	41	6	2	1	9	29	1	3	3	279	325	367	692	88	336	17	5	290	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK MLE	Princeton Devil Rays	—	189	170	29	3	1	1	10	54	7	10	3	171	251	218	469	47	236	29	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A MLE	Columbus Catfish	—	389	352	75	12	3	0	23	103	11	28	14	213	288	264	552	51	294	26	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	447	386	93	9	2	1	43	114	15	40	14	241	344	282	626	41	331	26	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	203	178	33	3	4	0	14	44	9	13	1	185	283	247	530	62	238	22	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	362	327	85	9	5	1	28	68	4	24	13	260	331	327	658	67	321	19	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	391	359	84	7	5	2	24	87	5	18	4	234	301	298	599	64	292	22	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	373	343	80	11	6	2	21	74	6	24	3	233	298	318	616	85	283	20	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	433	392	107	17	9	2	31	74	7	16	4	273	346	378	724	105	326	17	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	369	96	11	5	5	24	72	5	23	7	260	322	358	680	98	310	18	6	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	332	299	74	14	3	3	26	81	4	11	3	247	318	344	663	97	324	24	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	138	125	23	3	1	2	10	33	2	1	1	184	255	272	527	88	230	24	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	169	160	38	5	2	1	6	38	1	3	3	237	287	312	599	75	293	22	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	305	268	62	10	2	3	30	81	3	11	2	231	316	317	633	86	319	27	10	288	71	-7	+1	-3	+0	+7	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	131	21	4	6	64	173	6	23	4	229	313	312	625	82	317	27	10	288	71	-14	+3	-7	+1	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3827	3380	817	104	46	20	260	842	76	211	70	242	310	317	628	76	313	22	7	273	71	-7	+1	-3	+0	+7	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	139	18	8	3	44	143	13	36	12	242	311	317	628	75	315	22	7	273	71	-14	+3	-7	+1	+14	-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 169 PAwOBA .286 → .249 (−37)K% 17.2% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.16%	÷0.978	×1.290	—	—	22.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.33%	÷1.024	×0.710	—	×0.962	3.55%
HBP% /PA	0.59%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.56%
Singles /BIP	27.12%	÷1.034	×0.900	×1.050	×0.962	23.85%
Doubles /BIP	5.08%	÷0.960	×0.810	×1.050	×0.962	4.33%
Triples /BIP	1.69%	÷0.973	×0.810	×1.050	×0.962	1.43%
Home runs /BIP	0.85%	÷1.162	×0.780	—	×0.962	0.55%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 95, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .286 → .249; ISO .088 → .074; BABIP .336 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAATacoma Rainiers · 84 PAwOBA .238 → .187 (−51)K% 20.2% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.24%	÷1.028	×1.290	—	—	25.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.76%	÷0.979	×0.710	—	×0.972	3.36%
HBP% /PA	1.19%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	1.13%
Singles /BIP	19.67%	÷0.978	×0.900	×0.950	×0.972	16.72%
Doubles /BIP	4.92%	÷0.988	×0.810	×0.950	×0.972	3.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.950	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.64%	÷0.963	×0.780	—	×0.972	1.29%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .238 → .187; ISO .077 → .057; BABIP .246 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 36 PAwOBA .366 → .288 (−78)K% 19.4% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.44%	÷0.973	×1.220	—	—	24.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.22%	÷1.005	×0.700	—	×0.948	14.68%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.948	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷0.974	×0.920	—	×0.948	21.33%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.993	×0.840	—	×0.948	3.82%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	—	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.024	×0.800	—	×0.948	3.53%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .366 → .288; ISO .143 → .113; BABIP .300 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKAZL Mariners · 18 PAwOBA .539 → .396 (−143)K% 11.1% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.11%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	16.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.22%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.940	12.95%
HBP% /PA	5.56%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	3.76%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	21.02%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	6.15%
Home runs /BIP	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.940	6.67%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .539 → .396; ISO .385 → .301; BABIP .400 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAATacoma Rainiers · 100 PAwOBA .366 → .326 (−40)K% 18.0% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.00%	÷1.041	×1.290	—	—	22.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.00%	÷1.115	×0.710	—	×0.982	8.13%
HBP% /PA	1.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.96%
Singles /BIP	29.69%	÷0.987	×0.900	×1.041	×0.982	27.68%
Doubles /BIP	7.81%	÷0.901	×0.810	×1.041	×0.982	7.18%
Triples /BIP	1.56%	÷1.063	×0.810	×1.041	×0.982	1.22%
Home runs /BIP	1.56%	÷0.896	×0.780	—	×0.982	1.34%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 97, 2B 80, 3B 113, K 108, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .366 → .326; ISO .122 → .114; BABIP .391 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAATacoma Rainiers · 344 PAwOBA .323 → .284 (−38)K% 13.7% → 16.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.66%	÷1.049	×1.290	—	—	16.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.23%	÷1.046	×0.710	—	×0.992	3.52%
HBP% /PA	1.45%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	1.41%
Singles /BIP	27.00%	÷0.995	×0.900	×1.015	×0.992	24.58%
Doubles /BIP	4.18%	÷0.910	×0.810	×1.015	×0.992	3.75%
Triples /BIP	1.90%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.015	×0.992	1.72%
Home runs /BIP	1.90%	÷1.127	×0.780	—	×0.992	1.31%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 110, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .323 → .284; ISO .116 → .096; BABIP .335 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAASalt Lake Bees · 376 PAwOBA .378 → .331 (−47)K% 11.7% → 15.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.70%	÷0.986	×1.290	—	—	15.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.37%	÷1.043	×0.710	—	×1.003	7.08%
HBP% /PA	1.86%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	1.83%
Singles /BIP	27.01%	÷1.013	×0.900	×1.034	×1.003	24.90%
Doubles /BIP	6.93%	÷1.005	×0.810	×1.034	×1.003	5.80%
Triples /BIP	3.28%	÷0.958	×0.810	×1.034	×1.003	2.88%
Home runs /BIP	1.09%	÷1.139	×0.780	—	×1.003	0.75%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 103, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .378 → .331; ISO .145 → .124; BABIP .372 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAArkansas Travelers · 41 PAwOBA .253 → .227 (−25)K% 19.5% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.51%	÷1.106	×1.220	—	—	21.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.63%	÷1.012	×0.700	—	×0.978	9.90%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.83%	÷0.961	×0.920	—	×0.978	19.50%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.972	×0.840	—	×0.978	0.00%
Triples /BIP	4.17%	÷1.150	×0.940	—	×0.978	3.33%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.986	×0.800	—	×0.978	0.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 121, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .253 → .227; ISO .062 → .059; BABIP .240 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).