Michael McKenry
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 30 | MLBCOL | 152 | .205/.331/.402 | 4 | 2 | 96 | 0.5 | ||
| 2016 | 31 | AAAColorado Spri… | 251 | .285/.428/.500 | 7 | 2 | 79 | — | .194/.304/.333 | |
| 2017 | 32 | AAATB | 272 | .209/.341/.324 | 4 | 0 | 42 | — | .162/.256/.246 | |
| 2018 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 485 | 408 | 117 | 35 | 1 | 22 | 66 | 84 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 287 | 394 | 539 | 933 | 252 | 312 | 17 | 14 | 405 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 472 | 400 | 103 | 28 | 1 | 18 | 55 | 101 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 258 | 361 | 468 | 829 | 210 | 300 | 21 | 12 | 363 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 417 | 358 | 100 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 54 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 377 | 455 | 832 | 176 | 317 | 17 | 13 | 369 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 384 | 347 | 92 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 77 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 331 | 424 | 754 | 159 | 312 | 20 | 8 | 334 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 201 | 180 | 40 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 278 | 322 | 601 | 100 | 290 | 24 | 7 | 263 | 59 | -10 | -0 | -3 | +6 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 111 | 95 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 373 | 421 | 794 | 147 | 333 | 22 | 13 | 355 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 275 | 240 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 324 | 442 | 765 | 208 | 278 | 27 | 11 | 336 | 116 | +5 | +0 | -10 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 122 | 115 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 262 | 348 | 610 | 130 | 250 | 20 | 4 | 274 | 73 | -4 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2014 | 29 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 192 | 168 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 315 | 398 | 512 | 910 | 196 | 381 | 22 | 11 | 400 | 144 | +10 | -1 | -5 | +5 | +4 | 1.4 |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 93 | 83 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 313 | 374 | 494 | 868 | 181 | 338 | 14 | 8 | 376 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 152 | 127 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 205 | 331 | 402 | 733 | 197 | 265 | 27 | 14 | 328 | 96 | -1 | -0 | -0 | +3 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 251 | 200 | 57 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 285 | 428 | 500 | 928 | 215 | 362 | 22 | 19 | 410 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 272 | 225 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 341 | 324 | 665 | 116 | 287 | 27 | 15 | 309 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 942 | 830 | 200 | 48 | 3 | 29 | 92 | 229 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 241 | 323 | 411 | 733 | 170 | 296 | 24 | 10 | 324 | 106 | +6 | -2 | -26 | +20 | +20 | 2.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 485 | 430 | 102 | 29 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 113 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 237 | 317 | 435 | 752 | 198 | 273 | 23 | 9 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 472 | 416 | 86 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 135 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 207 | 290 | 377 | 668 | 171 | 253 | 29 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 417 | 375 | 89 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 309 | 379 | 688 | 141 | 276 | 20 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 384 | 357 | 75 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 102 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 260 | 331 | 590 | 120 | 265 | 27 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 201 | 182 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 263 | 308 | 571 | 93 | 290 | 24 | 6 | 255 | 59 | -10 | -0 | -3 | +6 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 111 | 99 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 309 | 364 | 673 | 131 | 285 | 27 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 275 | 241 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 320 | 448 | 768 | 216 | 278 | 27 | 10 | 339 | 116 | +5 | +0 | -10 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 122 | 115 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 262 | 348 | 610 | 130 | 250 | 20 | 4 | 276 | 73 | -4 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2014 | 29 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 192 | 169 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 302 | 382 | 479 | 861 | 178 | 381 | 22 | 11 | 381 | 144 | +10 | -1 | -5 | +5 | +4 | 1.4 |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 93 | 85 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 235 | 286 | 353 | 639 | 118 | 271 | 19 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 152 | 127 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 325 | 378 | 702 | 181 | 265 | 27 | 14 | 310 | 96 | -1 | -0 | -0 | +3 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 251 | 216 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 75 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 194 | 304 | 333 | 637 | 139 | 266 | 30 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 272 | 240 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 256 | 246 | 501 | 83 | 227 | 31 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 485 | 430 | 102 | 29 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 113 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 237 | 317 | 435 | 752 | 198 | 279 | 23 | 9 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 485 | 408 | 117 | 35 | 1 | 22 | 66 | 84 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 287 | 394 | 539 | 933 | 252 | 312 | 17 | 14 | 405 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 472 | 416 | 86 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 135 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 207 | 290 | 377 | 668 | 171 | 262 | 29 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 472 | 400 | 103 | 28 | 1 | 18 | 55 | 101 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 258 | 361 | 468 | 829 | 210 | 300 | 21 | 12 | 363 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 417 | 375 | 89 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 309 | 379 | 688 | 141 | 280 | 20 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 417 | 358 | 100 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 54 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 377 | 455 | 832 | 176 | 317 | 17 | 13 | 369 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 384 | 357 | 75 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 102 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 260 | 331 | 590 | 120 | 268 | 27 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA RAW | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 384 | 347 | 92 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 77 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 331 | 424 | 754 | 159 | 312 | 20 | 8 | 334 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 312 | 281 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 280 | 327 | 607 | 107 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -12 | -0 | -3 | +6 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 312 | 275 | 66 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 312 | 356 | 669 | 116 | 305 | 23 | 9 | 296 | 66 | -12 | -0 | -3 | +6 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 275 | 241 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 320 | 448 | 768 | 216 | 272 | 27 | 10 | 339 | 116 | +5 | +0 | -10 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB RAW | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 275 | 240 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 324 | 442 | 765 | 208 | 278 | 27 | 11 | 336 | 116 | +5 | +0 | -10 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 122 | 115 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 262 | 348 | 610 | 130 | 250 | 20 | 4 | 276 | 73 | -4 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB RAW | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 122 | 115 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 262 | 348 | 610 | 130 | 250 | 20 | 4 | 274 | 73 | -4 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2014 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 254 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 280 | 351 | 437 | 788 | 157 | 333 | 21 | 9 | 351 | 124 | +8 | -1 | -5 | +5 | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2014 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 285 | 251 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 315 | 390 | 506 | 896 | 191 | 366 | 19 | 10 | 392 | 124 | +8 | -1 | -5 | +5 | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 152 | 127 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 325 | 378 | 702 | 181 | 253 | 27 | 14 | 310 | 96 | -1 | -0 | -0 | +3 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB RAW | Colorado Rockies | — | 152 | 127 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 205 | 331 | 402 | 733 | 197 | 265 | 27 | 14 | 328 | 96 | -1 | -0 | -0 | +3 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 251 | 216 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 75 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 194 | 304 | 333 | 637 | 139 | 270 | 30 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA RAW | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 251 | 200 | 57 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 285 | 428 | 500 | 928 | 215 | 362 | 22 | 19 | 410 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 272 | 240 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 256 | 246 | 501 | 83 | 234 | 31 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA RAW | Durham Bulls | — | 272 | 225 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 341 | 324 | 665 | 116 | 287 | 27 | 15 | 309 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 485 | 432 | 102 | 29 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 113 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 236 | 317 | 433 | 750 | 197 | 273 | 23 | 9 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 472 | 420 | 86 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 135 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 205 | 290 | 374 | 664 | 169 | 253 | 29 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 417 | 375 | 89 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 309 | 379 | 688 | 141 | 276 | 20 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 384 | 357 | 75 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 102 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 260 | 331 | 590 | 120 | 265 | 27 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 312 | 286 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 280 | 322 | 601 | 105 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 275 | 242 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 320 | 446 | 766 | 215 | 278 | 27 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 122 | 114 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 262 | 351 | 613 | 132 | 250 | 20 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 255 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 278 | 351 | 435 | 786 | 157 | 345 | 21 | 9 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 152 | 127 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 325 | 378 | 702 | 181 | 265 | 27 | 14 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 251 | 215 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 75 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 195 | 304 | 335 | 639 | 140 | 266 | 30 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 32 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 272 | 240 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 256 | 246 | 501 | 83 | 227 | 31 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 942 | 830 | 200 | 48 | 3 | 29 | 92 | 229 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 241 | 323 | 411 | 733 | 170 | 296 | 24 | 10 | 324 | 85 | +6 | -2 | -26 | +20 | +20 | 2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 573 | 138 | 33 | 2 | 20 | 63 | 158 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 241 | 322 | 410 | 733 | 169 | 296 | 24 | 10 | 324 | 85 | +4 | -1 | -18 | +14 | +14 | 1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3427 | 3052 | 672 | 162 | 9 | 94 | 303 | 871 | 36 | 21 | 25 | 220 | 298 | 372 | 670 | 151 | 274 | 25 | 9 | 294 | 85 | +6 | -2 | -26 | +20 | +20 | 2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 128 | 31 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 165 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 221 | 299 | 375 | 673 | 154 | 275 | 25 | 9 | 294 | 85 | +4 | -1 | -18 | +14 | +14 | 1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAADurham Bulls · 272 PAwOBA .303 → .230 (−72)K% 26.8% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.84% | ÷1.027 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.07% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 9.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.08% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 15.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.21% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 6.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.049 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 2.01% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 104, K 105, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .303 → .230; ISO .116 → .090; BABIP .287 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 251 PAwOBA .402 → .285 (−117)K% 22.3% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.31% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.73% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 12.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.046 | ×0.900 | ×0.969 | ×0.962 | 17.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.72% | ÷1.196 | ×0.810 | ×0.969 | ×0.962 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.969 | ×0.962 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.86% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 3.75% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 109, 2B 139, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .402 → .285; ISO .215 → .150; BABIP .362 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 93 PAwOBA .369 → .288 (−82)K% 14.0% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.98% | ÷0.934 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.53% | ÷1.055 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.29% | ÷1.005 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 20.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.028 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷0.964 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 3.40% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 87, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .369 → .288; ISO .181 → .138; BABIP .338 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 111 PAwOBA .350 → .287 (−62)K% 21.6% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.62% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.61% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.35% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 22.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷0.955 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.78% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .350 → .287; ISO .147 → .126; BABIP .333 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 384 PAwOBA .327 → .258 (−68)K% 20.1% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.05% | ÷0.977 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.07% | ÷1.041 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.48% | ÷1.047 | ×0.900 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 19.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.52% | ÷1.057 | ×0.810 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.990 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 3.01% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 95, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .327 → .258; ISO .159 → .121; BABIP .312 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AATulsa Drillers · 417 PAwOBA .359 → .300 (−59)K% 16.5% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×1.012 | 19.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.967 | ×1.012 | 7.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.967 | ×1.012 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .359 → .300; ISO .176 → .147; BABIP .317 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 A+Modesto Nuts · 472 PAwOBA .355 → .286 (−69)K% 21.4% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.40% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.12% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 16.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 5.53% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .355 → .286; ISO .210 → .177; BABIP .300 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAsheville Tourists · 485 PAwOBA .395 → .321 (−75)K% 17.3% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | — | 8.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | — | 16.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.003 | — | 8.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.003 | — | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | — | 5.57% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .395 → .321; ISO .252 → .208; BABIP .312 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).