Juan Diaz

PosSS

B/TL/R

Born1988-12-12

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	24	AAA/INTL2 orgs	571	.235/.308/.341	9	2	62	—	.226/.283/.311
2014	25	AAA/INTL2 orgs	601	.272/.312/.400	12	5	70	—	.246/.274/.352
2015	26	AAANew Orleans Z…	396	.272/.317/.373	5	0	63	—	.244/.279/.327

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	218	178	34	8	4	0	30	46	6	4	5	191	327	281	608	90	254	21	14	284	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A+	High Desert Mavericks	—	22	20	3	0	1	0	2	8	0	0	0	150	227	250	477	100	250	36	9	219	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	287	259	59	12	0	1	19	53	3	2	10	228	288	286	574	58	283	18	7	260	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	497	451	105	16	4	3	28	86	1	6	5	233	279	306	585	73	276	17	6	257	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+	High Desert Mavericks	—	351	325	101	22	5	4	23	65	0	5	2	311	356	446	802	135	379	19	7	353	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+	Kinston Indians	—	514	472	134	15	4	8	34	96	1	10	4	284	333	383	717	100	341	19	7	318	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA	Akron Aeros	—	569	522	133	24	4	9	40	116	3	9	2	255	312	368	679	113	310	20	7	304	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	33	30	4	0	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	133	212	133	345		160	15	9	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	17	15	4	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	267	353	267	620		400	29	6	297	87	-0	+0	-1	+7	+0	0.6
2012	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	76	72	22	5	0	2	4	18	0	0	0	306	342	458	800	153	385	24	5	355	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA	Akron Aeros	—	405	371	96	24	2	11	25	95	3	1	3	259	311	423	734	164	318	23	6	321	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	124	116	30	5	1	2	5	26	0	1	0	259	289	371	660	112	318	21	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	496	443	107	23	0	8	46	130	3	2	1	242	317	348	665	106	324	26	9	301	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	75	68	13	4	0	1	2	25	3	0	0	191	247	294	541	103	286	33	3	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	498	464	129	27	1	12	22	117	3	5	3	278	315	418	733	140	342	23	4	320	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	103	94	23	6	0	0	7	23	0	0	0	245	297	309	606	64	319	22	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	396	367	100	18	2	5	22	77	2	0	2	272	317	373	690	101	330	19	6	307	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	17	15	4	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	267	353	267	620		400	29	6	297	87	-0	+0	-1	+7	+0	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	218	187	24	5	3	0	21	56	6	4	5	128	238	187	425	59	169	26	10	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	22	21	3	0	1	0	1	11	0	0	0	143	182	238	420	95	226	50	5	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	287	264	57	11	0	1	14	72	3	2	10	216	263	269	532	53	280	25	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	497	460	100	14	4	2	19	117	1	6	5	217	250	278	528	61	270	24	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	351	331	91	18	4	4	17	87	0	5	2	275	310	390	700	115	360	25	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	514	484	123	14	3	6	22	132	1	10	4	254	288	333	621	79	331	26	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA MLE	Akron Aeros	—	569	534	136	23	3	7	28	141	3	9	2	255	296	348	644	94	330	25	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	17	15	4	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	267	353	267	620		400	29	6	297	87	-0	+0	-1	+7	+0	0.6
2012	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	76	73	19	4	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	260	289	356	646	96	379	29	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA MLE	Akron Aeros	—	405	379	88	20	2	9	17	118	3	1	3	232	271	367	637	135	306	29	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	496	456	103	21	0	6	33	154	3	2	1	226	283	311	594	86	322	31	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	498	471	116	24	1	8	15	150	3	5	3	246	274	352	626	106	328	30	3	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	396	373	91	15	2	4	16	98	2	0	2	244	279	327	606	83	309	25	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	218	187	24	5	3	0	21	56	6	4	5	128	238	187	425	59	180	26	10	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	218	178	34	8	4	0	30	46	6	4	5	191	327	281	608	90	254	21	14	284	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	309	285	59	11	1	1	15	83	3	2	10	207	254	263	517	56	289	27	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	309	279	62	12	1	1	21	61	3	2	10	222	284	283	567	61	281	20	7	257	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	497	460	100	14	4	2	19	117	1	6	5	217	250	278	528	61	281	24	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	497	451	105	16	4	3	28	86	1	6	5	233	279	306	585	73	276	17	6	257	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	351	331	91	18	4	4	17	87	0	5	2	275	310	390	700	115	362	25	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ RAW	High Desert Mavericks	—	351	325	101	22	5	4	23	65	0	5	2	311	356	446	802	135	379	19	7	353	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	514	484	123	14	3	6	22	132	1	10	4	254	288	333	621	79	337	26	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ RAW	Kinston Indians	—	514	472	134	15	4	8	34	96	1	10	4	284	333	383	717	100	341	19	7	318	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	602	565	146	25	4	8	30	149	3	9	2	258	299	359	659	101	336	25	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	602	552	137	24	4	9	43	121	3	9	2	248	306	355	661	107	301	20	7	297	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	622	582	140	31	2	13	27	182	4	2	3	241	279	368	647	127	326	29	4	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA RAW	4 teams	—	622	574	152	34	3	15	35	144	4	2	3	265	312	413	724	148	329	23	6	318	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	571	521	119	25	0	7	38	177	6	2	1	228	288	317	605	88	331	31	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	571	511	120	27	0	9	48	155	6	2	1	235	308	341	648	106	319	27	8	293	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	601	569	140	29	1	10	18	181	3	5	3	246	273	353	626	107	337	30	3	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	601	558	152	33	1	12	29	140	3	5	3	272	312	400	712	127	338	23	5	312	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	396	373	91	15	2	4	16	98	2	0	2	244	279	327	606	83	318	25	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA RAW	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	396	367	100	18	2	5	22	77	2	0	2	272	317	373	690	101	330	19	6	307	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	218	189	24	5	3	0	21	56	6	4	5	127	238	185	424	58	169	26	10	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	309	288	59	11	1	1	15	83	3	2	10	205	254	260	515	56	276	27	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	19	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	497	474	100	14	4	2	19	117	1	6	5	211	250	270	520	59	270	24	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	20	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	351	331	91	18	4	4	17	87	0	5	2	275	310	390	700	115	360	25	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	21	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	514	486	123	14	3	6	22	132	1	10	4	253	288	331	619	78	331	26	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	602	564	146	25	4	8	30	149	3	9	2	259	299	360	659	101	330	25	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	622	586	140	31	2	13	27	182	4	2	3	239	279	365	644	126	320	29	4	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	571	522	119	25	0	7	38	177	6	2	1	228	288	316	605	88	322	31	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	601	575	140	29	1	10	18	181	3	5	3	243	273	350	622	106	328	30	3	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	396	375	91	15	2	4	16	98	2	0	2	243	279	325	604	83	309	25	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	17	15	4	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	267	353	267	620		400	29	6	297	65	-0	+0	-1	+7	+0	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	153	0	0	0	38	191	38	0	0	267	352	267	619		399	29	6	297	65	-10	+0	-52	+255	+14	21.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4681	4357	1033	187	24	55	223	1262	29	45	37	237	279	329	608	92	319	27	5	264	65	-0	+0	-1	+7	+0	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	144	26	3	8	31	175	4	6	5	238	280	331	610	93	319	27	5	264	65	-10	+0	-52	+255	+14	21.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 396 PAwOBA .301 → .261 (−40)K% 19.4% → 24.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.44%	÷1.016	×1.290	—	—	24.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.56%	÷0.997	×0.710	—	×1.003	3.97%
HBP% /PA	0.51%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.50%
Singles /BIP	25.86%	÷0.969	×0.900	×1.039	×1.003	25.02%
Doubles /BIP	6.21%	÷1.012	×0.810	×1.039	×1.003	5.17%
Triples /BIP	0.69%	÷0.985	×0.810	×1.039	×1.003	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	1.72%	÷0.975	×0.780	—	×1.003	1.38%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .301 → .261; ISO .101 → .080; BABIP .330 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 498 PAwOBA .315 → .272 (−43)K% 23.5% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.49%	÷1.008	×1.290	—	—	30.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.22%	÷1.007	×0.710	—	×1.018	3.03%
HBP% /PA	0.60%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.60%
Singles /BIP	25.65%	÷0.980	×0.900	×1.047	×1.018	25.10%
Doubles /BIP	7.78%	÷0.923	×0.810	×1.047	×1.018	7.27%
Triples /BIP	0.29%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.047	×1.018	0.28%
Home runs /BIP	3.46%	÷1.098	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.50%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .315 → .272; ISO .140 → .109; BABIP .342 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAColumbus Clippers · 496 PAwOBA .293 → .263 (−30)K% 26.2% → 31.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.21%	÷1.013	×1.200	—	—	31.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.07%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×1.033	6.56%
HBP% /PA	0.60%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.59%
Singles /BIP	24.28%	÷0.980	×0.930	×1.037	×1.033	24.67%
Doubles /BIP	7.35%	÷0.933	×0.830	×1.037	×1.033	7.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.037	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.56%	÷1.111	×0.840	—	×1.033	2.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .293 → .263; ISO .106 → .090; BABIP .324 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAkron Aeros · 405 PAwOBA .313 → .276 (−37)K% 23.5% → 29.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.46%	÷0.979	×1.220	—	—	29.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.93%	÷0.966	×0.700	—	×1.012	4.34%
HBP% /PA	0.74%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.64%
Singles /BIP	21.38%	÷1.027	×0.970	×1.050	×1.012	21.45%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷1.035	×0.860	×1.050	×1.012	7.68%
Triples /BIP	0.72%	÷1.142	×0.950	×1.050	×1.012	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	3.99%	÷0.903	×0.780	—	×1.012	3.48%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 128, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .313 → .276; ISO .164 → .139; BABIP .318 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAColumbus Clippers · 76 PAwOBA .345 → .301 (−43)K% 23.7% → 29.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.68%	÷0.974	×1.200	—	—	29.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷0.998	×0.690	—	×1.048	3.81%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.78%	÷1.002	×0.930	×1.050	×1.048	28.37%
Doubles /BIP	9.26%	÷0.999	×0.830	×1.050	×1.048	8.46%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.101	×0.970	×1.050	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.178	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.77%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 120, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .345 → .301; ISO .153 → .119; BABIP .385 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAkron Aeros · 569 PAwOBA .296 → .286 (−10)K% 20.4% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.39%	÷1.001	×1.220	—	—	24.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.68%	÷0.964	×0.700	—	×1.027	4.98%
HBP% /PA	0.53%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.46%
Singles /BIP	23.65%	÷0.955	×0.970	×1.050	×1.027	25.89%
Doubles /BIP	5.91%	÷0.931	×0.860	×1.050	×1.027	5.89%
Triples /BIP	0.99%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.050	×1.027	0.88%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷0.948	×0.780	—	×1.027	1.87%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 91, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .296 → .286; ISO .113 → .101; BABIP .310 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Kinston Indians · 514 PAwOBA .311 → .271 (−40)K% 18.7% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.68%	÷1.035	×1.420	—	—	25.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.61%	÷0.976	×0.630	—	×1.012	4.32%
HBP% /PA	0.19%	—	×0.860	—	×1.012	0.17%
Singles /BIP	28.46%	÷1.020	×0.940	×1.050	×1.012	27.87%
Doubles /BIP	3.99%	÷0.914	×0.830	×1.050	×1.012	3.85%
Triples /BIP	1.06%	÷0.957	×0.800	×1.050	×1.012	0.95%
Home runs /BIP	2.13%	÷1.144	×0.900	—	×1.012	1.69%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 104, 2B 83, 3B 91, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .311 → .271; ISO .100 → .082; BABIP .341 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+High Desert Mavericks · 351 PAwOBA .344 → .300 (−44)K% 18.5% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.52%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	24.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.55%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.027	4.78%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×1.027	26.42%
Doubles /BIP	8.46%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.027	7.48%
Triples /BIP	1.92%	÷1.000	×0.760	×1.050	×1.027	1.58%
Home runs /BIP	1.54%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.027	1.45%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .344 → .300; ISO .135 → .114; BABIP .379 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .