Joe Benson

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1988-03-05

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	25	AAA/AA/ROK3 orgs	345	.215/.294/.362	7	9	44	—	.179/.234/.292
2014	26	AAJacksonville …	498	.264/.370/.410	10	15	85	—	.234/.314/.356
2015	27	AAA/AA2 orgs	354	.248/.353/.361	4	11	66	—	.215/.293/.304

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	18	A	Beloit Snappers	—	19	19	5	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	263	263	263	526		385	32	0	238	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	221	196	51	11	5	5	21	41	2	9	10	260	338	444	782	184	303	19	10	343	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	507	432	110	18	8	5	49	124	15	18	16	255	351	368	719	113	341	24	10	322	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A	Beloit Snappers	—	290	254	63	16	3	4	24	73	7	17	11	248	330	382	712	134	328	25	8	317	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	327	263	75	10	3	5	46	74	13	14	7	285	416	403	819	118	376	23	14	371	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	423	374	94	20	7	23	39	115	9	14	9	251	336	527	863	275	300	27	9	375	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	96	85	25	11	1	4	8	21	3	5	0	294	375	588	963	294	350	22	8	417	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	INTL	Peoria Saguaros	—	60	55	13	6	0	1	3	16	2	1	0	236	300	400	700	164	316	27	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	74	71	17	6	1	0	3	21	0	2	2	239	270	352	622	113	340	28	4	277	73	-2	-0	-1	-7	+2	-0.9
2011	23	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	472	400	114	28	4	16	56	109	13	13	9	285	390	495	885	210	353	23	12	390	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	62	51	11	4	2	0	9	15	2	1	1	216	355	373	727	157	306	24	15	333	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	108	95	17	3	2	2	11	27	1	4	0	179	271	316	587	137	224	25	10	266	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	157	141	26	6	1	3	13	43	3	4	3	184	268	305	572	121	242	27	8	263	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	38	33	10	3	0	1	5	9	0	4	0	303	395	485	880	182	391	24	13	391	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	165	151	29	7	2	1	10	50	3	4	2	192	255	285	539	93	280	30	6	247	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	150	132	27	4	3	5	15	44	2	3	1	205	295	394	689	189	262	29	10	306	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	30	24	10	3	0	1	4	5	1	2	0	417	517	667	1.184	250	474	17	13	496	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	498	417	110	23	4	10	57	96	13	15	4	264	370	410	780	146	313	19	11	346	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	137	118	29	8	1	0	15	27	3	4	0	246	346	331	676	85	319	20	11	311	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	217	184	46	10	1	4	25	36	6	7	1	250	358	380	739	130	288	17	12	335	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	74	71	17	6	1	0	3	21	0	2	2	239	270	352	622	113	340	28	4	277	73	-2	-0	-1	-7	+2	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	18	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	19	19	4	0	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	211	211	211	421		372	42	0	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	221	204	40	8	4	4	13	59	2	9	10	196	251	333	584	137	247	27	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	507	446	100	15	7	4	35	169	15	18	16	224	302	316	619	92	330	33	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	290	261	55	13	3	3	17	99	7	17	11	211	277	318	595	107	309	34	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	327	276	64	9	2	4	33	105	13	14	7	232	342	322	664	91	343	32	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	423	386	89	18	8	20	27	136	9	14	9	231	296	474	770	244	295	32	6	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	96	87	22	9	1	4	6	31	3	5	0	253	323	517	840	264	332	32	6	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	74	71	17	6	1	0	3	21	0	2	2	239	270	352	622	113	340	28	4	276	73	-2	-0	-1	-7	+2	-0.9
2011	23	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	472	416	107	24	4	14	40	133	13	13	9	257	341	435	776	178	332	28	8	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	108	98	16	3	2	2	8	31	1	4	0	163	234	296	530	133	206	29	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	157	145	24	5	1	3	9	53	3	4	3	166	229	276	505	110	233	34	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	38	35	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	4	0	229	289	400	689	171	337	34	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	165	155	25	6	2	1	7	61	3	4	2	161	212	245	457	84	260	37	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	150	139	24	3	3	3	8	55	2	3	1	173	228	302	530	129	250	37	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	30	26	8	2	0	1	2	7	1	2	0	308	379	500	879	192	348	23	7	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	498	436	102	23	3	8	38	116	13	15	4	234	314	356	670	122	282	23	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	137	124	27	7	1	0	9	34	3	4	0	218	287	290	577	73	300	25	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	217	192	41	8	1	3	17	45	6	7	1	214	298	312	610	99	254	21	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	240	223	44	8	4	4	13	67	2	10	10	197	248	323	571	126	260	28	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	240	215	56	11	5	5	21	47	2	10	10	260	332	428	760	167	309	20	9	335	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	507	446	100	15	7	4	35	169	15	18	16	224	302	316	619	92	345	33	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	—	507	432	110	18	8	5	49	124	15	18	16	255	351	368	719	113	341	24	10	322	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	290	261	55	13	3	3	17	99	7	17	11	211	277	318	595	107	321	34	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	—	290	254	63	16	3	4	24	73	7	17	11	248	330	382	712	134	328	25	8	317	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	327	276	64	9	2	4	33	105	13	14	7	232	342	322	664	91	355	32	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ RAW	Fort Myers Miracle	—	327	263	75	10	3	5	46	74	13	14	7	285	416	403	819	118	376	23	14	371	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	579	527	123	30	10	26	37	187	14	20	9	233	301	476	777	243	308	32	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	579	514	132	37	8	28	50	152	14	20	9	257	339	523	862	267	310	26	9	375	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	608	543	136	33	5	15	47	172	15	16	12	250	327	413	740	162	337	28	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	608	522	142	38	7	16	68	145	15	16	12	272	372	464	836	192	346	24	11	370	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	303	278	47	10	3	5	20	98	4	12	3	169	235	281	516	112	239	32	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	303	269	53	12	3	6	29	79	4	12	3	197	285	331	616	134	254	26	10	280	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	345	320	57	11	5	5	17	123	6	9	3	178	233	291	524	113	268	36	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	345	307	66	14	5	7	29	99	6	9	3	215	294	362	656	147	291	29	8	294	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	498	436	102	23	3	8	38	116	13	15	4	234	314	356	670	122	294	23	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA RAW	Jacksonville Suns	—	498	417	110	23	4	10	57	96	13	15	4	264	370	410	780	146	313	19	11	346	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	354	315	68	15	2	3	27	80	9	11	1	216	296	305	601	89	278	23	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	354	302	75	18	2	4	40	63	9	11	1	248	353	361	714	113	300	18	11	326	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	240	223	44	8	4	4	13	67	2	10	10	197	248	323	571	126	257	28	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	507	452	100	15	7	4	35	169	15	18	16	221	302	312	614	91	330	33	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	20	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	290	264	55	13	3	3	17	99	7	17	11	208	277	314	592	106	309	34	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	327	278	64	9	2	4	33	105	13	14	7	230	342	320	662	90	343	32	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	579	523	123	30	10	26	37	187	14	20	9	235	301	480	781	245	302	32	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	608	541	136	33	5	15	47	172	15	16	12	251	327	414	741	163	333	28	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	303	276	47	10	3	5	20	98	4	12	3	170	235	283	518	112	236	32	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	345	319	57	11	5	5	17	123	6	9	3	179	233	292	525	113	263	36	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	498	444	102	23	3	8	38	116	13	15	4	230	314	349	663	119	282	23	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	354	315	68	15	2	3	27	80	9	11	1	216	296	305	601	89	272	23	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	74	71	17	6	1	0	3	21	0	2	2	239	270	352	622	113	340	28	4	277	78	-2	-0	-1	-7	+2	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	624	150	53	9	0	26	184	0	18	18	240	271	354	625	114	341	28	4	277	78	-21	-4	-8	-57	+14	-7.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4051	3625	796	167	44	77	284	1216	98	142	76	220	294	354	648	134	305	30	7	284	78	-2	-0	-1	-7	+2	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	128	27	7	12	46	195	16	23	12	220	295	352	648	132	305	30	7	284	78	-21	-4	-8	-57	+14	-7.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AABinghamton Mets · 217 PAwOBA .330 → .270 (−60)K% 16.6% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.59%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	20.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.52%	÷0.988	×0.700	—	×0.978	7.98%
HBP% /PA	2.76%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	2.30%
Singles /BIP	20.95%	÷1.030	×0.970	×0.989	×0.978	19.09%
Doubles /BIP	6.76%	÷1.034	×0.860	×0.989	×0.978	5.43%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.989	×0.978	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷1.088	×0.780	—	×0.978	1.90%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .330 → .270; ISO .130 → .102; BABIP .288 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAGwinnett Braves · 137 PAwOBA .304 → .260 (−44)K% 19.7% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.71%	÷0.940	×1.200	—	—	25.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.95%	÷1.103	×0.690	—	×1.003	6.87%
HBP% /PA	2.19%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	2.06%
Singles /BIP	21.98%	÷0.996	×0.930	×1.031	×1.003	21.21%
Doubles /BIP	8.79%	÷0.988	×0.830	×1.031	×1.003	7.64%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷0.988	×0.970	×1.031	×1.003	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.014	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 88, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .304 → .260; ISO .085 → .076; BABIP .319 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAJacksonville Suns · 498 PAwOBA .342 → .294 (−48)K% 19.3% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.28%	÷1.010	×1.220	—	—	23.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.24%	÷0.995	×0.680	—	×0.988	7.59%
HBP% /PA	2.61%	—	×0.840	—	×0.988	2.17%
Singles /BIP	22.74%	÷1.012	×0.920	×0.996	×0.988	20.35%
Doubles /BIP	7.17%	÷0.940	×0.910	×0.996	×0.988	6.82%
Triples /BIP	1.25%	÷1.064	×0.880	×0.996	×0.988	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷1.006	×0.800	—	×0.988	2.45%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .342 → .294; ISO .146 → .130; BABIP .313 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARochester Red Wings · 165 PAwOBA .240 → .204 (−37)K% 30.3% → 36.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.30%	÷0.987	×1.200	—	—	36.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.06%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.21%
HBP% /PA	1.82%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.77%
Singles /BIP	18.81%	÷1.040	×0.930	×1.005	×1.033	17.46%
Doubles /BIP	6.93%	÷0.977	×0.830	×1.005	×1.033	6.12%
Triples /BIP	1.98%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.005	×1.033	2.22%
Home runs /BIP	0.99%	÷0.938	×0.840	—	×1.033	0.92%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .240 → .204; ISO .093 → .083; BABIP .280 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 150 PAwOBA .295 → .239 (−56)K% 29.3% → 36.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.33%	÷0.984	×1.220	—	—	36.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.67%	÷1.162	×0.700	—	×0.998	5.21%
HBP% /PA	1.33%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	1.16%
Singles /BIP	17.05%	÷0.933	×0.920	×1.023	×0.998	17.17%
Doubles /BIP	4.55%	÷1.035	×0.840	×1.023	×0.998	3.77%
Triples /BIP	3.41%	÷0.986	×0.940	×1.023	×0.998	3.32%
Home runs /BIP	5.68%	÷1.114	×0.800	—	×0.998	4.07%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 87, 2B 107, 3B 97, K 97, BB 132 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .295 → .239; ISO .189 → .147; BABIP .262 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKAZL Rangers · 30 PAwOBA .500 → .364 (−136)K% 16.7% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	24.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.945	7.81%
HBP% /PA	3.33%	—	×0.720	—	×0.945	2.27%
Singles /BIP	31.58%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.945	24.47%
Doubles /BIP	15.79%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.945	10.74%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.945	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.945	3.88%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .500 → .364; ISO .250 → .184; BABIP .474 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 157 PAwOBA .256 → .218 (−38)K% 27.4% → 34.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.39%	÷0.983	×1.220	—	—	34.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.28%	÷1.036	×0.700	—	×1.012	5.66%
HBP% /PA	1.91%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	1.64%
Singles /BIP	16.33%	÷1.015	×0.970	×1.038	×1.012	16.40%
Doubles /BIP	6.12%	÷1.067	×0.860	×1.038	×1.012	5.19%
Triples /BIP	1.02%	÷0.981	×0.950	×1.038	×1.012	1.04%
Home runs /BIP	3.06%	÷0.811	×0.780	—	×1.012	2.98%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 103, 2B 113, 3B 96, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .256 → .218; ISO .121 → .106; BABIP .242 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAARochester Red Wings · 108 PAwOBA .262 → .228 (−33)K% 25.0% → 28.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.051	×1.200	—	—	28.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.19%	÷1.023	×0.690	—	×1.048	7.20%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.91%
Singles /BIP	14.71%	÷1.052	×0.930	×0.965	×1.048	13.15%
Doubles /BIP	4.41%	÷0.913	×0.830	×0.965	×1.048	4.06%
Triples /BIP	2.94%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.965	×1.048	3.21%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷1.010	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.56%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 110, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .262 → .228; ISO .137 → .131; BABIP .224 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).