Ivan Bellazetin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 299 | .276/.326/.335 | 1 | 2 | 61 | — | .272/.312/.326 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 214 | .305/.350/.449 | 4 | 3 | 79 | — | .274/.310/.384 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAARojos del Agu… | 193 | .236/.300/.339 | 3 | 2 | 57 | — | .235/.278/.318 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 19 | AAA | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 241 | 216 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 227 | 277 | 255 | 532 | 28 | 268 | 14 | 6 | 237 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 240 | 223 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 247 | 279 | 305 | 584 | 58 | 286 | 14 | 3 | 257 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 121 | 113 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 257 | 294 | 310 | 604 | 53 | 302 | 14 | 5 | 270 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 408 | 358 | 94 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 61 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 263 | 327 | 352 | 678 | 89 | 311 | 15 | 8 | 296 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 268 | 247 | 76 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 308 | 345 | 360 | 705 | 53 | 355 | 13 | 4 | 312 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 404 | 366 | 95 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 57 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 260 | 314 | 317 | 631 | 57 | 302 | 14 | 5 | 283 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 479 | 429 | 108 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 65 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 252 | 296 | 333 | 629 | 82 | 293 | 14 | 4 | 271 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 252 | 224 | 63 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 281 | 332 | 339 | 671 | 58 | 308 | 9 | 6 | 293 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 158 | 136 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 243 | 313 | 316 | 630 | 74 | 269 | 11 | 8 | 276 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 299 | 257 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 276 | 326 | 335 | 661 | 58 | 326 | 15 | 5 | 279 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 214 | 187 | 57 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 305 | 350 | 449 | 799 | 144 | 327 | 10 | 5 | 332 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 193 | 165 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 236 | 300 | 339 | 639 | 103 | 275 | 17 | 7 | 271 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 19 | AAA MLE | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 241 | 220 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 223 | 260 | 245 | 505 | 23 | 260 | 17 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 240 | 225 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 236 | 262 | 289 | 551 | 53 | 272 | 17 | 2 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 121 | 115 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 235 | 261 | 278 | 539 | 43 | 286 | 17 | 3 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 408 | 367 | 97 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 73 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 264 | 311 | 349 | 660 | 84 | 309 | 18 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 268 | 251 | 77 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 307 | 333 | 355 | 688 | 48 | 356 | 15 | 2 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 404 | 374 | 88 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 70 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 235 | 276 | 278 | 554 | 43 | 279 | 17 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 479 | 435 | 106 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 79 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 244 | 279 | 317 | 596 | 74 | 276 | 16 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 252 | 229 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 266 | 303 | 319 | 622 | 52 | 283 | 11 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 158 | 140 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 221 | 273 | 286 | 559 | 64 | 238 | 15 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 299 | 261 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 272 | 312 | 326 | 637 | 54 | 299 | 18 | 3 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 214 | 190 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 274 | 310 | 384 | 694 | 111 | 279 | 13 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 193 | 170 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 235 | 278 | 318 | 595 | 82 | 260 | 18 | 4 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | AAA MLE | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 241 | 220 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 223 | 260 | 245 | 505 | 23 | 272 | 17 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | AAA RAW | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 241 | 216 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 227 | 277 | 255 | 532 | 28 | 268 | 14 | 6 | 237 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 240 | 225 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 236 | 262 | 289 | 551 | 53 | 283 | 17 | 2 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 240 | 223 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 247 | 279 | 305 | 584 | 58 | 286 | 14 | 3 | 257 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 121 | 115 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 235 | 261 | 278 | 539 | 43 | 284 | 17 | 3 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 121 | 113 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 257 | 294 | 310 | 604 | 53 | 302 | 14 | 5 | 270 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 408 | 367 | 97 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 73 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 264 | 311 | 349 | 660 | 84 | 324 | 18 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 408 | 358 | 94 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 61 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 263 | 327 | 352 | 678 | 89 | 311 | 15 | 8 | 296 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 268 | 251 | 77 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 307 | 333 | 355 | 688 | 48 | 365 | 15 | 2 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 268 | 247 | 76 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 308 | 345 | 360 | 705 | 53 | 355 | 13 | 4 | 312 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 404 | 374 | 88 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 70 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 235 | 276 | 278 | 554 | 43 | 286 | 17 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 404 | 366 | 95 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 57 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 260 | 314 | 317 | 631 | 57 | 302 | 14 | 5 | 283 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 479 | 435 | 106 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 79 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 244 | 279 | 317 | 596 | 74 | 294 | 16 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 479 | 429 | 108 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 65 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 252 | 296 | 333 | 629 | 82 | 293 | 14 | 4 | 271 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 252 | 229 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 266 | 303 | 319 | 622 | 52 | 299 | 11 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 252 | 224 | 63 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 281 | 332 | 339 | 671 | 58 | 308 | 9 | 6 | 293 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 158 | 140 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 221 | 273 | 286 | 559 | 64 | 254 | 15 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 158 | 136 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 243 | 313 | 316 | 630 | 74 | 269 | 11 | 8 | 276 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 299 | 261 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 272 | 312 | 326 | 637 | 54 | 335 | 18 | 3 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 299 | 257 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 276 | 326 | 335 | 661 | 58 | 326 | 15 | 5 | 279 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 214 | 190 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 274 | 310 | 384 | 694 | 111 | 304 | 13 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 214 | 187 | 57 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 305 | 350 | 449 | 799 | 144 | 327 | 10 | 5 | 332 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 193 | 170 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 235 | 278 | 318 | 595 | 82 | 284 | 18 | 4 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 193 | 165 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 236 | 300 | 339 | 639 | 103 | 275 | 17 | 7 | 271 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | AAA MLE | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 241 | 228 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 215 | 260 | 237 | 497 | 22 | 260 | 17 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 240 | 230 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 230 | 262 | 283 | 544 | 52 | 272 | 17 | 2 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 121 | 116 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 233 | 261 | 276 | 536 | 43 | 286 | 17 | 3 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 408 | 380 | 97 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 73 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 255 | 311 | 337 | 648 | 82 | 309 | 18 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 268 | 256 | 77 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 301 | 333 | 348 | 681 | 47 | 356 | 15 | 2 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 404 | 380 | 88 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 70 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 232 | 276 | 274 | 550 | 42 | 279 | 17 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 479 | 455 | 106 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 79 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 233 | 279 | 303 | 582 | 70 | 276 | 16 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 252 | 238 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 256 | 303 | 307 | 610 | 50 | 283 | 11 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 158 | 147 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 211 | 273 | 272 | 545 | 61 | 238 | 15 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 299 | 282 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 252 | 312 | 301 | 613 | 50 | 299 | 18 | 3 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 214 | 202 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 257 | 310 | 361 | 671 | 104 | 279 | 13 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 193 | 181 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 221 | 278 | 298 | 576 | 77 | 260 | 18 | 4 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3277 | 2977 | 752 | 112 | 19 | 11 | 121 | 532 | 36 | 84 | 56 | 253 | 290 | 314 | 604 | 61 | 302 | 16 | 4 | 257 | 60 | -155 | -6 | +0 | +12 | +71 | -7.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 149 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 106 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 253 | 290 | 314 | 603 | 61 | 302 | 16 | 4 | 257 | 60 | -31 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 193 PAwOBA .266 → .252 (−14)K% 16.6% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.58% | ÷1.095 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.74% | ÷1.043 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 4.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.80% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 20.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.51% | ÷0.899 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.26% | ÷0.929 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.63% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 80, 3B 80, K 119, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .266 → .252; ISO .103 → .096; BABIP .275 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 214 PAwOBA .325 → .285 (−40)K% 10.3% → 12.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.28% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.14% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.03% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×1.028 | ×0.972 | 20.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×0.972 | 6.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.42% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.89% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .325 → .285; ISO .144 → .116; BABIP .327 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 299 PAwOBA .275 → .259 (−16)K% 14.7% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.72% | ÷0.969 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.68% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 3.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.23% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×0.982 | 25.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.011 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×0.982 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.32% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .275 → .259; ISO .058 → .051; BABIP .326 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 158 PAwOBA .272 → .235 (−37)K% 11.4% → 14.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.39% | ÷0.929 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.19% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×0.992 | 19.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.105 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×0.992 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.197 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.49% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 106, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .272 → .235; ISO .074 → .055; BABIP .269 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 252 PAwOBA .287 → .263 (−24)K% 9.1% → 11.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.13% | ÷0.972 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.95% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.87% | ÷1.034 | ×0.930 | ×1.037 | ×1.003 | 24.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.98% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×1.003 | 4.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.875 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.40% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .287 → .263; ISO .058 → .050; BABIP .308 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 479 PAwOBA .265 → .249 (−16)K% 13.6% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.57% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.38% | ÷0.974 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.25% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 21.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.110 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.18% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 98, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .265 → .249; ISO .082 → .072; BABIP .293 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 404 PAwOBA .277 → .246 (−31)K% 14.1% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.11% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.20% | ÷1.107 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.57% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×1.033 | 24.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.033 | 3.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×1.033 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.47% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 112, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 96, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .277 → .246; ISO .057 → .046; BABIP .302 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 268 PAwOBA .303 → .298 (−5)K% 12.7% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.69% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.36% | ÷1.096 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.52% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 31.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.295 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .303 → .298; ISO .053 → .048; BABIP .355 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).