Tyson Gillies
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 24 | AAA/AAPHI | 428 | .241/.299/.387 | 10 | 17 | 61 | — | .220/.261/.332 |
| 2014 | 25 | AAAPHI | 177 | .214/.273/.289 | 2 | 3 | 45 | — | .205/.256/.273 |
| 2015 | 26 | AASD | 171 | .259/.290/.333 | 2 | 3 | 45 | — | .227/.254/.294 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK | AZL Mariners | — | 101 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 221 | 337 | 302 | 639 | 81 | 302 | 23 | 6 | 303 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 33 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 281 | 300 | 581 | 67 | 292 | 18 | 3 | 257 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 593 | 498 | 170 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 60 | 81 | 18 | 44 | 19 | 341 | 431 | 486 | 916 | 145 | 394 | 14 | 10 | 398 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | AA | Reading Phillies | — | 113 | 105 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 238 | 286 | 333 | 619 | 95 | 291 | 21 | 4 | 278 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 106 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 178 | 302 | 233 | 535 | 56 | 231 | 23 | 13 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | Reading Phillies | — | 311 | 276 | 84 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 52 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 304 | 370 | 453 | 823 | 149 | 362 | 17 | 6 | 360 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 20 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 235 | 498 | 59 | 300 | 35 | 0 | 228 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 59 | 51 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 357 | 373 | 730 | 78 | 341 | 12 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 237 | 214 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 55 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 220 | 286 | 313 | 599 | 93 | 282 | 23 | 8 | 271 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 191 | 176 | 47 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 39 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 267 | 314 | 477 | 791 | 210 | 305 | 20 | 6 | 340 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 177 | 159 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 44 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 214 | 273 | 289 | 563 | 75 | 278 | 25 | 3 | 253 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 171 | 162 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 259 | 290 | 333 | 623 | 74 | 342 | 26 | 2 | 279 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 101 | 88 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 159 | 267 | 205 | 472 | 45 | 253 | 33 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 33 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 281 | 300 | 581 | 67 | 270 | 24 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 593 | 518 | 167 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 109 | 18 | 44 | 19 | 322 | 391 | 450 | 840 | 127 | 376 | 18 | 7 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 113 | 106 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 277 | 302 | 579 | 66 | 311 | 27 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 311 | 281 | 85 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 66 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 302 | 357 | 427 | 784 | 125 | 373 | 21 | 4 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 20 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 235 | 498 | 59 | 273 | 50 | 0 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 237 | 219 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 67 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 210 | 261 | 297 | 557 | 87 | 280 | 28 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 191 | 181 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 49 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 232 | 261 | 376 | 636 | 144 | 295 | 26 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 177 | 161 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 205 | 256 | 273 | 529 | 68 | 270 | 28 | 2 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 171 | 163 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 227 | 254 | 294 | 549 | 67 | 323 | 33 | 1 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 101 | 88 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 159 | 267 | 205 | 472 | 45 | 255 | 33 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Mariners | — | 101 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 221 | 337 | 302 | 639 | 81 | 302 | 23 | 6 | 303 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 33 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 281 | 300 | 581 | 67 | 318 | 24 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A+ RAW | High Desert Mavericks | — | 33 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 281 | 300 | 581 | 67 | 292 | 18 | 3 | 257 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 593 | 518 | 167 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 109 | 18 | 44 | 19 | 322 | 391 | 450 | 840 | 127 | 394 | 18 | 7 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ RAW | High Desert Mavericks | — | 593 | 498 | 170 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 60 | 81 | 18 | 44 | 19 | 341 | 431 | 486 | 916 | 145 | 394 | 14 | 10 | 398 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 113 | 106 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 277 | 302 | 579 | 66 | 320 | 27 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | AA RAW | Reading Phillies | — | 113 | 105 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 238 | 286 | 333 | 619 | 95 | 291 | 21 | 4 | 278 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | INTL MLE | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 106 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 178 | 302 | 233 | 535 | 56 | 231 | 23 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | INTL RAW | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 106 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 178 | 302 | 233 | 535 | 56 | 231 | 23 | 13 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 390 | 351 | 102 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 89 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 291 | 345 | 410 | 755 | 120 | 381 | 23 | 4 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 390 | 344 | 102 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 66 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 297 | 363 | 430 | 793 | 134 | 356 | 17 | 6 | 346 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 400 | 88 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 116 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 220 | 261 | 333 | 593 | 113 | 291 | 27 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 428 | 390 | 94 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 94 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 241 | 299 | 387 | 686 | 146 | 293 | 22 | 7 | 302 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 177 | 161 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 205 | 256 | 273 | 529 | 68 | 279 | 28 | 2 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 177 | 159 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 44 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 214 | 273 | 289 | 563 | 75 | 278 | 25 | 3 | 253 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 171 | 163 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 227 | 254 | 294 | 549 | 67 | 330 | 33 | 1 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 171 | 162 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 259 | 290 | 333 | 623 | 74 | 342 | 26 | 2 | 279 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 101 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 161 | 267 | 207 | 474 | 46 | 253 | 33 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 33 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 281 | 290 | 572 | 65 | 270 | 24 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 593 | 530 | 167 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 109 | 18 | 44 | 19 | 315 | 391 | 440 | 830 | 125 | 376 | 18 | 7 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 113 | 106 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 277 | 302 | 579 | 66 | 311 | 27 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 390 | 358 | 102 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 89 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 285 | 345 | 402 | 747 | 117 | 367 | 23 | 4 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 403 | 88 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 116 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 218 | 261 | 330 | 591 | 112 | 287 | 27 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 177 | 164 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 201 | 256 | 268 | 524 | 67 | 270 | 28 | 2 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 171 | 163 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 227 | 254 | 294 | 549 | 67 | 323 | 33 | 1 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2112 | 1907 | 489 | 58 | 30 | 25 | 106 | 515 | 57 | 92 | 43 | 256 | 315 | 358 | 673 | 101 | 338 | 24 | 5 | 278 | 74 | -64 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +46 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 151 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 158 | 18 | 28 | 13 | 257 | 317 | 359 | 677 | 102 | 338 | 24 | 5 | 278 | 74 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AASan Antonio Missions · 171 PAwOBA .273 → .235 (−38)K% 25.7% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.73% | ÷0.963 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.75% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 1.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.34% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.81% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 27.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.989 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 125, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .273 → .235; ISO .074 → .061; BABIP .342 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 177 PAwOBA .249 → .234 (−15)K% 24.9% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.86% | ÷1.050 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.39% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.61% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 22.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.22% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.136 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.74% | ÷0.922 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.61% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 127, K 110, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .249 → .234; ISO .075 → .069; BABIP .278 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 237 PAwOBA .264 → .240 (−23)K% 23.2% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.21% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.02% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.01% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 22.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.26% | ÷1.116 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.89% | ÷0.891 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.84% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 123, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .264 → .240; ISO .093 → .086; BABIP .282 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAReading Fightin Phils · 191 PAwOBA .331 → .281 (−50)K% 20.4% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.42% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.76% | ÷1.074 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.44% | ÷1.022 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 20.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷0.892 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.144 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 2.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.11% | ÷1.205 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 129, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .331 → .281; ISO .210 → .160; BABIP .305 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAReading Phillies · 311 PAwOBA .352 → .333 (−18)K% 16.7% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.72% | ÷0.963 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.79% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 3.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.34% | ÷0.960 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 28.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.117 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 4.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.289 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.09% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 92, 2B 123, 3B 80, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .352 → .333; ISO .149 → .129; BABIP .362 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Clearwater Threshers · 20 PAwOBA .222 → .178 (−44)K% 35.0% → 49.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.00% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 49.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 10.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 9.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 18.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.988 | 8.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.148 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 92, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .222 → .178; ISO .059 → .043; BABIP .300 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAReading Phillies · 113 PAwOBA .270 → .251 (−19)K% 21.2% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.24% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.42% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 3.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.69% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 27.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.012 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 2.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.972 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.397 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.44% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 179, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 94, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .270 → .251; ISO .095 → .068; BABIP .291 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+High Desert Mavericks · 593 PAwOBA .386 → .357 (−29)K% 13.7% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.04% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 2.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 30.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 2.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 2.04% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .386 → .357; ISO .145 → .131; BABIP .394 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .