Mat Latos

PosP

B/TR/R

Born1987-12-09

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBSPLAST SEASON 2017

Pitching

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2015	27	MIX2 levels	25	22	121	4.83	3.67	20.2%	7.0%	2.5	K 20.2% · BB 6.3% · FIP 3.60
2016	28	MIX3 levels	23	18	98	3.86	4.46	16.6%	9.3%	1.1	K 13.4% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.93
2017	29	MIX2 levels	9	8	41	4.83	5.44	18.4%	10.8%	-0.0	K 16.8% · BB 11.2% · FIP 5.66
2018	30	No MLB games played
2019	31	No MLB games played
2020	32	No MLB games played
2021	33	No MLB games played
2022	34	No MLB games played
2023	35	No MLB games played
2024	36	No MLB games played
2025	37	No MLB games played
2026	38	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.6

Hitting

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2013	25	MLBCIN	78	.127/.139/.155	0	0	-31	-1.1
2014	26	MLBCIN	32	.100/.129/.100	0	0	-42	-0.5
2015	27	MLBLAD	34	.292/.292/.292	0	0	14	-0.3
2016	28	No MLB games played
2017	29	No MLB games played
2018	30	No MLB games played
2019	31	No MLB games played
2020	32	No MLB games played
2021	33	No MLB games played
2022	34	No MLB games played
2023	35	No MLB games played
2024	36	No MLB games played
2025	37	No MLB games played
2026	38	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
2009	21	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	10	10	51	212	39	22	7	100%	5.1	18.4%	10.4%	8.0%	3.3%	4.62	4.67	+0.4
2009	21	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	10	10	51	212	39	22	7	100%	5.1	18.4%	10.4%	8.0%	3.3%	4.62	4.66	+0.4
2010	22	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	31	31	185	748	189	47	16	100%	6.0	25.3%	6.3%	19.0%	2.1%	2.92	2.91	+5.8
2010	22	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	31	31	185	748	189	47	16	100%	6.0	25.3%	6.3%	19.0%	2.1%	2.92	2.94	+5.7
2011	23	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	31	31	194	799	185	59	16	100%	6.3	23.2%	7.4%	15.8%	2.0%	3.47	3.15	+5.5
2011	23	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	31	31	194	799	185	59	16	100%	6.3	23.2%	7.4%	15.8%	2.0%	3.47	3.18	+5.4
2012	24	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	33	33	209	858	185	55	25	100%	6.3	21.6%	6.4%	15.2%	2.7%	3.48	3.57	+4.7
2012	24	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	33	33	209	858	185	55	25	100%	6.3	21.6%	6.4%	15.2%	2.9%	3.48	3.67	+4.4
2013	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	32	32	211	881	187	53	14	100%	6.6	21.2%	6.0%	15.2%	1.5%	3.16	2.88	+6.8
2013	25	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	32	32	211	881	187	53	14	100%	6.6	21.2%	6.0%	15.2%	1.6%	3.16	2.94	+6.6
2014	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	16	16	102	420	74	24	9	100%	6.4	17.6%	5.7%	11.9%	2.0%	3.25	3.43	+2.5
2014	26	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	16	16	102	420	74	24	9	100%	6.4	17.6%	5.7%	11.9%	2.1%	3.25	3.50	+2.4
2015	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	22	121	516	104	36	13	88%	4.8	20.2%	6.3%	14.0%	2.6%	4.83	3.60	+2.6
2015	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	22	121	516	104	36	13	88%	4.8	20.2%	7.0%	13.2%	2.5%	4.83	3.67	+2.5
2016	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	18	98	421	70	39	12	78%	4.3	13.4%	9.6%	3.8%	3.2%	3.86	4.93	+0.5
2016	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	18	98	421	70	39	12	78%	4.3	16.6%	9.3%	7.4%	2.9%	3.86	4.46	+1.1
2017	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	8	41	185	34	20	8	89%	4.6	16.8%	11.2%	5.7%	4.7%	4.83	5.66	-0.1
2017	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	8	41	185	34	20	8	89%	4.6	18.4%	10.8%	7.6%	4.3%	4.83	5.44	-0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			197	189	1153	4791	1011	327	116	96%	5.9	21.1%	6.8%	14.3%	2.4%	3.64	3.50	+26.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		197	189	1153	4791	1011	327	116	96%	5.9	21.1%	6.8%	14.3%	2.4%	3.64	3.51	+26.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	33	200	831	175	57	20	96%	5.9	21.1%	6.8%	14.3%	2.4%	3.64	3.51	+4.6
Career	—	MLE		210	201	1212	5040	1051	353	118	96%	5.8	20.9%	7.0%	13.8%	2.3%	3.58	3.51	+26.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		35	33	200	832	173	58	19	96%	5.8	20.9%	7.0%	13.8%	2.3%	3.58	3.51	+4.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAABuffalo Bisons · 26 IPFIP 4.20 → 4.80 (+0.60)K% 20.9% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.87%	—	×0.880	18.37%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.30%	—	×1.050	11.87%
HR / BF /BF	2.61%	÷0.903	×1.100	3.18%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 80).

Result: FIP 4.20 → 4.80, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 17 IPFIP 3.93 → 4.23 (+0.30)K% 14.1% → 12.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	14.08%	—	×0.880	12.39%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.86%	—	×1.050	10.35%
HR / BF /BF	1.41%	÷0.978	×1.100	1.58%

Result: FIP 3.93 → 4.23, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ROKGCL Nationals · 11 IPFIP 0.32 → 1.74 (+1.42)K% 43.9% → 29.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	43.90%	—	×0.680	29.85%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.32%	—	×1.250	9.15%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.400	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 0.32 → 1.74, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 5 IPFIP 4.44 → 4.77 (+0.33)K% 18.2% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.18%	—	×0.880	16.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	22.73%	—	×1.050	23.86%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.975	×1.100	0.00%

Result: FIP 4.44 → 4.77, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).