Tyler Colvin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 28 | AAACOL | 176 | .239/.291/.356 | 2 | 3 | 34 | — | .186/.223/.269 | |
| 2014 | 28 | MLBSF | 149 | .223/.270/.381 | 2 | 1 | 82 | -0.4 | ||
| 2015 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 370 | .211/.258/.309 | 4 | 0 | 21 | — | .179/.202/.247 | |
| 2018 | 32 | AALAD | 47 | .286/.348/.405 | 1 | 0 | 59 | — | .256/.304/.372 | |
| 2019 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 21 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 257 | 247 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 54 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 291 | 314 | 462 | 775 | 170 | 341 | 21 | 2 | 339 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 262 | 245 | 75 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 306 | 341 | 514 | 855 | 208 | 349 | 18 | 4 | 368 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 602 | 540 | 138 | 27 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 101 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 256 | 316 | 424 | 740 | 169 | 286 | 17 | 7 | 321 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 176 | 440 | 231 | 25 | 10 | 206 | 25 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 331 | 307 | 92 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 57 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 300 | 335 | 524 | 860 | 225 | 328 | 17 | 5 | 367 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 129 | 112 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 333 | 357 | 690 | 107 | 310 | 21 | 10 | 307 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 395 | 358 | 91 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 100 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 254 | 316 | 500 | 816 | 246 | 296 | 25 | 8 | 353 | 122 | +10 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 222 | 206 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 205 | 306 | 510 | 155 | 175 | 26 | 6 | 225 | 31 | -18 | +0 | +2 | -5 | +5 | -1.7 |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 212 | 203 | 52 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 274 | 478 | 752 | 222 | 312 | 26 | 2 | 319 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 452 | 420 | 122 | 27 | 10 | 18 | 21 | 117 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 290 | 323 | 531 | 854 | 240 | 364 | 26 | 5 | 365 | 115 | +8 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 78 | 75 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 280 | 472 | 120 | 200 | 35 | 4 | 211 | 15 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 272 | 229 | 63 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 62 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 275 | 374 | 480 | 854 | 205 | 340 | 23 | 13 | 373 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 149 | 139 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 270 | 381 | 652 | 158 | 312 | 30 | 5 | 286 | 82 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 176 | 163 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 239 | 291 | 356 | 647 | 117 | 306 | 23 | 6 | 289 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 323 | 305 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 92 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 265 | 334 | 599 | 108 | 310 | 28 | 5 | 267 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 47 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 | 213 | 122 | 335 | 24 | 174 | 38 | 13 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 32 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 47 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 348 | 405 | 753 | 119 | 367 | 26 | 9 | 332 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1316 | 1215 | 290 | 63 | 21 | 49 | 78 | 352 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 239 | 286 | 446 | 732 | 207 | 294 | 27 | 6 | 317 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -7 | -14 | +29 | 1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 21 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 257 | 248 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 66 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 262 | 282 | 403 | 686 | 141 | 323 | 26 | 2 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 262 | 249 | 68 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 67 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 273 | 298 | 454 | 752 | 181 | 335 | 26 | 2 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 602 | 553 | 128 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 123 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 231 | 277 | 378 | 655 | 146 | 263 | 20 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 176 | 440 | 231 | 25 | 10 | 206 | 25 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 331 | 314 | 82 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 70 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 261 | 286 | 443 | 729 | 182 | 291 | 21 | 3 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 129 | 115 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 270 | 278 | 548 | 78 | 278 | 29 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 395 | 361 | 90 | 17 | 4 | 21 | 28 | 100 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 249 | 309 | 493 | 802 | 244 | 296 | 25 | 7 | 349 | 122 | +10 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 222 | 209 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 191 | 301 | 492 | 153 | 175 | 26 | 5 | 214 | 31 | -18 | +0 | +2 | -5 | +5 | -1.7 |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 212 | 205 | 41 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 212 | 356 | 568 | 156 | 275 | 35 | 1 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 452 | 426 | 114 | 26 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 117 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 268 | 305 | 474 | 779 | 207 | 364 | 26 | 5 | 339 | 115 | +8 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 78 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 179 | 276 | 456 | 118 | 200 | 35 | 3 | 190 | 15 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 272 | 244 | 54 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 85 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 221 | 296 | 377 | 673 | 156 | 294 | 31 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 149 | 139 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 270 | 381 | 652 | 158 | 312 | 30 | 5 | 290 | 82 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 176 | 167 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 53 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 186 | 223 | 269 | 492 | 84 | 260 | 30 | 4 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 323 | 312 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 114 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 202 | 247 | 449 | 67 | 273 | 35 | 2 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 32 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 47 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 304 | 372 | 676 | 116 | 312 | 32 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 497 | 133 | 33 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 133 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 268 | 290 | 429 | 719 | 161 | 337 | 26 | 2 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 519 | 492 | 147 | 35 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 101 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 299 | 327 | 488 | 815 | 189 | 345 | 19 | 3 | 354 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 602 | 553 | 128 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 123 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 231 | 277 | 378 | 655 | 146 | 272 | 20 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 602 | 540 | 138 | 27 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 101 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 256 | 316 | 424 | 740 | 169 | 286 | 17 | 7 | 321 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 480 | 447 | 109 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 113 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 244 | 281 | 396 | 677 | 152 | 296 | 24 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 480 | 436 | 123 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 89 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 282 | 332 | 468 | 800 | 186 | 320 | 19 | 6 | 344 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 395 | 361 | 90 | 17 | 4 | 21 | 28 | 100 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 249 | 309 | 493 | 802 | 244 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 349 | 122 | +10 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | — | 395 | 358 | 91 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 100 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 254 | 316 | 500 | 816 | 246 | 296 | 25 | 8 | 353 | 122 | +10 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 434 | 414 | 73 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 132 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 203 | 338 | 541 | 162 | 223 | 30 | 3 | 230 | 42 | -30 | -0 | +2 | -5 | +9 | -2.4 |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 434 | 409 | 83 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 113 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 203 | 238 | 391 | 630 | 188 | 244 | 26 | 4 | 271 | 42 | -30 | -0 | +2 | -5 | +9 | -2.4 |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 452 | 426 | 114 | 26 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 117 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 268 | 305 | 474 | 779 | 207 | 333 | 26 | 5 | 339 | 115 | +8 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB RAW | Colorado Rockies | — | 452 | 420 | 122 | 27 | 10 | 18 | 21 | 117 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 290 | 323 | 531 | 854 | 240 | 364 | 26 | 5 | 365 | 115 | +8 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 320 | 64 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 112 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 200 | 264 | 338 | 602 | 138 | 275 | 32 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 350 | 304 | 75 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 89 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 247 | 333 | 431 | 764 | 184 | 309 | 25 | 11 | 337 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 325 | 306 | 64 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 98 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 209 | 251 | 337 | 587 | 127 | 291 | 30 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 325 | 302 | 70 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 86 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 232 | 282 | 368 | 649 | 136 | 308 | 26 | 6 | 288 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 358 | 66 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 130 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 207 | 263 | 469 | 78 | 279 | 35 | 2 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 346 | 73 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 110 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 258 | 309 | 567 | 98 | 296 | 30 | 6 | 255 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 32 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 47 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 304 | 372 | 676 | 116 | 357 | 32 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 32 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 47 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 348 | 405 | 753 | 119 | 367 | 26 | 9 | 332 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 498 | 133 | 33 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 133 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 267 | 290 | 428 | 718 | 161 | 329 | 26 | 2 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 602 | 562 | 128 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 123 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 228 | 277 | 372 | 649 | 144 | 263 | 20 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 480 | 454 | 109 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 113 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 240 | 281 | 390 | 671 | 150 | 285 | 24 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 395 | 361 | 90 | 17 | 4 | 21 | 28 | 100 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 249 | 309 | 493 | 802 | 244 | 296 | 25 | 7 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 434 | 417 | 73 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 132 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 203 | 336 | 539 | 161 | 224 | 30 | 3 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 452 | 426 | 114 | 26 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 117 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 268 | 305 | 474 | 779 | 207 | 364 | 26 | 5 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 319 | 64 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 112 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 201 | 264 | 339 | 603 | 138 | 273 | 32 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 325 | 305 | 64 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 98 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 210 | 251 | 338 | 588 | 128 | 284 | 30 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 357 | 66 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 130 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 207 | 263 | 470 | 78 | 273 | 35 | 2 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 32 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 47 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 304 | 364 | 668 | 114 | 312 | 32 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1316 | 1215 | 290 | 63 | 21 | 49 | 78 | 352 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 239 | 286 | 446 | 732 | 207 | 294 | 27 | 6 | 317 | 76 | +1 | +1 | -7 | -14 | +29 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 143 | 31 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 174 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 238 | 287 | 443 | 730 | 205 | 294 | 27 | 6 | 317 | 76 | +1 | +1 | -4 | -7 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3974 | 3725 | 852 | 173 | 53 | 103 | 178 | 1073 | 22 | 56 | 20 | 229 | 268 | 387 | 655 | 158 | 290 | 27 | 4 | 281 | 76 | +1 | +1 | -7 | -14 | +29 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 609 | 140 | 28 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 176 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 230 | 269 | 389 | 659 | 159 | 292 | 27 | 4 | 281 | 76 | +1 | +1 | -4 | -7 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AATulsa Drillers · 47 PAwOBA .330 → .255 (−75)K% 25.5% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.53% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 26.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.991 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.940 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.147 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 2.19% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 81, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .330 → .255; ISO .119 → .083; BABIP .367 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAACharlotte Knights · 323 PAwOBA .256 → .202 (−54)K% 28.5% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.48% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.72% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 2.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.07% | ÷0.973 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×0.972 | 20.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.993 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×0.972 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×0.972 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.88% | ÷1.306 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 1.17% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .256 → .202; ISO .108 → .075; BABIP .310 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 176 PAwOBA .281 → .218 (−63)K% 23.3% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.30% | ÷0.994 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.68% | ÷1.005 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 3.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.31% | ÷1.002 | ×0.900 | ×0.994 | ×0.982 | 18.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | ×0.994 | ×0.982 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.994 | ×0.982 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.045 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 1.20% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .281 → .218; ISO .117 → .086; BABIP .306 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 272 PAwOBA .363 → .286 (−77)K% 22.8% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.79% | ÷0.941 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 8.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.95% | ÷1.031 | ×0.900 | ×1.036 | ×0.992 | 21.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.79% | ÷0.967 | ×0.810 | ×1.036 | ×0.992 | 4.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.59% | ÷1.071 | ×0.810 | ×1.036 | ×0.992 | 2.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.39% | ÷1.022 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 4.08% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 114, K 88, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .363 → .286; ISO .205 → .154; BABIP .340 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAIowa Cubs · 212 PAwOBA .314 → .247 (−67)K% 25.9% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.94% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.36% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 1.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.24% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 17.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷1.017 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.086 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 3.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.73% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.02% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 117, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .314 → .247; ISO .222 → .166; BABIP .312 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AATennessee Smokies · 331 PAwOBA .357 → .307 (−50)K% 17.2% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 2.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 20.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 2.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.53% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .357 → .307; ISO .225 → .189; BABIP .328 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Daytona Cubs · 129 PAwOBA .307 → .252 (−55)K% 20.9% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 7.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 21.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 1.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.02% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .307 → .252; ISO .107 → .088; BABIP .310 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AATennessee Smokies · 602 PAwOBA .317 → .279 (−38)K% 16.8% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.66% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×1.027 | 18.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×1.027 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.984 | ×1.027 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.62% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .317 → .279; ISO .169 → .148; BABIP .286 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .