Robi Estrada
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 24 | AATB | 242 | .247/.316/.353 | 3 | 2 | 59 | — | .225/.274/.311 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAALeones de Yuc… | 188 | .274/.344/.375 | 2 | 5 | 69 | — | .241/.290/.328 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAALeones de Yuc… | 108 | .204/.264/.347 | 3 | 3 | 26 | — | .168/.208/.267 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 176 | 155 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 232 | 304 | 290 | 594 | 58 | 282 | 18 | 9 | 268 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 313 | 289 | 65 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 225 | 258 | 284 | 542 | 59 | 263 | 16 | 4 | 237 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 380 | 317 | 76 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 62 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 240 | 345 | 281 | 626 | 41 | 293 | 16 | 13 | 288 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 258 | 220 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 39 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 255 | 347 | 359 | 706 | 105 | 291 | 15 | 12 | 314 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 279 | 249 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 253 | 314 | 357 | 671 | 104 | 291 | 15 | 8 | 295 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 242 | 215 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 316 | 353 | 670 | 107 | 270 | 12 | 9 | 298 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 188 | 168 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 274 | 344 | 375 | 719 | 101 | 319 | 15 | 9 | 323 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 108 | 98 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 204 | 264 | 347 | 611 | 143 | 254 | 27 | 7 | 269 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 176 | 161 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 193 | 240 | 242 | 482 | 50 | 245 | 25 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 313 | 293 | 63 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 68 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 215 | 238 | 270 | 508 | 55 | 255 | 22 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 380 | 332 | 73 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 84 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 220 | 296 | 253 | 549 | 33 | 275 | 22 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 258 | 230 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 54 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 209 | 275 | 283 | 558 | 74 | 250 | 21 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 279 | 255 | 57 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 60 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 224 | 269 | 314 | 583 | 90 | 266 | 22 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 242 | 222 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 274 | 311 | 585 | 86 | 252 | 14 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 188 | 174 | 42 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 290 | 328 | 618 | 86 | 293 | 20 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 108 | 101 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 168 | 208 | 267 | 475 | 99 | 215 | 31 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 176 | 161 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 193 | 240 | 242 | 482 | 50 | 256 | 25 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK RAW | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 176 | 155 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 232 | 304 | 290 | 594 | 58 | 282 | 18 | 9 | 268 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 313 | 293 | 63 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 68 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 215 | 238 | 270 | 508 | 55 | 270 | 22 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 313 | 289 | 65 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 225 | 258 | 284 | 542 | 59 | 263 | 16 | 4 | 237 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 380 | 332 | 73 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 84 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 220 | 296 | 253 | 549 | 33 | 290 | 22 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 380 | 317 | 76 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 62 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 240 | 345 | 281 | 626 | 41 | 293 | 16 | 13 | 288 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 258 | 230 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 54 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 209 | 275 | 283 | 558 | 74 | 258 | 21 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 258 | 220 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 39 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 255 | 347 | 359 | 706 | 105 | 291 | 15 | 12 | 314 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 279 | 255 | 57 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 60 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 224 | 269 | 314 | 583 | 90 | 281 | 22 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 279 | 249 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 253 | 314 | 357 | 671 | 104 | 291 | 15 | 8 | 295 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 242 | 222 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 274 | 311 | 585 | 86 | 258 | 14 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 242 | 215 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 316 | 353 | 670 | 107 | 270 | 12 | 9 | 298 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 188 | 174 | 42 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 290 | 328 | 618 | 86 | 296 | 20 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 188 | 168 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 274 | 344 | 375 | 719 | 101 | 319 | 15 | 9 | 323 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 108 | 101 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 168 | 208 | 267 | 475 | 99 | 227 | 31 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 108 | 98 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 204 | 264 | 347 | 611 | 143 | 254 | 27 | 7 | 269 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | Princeton Devil Rays | — | 176 | 164 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 189 | 240 | 238 | 478 | 49 | 245 | 25 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 313 | 301 | 63 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 68 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 209 | 238 | 262 | 501 | 53 | 255 | 22 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 380 | 341 | 73 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 84 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 214 | 296 | 246 | 543 | 32 | 275 | 22 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 258 | 235 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 54 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 204 | 275 | 277 | 551 | 72 | 250 | 21 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 279 | 261 | 57 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 60 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 218 | 269 | 307 | 576 | 88 | 266 | 22 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 242 | 225 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 274 | 307 | 581 | 84 | 252 | 14 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 188 | 174 | 42 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 290 | 328 | 618 | 86 | 293 | 20 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 108 | 102 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 167 | 208 | 265 | 472 | 98 | 215 | 31 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1944 | 1768 | 381 | 65 | 9 | 12 | 122 | 417 | 2 | 54 | 17 | 215 | 267 | 283 | 550 | 67 | 271 | 21 | 6 | 241 | 49 | -117 | +4 | +0 | +21 | +42 | -5.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 128 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 139 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 217 | 269 | 284 | 553 | 68 | 273 | 21 | 6 | 241 | 49 | -39 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAALeones de Yucatan · 108 PAwOBA .265 → .207 (−57)K% 26.9% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.85% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×0.982 | 15.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.25% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.982 | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.945 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.16% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 100, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .265 → .207; ISO .143 → .105; BABIP .254 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALeones de Yucatan · 188 PAwOBA .314 → .270 (−45)K% 15.4% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.43% | ÷0.924 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.18% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×0.992 | 24.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.04% | ÷1.104 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×0.992 | 3.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×0.992 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.834 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.20% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 98, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 85, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .314 → .270; ISO .101 → .081; BABIP .319 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 242 PAwOBA .292 → .256 (−36)K% 11.6% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.57% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.003 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.79% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 18.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.036 | ×0.910 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.013 | ×0.880 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.151 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .292 → .256; ISO .107 → .091; BABIP .270 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 279 PAwOBA .289 → .252 (−37)K% 15.4% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.41% | ÷1.020 | ×1.420 | — | — | 21.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.53% | ÷0.966 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.36% | ÷1.067 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 19.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.28% | ÷1.002 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 7.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.106 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.14% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 104, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .289 → .252; ISO .104 → .093; BABIP .291 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 258 PAwOBA .310 → .252 (−58)K% 15.1% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.12% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.63% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.20% | ÷1.043 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.990 | 20.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.42% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.990 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×0.990 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.185 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.11% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 109, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 97, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .310 → .252; ISO .105 → .080; BABIP .291 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 380 PAwOBA .284 → .246 (−38)K% 16.3% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.32% | ÷1.003 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.16% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | — | 9.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.71% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | — | 23.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.10% | ÷1.061 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | — | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.037 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .284 → .246; ISO .041 → .034; BABIP .293 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 313 PAwOBA .235 → .216 (−19)K% 16.3% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 21.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 2.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.35% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .235 → .216; ISO .059 → .053; BABIP .263 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 ROKPrinceton Devil Rays · 176 PAwOBA .263 → .210 (−53)K% 17.6% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 5.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 20.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 3.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 0.65% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .263 → .210; ISO .058 → .045; BABIP .282 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).