Jhonatan Solano

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1985-08-12

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	30	AAA/INTL2 orgs	265	.236/.301/.295	1	49	—	.200/.238/.228
2017	31	AAASyracuse Chie…	157	.241/.290/.338	2	45	—	.218/.258/.306
2018	32	INTLGigantes del …	16	.333/.375/.533	1	157	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	20	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	144	129	33	3	0	0	6	15	3	3	1	256	304	279	583	23	284	10	4	260	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	348	298	74	15	0	3	42	53	4	0	3	248	349	329	678	81	292	15	12	312	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	250	225	58	11	0	4	16	30	4	2	1	258	318	360	678	102	278	12	6	302	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	65	55	12	2	0	1	6	6	1	1	1	218	306	309	616	91	224	9	9	273	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	199	183	37	11	0	1	9	24	1	2	1	202	244	279	522	77	222	12	5	230	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	95	93	26	7	0	1	2	16	0	0	0	280	295	387	682	108	329	17	2	303	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	345	317	80	15	0	6	21	28	3	1	1	252	305	356	661	104	259	8	6	296	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	18	17	8	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	471	471	647	1.118	176	533	11	0	465	201	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	279	255	70	14	0	5	19	36	1	1	1	275	327	388	716	114	301	13	7	317	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	122	104	23	3	0	1	14	9	0	1	0	221	314	279	592	58	229	7	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	37	35	11	3	0	2	2	5	0	1	0	314	351	571	923	257	321	14	5	401	144	+2	+0	+1	+3	+1	0.7
2012	26	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	57	52	13	2	0	0	3	6	1	0	0	250	304	288	592	38	277	11	5	269	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	43	41	8	1	0	1	0	12	1	0	0	195	214	293	507	98	241	28	0	222	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	42	36	12	3	0	2	4	4	1	0	0	333	415	583	998	250	333	10	10	426	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	50	48	7	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	1	146	180	188	367	42	171	14	4	170	0	-6	-0	+1	+4	+1	-0.0
2013	27	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	148	140	30	7	1	0	5	17	1	0	0	214	247	279	525	64	242	11	3	235	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	374	343	86	15	1	10	23	49	5	1	0	251	307	388	695	137	265	13	6	309	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	79	73	17	4	0	2	1	11	5	0	0	233	291	370	661	137	250	14	1	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	21	20	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	50	95	100	195	50	53	5	5	94	-46	-4	+0	-1	+5	+0	0.1
2015	29	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	208	193	44	7	0	3	10	27	2	0	0	228	273	311	584	83	248	13	5	262	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	INTL	Toros del Este	—	42	36	8	1	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	222	282	250	532	28	235	5	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	194	173	39	6	0	0	14	20	2	0	0	225	291	260	551	35	250	10	7	252	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	71	64	17	5	0	1	5	7	1	0	0	266	329	391	719	125	286	10	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	157	145	35	6	1	2	6	14	4	0	0	241	290	338	628	97	252	9	4	281	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	16	15	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	333	375	533	908	200	308	6	6	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	108	103	19	6	0	2	5	13	0	1	1	184	222	301	523	117	193	12	5	234	45	-7	-0	+2	+12	+2	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	20	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	144	131	26	2	0	0	4	22	3	3	1	198	239	214	453	15	221	15	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	348	313	65	12	0	2	27	71	4	0	3	208	279	265	544	58	258	20	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	250	231	54	9	0	4	10	42	4	2	1	234	278	325	602	91	259	17	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	65	57	12	2	0	1	4	8	1	1	1	211	274	298	572	88	207	12	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	199	185	37	10	0	1	7	29	1	2	1	200	233	270	503	70	220	15	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	95	94	25	6	0	1	1	19	0	0	0	266	274	362	635	96	327	20	1	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	345	325	77	14	0	5	13	35	3	1	1	237	273	326	599	89	246	10	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	279	261	67	12	0	5	13	44	1	1	1	257	295	360	655	103	281	16	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	37	36	11	3	0	2	1	5	0	1	0	306	324	556	880	250	321	14	3	381	144	+2	+0	+1	+3	+1	0.7
2012	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	57	53	12	2	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	226	268	264	532	38	252	12	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	43	41	8	1	0	1	0	15	1	0	0	195	214	293	507	98	230	35	0	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	50	48	7	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	1	146	180	188	367	42	171	14	4	169	0	-6	-0	+1	+4	+1	-0.0
2013	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	148	142	27	6	1	0	3	21	1	0	0	190	212	246	459	56	217	14	2	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	374	351	76	12	1	8	15	61	5	1	0	217	259	325	584	108	236	16	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	21	20	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	50	95	100	195	50	53	5	5	100	-46	-4	+0	-1	+5	+0	0.1
2015	29	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	208	197	38	5	0	2	6	34	2	0	0	193	224	249	473	56	221	16	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	194	180	36	5	0	0	7	25	2	0	0	200	238	228	466	28	221	13	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	157	147	32	5	1	2	4	17	4	0	0	218	258	306	564	88	219	11	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	144	131	26	2	0	0	4	22	3	3	1	198	239	214	453	15	234	15	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	—	144	129	33	3	0	0	6	15	3	3	1	256	304	279	583	23	284	10	4	260	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	348	313	65	12	0	2	27	71	4	0	3	208	279	265	544	58	261	20	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	—	348	298	74	15	0	3	42	53	4	0	3	248	349	329	678	81	292	15	12	312	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	315	288	65	11	0	4	14	51	5	3	2	226	274	306	579	80	257	16	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	315	280	70	13	0	5	22	36	5	3	2	250	316	350	666	100	267	11	7	296	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	294	279	62	16	0	2	8	48	1	2	1	222	247	301	548	79	258	16	3	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	294	276	63	18	0	2	11	40	1	2	1	228	260	315	576	87	256	14	4	254	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	363	341	81	15	0	5	14	37	3	1	1	238	274	326	599	88	252	10	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	363	334	88	18	0	6	21	30	3	1	1	263	313	371	684	108	272	8	6	304	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	374	95	17	0	7	18	63	1	2	1	254	290	356	646	102	286	16	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	401	359	93	17	0	6	33	45	1	2	1	259	323	357	680	97	279	11	8	303	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	179	169	40	7	0	4	4	35	3	1	0	237	267	349	616	112	273	20	2	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	179	164	44	9	0	5	9	27	3	1	0	268	318	415	733	146	291	15	5	322	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	198	190	34	8	1	0	5	28	1	0	1	179	204	232	436	53	209	14	3	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	198	188	37	9	1	0	7	24	1	0	1	197	230	255	485	59	224	12	4	218	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	453	421	93	15	1	10	19	74	10	1	0	221	271	333	604	112	244	16	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	453	416	103	19	1	12	24	60	10	1	0	248	304	385	689	137	262	13	5	308	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	271	253	48	8	0	3	9	42	3	0	0	190	226	257	483	67	214	15	3	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	271	249	53	9	0	3	13	30	3	0	0	213	260	285	546	72	229	11	5	244	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	265	246	49	7	0	0	10	34	3	0	0	199	239	228	467	28	228	13	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	265	237	56	11	0	1	19	27	3	0	0	236	301	295	597	59	259	10	7	270	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	157	147	32	5	1	2	4	17	4	0	0	218	258	306	564	88	231	11	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA RAW	Syracuse Chiefs	—	157	145	35	6	1	2	6	14	4	0	0	241	290	338	628	97	252	9	4	281	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	INTL MLE	Gigantes del Cibao	—	16	15	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	333	375	533	908	200	308	6	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	INTL RAW	Gigantes del Cibao	—	16	15	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	333	375	533	908	200	308	6	6	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	144	136	26	2	0	0	4	22	3	3	1	191	239	206	445	15	221	15	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	348	314	65	12	0	2	27	71	4	0	3	207	279	264	543	57	258	20	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	315	293	65	11	0	4	14	51	5	3	2	222	274	300	574	78	248	16	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	294	283	62	16	0	2	8	48	1	2	1	219	247	297	543	78	255	16	3	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	363	343	81	15	0	5	14	37	3	1	1	236	274	324	597	87	246	10	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	379	95	17	0	7	18	63	1	2	1	251	290	351	641	100	281	16	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	179	170	40	7	0	4	4	35	3	1	0	235	267	347	614	112	264	20	2	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	198	190	34	8	1	0	5	28	1	0	1	179	204	232	436	53	205	14	3	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	453	421	93	15	1	10	19	74	10	1	0	221	271	333	604	112	236	16	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	271	257	48	8	0	3	9	42	3	0	0	187	226	253	479	66	206	15	3	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	265	250	49	7	0	0	10	34	3	0	0	196	239	224	463	28	221	13	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	157	148	32	5	1	2	4	17	4	0	0	216	258	304	562	88	219	11	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	108	103	19	6	0	2	5	13	0	1	1	184	222	301	523	117	193	12	5	234	50	-7	-0	+2	+12	+2	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	620	114	36	0	12	30	78	0	6	6	184	222	300	522	116	192	12	5	234	50	-43	-1	+10	+70	+14	5.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3404	3167	695	123	3	40	137	523	41	13	10	219	261	298	559	79	249	15	4	241	50	-7	-0	+2	+12	+2	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	133	23	1	8	26	100	8	2	2	220	261	301	562	81	249	15	4	241	50	-43	-1	+10	+70	+14	5.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 157 PAwOBA .277 → .235 (−42)K% 8.9% → 10.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.92%	÷1.005	×1.200	—	—	10.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.82%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.952	2.43%
HBP% /PA	2.55%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	2.28%
Singles /BIP	19.85%	÷0.997	×0.930	×1.017	×0.952	17.92%
Doubles /BIP	4.58%	÷1.081	×0.830	×1.017	×0.952	3.41%
Triples /BIP	0.76%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.017	×0.952	0.62%
Home runs /BIP	1.53%	÷0.980	×0.840	—	×0.952	1.25%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .277 → .235; ISO .097 → .077; BABIP .252 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 194 PAwOBA .245 → .211 (−34)K% 10.3% → 13.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.31%	÷0.949	×1.200	—	—	13.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.19%	÷1.110	×0.690	—	×0.962	3.70%
HBP% /PA	1.03%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.93%
Singles /BIP	21.57%	÷1.048	×0.930	×1.038	×0.962	19.11%
Doubles /BIP	3.92%	÷0.959	×0.830	×1.038	×0.962	3.39%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.038	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.978	×0.840	—	×0.962	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 90, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .245 → .211; ISO .035 → .031; BABIP .250 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 208 PAwOBA .255 → .217 (−38)K% 13.0% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.98%	÷1.016	×1.290	—	—	16.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.33%	÷0.997	×0.710	—	×0.972	3.00%
HBP% /PA	0.96%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.92%
Singles /BIP	20.48%	÷0.969	×0.900	×1.011	×0.972	18.70%
Doubles /BIP	4.22%	÷1.012	×0.810	×1.011	×0.972	3.32%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.985	×0.810	×1.011	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.81%	÷0.975	×0.780	—	×0.972	1.41%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .255 → .217; ISO .083 → .065; BABIP .248 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 374 PAwOBA .302 → .258 (−45)K% 13.1% → 16.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.10%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	16.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷0.972	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.10%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.23%
Singles /BIP	20.41%	÷1.003	×0.930	×1.009	×0.982	18.74%
Doubles /BIP	5.10%	÷1.027	×0.830	×1.009	×0.982	4.09%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷1.063	×0.970	×1.009	×0.982	0.31%
Home runs /BIP	3.40%	÷0.985	×0.840	—	×0.982	2.85%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 113, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .302 → .258; ISO .137 → .113; BABIP .265 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 148 PAwOBA .227 → .200 (−27)K% 11.5% → 14.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.49%	÷0.979	×1.200	—	—	14.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.70%	÷0.966	×0.690	—	×0.992	1.92%
HBP% /PA	0.68%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.63%
Singles /BIP	17.89%	÷0.991	×0.930	×0.988	×0.992	16.44%
Doubles /BIP	5.69%	÷0.979	×0.830	×0.988	×0.992	4.73%
Triples /BIP	0.81%	÷1.055	×0.970	×0.988	×0.992	0.73%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.914	×0.840	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 111, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .227 → .200; ISO .064 → .055; BABIP .242 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 57 PAwOBA .267 → .237 (−30)K% 10.5% → 13.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.53%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	13.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.70%
HBP% /PA	1.75%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.65%
Singles /BIP	23.91%	÷0.992	×0.930	×0.986	×1.003	22.18%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷1.002	×0.830	×0.986	×1.003	3.56%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.008	×0.970	×0.986	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.925	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .267 → .237; ISO .038 → .032; BABIP .277 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAHarrisburg Senators · 43 PAwOBA .220 → .192 (−29)K% 27.9% → 33.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.91%	÷1.006	×1.220	—	—	33.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.989	×0.700	—	×0.978	0.00%
HBP% /PA	2.33%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	1.93%
Singles /BIP	20.69%	÷0.967	×0.970	—	×0.978	20.31%
Doubles /BIP	3.45%	÷0.982	×0.860	—	×0.978	2.95%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.015	×0.950	—	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.45%	÷0.976	×0.780	—	×0.978	2.70%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 93, 2B 96, 3B 103, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .220 → .192; ISO .098 → .074; BABIP .241 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 279 PAwOBA .310 → .280 (−30)K% 12.9% → 15.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.90%	÷0.986	×1.200	—	—	15.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.45%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.48%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.34%
Singles /BIP	23.29%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.015	×1.018	22.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.39%	÷1.018	×0.830	×1.015	×1.018	5.38%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.015	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.28%	÷0.921	×0.840	—	×1.018	2.12%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .310 → .280; ISO .114 → .102; BABIP .301 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .