Casper Wells
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 28 | INTLLeones del Ca… | 59 | .178/.351/.267 | 1 | 0 | 84 | — | ||
| 2013 | 28 | MLBPHI | 102 | .126/.186/.147 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -1.4 | ||
| 2014 | 29 | AAACHC | 69 | .197/.290/.230 | 0 | 0 | 2 | — | .138/.188/.154 | |
| 2015 | 30 | AADET | 48 | .209/.292/.326 | 1 | 0 | 19 | — | .156/.208/.244 | |
| 2016 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 20 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 167 | 141 | 31 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 59 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 220 | 341 | 461 | 802 | 241 | 338 | 35 | 11 | 355 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A+ | Lakeland Tigers | — | 41 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 152 | 300 | 273 | 573 | 121 | 174 | 22 | 10 | 270 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 313 | 270 | 78 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 66 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 289 | 379 | 589 | 968 | 300 | 323 | 21 | 10 | 413 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 211 | 179 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 39 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 240 | 352 | 447 | 799 | 207 | 252 | 18 | 10 | 357 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 367 | 311 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 15 | 43 | 103 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 260 | 370 | 489 | 859 | 228 | 340 | 28 | 12 | 378 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 99 | 93 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 323 | 364 | 538 | 901 | 215 | 371 | 19 | 6 | 394 | 158 | +7 | -0 | +4 | -6 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 430 | 387 | 90 | 22 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 111 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 233 | 309 | 483 | 793 | 251 | 271 | 26 | 8 | 347 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 36 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 286 | 394 | 680 | 152 | 348 | 28 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 241 | 215 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 71 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 317 | 442 | 759 | 205 | 301 | 29 | 7 | 336 | 112 | +4 | -0 | +3 | -3 | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 30 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 370 | 433 | 815 | 1.248 | 444 | 471 | 27 | 10 | 522 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 316 | 285 | 65 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 228 | 302 | 396 | 698 | 168 | 282 | 25 | 8 | 311 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 95 | 71 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 419 | 479 | 898 | 239 | 283 | 18 | 21 | 392 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 102 | 95 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 126 | 186 | 147 | 334 | 21 | 188 | 30 | 7 | 162 | -4 | -13 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +2 | -1.4 |
| 2013 | 28 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 59 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 351 | 267 | 618 | 89 | 206 | 20 | 15 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 69 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 290 | 230 | 519 | 33 | 293 | 29 | 12 | 249 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 48 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 292 | 326 | 617 | 116 | 320 | 35 | 8 | 283 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 758 | 688 | 158 | 31 | 4 | 25 | 57 | 201 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 230 | 299 | 395 | 694 | 166 | 288 | 27 | 8 | 310 | 96 | -4 | -0 | +5 | -15 | +16 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 167 | 148 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 85 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 122 | 222 | 257 | 478 | 135 | 238 | 51 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Tigers | — | 41 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 147 | 275 | 265 | 540 | 118 | 163 | 32 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 313 | 279 | 69 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 80 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 247 | 320 | 484 | 804 | 237 | 291 | 26 | 7 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 211 | 186 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 53 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 188 | 281 | 344 | 625 | 156 | 208 | 25 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 367 | 326 | 69 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 126 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 212 | 296 | 380 | 676 | 169 | 298 | 34 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 99 | 93 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 323 | 364 | 538 | 901 | 215 | 371 | 19 | 6 | 402 | 158 | +7 | -0 | +4 | -6 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 430 | 395 | 75 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 131 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 190 | 256 | 397 | 653 | 208 | 232 | 30 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 241 | 217 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 71 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 235 | 308 | 438 | 746 | 203 | 301 | 29 | 7 | 334 | 112 | +4 | -0 | +3 | -3 | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 30 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 400 | 786 | 1.186 | 429 | 438 | 33 | 7 | 441 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 316 | 285 | 65 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 228 | 302 | 396 | 698 | 168 | 282 | 25 | 8 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 95 | 78 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 344 | 436 | 780 | 218 | 250 | 22 | 14 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 102 | 95 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 126 | 186 | 147 | 334 | 21 | 188 | 30 | 7 | 162 | -4 | -13 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +2 | -1.4 |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 69 | 65 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 188 | 154 | 342 | 15 | 244 | 38 | 6 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 48 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 208 | 244 | 453 | 89 | 275 | 46 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 167 | 148 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 85 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 122 | 222 | 257 | 478 | 135 | 250 | 51 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers | — | 167 | 141 | 31 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 59 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 220 | 341 | 461 | 802 | 241 | 338 | 35 | 11 | 355 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Tigers | — | 41 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 147 | 275 | 265 | 540 | 118 | 200 | 32 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lakeland Tigers | — | 41 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 152 | 300 | 273 | 573 | 121 | 174 | 22 | 10 | 270 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 465 | 104 | 20 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 133 | 18 | 25 | 8 | 224 | 304 | 428 | 732 | 204 | 264 | 25 | 7 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 524 | 449 | 121 | 25 | 6 | 27 | 52 | 105 | 18 | 25 | 8 | 269 | 368 | 532 | 900 | 263 | 294 | 20 | 10 | 390 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 367 | 326 | 69 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 126 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 212 | 296 | 380 | 676 | 169 | 305 | 34 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 367 | 311 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 15 | 43 | 103 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 260 | 370 | 489 | 859 | 228 | 340 | 28 | 12 | 378 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 565 | 521 | 114 | 26 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 160 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 219 | 278 | 434 | 712 | 215 | 267 | 28 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 565 | 513 | 128 | 31 | 8 | 25 | 42 | 140 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 250 | 317 | 487 | 805 | 238 | 296 | 25 | 7 | 351 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 245 | 61 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 81 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 249 | 319 | 478 | 796 | 229 | 318 | 30 | 7 | 346 | 120 | +7 | -0 | +3 | -3 | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 271 | 242 | 61 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 79 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 252 | 330 | 483 | 813 | 231 | 320 | 29 | 8 | 357 | 120 | +7 | -0 | +3 | -3 | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 363 | 82 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 101 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 311 | 405 | 716 | 179 | 279 | 25 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 411 | 356 | 82 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 46 | 97 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 230 | 328 | 413 | 741 | 183 | 282 | 24 | 11 | 330 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 145 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 131 | 208 | 152 | 359 | 21 | 194 | 30 | 7 | 162 | -4 | -20 | -1 | -1 | -2 | +3 | -2.0 |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 161 | 140 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 143 | 245 | 186 | 431 | 43 | 194 | 27 | 10 | 210 | -4 | -20 | -1 | -1 | -2 | +3 | -2.0 |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 69 | 65 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 188 | 154 | 342 | 15 | 231 | 38 | 6 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA RAW | Iowa Cubs | — | 69 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 290 | 230 | 519 | 33 | 293 | 29 | 12 | 249 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 48 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 208 | 244 | 453 | 89 | 273 | 46 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 48 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 292 | 326 | 617 | 116 | 320 | 35 | 8 | 283 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 167 | 146 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 85 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 123 | 222 | 260 | 482 | 137 | 238 | 51 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Tigers | — | 41 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 275 | 257 | 532 | 114 | 163 | 32 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 465 | 104 | 20 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 133 | 18 | 25 | 8 | 224 | 304 | 428 | 732 | 204 | 258 | 25 | 7 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 367 | 325 | 69 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 126 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 212 | 296 | 382 | 677 | 169 | 298 | 34 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 565 | 517 | 114 | 26 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 160 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 221 | 278 | 437 | 716 | 217 | 258 | 28 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 244 | 61 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 81 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 250 | 319 | 480 | 798 | 230 | 316 | 30 | 7 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 363 | 82 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 101 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 311 | 405 | 716 | 179 | 275 | 25 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 146 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 130 | 208 | 151 | 358 | 21 | 188 | 30 | 7 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 69 | 65 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 188 | 154 | 342 | 15 | 244 | 38 | 6 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 48 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 208 | 244 | 453 | 89 | 275 | 46 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 758 | 688 | 158 | 31 | 4 | 25 | 57 | 201 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 230 | 299 | 395 | 694 | 166 | 288 | 27 | 8 | 310 | 82 | -4 | -0 | +5 | -15 | +16 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 135 | 27 | 3 | 21 | 49 | 172 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 229 | 298 | 392 | 689 | 163 | 287 | 26 | 8 | 310 | 82 | -3 | -0 | +4 | -13 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2624 | 2357 | 488 | 103 | 27 | 86 | 186 | 796 | 66 | 55 | 30 | 207 | 284 | 383 | 667 | 176 | 271 | 30 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -4 | -0 | +5 | -15 | +16 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 121 | 26 | 7 | 21 | 46 | 197 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 207 | 283 | 384 | 667 | 176 | 272 | 30 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -3 | -0 | +4 | -13 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAErie SeaWolves · 48 PAwOBA .276 → .196 (−80)K% 35.4% → 45.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.42% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.077 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.940 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.095 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.940 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.074 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.100 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 2.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 99, 2B 119, 3B 115, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .276 → .196; ISO .116 → .072; BABIP .320 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAIowa Cubs · 69 PAwOBA .244 → .171 (−72)K% 29.0% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.99% | ÷0.996 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.59% | ÷1.249 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 6.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.39% | ÷1.021 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.972 | 20.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.972 | 3.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 104, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 99, BB 150 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .244 → .171; ISO .033 → .022; BABIP .293 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAATacoma Rainiers · 95 PAwOBA .387 → .325 (−62)K% 17.9% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷1.042 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.061 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 13.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.979 | ×0.900 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 10.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.96% | ÷0.936 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 11.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 3.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.97% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 108, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .387 → .325; ISO .239 → .221; BABIP .283 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 30 PAwOBA .508 → .441 (−66)K% 26.7% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 20.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.042 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 8.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.932 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 10.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.922 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 9.62% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 95, 2B 108, 3B 86, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .508 → .441; ISO .444 → .399; BABIP .471 → .438. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 430 PAwOBA .337 → .280 (−57)K% 25.8% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷0.922 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.09% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.86% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 12.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.97% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.015 | ×0.970 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 2.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.61% | ÷0.957 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 6.80% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 112, 2B 90, 3B 103, K 103, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .337 → .280; ISO .251 → .213; BABIP .271 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAErie SeaWolves · 367 PAwOBA .366 → .296 (−71)K% 28.1% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 19.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 7.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 5.61% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .366 → .296; ISO .228 → .180; BABIP .340 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAErie SeaWolves · 313 PAwOBA .404 → .340 (−64)K% 21.1% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.88% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 17.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 7.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 2.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 6.58% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .404 → .340; ISO .300 → .246; BABIP .323 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 211 PAwOBA .349 → .267 (−82)K% 18.5% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.48% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.27% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 3.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 15.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 3.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 5.60% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .349 → .267; ISO .207 → .157; BABIP .252 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .