Grant Green
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | AAALAA | 414 | .306/.341/.449 | 5 | 2 | 77 | — | .261/.286/.376 | |
| 2015 | 27 | MLBLAA | 44 | .190/.227/.262 | 1 | 0 | 26 | -0.3 | ||
| 2016 | 28 | AAASF | 364 | .319/.340/.454 | 7 | 2 | 84 | — | .284/.298/.392 | |
| 2016 | 28 | MLBSF | 50 | .261/.306/.370 | 1 | 0 | 91 | 0.1 | ||
| 2017 | 29 | AAANew Orleans B… | 295 | .244/.314/.305 | 1 | 1 | 36 | — | .196/.246/.247 | |
| 2018 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 350 | 368 | 718 | 53 | 429 | 25 | 5 | 325 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 606 | 548 | 174 | 39 | 6 | 20 | 38 | 117 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 318 | 369 | 520 | 889 | 203 | 366 | 19 | 6 | 382 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 47 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 234 | 244 | 478 | 44 | 290 | 30 | 4 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 587 | 530 | 154 | 33 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 119 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 291 | 346 | 408 | 754 | 117 | 355 | 20 | 7 | 332 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 118 | 107 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 290 | 345 | 551 | 896 | 262 | 338 | 22 | 7 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 562 | 524 | 155 | 28 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 75 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 296 | 340 | 458 | 798 | 162 | 320 | 13 | 6 | 351 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 77 | 66 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 368 | 424 | 793 | 152 | 348 | 25 | 13 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 153 | 140 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 305 | 343 | 647 | 93 | 351 | 29 | 7 | 290 | 84 | -3 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 443 | 402 | 131 | 28 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 77 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 326 | 381 | 493 | 874 | 167 | 380 | 17 | 7 | 383 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 103 | 99 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 273 | 287 | 354 | 641 | 81 | 325 | 19 | 2 | 281 | 78 | -3 | -1 | -1 | -3 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 214 | 198 | 66 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 333 | 380 | 525 | 906 | 192 | 374 | 14 | 6 | 396 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 44 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 227 | 262 | 489 | 71 | 259 | 32 | 5 | 223 | 26 | -4 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 414 | 385 | 118 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 306 | 341 | 449 | 790 | 143 | 359 | 17 | 4 | 342 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 50 | 46 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 306 | 370 | 676 | 109 | 289 | 16 | 6 | 298 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 364 | 348 | 111 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 319 | 340 | 454 | 794 | 135 | 362 | 16 | 3 | 346 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 295 | 266 | 65 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 62 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 244 | 314 | 305 | 619 | 60 | 312 | 21 | 9 | 284 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 350 | 327 | 82 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 86 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 251 | 290 | 339 | 629 | 89 | 322 | 25 | 5 | 280 | 75 | -10 | -2 | -7 | +2 | +8 | -1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 20 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 316 | 616 | 53 | 388 | 35 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 606 | 562 | 158 | 35 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 152 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 281 | 319 | 441 | 760 | 160 | 339 | 25 | 4 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 587 | 544 | 131 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 154 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 241 | 282 | 331 | 613 | 90 | 307 | 26 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 562 | 535 | 145 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 94 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 271 | 302 | 404 | 706 | 133 | 304 | 17 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 153 | 140 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 305 | 343 | 647 | 93 | 351 | 29 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -3 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 443 | 412 | 117 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 103 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 284 | 326 | 417 | 744 | 133 | 352 | 23 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 103 | 99 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 273 | 287 | 354 | 641 | 81 | 325 | 19 | 2 | 283 | 78 | -3 | -1 | -1 | -3 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 214 | 202 | 57 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 282 | 319 | 426 | 745 | 144 | 337 | 19 | 4 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 44 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 205 | 256 | 460 | 70 | 259 | 32 | 2 | 206 | 26 | -4 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 414 | 391 | 102 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 95 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 261 | 286 | 376 | 662 | 115 | 320 | 23 | 3 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 50 | 46 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 306 | 370 | 676 | 109 | 289 | 16 | 6 | 303 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 364 | 352 | 100 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 284 | 298 | 392 | 690 | 108 | 331 | 20 | 2 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 295 | 275 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 82 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 196 | 246 | 247 | 493 | 51 | 270 | 28 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 20 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 316 | 616 | 53 | 417 | 35 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 350 | 368 | 718 | 53 | 429 | 25 | 5 | 325 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 653 | 607 | 169 | 37 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 163 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 278 | 316 | 435 | 751 | 157 | 349 | 25 | 4 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 653 | 593 | 183 | 39 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 131 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 309 | 359 | 499 | 859 | 191 | 361 | 20 | 6 | 370 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 705 | 654 | 157 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 185 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 240 | 281 | 332 | 613 | 92 | 317 | 26 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 705 | 637 | 185 | 42 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 145 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 290 | 346 | 432 | 778 | 141 | 353 | 21 | 7 | 340 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 639 | 608 | 165 | 26 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 107 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 271 | 302 | 405 | 707 | 133 | 306 | 17 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 639 | 590 | 173 | 30 | 7 | 17 | 43 | 94 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 293 | 343 | 454 | 798 | 161 | 323 | 15 | 7 | 351 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 552 | 152 | 32 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 147 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 275 | 321 | 399 | 719 | 123 | 356 | 25 | 5 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 596 | 542 | 166 | 36 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 121 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 306 | 362 | 454 | 816 | 148 | 373 | 20 | 7 | 359 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 301 | 84 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 279 | 309 | 402 | 711 | 123 | 335 | 19 | 3 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 317 | 297 | 93 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 313 | 350 | 468 | 818 | 155 | 358 | 16 | 5 | 358 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 434 | 110 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 109 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 253 | 278 | 364 | 642 | 111 | 323 | 24 | 3 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 458 | 427 | 126 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 295 | 330 | 431 | 761 | 136 | 351 | 18 | 4 | 330 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 414 | 398 | 112 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 80 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 281 | 299 | 389 | 688 | 108 | 334 | 19 | 2 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 414 | 394 | 123 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 312 | 336 | 444 | 780 | 132 | 354 | 16 | 3 | 340 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 295 | 275 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 82 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 196 | 246 | 247 | 493 | 51 | 273 | 28 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 295 | 266 | 65 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 62 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 244 | 314 | 305 | 619 | 60 | 312 | 21 | 9 | 284 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 20 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 316 | 616 | 53 | 388 | 35 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 653 | 615 | 169 | 37 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 163 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 275 | 316 | 429 | 745 | 154 | 339 | 25 | 4 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 705 | 662 | 157 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 185 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 237 | 281 | 328 | 609 | 91 | 307 | 26 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 639 | 607 | 165 | 26 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 107 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 272 | 302 | 405 | 708 | 133 | 304 | 17 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 554 | 152 | 32 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 147 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 274 | 321 | 397 | 718 | 123 | 352 | 25 | 5 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 301 | 84 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 279 | 309 | 402 | 711 | 123 | 333 | 19 | 3 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 440 | 110 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 109 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 250 | 278 | 359 | 637 | 109 | 314 | 24 | 3 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 414 | 401 | 112 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 80 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 279 | 299 | 387 | 686 | 107 | 326 | 19 | 2 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 295 | 275 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 82 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 196 | 246 | 247 | 493 | 51 | 270 | 28 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 350 | 327 | 82 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 86 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 251 | 290 | 339 | 629 | 89 | 322 | 25 | 5 | 280 | 84 | -10 | -2 | -7 | +2 | +8 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 152 | 28 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 160 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 250 | 290 | 338 | 628 | 87 | 323 | 25 | 5 | 280 | 84 | -19 | -3 | -14 | +3 | +14 | -1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4097 | 3848 | 1008 | 195 | 27 | 66 | 164 | 941 | 27 | 45 | 41 | 262 | 297 | 378 | 675 | 116 | 327 | 23 | 4 | 292 | 84 | -10 | -2 | -7 | +2 | +8 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 610 | 159 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 149 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 261 | 295 | 374 | 669 | 113 | 326 | 23 | 4 | 292 | 84 | -19 | -3 | -14 | +3 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 295 PAwOBA .277 → .221 (−57)K% 21.0% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.02% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.81% | ÷1.005 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.900 | ×1.007 | ×0.972 | 21.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.37% | ÷0.918 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×0.972 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.928 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 0.40% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 95, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .277 → .221; ISO .060 → .049; BABIP .312 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASacramento River Cats · 364 PAwOBA .340 → .292 (−48)K% 15.9% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.93% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.02% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 2.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.28% | ÷0.960 | ×0.900 | ×1.021 | ×0.982 | 26.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.21% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×1.021 | ×0.982 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.021 | ×0.982 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.082 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .340 → .292; ISO .135 → .105; BABIP .362 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASalt Lake Bees · 414 PAwOBA .337 → .282 (−54)K% 16.9% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.91% | ÷0.952 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 2.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.012 | ×0.900 | ×1.042 | ×0.992 | 23.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.25% | ÷1.001 | ×0.810 | ×1.042 | ×0.992 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.987 | ×0.810 | ×1.042 | ×0.992 | 1.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.25% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .337 → .282; ISO .143 → .114; BABIP .359 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASalt Lake Bees · 214 PAwOBA .387 → .322 (−64)K% 14.5% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.49% | ÷0.986 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.07% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.55% | ÷1.013 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 22.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.18% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 8.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.958 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.139 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.06% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 103, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .387 → .322; ISO .192 → .148; BABIP .374 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASalt Lake Bees · 443 PAwOBA .373 → .321 (−52)K% 17.4% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.38% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.32% | ÷1.016 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.38% | ÷0.997 | ×0.900 | ×1.040 | ×1.018 | 26.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.62% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | ×1.040 | ×1.018 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.040 | ×1.018 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.38% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .373 → .321; ISO .167 → .135; BABIP .380 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASacramento River Cats · 562 PAwOBA .343 → .305 (−37)K% 13.3% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.35% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.69% | ÷1.064 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 3.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.61% | ÷0.940 | ×0.900 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 23.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.24% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.062 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.34% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 2.91% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 112, K 107, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .343 → .305; ISO .162 → .135; BABIP .320 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAMidland RockHounds · 587 PAwOBA .325 → .267 (−58)K% 20.3% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.27% | ÷0.941 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.30% | ÷1.040 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.01% | ÷1.077 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 24.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.03% | ÷1.103 | ×0.840 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 6.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.24% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.19% | ÷0.960 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 115, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .325 → .267; ISO .117 → .094; BABIP .355 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Stockton Ports · 606 PAwOBA .377 → .324 (−53)K% 19.3% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.31% | ÷1.036 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.94% | ÷1.062 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.29% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 24.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.05% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 8.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.928 | ×0.760 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.183 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 86, K 107, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .377 → .324; ISO .203 → .165; BABIP .366 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .