Jesús Sucre

PosC
B/TR/R
Born1988-04-30
Age (2027)39
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTL
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202335INTLAguilas del Z…103.258/.317/.3872096—
202436INTLTigres de Ara…128.342/.389/.43620133—
202537INTLCaribes de An…118.301/.374/.39810117—
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2017-2019
xwOBA15
Avg EV15
Barrel%10
Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200618 ROKDSL Braves — 145133 37811 9122 11 278333376709 98298 86 318 30 — — — — — —
200719 ROKGCL Braves — 114104 23500 7100 11 221270269540 48240 96 242 14 — — — — — —
200820 ROKDanville Braves — 163154 28203 7241 11 182222253475 71197 154 216 -4 — — — — — —
200921 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans — 206197 51815 8330 31 259288386674 127287 164 298 57 — — — — — —
200921 ARome Braves — 176169 551501 6171 14 325352432784 107358 103 350 93 — — — — — —
201022 AAMississippi Braves — 147145 431112 1170 02 297301428729 131325 121 319 69 — — — — — —
201022 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans — 200191 42905 7261 10 220251346597 126231 134 265 42 — — — — — —
201123 AAJackson Generals — 237221 48801 11191 02 217258267524 50233 85 237 34 — — — — — —
201123 INTLLeones del Caracas — 5444 9100 463 01 205314227541 23237 117 250 56 — — — — — —
201224 AAJackson Generals — 349321 871101 20393 11 271320315634 44305 116 287 65 — — — — — —
201224 INTLLeones del Caracas — 5446 11200 590 01 239314283596 43282 179 263 64 — — — — — —
201325 MLBSeattle Mariners — 2926 5000 210 00 192250192442 192 37 204 25 -3 +0 +2 +3 +1 0.4
201325 AAATacoma Rainiers — 9587 26300 7100 11 299351333684 34338 117 311 74 — — — — — —
201325 ROKAZL Mariners — 2019 6100 120 00 316350368718 53353 105 325 40 — — — — — —
201325 INTLLeones del Caracas — 4945 8000 370 00 178229178407 211 146 190 15 — — — — — —
201426 MLBSeattle Mariners — 6461 13200 0170 00 213213246459 33295 270 196 20 -6 +0 +4 +5 +1 0.4
201426 AAATacoma Rainiers — 181175 48712 4291 01 274294360654 86317 162 291 46 — — — — — —
201426 INTLLeones del Caracas — 1818 2000 020 00 111111111222 125 110 101 -46 — — — — — —
201527 MLBSeattle Mariners — 142127 20601 6210 00 157195228424 71181 154 181 10 -15 +0 +11 +4 +3 0.2
201527 AAATacoma Rainiers — 2623 6000 380 00 261346261607 400 3112 289 40 — — — — — —
201527 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 4540 14000 420 00 350409350759 368 49 344 119 — — — — — —
201628 MLBSeattle Mariners — 2925 12201 252 00 4805526801.232 200579 177 540 255 +5 +0 +1 +5 +1 1.2
201628 AAATacoma Rainiers — 10499 27410 3151 01 273301333634 61321 143 284 49 — — — — — —
201628 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 149129 30900 17200 00 233322302624 70270 1311 285 79 — — — — — —
201729 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 192176 45607 7353 20 256296409705 153275 184 304 92 -2 +0 +6 +5 +4 1.5
201729 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 110103 32203 3132 00 311343417760 107333 123 335 113 — — — — — —
201830 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 198182 38501 9291 10 209250253503 44240 155 225 32 -16 +0 -0 +5 +4 -0.6
201830 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 9383 21210 760 00 253311301612 48269 68 273 71 — — — — — —
201931 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 6762 13200 4131 00 210269242511 32265 196 240 48 -4 +0 +1 +5 +1 0.4
201931 AAANorfolk Tides — 198184 521500 12292 00 283333364697 82335 156 316 47 — — — — — —
201931 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 2927 7000 131 00 259310259570 292 103 268 67 — — — — — —
202032 INTLVenezuela — 120113 37702 4110 00 327350442793 115350 93 344 119 — — — — — —
202133 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 10897 27201 10110 00 278346330676 52306 109 309 95 — — — — — —
202234 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 153142 38513 6122 00 268307380687 113271 84 302 90 — — — — — —
202335 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 10393 24602 7101 00 258317387704 129272 107 310 96 — — — — — —
202436 INTLTigres de Aragua — 128117 40502 960 00 342389436825 94342 57 365 133 — — — — — —
202537 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 118103 31701 10202 00 301374398772 97361 178 342 117 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 721659 14623010 301217 30 222263302565 80254 174 248 54 -40 +1 +25 +33 +16 3.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200618 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 145136 25510 6152 11 184229235464 51202 104 212 30 — — — — — —
200719 ROK MLEGCL Braves — 114107 19400 4140 11 178207215422 37197 124 189 14 — — — — — —
200820 ROK MLEDanville Braves — 163157 22102 4341 11 140167185351 45166 212 162 -4 — — — — — —
200921 A+ MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 206200 46714 5470 31 230249335584 105277 232 253 57 — — — — — —
200921 A MLERome Braves — 176171 511301 4231 14 298318392710 94340 132 305 93 — — — — — —
201022 AA MLEMississippi Braves — 147146 381012 0210 02 260260384644 123291 140 270 69 — — — — — —
201022 A+ MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 200194 39804 4371 10 201221304525 103231 182 230 42 — — — — — —
201123 AA MLEJackson Generals — 237225 49801 7231 02 218245267511 49230 103 219 34 — — — — — —
201224 AA MLEJackson Generals — 349328 88901 13493 11 268302305607 37304 144 265 65 — — — — — —
201325 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 2926 5000 210 00 192250192442 192 37 205 25 -3 +0 +2 +3 +1 0.4
201325 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 9589 25300 5130 11 281319315634 34322 145 277 74 — — — — — —
201325 ROK MLEAZL Mariners — 2019 5100 130 00 263300316616 53268 155 227 40 — — — — — —
201426 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 6461 13200 0170 00 213213246459 33295 270 197 20 -6 +0 +4 +5 +1 0.4
201426 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 181176 41612 3371 01 233250312562 80277 202 236 46 — — — — — —
201527 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 142127 20601 6210 00 157195228424 71181 154 183 10 -15 +0 +11 +4 +3 0.2
201527 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 2624 5000 2100 00 208269208478 363 388 228 40 — — — — — —
201628 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 2925 12201 252 00 4805526801.232 200579 177 545 255 +5 +0 +1 +5 +1 1.2
201628 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 104100 25410 2191 01 250272310582 60293 182 241 49 — — — — — —
201729 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 192176 44607 7353 20 250290403694 153275 184 304 92 -2 +0 +6 +5 +4 1.5
201830 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 198184 37501 7291 10 201234245479 43240 154 216 32 -16 +0 -0 +5 +4 -0.6
201931 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 6762 13200 4131 00 210269242511 32265 196 239 48 -4 +0 +1 +5 +1 0.4
201931 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 198189 411100 7362 00 217253275528 58271 184 237 47 — — — — — —
200618 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 145136 25510 6152 11 184229235464 51205 104 212 30 — — — — — —
200618 ROK RAWDSL Braves — 145133 37811 9122 11 278333376709 98298 86 318 30 — — — — — —
200719 ROK MLEGCL Braves — 114107 19400 4140 11 178207215422 37200 124 189 14 — — — — — —
200719 ROK RAWGCL Braves — 114104 23500 7100 11 221270269540 48240 96 242 14 — — — — — —
200820 ROK MLEDanville Braves — 163157 22102 4341 11 140167185351 45165 212 162 -4 — — — — — —
200820 ROK RAWDanville Braves — 163154 28203 7241 11 182222253475 71197 154 216 -4 — — — — — —
200921 A+ MLE2 teams — 382371 971915 9691 45 261281358639 97309 182 277 74 — — — — — —
200921 A+ RAW2 teams — 382366 1062316 14501 45 290318407725 117322 134 322 74 — — — — — —
201022 A+ MLE2 teams — 347340 771816 4591 12 226238338576 112258 171 247 53 — — — — — —
201022 A+ RAW2 teams — 347336 852017 8431 12 253272381653 128273 122 287 53 — — — — — —
201123 AA MLE2 teams — 291271 59901 9284 03 218254262516 44239 103 219 34 — — — — — —
201123 AA RAW2 teams — 291265 57901 15254 03 215268260528 45233 95 239 34 — — — — — —
201224 AA MLE2 teams — 403377 1011001 15563 12 268301302604 34310 144 265 65 — — — — — —
201224 AA RAW2 teams — 403367 981301 25483 12 267319311630 44302 126 284 65 — — — — — —
201325 AAA MLE4 teams — 193180 46400 10220 11 256295278573 22289 115 256 59 — — — — — —
201325 AAA RAW4 teams — 193177 45400 13200 11 254305277582 23285 107 266 59 — — — — — —
201426 AAA MLE3 teams — 263255 57812 3581 01 224236286522 63281 221 226 39 — — — — — —
201426 AAA RAW3 teams — 263254 63912 4481 01 248263315578 67298 182 255 39 — — — — — —
201527 MLB MLE3 teams — 213193 32801 10390 00 166207223430 57203 185 190 15 -22 +0 +11 +4 +5 -0.2
201527 MLB RAW3 teams — 213190 40601 13310 00 211261258519 47247 156 229 15 -22 +0 +11 +4 +5 -0.2
201628 INTL MLE3 teams — 282267 771222 8503 01 288317371687 82346 183 307 94 — — — — — —
201628 INTL RAW3 teams — 282253 691511 22403 01 273338352690 79318 148 311 94 — — — — — —
201729 MLB MLE2 teams — 302278 7010011 11555 20 252293406699 155273 184 304 92 -3 +0 +6 +5 +7 1.6
201729 MLB RAW2 teams — 302279 778010 10485 20 276313412725 136298 163 315 92 -3 +0 +6 +5 +7 1.6
201830 MLB MLE2 teams — 291271 56802 10431 10 207238258496 52236 153 216 32 -23 +0 -0 +5 +6 -1.2
201830 MLB RAW2 teams — 291265 59711 16351 10 223270268537 45250 125 240 32 -23 +0 -0 +5 +6 -1.2
201931 AAA MLE3 teams — 294278 601500 12544 00 216259270528 54268 184 237 47 — — — — — —
201931 AAA RAW3 teams — 294273 721700 17454 00 264316326642 62316 156 294 47 — — — — — —
202032 INTL MLEVenezuela — 120113 37702 4110 00 327350442793 115350 93 — — — — — — — —
202032 INTL RAWVenezuela — 120113 37702 4110 00 327350442793 115350 93 344 119 — — — — — —
202133 INTL MLECaribes de Anzoategui — 10897 27201 10110 00 278346330676 52306 109 — — — — — — — —
202133 INTL RAWCaribes de Anzoategui — 10897 27201 10110 00 278346330676 52306 109 309 95 — — — — — —
202234 INTL MLECaribes de Anzoategui — 153142 38513 6122 00 268307380687 113271 84 — — — — — — — —
202234 INTL RAWCaribes de Anzoategui — 153142 38513 6122 00 268307380687 113271 84 302 90 — — — — — —
202335 INTL MLEAguilas del Zulia — 10393 24602 7101 00 258317387704 129272 107 — — — — — — — —
202335 INTL RAWAguilas del Zulia — 10393 24602 7101 00 258317387704 129272 107 310 96 — — — — — —
202436 INTL MLETigres de Aragua — 128117 40502 960 00 342389436825 94342 57 — — — — — — — —
202436 INTL RAWTigres de Aragua — 128117 40502 960 00 342389436825 94342 57 365 133 — — — — — —
202537 INTL MLECaribes de Anzoategui — 118103 31701 10202 00 301374398772 97361 178 — — — — — — — —
202537 INTL RAWCaribes de Anzoategui — 118103 31701 10202 00 301374398772 97361 178 342 117 — — — — — —
200618 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 145136 25510 6152 11 184229235464 51202 104 212 30 — — — — — —
200719 ROK MLEGCL Braves — 114109 19400 4140 11 174207211418 37197 124 189 14 — — — — — —
200820 ROK MLEDanville Braves — 163157 22102 4341 11 140167185351 45166 212 162 -4 — — — — — —
200921 A+ MLE2 teams — 382369 971915 9691 45 263281360641 98306 182 277 74 — — — — — —
201022 A+ MLE2 teams — 347339 771816 4591 12 227238339577 112256 171 247 53 — — — — — —
201123 AA MLE2 teams — 291276 59901 9284 03 214254257511 43230 103 219 34 — — — — — —
201224 AA MLE2 teams — 403382 1011001 15563 12 264301298600 34304 144 265 65 — — — — — —
201325 AAA MLE4 teams — 193181 46400 10220 11 254295276571 22288 115 256 59 — — — — — —
201426 AAA MLE3 teams — 263257 57812 3581 01 222236284520 62282 221 226 39 — — — — — —
201527 MLB MLE3 teams — 213201 32801 10390 00 159207214421 55209 185 190 15 — — — — — —
201628 INTL MLE3 teams — 282269 771222 8503 01 286317368685 82355 183 307 94 — — — — — —
201729 MLB MLE2 teams — 302283 7010011 11555 20 247293399692 152275 184 304 92 — — — — — —
201830 MLB MLE2 teams — 291278 56802 10431 10 201238252489 50240 153 216 32 — — — — — —
201931 AAA MLE3 teams — 294276 601500 12544 00 217259272530 54270 184 237 47 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 721659 14623010 301217 30 222263302565 80254 174 248 24 -40 +1 +25 +33 +16 3.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 1322109 271096 30 222263303566 81255 174 248 24 -36 +1 +23 +30 +14 3.2
Career— MLE — 44134146 995163744 16166631 1318 240274315588 75275 154 204 24 -40 +1 +25 +33 +16 3.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650611 1462416 24985 23 239274311585 72274 154 204 24 -36 +1 +23 +30 +14 3.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAANorfolk Tides · 198 PAwOBA .308 → .237 (−71)K% 14.6% → 18.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.65%÷0.973×1.200——18.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.06%÷1.103×0.690—×0.9623.65%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.940—×0.9620.91%
Singles /BIP23.87%÷1.033×0.930×0.950×0.96219.65%
Doubles /BIP9.68%÷0.990×0.830×0.950×0.9627.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.954×0.970×0.950×0.9620.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.889×0.840—×0.9620.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 95, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .308 → .237; ISO .082 → .062; BABIP .335 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAATacoma Rainiers · 104 PAwOBA .276 → .241 (−35)K% 14.4% → 17.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.42%÷1.041×1.290——17.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.88%÷1.115×0.710—×0.9921.82%
HBP% /PA0.96%—×0.980—×0.9920.93%
Singles /BIP26.19%÷0.987×0.900×1.014×0.99224.03%
Doubles /BIP4.76%÷0.901×0.810×1.014×0.9924.31%
Triples /BIP1.19%÷1.063×0.810×1.014×0.9920.91%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.896×0.780—×0.9920.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 97, 2B 80, 3B 113, K 108, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .276 → .241; ISO .061 → .051; BABIP .321 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAATacoma Rainiers · 26 PAwOBA .283 → .228 (−55)K% 30.8% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.77%÷1.049×1.290——37.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.54%÷1.046×0.710—×1.0037.85%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷0.995×0.900—×1.00336.28%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.910×0.810—×1.0030.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.810—×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.127×0.780—×1.0030.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 110, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .283 → .228; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .400 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAATacoma Rainiers · 181 PAwOBA .285 → .236 (−48)K% 16.0% → 20.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.02%÷1.017×1.290——20.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.21%÷1.052×0.710—×1.0181.52%
HBP% /PA0.55%—×0.980—×1.0180.55%
Singles /BIP26.03%÷1.016×0.900×0.975×1.01822.88%
Doubles /BIP4.79%÷0.937×0.810×0.975×1.0184.11%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷0.971×0.810×0.975×1.0180.57%
Home runs /BIP1.37%÷0.963×0.780—×1.0181.13%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 103, 2B 87, 3B 94, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .285 → .236; ISO .086 → .069; BABIP .317 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAATacoma Rainiers · 95 PAwOBA .303 → .277 (−26)K% 10.5% → 13.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.53%÷1.030×1.290——13.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.37%÷1.049×0.710—×1.0335.15%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP29.87%÷0.983×0.900×1.016×1.03328.69%
Doubles /BIP3.90%÷0.957×0.810×1.016×1.0333.46%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.810×1.016×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.938×0.780—×1.0330.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 106, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .303 → .277; ISO .034 → .031; BABIP .338 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKAZL Mariners · 20 PAwOBA .317 → .227 (−90)K% 10.0% → 14.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.00%÷1.000×1.440——14.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.00%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9452.93%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Singles /BIP29.41%÷1.000×0.820—×0.94522.79%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9454.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9450.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .317 → .227; ISO .053 → .035; BABIP .353 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAJackson Generals · 349 PAwOBA .278 → .265 (−14)K% 11.2% → 14.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.17%÷0.974×1.220——14.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.16%÷0.997×0.680—×1.0123.56%
HBP% /PA0.86%—×0.840—×1.0120.73%
Singles /BIP26.60%÷0.943×0.920×1.041×1.01227.34%
Doubles /BIP3.90%÷1.228×0.910×1.041×1.0123.05%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.880×1.041×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.35%÷0.957×0.800—×1.0120.30%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 89, 2B 146, 3B 130, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .278 → .265; ISO .044 → .035; BABIP .305 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAJackson Generals · 237 PAwOBA .231 → .219 (−12)K% 8.0% → 9.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.02%÷1.031×1.220——9.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.64%÷1.063×0.680—×1.0273.05%
HBP% /PA0.42%—×0.840—×1.0270.36%
Singles /BIP19.31%÷0.986×0.920×1.041×1.02719.25%
Doubles /BIP3.96%÷1.028×0.910×1.041×1.0273.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.880×1.041×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.50%÷1.130×0.800—×1.0270.36%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 106, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .231 → .219; ISO .050 → .045; BABIP .233 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .