Carlos Morales
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 31 | AAADelfines de C… | 281 | .267/.338/.355 | 5 | 0 | 57 | — | .229/.273/.302 |
| 2016 | 32 | AAADelfines de C… | 246 | .259/.298/.341 | 4 | 0 | 44 | — | .219/.245/.278 |
| 2017 | 33 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 100 | .179/.220/.232 | 1 | 0 | 3 | — | .167/.200/.219 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 22 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 67 | 63 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 284 | 317 | 601 | 79 | 333 | 27 | 6 | 273 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 267 | 467 | 67 | 429 | 53 | 0 | 206 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 113 | 103 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 291 | 340 | 631 | 97 | 289 | 17 | 4 | 278 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 134 | 126 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 258 | 278 | 535 | 56 | 293 | 25 | 4 | 241 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 238 | 206 | 68 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 330 | 413 | 432 | 845 | 102 | 420 | 20 | 11 | 378 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 410 | 356 | 114 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 320 | 402 | 463 | 866 | 143 | 374 | 17 | 9 | 384 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 295 | 267 | 78 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 50 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 292 | 355 | 378 | 733 | 86 | 347 | 17 | 7 | 331 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 281 | 251 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 267 | 338 | 355 | 693 | 88 | 298 | 15 | 9 | 313 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 246 | 232 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 298 | 341 | 638 | 82 | 303 | 18 | 4 | 288 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 100 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 220 | 232 | 452 | 53 | 219 | 21 | 3 | 209 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 22 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 67 | 64 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 254 | 281 | 535 | 62 | 330 | 33 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 267 | 467 | 67 | 403 | 67 | 0 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 113 | 104 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 273 | 317 | 590 | 87 | 277 | 20 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 134 | 128 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 227 | 250 | 477 | 47 | 290 | 32 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 238 | 215 | 64 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 298 | 357 | 381 | 739 | 84 | 381 | 23 | 8 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 410 | 370 | 112 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 303 | 363 | 419 | 782 | 116 | 355 | 18 | 6 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 295 | 275 | 73 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 58 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 311 | 331 | 641 | 65 | 324 | 20 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 281 | 262 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 273 | 302 | 575 | 73 | 253 | 17 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 246 | 237 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 245 | 278 | 523 | 59 | 268 | 21 | 2 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 100 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 200 | 219 | 419 | 52 | 201 | 25 | 2 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 67 | 64 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 254 | 281 | 535 | 62 | 333 | 33 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 67 | 63 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 284 | 317 | 601 | 79 | 333 | 27 | 6 | 273 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 267 | 467 | 67 | 600 | 67 | 0 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 267 | 467 | 67 | 429 | 53 | 0 | 206 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 113 | 104 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 273 | 317 | 590 | 87 | 287 | 20 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 113 | 103 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 291 | 340 | 631 | 97 | 289 | 17 | 4 | 278 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 134 | 128 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 227 | 250 | 477 | 47 | 298 | 32 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 134 | 126 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 258 | 278 | 535 | 56 | 293 | 25 | 4 | 241 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 238 | 215 | 64 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 298 | 357 | 381 | 739 | 84 | 390 | 23 | 8 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 238 | 206 | 68 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 330 | 413 | 432 | 845 | 102 | 420 | 20 | 11 | 378 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 410 | 370 | 112 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 303 | 363 | 419 | 782 | 116 | 361 | 18 | 6 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 410 | 356 | 114 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 320 | 402 | 463 | 866 | 143 | 374 | 17 | 9 | 384 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 295 | 275 | 73 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 58 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 311 | 331 | 641 | 65 | 327 | 20 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 295 | 267 | 78 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 50 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 292 | 355 | 378 | 733 | 86 | 347 | 17 | 7 | 331 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 281 | 262 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 273 | 302 | 575 | 73 | 262 | 17 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 281 | 251 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 267 | 338 | 355 | 693 | 88 | 298 | 15 | 9 | 313 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 246 | 237 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 245 | 278 | 523 | 59 | 266 | 21 | 2 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 246 | 232 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 298 | 341 | 638 | 82 | 303 | 18 | 4 | 288 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 100 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 200 | 219 | 419 | 52 | 214 | 25 | 2 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 100 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 220 | 232 | 452 | 53 | 219 | 21 | 3 | 209 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 67 | 64 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 254 | 281 | 535 | 62 | 330 | 33 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 267 | 467 | 67 | 403 | 67 | 0 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 113 | 106 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 273 | 311 | 584 | 85 | 277 | 20 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 134 | 129 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 227 | 248 | 475 | 47 | 290 | 32 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 238 | 216 | 64 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 296 | 357 | 380 | 737 | 83 | 381 | 23 | 8 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 410 | 372 | 112 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 301 | 363 | 417 | 780 | 116 | 355 | 18 | 6 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 295 | 275 | 73 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 58 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 311 | 331 | 641 | 65 | 324 | 20 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 281 | 263 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 228 | 273 | 300 | 574 | 72 | 253 | 17 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 246 | 236 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 245 | 280 | 525 | 59 | 268 | 21 | 2 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 100 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 200 | 219 | 419 | 52 | 201 | 25 | 2 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1899 | 1766 | 444 | 64 | 2 | 23 | 86 | 409 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 251 | 297 | 329 | 626 | 78 | 314 | 22 | 5 | 272 | 70 | -67 | -1 | +0 | -34 | +41 | -6.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 153 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 140 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 253 | 298 | 333 | 631 | 79 | 317 | 22 | 4 | 272 | 70 | -23 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 100 PAwOBA .203 → .172 (−32)K% 21.0% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.00% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 1.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 17.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 2.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .203 → .172; ISO .053 → .040; BABIP .219 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 246 PAwOBA .279 → .233 (−47)K% 17.9% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.07% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 2.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.038 | ×0.942 | 23.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.72% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | ×1.038 | ×0.942 | 2.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.926 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 1.52% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 106, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .279 → .233; ISO .082 → .059; BABIP .303 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 281 PAwOBA .305 → .253 (−51)K% 14.6% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.59% | ÷1.049 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.47% | ÷1.102 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.095 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 22.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.934 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 2.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷0.907 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 1.83% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 119, 2B 87, 3B 81, K 110, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .305 → .253; ISO .088 → .075; BABIP .298 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 295 PAwOBA .322 → .281 (−41)K% 16.9% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.95% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.78% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.03% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 27.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 4.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.84% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.15% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .322 → .281; ISO .086 → .063; BABIP .347 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 410 PAwOBA .373 → .339 (−33)K% 16.8% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.83% | ÷1.102 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.54% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.27% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 28.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.62% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.48% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.50% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 90, K 120, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .373 → .339; ISO .143 → .117; BABIP .374 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 238 PAwOBA .370 → .320 (−50)K% 20.2% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.17% | ÷1.040 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.34% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.28% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 30.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.49% | ÷1.073 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 7.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.889 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.98% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 100, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .370 → .320; ISO .102 → .083; BABIP .420 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAATecolotes de Nuevo Laredo · 134 PAwOBA .234 → .205 (−29)K% 24.6% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.63% | ÷0.914 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.73% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.73% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 24.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.30% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.887 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.85% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 95, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 83, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .234 → .205; ISO .056 → .045; BABIP .293 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 113 PAwOBA .271 → .248 (−22)K% 16.8% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 20.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 7.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.85% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .271 → .248; ISO .097 → .082; BABIP .289 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).