Ryan Rohlinger
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 29 | AAACLE | 372 | .266/.352/.367 | 5 | 3 | 69 | — | .237/.299/.317 |
| 2014 | 30 | AAACLE | 328 | .233/.302/.339 | 5 | 0 | 39 | — | .189/.240/.269 |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA/AACLE | 336 | .185/.313/.265 | 5 | 0 | 33 | — | .159/.248/.217 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 586 | 506 | 119 | 31 | 3 | 18 | 62 | 83 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 235 | 334 | 415 | 749 | 180 | 247 | 14 | 11 | 334 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 33 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 94 | 121 | 188 | 309 | 94 | 125 | 24 | 3 | 136 | -22 | -5 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2008 | 24 | AA | Connecticut Defenders | — | 179 | 160 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 287 | 349 | 469 | 817 | 181 | 301 | 11 | 7 | 354 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 322 | 277 | 79 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 50 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 285 | 373 | 419 | 792 | 134 | 320 | 16 | 11 | 352 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 20 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 211 | 411 | 53 | 231 | 30 | 5 | 190 | 14 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +0 | 0.3 |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 535 | 474 | 133 | 37 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 90 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 281 | 354 | 468 | 823 | 188 | 314 | 17 | 8 | 360 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 200 | 494 | 300 | 28 | 11 | 228 | 42 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 325 | 283 | 88 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 59 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 311 | 394 | 477 | 871 | 166 | 367 | 18 | 9 | 386 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 430 | 364 | 90 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 56 | 57 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 247 | 355 | 409 | 765 | 162 | 267 | 13 | 13 | 341 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA | Akron Aeros | — | 425 | 353 | 83 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 51 | 59 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 235 | 341 | 334 | 676 | 99 | 259 | 14 | 12 | 303 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 372 | 319 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 69 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 266 | 352 | 367 | 718 | 100 | 325 | 19 | 10 | 321 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 328 | 292 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 302 | 339 | 641 | 106 | 261 | 15 | 7 | 286 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 250 | 208 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 183 | 295 | 260 | 554 | 77 | 191 | 11 | 11 | 255 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 86 | 67 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 194 | 365 | 284 | 648 | 90 | 207 | 10 | 20 | 310 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 71 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 136 | 186 | 197 | 383 | 61 | 191 | 27 | 6 | 175 | 4 | -8 | -0 | +3 | +5 | +2 | 0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 586 | 530 | 103 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 111 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 194 | 265 | 338 | 603 | 143 | 210 | 19 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 33 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 94 | 121 | 188 | 309 | 94 | 125 | 24 | 3 | 136 | -22 | -5 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | Connecticut Defenders | — | 179 | 164 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 303 | 402 | 705 | 146 | 273 | 13 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 322 | 287 | 68 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 67 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 237 | 307 | 345 | 652 | 108 | 273 | 21 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 20 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 211 | 411 | 53 | 231 | 30 | 5 | 190 | 14 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +0 | 0.3 |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 535 | 487 | 112 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 116 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 290 | 372 | 661 | 142 | 269 | 22 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 200 | 494 | 300 | 28 | 11 | 231 | 42 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 325 | 292 | 79 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 79 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 271 | 339 | 401 | 739 | 130 | 347 | 24 | 6 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 430 | 380 | 74 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 80 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 195 | 280 | 305 | 585 | 111 | 224 | 19 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 425 | 369 | 77 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 74 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 209 | 288 | 290 | 578 | 81 | 226 | 17 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 372 | 334 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 82 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 299 | 317 | 617 | 81 | 291 | 22 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 328 | 301 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 57 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 240 | 269 | 509 | 80 | 215 | 17 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 250 | 218 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 156 | 232 | 211 | 443 | 55 | 164 | 13 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 86 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 294 | 236 | 530 | 69 | 182 | 13 | 14 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 586 | 530 | 103 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 111 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 194 | 265 | 338 | 603 | 143 | 216 | 19 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 586 | 506 | 119 | 31 | 3 | 18 | 62 | 83 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 235 | 334 | 415 | 749 | 180 | 247 | 14 | 11 | 334 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 534 | 483 | 113 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 99 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 234 | 294 | 354 | 648 | 120 | 271 | 19 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 534 | 469 | 128 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 78 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 273 | 349 | 420 | 769 | 147 | 301 | 15 | 9 | 339 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 506 | 115 | 30 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 122 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 227 | 286 | 366 | 652 | 138 | 273 | 22 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 555 | 493 | 136 | 38 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 96 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 276 | 349 | 458 | 807 | 183 | 311 | 17 | 8 | 354 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 307 | 82 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 84 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 267 | 336 | 391 | 727 | 124 | 347 | 24 | 6 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 343 | 298 | 91 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 64 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 305 | 389 | 463 | 852 | 158 | 364 | 19 | 9 | 377 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 430 | 380 | 74 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 80 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 195 | 280 | 305 | 585 | 111 | 226 | 19 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA RAW | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 430 | 364 | 90 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 56 | 57 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 247 | 355 | 409 | 765 | 162 | 267 | 13 | 13 | 341 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 425 | 369 | 77 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 74 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 209 | 288 | 290 | 578 | 81 | 240 | 17 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA RAW | Akron Aeros | — | 425 | 353 | 83 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 51 | 59 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 235 | 341 | 334 | 676 | 99 | 259 | 14 | 12 | 303 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 372 | 334 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 82 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 299 | 317 | 617 | 81 | 301 | 22 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 372 | 319 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 69 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 266 | 352 | 367 | 718 | 100 | 325 | 19 | 10 | 321 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 328 | 301 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 57 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 240 | 269 | 509 | 80 | 219 | 17 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 328 | 292 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 302 | 339 | 641 | 106 | 261 | 15 | 7 | 286 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 336 | 291 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 162 | 252 | 223 | 475 | 62 | 175 | 13 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 336 | 275 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 185 | 313 | 265 | 578 | 80 | 195 | 11 | 13 | 269 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 586 | 530 | 103 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 111 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 194 | 265 | 338 | 603 | 143 | 210 | 19 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 534 | 488 | 113 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 99 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 232 | 294 | 350 | 644 | 119 | 264 | 19 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 508 | 115 | 30 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 122 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 286 | 364 | 651 | 138 | 268 | 22 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 308 | 82 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 84 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 266 | 336 | 390 | 726 | 123 | 345 | 24 | 6 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 430 | 382 | 74 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 80 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 194 | 280 | 304 | 584 | 110 | 224 | 19 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 425 | 381 | 77 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 74 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 202 | 288 | 281 | 569 | 79 | 226 | 17 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 372 | 339 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 82 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 233 | 299 | 313 | 612 | 80 | 291 | 22 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 328 | 305 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 57 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 240 | 266 | 505 | 79 | 215 | 17 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 336 | 298 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 158 | 252 | 218 | 470 | 60 | 169 | 13 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 71 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 136 | 186 | 197 | 383 | 61 | 191 | 27 | 6 | 175 | 67 | -8 | -0 | +3 | +5 | +2 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 82 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 37 | 174 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 136 | 186 | 195 | 381 | 60 | 191 | 27 | 6 | 175 | 67 | -74 | -4 | +23 | +47 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3909 | 3501 | 747 | 159 | 10 | 68 | 264 | 753 | 73 | 23 | 17 | 213 | 282 | 323 | 605 | 109 | 250 | 19 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -8 | -0 | +3 | +5 | +2 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 124 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 125 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 213 | 282 | 321 | 603 | 108 | 251 | 19 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -74 | -4 | +23 | +47 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAColumbus Clippers · 250 PAwOBA .251 → .203 (−49)K% 11.2% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.20% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.80% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 2.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×0.952 | 14.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.952 | 1.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.217 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 1.46% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .251 → .203; ISO .077 → .057; BABIP .191 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAkron RubberDucks · 86 PAwOBA .307 → .254 (−53)K% 10.5% → 12.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.47% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.77% | ÷0.934 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 13.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.52% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.940 | 14.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.053 | ×0.860 | ×0.983 | ×0.940 | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.983 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.842 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 104, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .307 → .254; ISO .090 → .078; BABIP .207 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAColumbus Clippers · 328 PAwOBA .279 → .226 (−53)K% 14.6% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.63% | ÷1.016 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.26% | ÷1.034 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×0.962 | 16.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×0.962 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷1.028 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 1.61% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .279 → .226; ISO .106 → .084; BABIP .261 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAColumbus Clippers · 372 PAwOBA .312 → .270 (−42)K% 18.5% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.55% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.14% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.20% | ÷0.980 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×0.972 | 22.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.80% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×0.972 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 1.47% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .312 → .270; ISO .100 → .084; BABIP .325 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAkron Aeros · 425 PAwOBA .299 → .255 (−45)K% 13.9% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.88% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.966 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.09% | ÷1.027 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×0.958 | 18.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.035 | ×0.860 | ×0.990 | ×0.958 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.142 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.903 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 128, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .299 → .255; ISO .099 → .085; BABIP .259 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 430 PAwOBA .334 → .266 (−68)K% 13.3% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.26% | ÷0.925 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.79% | ÷0.972 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 9.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.24% | ÷1.016 | ×0.900 | ×0.997 | ×0.992 | 15.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.19% | ÷0.992 | ×0.810 | ×0.997 | ×0.992 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.997 | ×0.992 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.26% | ÷1.029 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.45% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 85, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .334 → .266; ISO .162 → .123; BABIP .267 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 325 PAwOBA .377 → .326 (−51)K% 18.2% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.15% | ÷0.969 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.62% | ÷0.981 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 3.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.45% | ÷0.951 | ×0.900 | ×1.023 | ×1.003 | 24.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.27% | ÷0.910 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.003 | 9.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.047 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.67% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 90, 2B 82, 3B 104, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .377 → .326; ISO .166 → .133; BABIP .367 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 535 PAwOBA .353 → .290 (−63)K% 16.8% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.82% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.979 | ×1.018 | 18.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.979 | ×1.018 | 7.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.979 | ×1.018 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.31% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .353 → .290; ISO .188 → .148; BABIP .314 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).