Valentin Gamez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 32 | AAAPericos de Pu… | 131 | .241/.320/.277 | 0 | 0 | 31 | — | .197/.248/.222 |
| 2016 | 33 | AAAPericos de Pu… | 147 | .261/.301/.355 | 1 | 1 | 35 | — | .211/.233/.289 |
| 2017 | 34 | AAAPericos de Pu… | 141 | .248/.353/.291 | 1 | 0 | 46 | — | .216/.279/.256 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 23 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 92 | 77 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 312 | 398 | 325 | 722 | 13 | 324 | 5 | 11 | 324 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 175 | 159 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 302 | 331 | 340 | 671 | 38 | 331 | 9 | 4 | 289 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 91 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 244 | 205 | 449 | 24 | 214 | 14 | 7 | 212 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 146 | 122 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 287 | 387 | 344 | 732 | 57 | 310 | 7 | 14 | 331 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 240 | 200 | 59 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 295 | 392 | 385 | 777 | 90 | 322 | 11 | 13 | 344 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 104 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 317 | 441 | 394 | 835 | 77 | 333 | 7 | 16 | 374 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 270 | 237 | 70 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 295 | 335 | 367 | 702 | 72 | 332 | 12 | 4 | 295 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 399 | 340 | 110 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 324 | 398 | 432 | 830 | 109 | 341 | 8 | 10 | 358 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 249 | 210 | 65 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 310 | 391 | 338 | 729 | 29 | 353 | 11 | 11 | 324 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 112 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 320 | 277 | 597 | 36 | 287 | 15 | 8 | 268 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 147 | 138 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 301 | 355 | 656 | 94 | 299 | 14 | 4 | 294 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 141 | 117 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 353 | 291 | 644 | 43 | 295 | 15 | 12 | 294 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 92 | 80 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 325 | 386 | 338 | 724 | 13 | 332 | 7 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 175 | 161 | 50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 311 | 331 | 348 | 679 | 37 | 328 | 11 | 3 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 91 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 222 | 200 | 422 | 24 | 213 | 18 | 4 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 146 | 128 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 345 | 320 | 665 | 47 | 294 | 8 | 10 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 240 | 210 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 252 | 323 | 319 | 642 | 67 | 275 | 15 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 112 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 386 | 375 | 761 | 71 | 314 | 8 | 10 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 270 | 241 | 67 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 278 | 307 | 336 | 643 | 58 | 298 | 15 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 399 | 355 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 287 | 338 | 375 | 712 | 87 | 296 | 11 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 249 | 220 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 273 | 328 | 295 | 623 | 23 | 303 | 15 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 117 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 248 | 222 | 470 | 26 | 239 | 20 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 147 | 142 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 233 | 289 | 522 | 77 | 243 | 18 | 1 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 141 | 125 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 279 | 256 | 535 | 40 | 256 | 19 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 92 | 80 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 325 | 386 | 338 | 724 | 13 | 342 | 7 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 92 | 77 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 312 | 398 | 325 | 722 | 13 | 324 | 5 | 11 | 324 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 175 | 161 | 50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 311 | 331 | 348 | 679 | 37 | 347 | 11 | 3 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 175 | 159 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 302 | 331 | 340 | 671 | 38 | 331 | 9 | 4 | 289 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 91 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 222 | 200 | 422 | 24 | 217 | 18 | 4 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA RAW | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 91 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 244 | 205 | 449 | 24 | 214 | 14 | 7 | 212 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 146 | 128 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 345 | 320 | 665 | 47 | 299 | 8 | 10 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 146 | 122 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 287 | 387 | 344 | 732 | 57 | 310 | 7 | 14 | 331 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 240 | 210 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 252 | 323 | 319 | 642 | 67 | 292 | 15 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 240 | 200 | 59 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 295 | 392 | 385 | 777 | 90 | 322 | 11 | 13 | 344 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 112 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 386 | 375 | 761 | 71 | 324 | 8 | 10 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 104 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 317 | 441 | 394 | 835 | 77 | 333 | 7 | 16 | 374 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 270 | 241 | 67 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 278 | 307 | 336 | 643 | 58 | 324 | 15 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 270 | 237 | 70 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 295 | 335 | 367 | 702 | 72 | 332 | 12 | 4 | 295 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 399 | 355 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 287 | 338 | 375 | 712 | 87 | 312 | 11 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 399 | 340 | 110 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 324 | 398 | 432 | 830 | 109 | 341 | 8 | 10 | 358 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 249 | 220 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 273 | 328 | 295 | 623 | 23 | 324 | 15 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 249 | 210 | 65 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 310 | 391 | 338 | 729 | 29 | 353 | 11 | 11 | 324 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 117 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 248 | 222 | 470 | 26 | 247 | 20 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 112 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 320 | 277 | 597 | 36 | 287 | 15 | 8 | 268 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 147 | 142 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 233 | 289 | 522 | 77 | 252 | 18 | 1 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 147 | 138 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 301 | 355 | 656 | 94 | 299 | 14 | 4 | 294 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 141 | 125 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 279 | 256 | 535 | 40 | 268 | 19 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 141 | 117 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 353 | 291 | 644 | 43 | 295 | 15 | 12 | 294 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 92 | 84 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 310 | 386 | 321 | 708 | 12 | 332 | 7 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 175 | 168 | 50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 298 | 331 | 333 | 665 | 36 | 328 | 11 | 3 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 91 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 174 | 222 | 198 | 420 | 23 | 213 | 18 | 4 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 146 | 131 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 345 | 313 | 658 | 46 | 294 | 8 | 10 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 240 | 216 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 245 | 323 | 310 | 633 | 65 | 275 | 15 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 115 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 296 | 386 | 365 | 751 | 70 | 314 | 8 | 10 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 270 | 258 | 67 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 260 | 307 | 314 | 621 | 54 | 298 | 15 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 399 | 369 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 338 | 360 | 698 | 84 | 296 | 11 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 249 | 229 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 328 | 284 | 612 | 22 | 303 | 15 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 131 | 122 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 248 | 213 | 461 | 25 | 239 | 20 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 147 | 142 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 233 | 289 | 522 | 77 | 243 | 18 | 1 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 34 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 141 | 129 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 279 | 248 | 527 | 39 | 256 | 19 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2212 | 1976 | 522 | 69 | 8 | 7 | 132 | 299 | 15 | 16 | 23 | 264 | 315 | 318 | 633 | 54 | 303 | 14 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -73 | -6 | +0 | +8 | +48 | -2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 153 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 88 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 263 | 314 | 315 | 629 | 52 | 302 | 14 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -21 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAPericos de Puebla · 141 PAwOBA .282 → .236 (−45)K% 14.9% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷0.920 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.64% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.08% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 23.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.946 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 1.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.114 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.910 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.75% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 123, K 84, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .282 → .236; ISO .043 → .036; BABIP .295 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAPericos de Puebla · 147 PAwOBA .282 → .220 (−62)K% 14.3% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.921 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.72% | ÷1.091 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 1.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.048 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×0.942 | 18.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.84% | ÷1.075 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.942 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.942 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.024 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.55% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 115, 3B 102, K 84, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .282 → .220; ISO .094 → .068; BABIP .299 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPericos de Puebla · 131 PAwOBA .262 → .214 (−48)K% 15.3% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.27% | ÷0.913 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.63% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 4.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.075 | ×0.930 | ×1.027 | ×0.952 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×0.952 | 3.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 115, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 83, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .262 → .214; ISO .036 → .028; BABIP .287 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAPericos de Puebla · 249 PAwOBA .319 → .269 (−50)K% 11.2% → 14.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.24% | ÷0.914 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.84% | ÷1.071 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.42% | ÷1.068 | ×0.930 | ×1.037 | ×0.962 | 28.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.30% | ÷1.108 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×0.962 | 2.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 114, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 83, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .319 → .269; ISO .029 → .023; BABIP .353 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPericos de Puebla · 399 PAwOBA .355 → .305 (−51)K% 8.0% → 10.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.02% | ÷0.905 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.28% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.60% | ÷1.081 | ×0.930 | ×1.049 | ×0.972 | 24.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.52% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×0.972 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×0.972 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.84% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 116, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 81, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .355 → .305; ISO .109 → .091; BABIP .341 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPericos de Puebla · 270 PAwOBA .294 → .270 (−24)K% 11.9% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.85% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.07% | ÷1.070 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 2.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.85% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×1.028 | ×0.982 | 24.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.29% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×0.982 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 91, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .294 → .270; ISO .072 → .059; BABIP .332 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPericos de Puebla · 131 PAwOBA .371 → .333 (−38)K% 6.9% → 8.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.87% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 8.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.03% | ÷1.064 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 10.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.47% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 28.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.16% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 2.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.72% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .371 → .333; ISO .077 → .066; BABIP .333 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAPericos de Puebla · 240 PAwOBA .341 → .284 (−57)K% 10.8% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.83% | ÷0.874 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.92% | ÷0.982 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.01% | ÷1.098 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×1.003 | 23.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.60% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.003 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.003 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.094 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.74% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 120, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 75, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .341 → .284; ISO .090 → .071; BABIP .322 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).