Manuel Lopez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 27 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 128 | .230/.293/.265 | 0 | 2 | 37 | — | .222/.260/.256 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 61 | .255/.317/.400 | 2 | 0 | 48 | — | .211/.250/.298 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 74 | .164/.233/.224 | 0 | 0 | -2 | — | .130/.178/.174 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 19 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 125 | 222 | 188 | 410 | 62 | 286 | 50 | 11 | 199 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 177 | 164 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 39 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 256 | 303 | 274 | 577 | 18 | 333 | 22 | 6 | 265 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 236 | 212 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 297 | 355 | 401 | 756 | 104 | 364 | 19 | 8 | 334 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 188 | 167 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 257 | 326 | 341 | 667 | 84 | 311 | 18 | 9 | 298 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 328 | 287 | 81 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 59 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 282 | 340 | 338 | 678 | 56 | 354 | 18 | 5 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 367 | 332 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 68 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 271 | 326 | 377 | 702 | 105 | 325 | 19 | 6 | 310 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 234 | 207 | 53 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 329 | 338 | 667 | 82 | 338 | 22 | 9 | 301 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 128 | 113 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 293 | 265 | 558 | 35 | 292 | 20 | 8 | 250 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 61 | 55 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 317 | 400 | 717 | 145 | 343 | 30 | 8 | 316 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 233 | 224 | 457 | 60 | 229 | 26 | 8 | 212 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 19 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 167 | 176 | 343 | 59 | 264 | 61 | 6 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 177 | 167 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 251 | 286 | 269 | 555 | 18 | 339 | 27 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 236 | 217 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 290 | 333 | 373 | 707 | 83 | 364 | 22 | 6 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 188 | 173 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 254 | 299 | 335 | 634 | 81 | 310 | 21 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 328 | 292 | 88 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 67 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 301 | 346 | 360 | 706 | 58 | 362 | 20 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 367 | 338 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 79 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 260 | 304 | 340 | 644 | 80 | 321 | 22 | 4 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 234 | 213 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 254 | 312 | 329 | 640 | 75 | 340 | 24 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 128 | 117 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 260 | 256 | 517 | 34 | 278 | 26 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 61 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 298 | 548 | 88 | 300 | 36 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 69 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 178 | 174 | 352 | 43 | 199 | 31 | 5 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 167 | 176 | 343 | 59 | 333 | 61 | 6 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 125 | 222 | 188 | 410 | 62 | 286 | 50 | 11 | 199 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 177 | 167 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 251 | 286 | 269 | 555 | 18 | 347 | 27 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 177 | 164 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 39 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 256 | 303 | 274 | 577 | 18 | 333 | 22 | 6 | 265 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 236 | 217 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 290 | 333 | 373 | 707 | 83 | 377 | 22 | 6 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 236 | 212 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 297 | 355 | 401 | 756 | 104 | 364 | 19 | 8 | 334 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 188 | 173 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 254 | 299 | 335 | 634 | 81 | 321 | 21 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 188 | 167 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 257 | 326 | 341 | 667 | 84 | 311 | 18 | 9 | 298 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 328 | 292 | 88 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 67 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 301 | 346 | 360 | 706 | 58 | 389 | 20 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 328 | 287 | 81 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 59 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 282 | 340 | 338 | 678 | 56 | 354 | 18 | 5 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 367 | 338 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 79 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 260 | 304 | 340 | 644 | 80 | 328 | 22 | 4 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 367 | 332 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 68 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 271 | 326 | 377 | 702 | 105 | 325 | 19 | 6 | 310 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 234 | 213 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 254 | 312 | 329 | 640 | 75 | 342 | 24 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 234 | 207 | 53 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 329 | 338 | 667 | 82 | 338 | 22 | 9 | 301 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 128 | 117 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 260 | 256 | 517 | 34 | 302 | 26 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 128 | 113 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 293 | 265 | 558 | 35 | 292 | 20 | 8 | 250 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 61 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 298 | 548 | 88 | 324 | 36 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 61 | 55 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 317 | 400 | 717 | 145 | 343 | 30 | 8 | 316 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 69 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 178 | 174 | 352 | 43 | 196 | 31 | 5 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 233 | 224 | 457 | 60 | 229 | 26 | 8 | 212 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 167 | 176 | 343 | 59 | 264 | 61 | 6 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 177 | 167 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 251 | 286 | 269 | 555 | 18 | 339 | 27 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 236 | 220 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 286 | 333 | 368 | 702 | 82 | 364 | 22 | 6 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 188 | 175 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 251 | 299 | 331 | 630 | 80 | 310 | 21 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 328 | 305 | 88 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 67 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 289 | 346 | 344 | 690 | 56 | 362 | 20 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 367 | 343 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 79 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 257 | 304 | 335 | 639 | 79 | 321 | 22 | 4 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 234 | 214 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 312 | 327 | 639 | 75 | 340 | 24 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 128 | 121 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 260 | 248 | 508 | 33 | 278 | 26 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 61 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 250 | 293 | 543 | 86 | 300 | 36 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 70 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 178 | 171 | 350 | 43 | 199 | 31 | 5 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1811 | 1660 | 428 | 66 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 432 | 16 | 17 | 23 | 258 | 302 | 323 | 625 | 65 | 342 | 24 | 5 | 273 | 71 | -63 | -6 | +0 | +19 | +39 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 153 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 155 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 257 | 301 | 320 | 622 | 64 | 340 | 24 | 5 | 273 | 71 | -23 | -2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 74 PAwOBA .206 → .165 (−42)K% 25.7% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.68% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.58% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 13.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 6.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .206 → .165; ISO .060 → .043; BABIP .229 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 61 PAwOBA .301 → .239 (−62)K% 29.5% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.51% | ÷0.969 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.56% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 24.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.011 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 4.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.71% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .301 → .239; ISO .145 → .102; BABIP .343 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 128 PAwOBA .244 → .223 (−22)K% 20.3% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.31% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.03% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.29% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×1.046 | ×1.003 | 24.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.60% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | ×1.003 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.046 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 100, K 88, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .244 → .223; ISO .035 → .032; BABIP .292 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 234 PAwOBA .296 → .287 (−9)K% 22.2% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.102 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.55% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.81% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 26.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.58% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 2.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 90, K 120, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .296 → .287; ISO .082 → .081; BABIP .338 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 367 PAwOBA .306 → .284 (−22)K% 18.5% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.53% | ÷1.032 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.99% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.62% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 25.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.20% | ÷1.027 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.331 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.82% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .306 → .284; ISO .105 → .084; BABIP .325 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 328 PAwOBA .289 → .297 (+8)K% 18.0% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.99% | ÷1.063 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.49% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.82% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 30.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.39% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 3.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.307 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 113, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .289 → .297; ISO .056 → .057; BABIP .354 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 188 PAwOBA .290 → .275 (−15)K% 17.6% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.55% | ÷0.987 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.98% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷1.014 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 24.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.55% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .290 → .275; ISO .084 → .079; BABIP .311 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 236 PAwOBA .325 → .305 (−20)K% 18.6% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 29.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.31% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .325 → .305; ISO .104 → .089; BABIP .364 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).