Chad Huffman

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1985-04-29

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	31	AAADET	511	.286/.392/.505	17	11	99	—	.233/.315/.410
2017	32	AAASyracuse Chie…	301	.234/.362/.399	7	1	65	—	.186/.282/.312
2017	32	MLBSTL	15	.286/.333/.429	0	0	114	-0.3
2018	33	AAADET	334	.268/.360/.457	12	0	79	—	.219/.291/.377
2019	34	No MLB games played
2020	35	No MLB games played
2021	36	No MLB games played
2022	37	No MLB games played
2023	38	No MLB games played
2024	39	No MLB games played
2025	40	No MLB games played
2026	41	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.3

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	21	A	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	16	14	3	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	1	214	312	357	670	143	250	12	12	301	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	197	167	45	4	1	7	22	44	4	0	0	269	368	431	799	162	319	22	11	353	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	371	316	97	19	2	15	42	56	10	0	1	307	405	522	927	215	331	15	11	406	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	517	437	124	30	1	9	67	83	7	1	1	284	387	419	806	135	328	16	13	361	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA	Portland Beavers	—	540	469	126	30	2	20	57	115	12	8	5	269	362	469	832	200	315	21	11	368	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	21	18	3	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	167	286	167	452		231	24	10	231	42	-1	+0	+0	-5	+0	-0.6
2010	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	415	368	101	20	0	10	40	81	5	0	2	274	354	410	764	136	327	20	10	343	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	512	431	106	30	2	13	67	107	6	5	1	246	355	415	770	169	293	21	13	342	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	INTL	Phoenix Desert Dogs	—	80	70	15	6	0	1	10	13	0	0	0	214	312	343	655	129	250	16	12	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	261	234	66	22	0	6	23	58	2	1	0	282	351	453	804	171	351	22	9	355	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	INTL	Toros del Este	—	36	34	10	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	294	333	324	657	29	435	31	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	365	309	87	18	1	13	47	70	4	2	0	282	383	472	856	191	322	19	13	376	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	32	28	6	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	214	312	214	527		240	9	12	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	511	430	123	33	5	17	61	93	14	11	5	286	392	505	897	219	325	18	12	392	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	15	14	4	0	1	0	1	6	0	0	0	286	333	429	762	143	500	40	7	335	114	+0	+0	-0	-3	+0	-0.3
2017	32	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	301	248	58	18	1	7	39	59	11	1	0	234	362	399	762	165	277	20	13	344	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	334	291	78	17	1	12	33	78	9	0	1	268	360	457	817	189	327	23	10	364	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	36	32	7	0	1	0	3	11	1	0	0	219	306	281	587	62	333	31	8	274	72	-1	+0	+0	-8	+1	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	16	15	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	1	200	250	333	583	133	233	19	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	197	173	43	4	1	6	16	54	4	0	0	249	326	387	714	139	300	27	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	371	328	88	16	2	14	30	75	10	0	1	268	348	457	805	189	298	20	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	517	456	115	26	1	8	48	101	7	1	1	252	333	366	699	114	299	20	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	540	483	105	23	2	16	43	148	12	8	5	217	297	373	670	155	275	27	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	21	18	3	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	167	286	167	452		231	24	10	231	42	-1	+0	+0	-5	+0	-0.6
2010	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	415	379	89	16	0	8	29	100	5	0	2	235	298	340	638	106	296	24	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	512	453	92	25	2	8	45	134	6	5	1	203	284	320	604	117	258	26	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	261	242	57	18	0	4	15	72	2	1	0	236	286	360	645	124	314	28	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	365	324	75	14	1	10	32	90	4	2	0	231	308	373	682	142	282	25	9	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	511	451	105	24	4	16	40	110	14	11	5	233	315	410	725	177	265	22	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	15	14	4	0	1	0	1	6	0	0	0	286	333	429	762	143	500	40	7	337	114	+0	+0	-0	-3	+0	-0.3
2017	32	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	301	263	49	13	1	6	24	70	11	1	0	186	282	312	594	125	224	23	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	334	302	66	13	1	11	22	93	9	0	1	219	291	377	669	159	269	28	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	16	15	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	1	200	250	333	583	133	250	19	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A RAW	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	16	14	3	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	1	214	312	357	670	143	250	12	12	301	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	568	501	130	19	3	20	46	129	14	0	1	259	339	429	768	170	307	23	8	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	568	483	142	23	3	22	64	100	14	0	1	294	392	491	883	197	327	18	11	388	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	517	456	115	26	1	8	48	101	7	1	1	252	333	366	699	114	303	20	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	517	437	124	30	1	9	67	83	7	1	1	284	387	419	806	135	328	16	13	361	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	540	483	105	23	2	16	43	148	12	8	5	217	297	373	670	155	277	27	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA RAW	Portland Beavers	—	540	469	126	30	2	20	57	115	12	8	5	269	362	469	832	200	315	21	11	368	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	436	397	92	16	0	8	31	105	6	0	2	232	297	332	630	101	295	24	7	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	436	386	104	20	0	10	42	86	6	0	2	269	350	399	749	130	323	20	10	338	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	592	526	107	29	3	9	52	155	6	5	1	203	283	321	604	118	266	26	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	592	501	121	36	2	14	77	120	6	5	1	242	349	405	755	164	287	20	13	336	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	297	276	66	21	0	5	17	81	2	1	0	239	288	370	658	130	319	27	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	297	268	76	23	0	6	25	69	2	1	0	284	349	437	786	153	361	23	8	348	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	397	353	83	16	1	11	35	98	4	2	0	235	311	380	691	144	290	25	9	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	397	337	93	18	1	13	51	73	4	2	0	276	378	451	829	175	314	18	13	367	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	511	451	105	24	4	16	40	110	14	11	5	233	315	410	725	177	269	22	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	511	430	123	33	5	17	61	93	14	11	5	286	392	505	897	219	325	18	12	392	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	316	277	53	13	2	6	25	76	11	1	0	191	284	318	602	126	239	24	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	316	262	62	18	2	7	40	65	11	1	0	237	361	401	762	164	286	21	13	344	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	334	302	66	13	1	11	22	93	9	0	1	219	291	377	669	159	276	28	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	334	291	78	17	1	12	33	78	9	0	1	268	360	457	817	189	327	23	10	364	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	16	15	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	1	200	250	333	583	133	233	19	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	568	503	130	19	3	20	46	129	14	0	1	258	339	427	766	169	299	23	8	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	517	457	115	26	1	8	48	101	7	1	1	252	333	365	698	114	299	20	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	540	480	105	23	2	16	43	148	12	8	5	219	297	375	672	156	275	27	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	436	396	92	16	0	8	31	105	6	0	2	232	297	333	631	101	293	24	7	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	592	529	107	29	3	9	52	155	6	5	1	202	283	319	602	117	258	26	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	297	276	66	21	0	5	17	81	2	1	0	239	288	370	658	130	314	27	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	397	355	83	16	1	11	35	98	4	2	0	234	311	377	689	144	282	25	9	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	511	452	105	24	4	16	40	110	14	11	5	232	315	409	724	177	265	22	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	316	277	53	13	2	6	25	76	11	1	0	191	284	318	602	126	237	24	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	334	300	66	13	1	11	22	93	9	0	1	220	291	380	671	160	269	28	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	36	32	7	0	1	0	3	11	1	0	0	219	306	281	587	62	333	31	8	274	86	-1	+0	+0	-8	+1	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	126	0	18	0	54	199	18	0	0	218	305	280	585	62	332	31	8	274	86	-22	+0	+1	-145	+14	-15.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4524	4037	925	200	18	110	360	1099	85	29	17	229	306	369	675	140	285	24	8	295	86	-1	+0	+0	-8	+1	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	134	29	3	16	52	158	12	4	2	231	307	374	682	143	287	24	8	295	86	-22	+0	+1	-145	+14	-15.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 334 PAwOBA .355 → .285 (−70)K% 23.4% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.35%	÷1.011	×1.200	—	—	27.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.88%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×0.942	6.55%
HBP% /PA	2.69%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	2.39%
Singles /BIP	22.54%	÷1.005	×0.930	×0.986	×0.942	19.37%
Doubles /BIP	7.98%	÷1.038	×0.830	×0.986	×0.942	5.93%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷1.038	×0.970	×0.986	×0.942	0.41%
Home runs /BIP	5.63%	÷0.893	×0.840	—	×0.942	4.99%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 108, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .355 → .285; ISO .189 → .158; BABIP .327 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 301 PAwOBA .337 → .265 (−71)K% 19.6% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.60%	÷1.005	×1.200	—	—	23.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.62%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.952	8.03%
HBP% /PA	3.65%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	3.27%
Singles /BIP	16.93%	÷0.997	×0.930	×0.979	×0.952	14.72%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷1.081	×0.830	×0.979	×0.952	6.82%
Triples /BIP	0.53%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.979	×0.952	0.42%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷0.980	×0.840	—	×0.952	3.02%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .337 → .265; ISO .165 → .132; BABIP .277 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 511 PAwOBA .386 → .315 (−72)K% 18.2% → 21.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.20%	÷1.009	×1.200	—	—	21.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.94%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×0.962	7.89%
HBP% /PA	2.74%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	2.48%
Singles /BIP	20.18%	÷1.001	×0.930	×0.975	×0.962	17.58%
Doubles /BIP	9.79%	÷1.092	×0.830	×0.975	×0.962	6.98%
Triples /BIP	1.48%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.975	×0.962	1.17%
Home runs /BIP	5.04%	÷0.899	×0.840	—	×0.962	4.53%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .386 → .315; ISO .219 → .185; BABIP .325 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 365 PAwOBA .370 → .302 (−69)K% 19.2% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.18%	÷1.004	×1.290	—	—	24.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.88%	÷1.020	×0.710	—	×0.992	8.89%
HBP% /PA	1.10%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	1.07%
Singles /BIP	23.01%	÷0.970	×0.900	×0.995	×0.992	21.08%
Doubles /BIP	7.53%	÷1.002	×0.810	×0.995	×0.992	6.01%
Triples /BIP	0.42%	÷0.984	×0.810	×0.995	×0.992	0.34%
Home runs /BIP	5.44%	÷0.988	×0.780	—	×0.992	4.26%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .370 → .302; ISO .191 → .150; BABIP .322 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAColumbus Clippers · 261 PAwOBA .345 → .285 (−61)K% 22.2% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.22%	÷0.974	×1.200	—	—	27.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.43%	÷0.998	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.84%
HBP% /PA	0.77%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.72%
Singles /BIP	21.59%	÷1.002	×0.930	×1.011	×1.003	20.32%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.999	×0.830	×1.011	×1.003	10.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.101	×0.970	×1.011	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.41%	÷1.178	×0.840	—	×1.003	2.44%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 120, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .345 → .285; ISO .171 → .131; BABIP .351 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAColumbus Clippers · 512 PAwOBA .337 → .269 (−68)K% 20.9% → 26.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.90%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	26.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.89%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×1.018	8.78%
HBP% /PA	1.17%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.12%
Singles /BIP	18.83%	÷1.020	×0.930	×0.989	×1.018	17.29%
Doubles /BIP	9.26%	÷1.015	×0.830	×0.989	×1.018	7.63%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.989	×1.018	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	4.01%	÷1.378	×0.840	—	×1.018	2.49%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .337 → .269; ISO .169 → .125; BABIP .293 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees · 415 PAwOBA .335 → .282 (−53)K% 19.5% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.52%	÷0.970	×1.200	—	—	24.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.64%	÷0.983	×0.690	—	×1.033	6.99%
HBP% /PA	1.20%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.17%
Singles /BIP	24.74%	÷1.003	×0.930	×0.980	×1.033	23.24%
Doubles /BIP	6.97%	÷1.036	×0.830	×0.980	×1.033	5.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.980	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.48%	÷1.070	×0.840	—	×1.033	2.83%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .335 → .282; ISO .136 → .108; BABIP .327 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAPortland Beavers · 540 PAwOBA .360 → .292 (−68)K% 21.3% → 27.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.30%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	27.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.56%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.048	7.85%
HBP% /PA	2.22%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	2.28%
Singles /BIP	20.90%	÷1.000	×0.900	×0.963	×1.048	18.98%
Doubles /BIP	8.47%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.963	×1.048	6.93%
Triples /BIP	0.56%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.963	×1.048	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	5.65%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.048	4.62%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .360 → .292; ISO .200 → .156; BABIP .315 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .