Ronald Bermudez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 255 | .261/.302/.329 | 1 | 1 | 64 | — | .261/.290/.319 |
| 2014 | 26 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 432 | .282/.323/.365 | 3 | 2 | 81 | — | .289/.314/.369 |
| 2015 | 27 | INTLAguilas del Z… | 18 | .133/.278/.133 | 0 | 0 | 34 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox | — | 206 | 179 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 257 | 345 | 363 | 708 | 106 | 326 | 18 | 10 | 318 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK | DSL Red Sox | — | 276 | 229 | 80 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 349 | 456 | 498 | 954 | 148 | 399 | 12 | 15 | 423 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 80 | 71 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 308 | 324 | 632 | 85 | 293 | 16 | 8 | 282 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 403 | 363 | 102 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 81 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 281 | 346 | 457 | 803 | 176 | 333 | 20 | 7 | 353 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 32 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 226 | 250 | 355 | 605 | 129 | 240 | 16 | 3 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 192 | 180 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 261 | 296 | 406 | 702 | 144 | 289 | 14 | 5 | 306 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 75 | 72 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 292 | 311 | 347 | 658 | 56 | 420 | 29 | 3 | 292 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 35 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 290 | 555 | 97 | 222 | 11 | 6 | 249 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 27 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 192 | 377 | 38 | 190 | 19 | 0 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 47 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 217 | 233 | 450 | 70 | 212 | 23 | 4 | 203 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 167 | 158 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 278 | 313 | 386 | 699 | 108 | 328 | 17 | 4 | 311 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 34 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 300 | 603 | 67 | 333 | 26 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 176 | 163 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 258 | 292 | 331 | 624 | 74 | 311 | 17 | 3 | 274 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 79 | 71 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 268 | 325 | 324 | 649 | 56 | 321 | 19 | 8 | 290 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 385 | 357 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 291 | 327 | 378 | 705 | 87 | 338 | 16 | 4 | 310 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 47 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 289 | 250 | 539 | 50 | 222 | 11 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 18 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 133 | 411 | 182 | 22 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 206 | 185 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 173 | 246 | 238 | 484 | 65 | 225 | 22 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 276 | 243 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 41 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 222 | 310 | 300 | 611 | 78 | 261 | 15 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 80 | 73 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 256 | 274 | 530 | 68 | 283 | 25 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 403 | 372 | 84 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 107 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 226 | 278 | 333 | 612 | 108 | 298 | 27 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 192 | 182 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 270 | 374 | 643 | 132 | 276 | 17 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 75 | 73 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 274 | 284 | 329 | 613 | 55 | 428 | 36 | 1 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 35 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 206 | 219 | 425 | 62 | 192 | 17 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 47 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 217 | 233 | 450 | 70 | 208 | 28 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 167 | 160 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 256 | 283 | 331 | 614 | 75 | 320 | 22 | 3 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 176 | 165 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 255 | 281 | 315 | 596 | 61 | 308 | 20 | 2 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 79 | 73 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 274 | 312 | 329 | 640 | 55 | 330 | 23 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 385 | 363 | 105 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 289 | 314 | 369 | 683 | 80 | 340 | 20 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 206 | 185 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 173 | 246 | 238 | 484 | 65 | 230 | 22 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox | — | 206 | 179 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 257 | 345 | 363 | 708 | 106 | 326 | 18 | 10 | 318 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 276 | 243 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 41 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 222 | 310 | 300 | 611 | 78 | 262 | 15 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox | — | 276 | 229 | 80 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 349 | 456 | 498 | 954 | 148 | 399 | 12 | 15 | 423 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 515 | 476 | 107 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 136 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 225 | 275 | 330 | 605 | 105 | 301 | 26 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 515 | 465 | 126 | 35 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 99 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 271 | 334 | 430 | 764 | 159 | 320 | 19 | 7 | 337 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 329 | 312 | 76 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 71 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 244 | 272 | 346 | 618 | 103 | 305 | 22 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 329 | 309 | 78 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 252 | 287 | 362 | 649 | 110 | 300 | 17 | 4 | 286 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 248 | 235 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 58 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 234 | 265 | 315 | 580 | 81 | 299 | 23 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 248 | 231 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 251 | 294 | 346 | 640 | 95 | 308 | 20 | 5 | 285 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 255 | 238 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 256 | 286 | 315 | 601 | 59 | 323 | 21 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 255 | 234 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 261 | 302 | 329 | 631 | 68 | 314 | 18 | 5 | 279 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 405 | 118 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 85 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 291 | 318 | 370 | 689 | 79 | 355 | 20 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 432 | 397 | 112 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 66 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 282 | 323 | 365 | 688 | 83 | 325 | 15 | 5 | 303 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 18 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 133 | 411 | 182 | 22 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 18 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 133 | 411 | 182 | 22 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 206 | 186 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 172 | 246 | 237 | 483 | 65 | 225 | 22 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 276 | 243 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 41 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 222 | 310 | 300 | 611 | 78 | 261 | 15 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 515 | 477 | 107 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 136 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 224 | 275 | 329 | 604 | 105 | 296 | 26 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 329 | 314 | 76 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 71 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 242 | 272 | 344 | 616 | 102 | 304 | 22 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 248 | 236 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 58 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 233 | 265 | 314 | 579 | 81 | 295 | 23 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 255 | 243 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 251 | 286 | 309 | 595 | 58 | 315 | 21 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 413 | 118 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 85 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 286 | 318 | 363 | 681 | 77 | 340 | 20 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2279 | 2109 | 505 | 107 | 13 | 15 | 109 | 495 | 24 | 34 | 26 | 239 | 285 | 324 | 608 | 84 | 303 | 22 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -97 | -4 | +0 | +8 | +49 | -4.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 145 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 141 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 241 | 286 | 326 | 612 | 85 | 305 | 22 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -28 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2014 AABowie Baysox · 385 PAwOBA .306 → .293 (−13)K% 15.8% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.84% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.42% | ÷1.082 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 2.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.69% | ÷0.972 | ×0.970 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 27.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷0.969 | ×0.860 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 6.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.01% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .306 → .293; ISO .087 → .078; BABIP .338 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 176 PAwOBA .269 → .259 (−10)K% 17.0% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.05% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.41% | ÷1.069 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.31% | ÷0.964 | ×0.930 | ×1.045 | ×1.033 | 24.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.52% | ÷1.083 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×1.033 | 6.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.957 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | ×1.033 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.068 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 93, 2B 117, 3B 91, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .269 → .259; ISO .074 → .065; BABIP .311 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 79 PAwOBA .287 → .272 (−15)K% 19.0% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.99% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.36% | ÷0.980 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 31.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.987 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.026 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.36% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .287 → .272; ISO .056 → .045; BABIP .321 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 167 PAwOBA .304 → .271 (−34)K% 17.4% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.37% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.19% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.81% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 25.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.095 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.098 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 130, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .304 → .271; ISO .108 → .083; BABIP .328 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 47 PAwOBA .203 → .187 (−15)K% 23.4% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.40% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.26% | ÷0.974 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷0.975 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 15.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 2.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.982 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 3.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.280 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 95, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .203 → .187; ISO .070 → .066; BABIP .212 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 192 PAwOBA .299 → .275 (−24)K% 13.5% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.54% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.69% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.050 | 17.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.74% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.050 | 8.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.031 | ×1.050 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.955 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .299 → .275; ISO .144 → .133; BABIP .289 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 75 PAwOBA .284 → .262 (−22)K% 29.3% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.33% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.67% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 1.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 37.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 3.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 2.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .284 → .262; ISO .056 → .049; BABIP .420 → .428. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Salem Red Sox · 35 PAwOBA .242 → .195 (−47)K% 11.4% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.43% | ÷0.949 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.046 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 3.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 2.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.966 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 10.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 8.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 93, 2B 118, 3B 85, K 90, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .242 → .195; ISO .097 → .073; BABIP .222 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .