Karexon Sanchez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 23 | AAAkron Aeros | 404 | .220/.309/.343 | 9 | 16 | 62 | — | .211/.278/.310 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAAPiratas de Ca… | 134 | .288/.402/.432 | 3 | 3 | 105 | — | .259/.348/.362 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 122 | .271/.350/.402 | 3 | 2 | 66 | — | .218/.283/.309 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 286 | 233 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 48 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 253 | 385 | 386 | 771 | 133 | 294 | 17 | 15 | 351 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK | GCL Indians | — | 195 | 176 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 273 | 340 | 364 | 704 | 91 | 341 | 22 | 8 | 319 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 479 | 414 | 102 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 118 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 246 | 326 | 411 | 737 | 164 | 311 | 25 | 8 | 319 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 542 | 453 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 70 | 136 | 11 | 25 | 10 | 234 | 350 | 375 | 725 | 141 | 309 | 25 | 13 | 327 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Kinston Indians | — | 552 | 452 | 116 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 75 | 114 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 257 | 379 | 392 | 771 | 135 | 322 | 21 | 14 | 346 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Akron Aeros | — | 404 | 350 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 102 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 220 | 309 | 343 | 652 | 123 | 282 | 25 | 10 | 292 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 134 | 111 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 288 | 402 | 432 | 834 | 144 | 362 | 21 | 12 | 373 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 122 | 107 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 271 | 350 | 402 | 752 | 131 | 321 | 19 | 9 | 334 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 286 | 246 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 59 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 167 | 276 | 236 | 511 | 69 | 198 | 21 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Indians | — | 195 | 182 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 198 | 247 | 258 | 506 | 60 | 272 | 31 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 479 | 427 | 94 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 158 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 220 | 281 | 358 | 639 | 138 | 295 | 33 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 542 | 480 | 95 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 182 | 11 | 25 | 10 | 198 | 279 | 310 | 589 | 113 | 285 | 34 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Kinston Indians | — | 552 | 480 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 156 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 225 | 312 | 333 | 646 | 108 | 306 | 28 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 404 | 361 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 124 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 211 | 278 | 310 | 589 | 100 | 287 | 31 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 134 | 116 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 259 | 348 | 362 | 711 | 103 | 349 | 25 | 8 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 122 | 110 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 283 | 309 | 592 | 91 | 272 | 23 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 286 | 246 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 59 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 167 | 276 | 236 | 511 | 69 | 205 | 21 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 286 | 233 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 48 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 253 | 385 | 386 | 771 | 133 | 294 | 17 | 15 | 351 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Indians | — | 195 | 182 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 198 | 247 | 258 | 506 | 60 | 281 | 31 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Indians | — | 195 | 176 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 273 | 340 | 364 | 704 | 91 | 341 | 22 | 8 | 319 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 479 | 427 | 94 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 158 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 220 | 281 | 358 | 639 | 138 | 318 | 33 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 479 | 414 | 102 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 118 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 246 | 326 | 411 | 737 | 164 | 311 | 25 | 8 | 319 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 542 | 480 | 95 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 182 | 11 | 25 | 10 | 198 | 279 | 310 | 589 | 113 | 297 | 34 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 542 | 453 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 70 | 136 | 11 | 25 | 10 | 234 | 350 | 375 | 725 | 141 | 309 | 25 | 13 | 327 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Kinston Indians | — | 552 | 480 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 156 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 225 | 312 | 333 | 646 | 108 | 315 | 28 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ RAW | Kinston Indians | — | 552 | 452 | 116 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 75 | 114 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 257 | 379 | 392 | 771 | 135 | 322 | 21 | 14 | 346 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 404 | 361 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 124 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 211 | 278 | 310 | 589 | 100 | 297 | 31 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA RAW | Akron Aeros | — | 404 | 350 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 102 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 220 | 309 | 343 | 652 | 123 | 282 | 25 | 10 | 292 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 134 | 116 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 259 | 348 | 362 | 711 | 103 | 350 | 25 | 8 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 134 | 111 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 288 | 402 | 432 | 834 | 144 | 362 | 21 | 12 | 373 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 122 | 110 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 283 | 309 | 592 | 91 | 275 | 23 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 122 | 107 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 271 | 350 | 402 | 752 | 131 | 321 | 19 | 9 | 334 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 286 | 247 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 59 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 166 | 276 | 235 | 510 | 69 | 198 | 21 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Indians | — | 195 | 181 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 199 | 247 | 260 | 507 | 61 | 272 | 31 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 479 | 440 | 94 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 158 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 214 | 281 | 348 | 629 | 134 | 295 | 33 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 542 | 483 | 95 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 182 | 11 | 25 | 10 | 197 | 279 | 308 | 588 | 112 | 285 | 34 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Kinston Indians | — | 552 | 486 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 156 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 222 | 312 | 329 | 642 | 107 | 306 | 28 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 404 | 367 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 124 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 207 | 278 | 305 | 584 | 98 | 287 | 31 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 134 | 117 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 256 | 348 | 359 | 707 | 103 | 349 | 25 | 8 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 122 | 111 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 283 | 306 | 590 | 90 | 272 | 23 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2714 | 2402 | 504 | 90 | 16 | 43 | 202 | 801 | 58 | 99 | 42 | 210 | 287 | 314 | 601 | 104 | 294 | 30 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -115 | +3 | +0 | +10 | +59 | -4.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 192 | 14 | 24 | 10 | 210 | 287 | 315 | 602 | 104 | 295 | 30 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -27 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 122 PAwOBA .325 → .266 (−59)K% 18.9% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.85% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.02% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.19% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×0.982 | 22.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×0.982 | 2.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×0.982 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.81% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .325 → .266; ISO .131 → .102; BABIP .321 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 134 PAwOBA .361 → .324 (−38)K% 20.9% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.90% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.19% | ÷0.959 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.51% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×1.045 | ×1.018 | 26.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×1.018 | 7.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.61% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .361 → .324; ISO .144 → .117; BABIP .362 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAkron Aeros · 404 PAwOBA .285 → .260 (−25)K% 25.2% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.25% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.41% | ÷0.964 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.77% | ÷0.955 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 22.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.931 | ×0.860 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.016 | ×1.012 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.63% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.02% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 91, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .285 → .260; ISO .123 → .106; BABIP .282 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Kinston Indians · 552 PAwOBA .338 → .284 (−54)K% 20.7% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.65% | ÷1.035 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.41% | ÷0.976 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 8.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.54% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 2.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.37% | ÷1.020 | ×0.940 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 22.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.80% | ÷0.914 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 6.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.96% | ÷1.144 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 104, 2B 83, 3B 91, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .338 → .284; ISO .135 → .115; BABIP .322 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ALake County Captains · 542 PAwOBA .317 → .258 (−59)K% 25.1% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | — | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | — | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | — | 6.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.034 | — | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | — | 2.85% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .317 → .258; ISO .141 → .116; BABIP .309 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 ALake County Captains · 479 PAwOBA .313 → .267 (−46)K% 24.6% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.63% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 5.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.30% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 20.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 6.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 1.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .313 → .267; ISO .164 → .139; BABIP .311 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 ROKGCL Indians · 195 PAwOBA .313 → .222 (−91)K% 21.5% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.003 | ×0.995 | 23.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×0.995 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.74% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .313 → .222; ISO .091 → .063; BABIP .341 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 DSLDSL Indians · 286 PAwOBA .344 → .233 (−112)K% 16.8% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 10.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.45% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.036 | ×0.995 | 15.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.036 | ×0.995 | 3.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.036 | ×0.995 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.52% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .344 → .233; ISO .133 → .074; BABIP .294 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).