Lars Anderson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | AALAD | 548 | .247/.378/.416 | 14 | 3 | 84 | — | .214/.304/.343 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 331 | .266/.362/.416 | 8 | 3 | 79 | — | .227/.295/.343 |
| 2017 | 29 | INTLSydney Blue S… | 116 | .290/.339/.402 | 2 | 0 | 110 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 19 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 47 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 343 | 500 | 486 | 986 | 143 | 423 | 19 | 23 | 435 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 533 | 458 | 132 | 35 | 3 | 10 | 71 | 112 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 288 | 386 | 443 | 829 | 155 | 361 | 21 | 13 | 371 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 163 | 133 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 438 | 526 | 965 | 211 | 430 | 26 | 18 | 424 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 358 | 306 | 97 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 411 | 513 | 924 | 196 | 362 | 18 | 13 | 406 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 512 | 447 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 63 | 114 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 329 | 345 | 673 | 112 | 292 | 22 | 12 | 309 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 43 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 229 | 562 | 29 | 250 | 19 | 16 | 270 | 65 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +1 | -1.1 |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 462 | 409 | 107 | 32 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 109 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 262 | 342 | 428 | 770 | 166 | 331 | 24 | 10 | 342 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 71 | 62 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 355 | 420 | 677 | 1.098 | 323 | 395 | 23 | 10 | 459 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 577 | 491 | 130 | 31 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 120 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 265 | 371 | 422 | 793 | 157 | 322 | 21 | 14 | 356 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 470 | 396 | 99 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 65 | 107 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 359 | 396 | 755 | 146 | 314 | 23 | 14 | 338 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 227 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 304 | 251 | 555 | 57 | 271 | 27 | 12 | 263 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 101 | 87 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 287 | 374 | 483 | 856 | 195 | 318 | 18 | 11 | 373 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 141 | 124 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 393 | 468 | 861 | 153 | 359 | 14 | 11 | 381 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 548 | 449 | 111 | 34 | 0 | 14 | 91 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 247 | 378 | 416 | 794 | 169 | 279 | 17 | 17 | 357 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 29 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 208 | 345 | 375 | 720 | 167 | 286 | 31 | 17 | 330 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 302 | 262 | 71 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 363 | 420 | 783 | 149 | 306 | 16 | 13 | 350 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 116 | 107 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 339 | 402 | 741 | 112 | 341 | 18 | 6 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 43 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 229 | 562 | 29 | 250 | 19 | 16 | 270 | 69 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +1 | -1.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 19 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 47 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 435 | 447 | 882 | 132 | 394 | 26 | 17 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 533 | 482 | 122 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 253 | 322 | 378 | 700 | 124 | 346 | 28 | 9 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 163 | 141 | 42 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 52 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 298 | 389 | 468 | 857 | 170 | 437 | 32 | 13 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 358 | 319 | 90 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 86 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 355 | 451 | 806 | 169 | 341 | 24 | 9 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 512 | 467 | 103 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 139 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 288 | 310 | 598 | 90 | 298 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 43 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 229 | 562 | 29 | 250 | 19 | 16 | 265 | 65 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +1 | -1.1 |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 462 | 423 | 100 | 27 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 132 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 296 | 385 | 682 | 149 | 314 | 29 | 6 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 71 | 64 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 312 | 362 | 562 | 925 | 250 | 364 | 28 | 7 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 577 | 514 | 125 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 148 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 243 | 322 | 381 | 704 | 138 | 312 | 26 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 470 | 417 | 96 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 132 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 307 | 350 | 657 | 120 | 303 | 28 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 236 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 262 | 229 | 491 | 51 | 262 | 32 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 101 | 92 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 293 | 380 | 673 | 141 | 280 | 23 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 141 | 130 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 329 | 408 | 736 | 131 | 318 | 18 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 548 | 481 | 103 | 29 | 0 | 11 | 59 | 113 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 214 | 304 | 343 | 647 | 129 | 253 | 21 | 11 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 241 | 308 | 549 | 154 | 241 | 41 | 10 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 302 | 274 | 64 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 59 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 300 | 347 | 647 | 113 | 274 | 20 | 9 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 580 | 519 | 133 | 32 | 3 | 9 | 56 | 162 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 256 | 331 | 382 | 713 | 125 | 353 | 28 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 580 | 493 | 144 | 37 | 3 | 11 | 82 | 121 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 292 | 395 | 446 | 841 | 154 | 365 | 21 | 14 | 376 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 461 | 132 | 29 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 138 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 364 | 458 | 821 | 171 | 373 | 26 | 10 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 521 | 439 | 139 | 32 | 1 | 18 | 75 | 107 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 317 | 420 | 517 | 937 | 200 | 381 | 21 | 14 | 411 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 512 | 467 | 103 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 139 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 221 | 288 | 310 | 598 | 90 | 298 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 512 | 447 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 63 | 114 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 329 | 345 | 673 | 112 | 292 | 22 | 12 | 309 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 576 | 522 | 126 | 32 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 159 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 241 | 305 | 389 | 694 | 148 | 317 | 28 | 7 | 306 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 576 | 506 | 136 | 38 | 3 | 15 | 58 | 133 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 269 | 351 | 445 | 796 | 176 | 332 | 23 | 10 | 351 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 577 | 514 | 125 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 148 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 243 | 322 | 381 | 704 | 138 | 315 | 26 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 577 | 491 | 130 | 31 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 120 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 265 | 371 | 422 | 793 | 157 | 322 | 21 | 14 | 356 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 470 | 417 | 96 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 132 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 307 | 350 | 657 | 120 | 312 | 28 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 470 | 396 | 99 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 65 | 107 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 359 | 396 | 755 | 146 | 314 | 23 | 14 | 338 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 236 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 262 | 229 | 491 | 51 | 265 | 32 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 227 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 304 | 251 | 555 | 57 | 271 | 27 | 12 | 263 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 222 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 314 | 396 | 710 | 135 | 310 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 242 | 211 | 64 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 385 | 474 | 859 | 171 | 343 | 16 | 11 | 377 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 548 | 481 | 103 | 29 | 0 | 11 | 59 | 113 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 214 | 304 | 343 | 647 | 129 | 254 | 21 | 11 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 548 | 449 | 111 | 34 | 0 | 14 | 91 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 247 | 378 | 416 | 794 | 169 | 279 | 17 | 17 | 357 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 300 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 71 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 227 | 295 | 343 | 638 | 117 | 276 | 21 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 331 | 286 | 76 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 57 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 266 | 362 | 416 | 778 | 150 | 305 | 17 | 13 | 349 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | INTL MLE | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 116 | 107 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 339 | 402 | 741 | 112 | 341 | 18 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | INTL RAW | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 116 | 107 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 339 | 402 | 741 | 112 | 341 | 18 | 6 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 580 | 517 | 133 | 32 | 3 | 9 | 56 | 162 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 257 | 331 | 383 | 714 | 126 | 350 | 28 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 460 | 132 | 29 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 138 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 287 | 364 | 459 | 822 | 172 | 371 | 26 | 10 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 512 | 463 | 103 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 139 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 288 | 313 | 601 | 91 | 298 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 576 | 523 | 126 | 32 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 159 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 241 | 305 | 388 | 693 | 147 | 315 | 28 | 7 | 306 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 577 | 512 | 125 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 148 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 244 | 322 | 383 | 705 | 139 | 312 | 26 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 470 | 421 | 96 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 132 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 307 | 347 | 653 | 119 | 303 | 28 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 266 | 237 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 177 | 262 | 228 | 490 | 51 | 262 | 32 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 223 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 314 | 395 | 708 | 135 | 302 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 548 | 481 | 103 | 29 | 0 | 11 | 59 | 113 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 214 | 304 | 343 | 647 | 129 | 253 | 21 | 11 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 299 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 71 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 227 | 295 | 344 | 639 | 117 | 271 | 21 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 43 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 229 | 562 | 29 | 250 | 19 | 16 | 270 | 84 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +1 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 529 | 106 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 106 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 334 | 229 | 563 | 28 | 251 | 19 | 16 | 270 | 84 | -24 | +0 | +7 | -155 | +14 | -16.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4739 | 4246 | 1017 | 238 | 12 | 91 | 430 | 1216 | 25 | 21 | 9 | 240 | 313 | 366 | 679 | 126 | 311 | 26 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +1 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 140 | 33 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 167 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 313 | 366 | 679 | 125 | 314 | 26 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -24 | +0 | +7 | -155 | +14 | -16.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AATulsa Drillers · 302 PAwOBA .341 → .289 (−52)K% 15.9% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.89% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.92% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.50% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.958 | 19.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.41% | ÷0.926 | ×0.840 | ×1.021 | ×0.958 | 7.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.021 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.27% | ÷1.020 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 2.46% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .341 → .289; ISO .149 → .123; BABIP .306 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 29 PAwOBA .322 → .234 (−88)K% 31.0% → 41.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.03% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 41.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.24% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 11.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.982 | 17.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 5.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 5.39% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .322 → .234; ISO .167 → .124; BABIP .286 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATulsa Drillers · 548 PAwOBA .348 → .292 (−56)K% 16.8% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.79% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.51% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 10.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.938 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.968 | 17.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | ×1.017 | ×0.968 | 7.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.017 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.039 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 88, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .348 → .292; ISO .169 → .138; BABIP .279 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATennessee Smokies · 141 PAwOBA .369 → .314 (−55)K% 14.2% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.18% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.93% | ÷0.948 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 6.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.04% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.978 | 22.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.58% | ÷1.140 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×0.978 | 8.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×1.002 | ×0.978 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.009 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 128, 3B 113, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .369 → .314; ISO .153 → .123; BABIP .359 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAIowa Cubs · 101 PAwOBA .366 → .301 (−65)K% 17.8% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.82% | ÷0.996 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.89% | ÷1.249 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.19% | ÷1.021 | ×0.900 | ×1.047 | ×1.003 | 21.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.25% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×1.003 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 4.88% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 104, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 99, BB 150 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .366 → .301; ISO .195 → .164; BABIP .318 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAACharlotte Knights · 266 PAwOBA .258 → .228 (−29)K% 27.1% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.07% | ÷1.023 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.03% | ÷0.939 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | ×1.045 | ×1.018 | 22.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.52% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×1.018 | 3.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.29% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.14% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .258 → .228; ISO .057 → .050; BABIP .271 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAColumbus Clippers · 470 PAwOBA .332 → .290 (−42)K% 22.8% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.77% | ÷0.974 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.19% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.11% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 21.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.34% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 8.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.101 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.11% | ÷1.178 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.29% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 120, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .332 → .290; ISO .146 → .123; BABIP .314 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 577 PAwOBA .348 → .310 (−37)K% 20.8% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.80% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.52% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.37% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×1.044 | ×1.048 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.36% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.048 | 7.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.044 | ×1.048 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷0.955 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.48% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .348 → .310; ISO .157 → .144; BABIP .322 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .