Roman Pena

PosRF

B/TL/L

Born1986-09-02

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	28	AAA/INTL2 orgs	378	.208/.306/.361	12	4	23	—	.140/.202/.237
2016	29	AAATigres de Qui…	127	.261/.320/.400	2	4	63	—	.227/.264/.328
2017	30	AAAVaqueros Unio…	65	.175/.266/.281	1	0	11	—	.136/.203/.220

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	19	A	Lake County Captains	—	58	54	15	1	0	2	2	19	1	1	0	278	316	407	723	130	394	33	3	318	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK	GCL Indians	—	180	151	47	12	1	5	22	48	4	6	3	311	412	503	916	192	420	27	12	400	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A	Lake County Captains	—	533	455	109	20	6	7	60	138	12	2	4	240	343	356	699	116	327	26	11	318	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+	Kinston Indians	—	64	54	8	3	0	2	8	18	1	0	1	148	270	315	585	167	171	28	12	266	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A	Lake County Captains	—	467	426	117	26	2	11	33	104	3	14	6	275	331	423	754	148	337	22	7	333	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+	Kinston Indians	—	371	313	64	14	2	5	46	85	4	7	10	204	314	310	624	105	260	23	12	285	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+	Kinston Indians	—	74	61	9	1	2	2	11	19	0	2	2	148	278	328	606	180	171	26	15	270	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	149	121	30	5	1	5	20	33	2	4	2	248	364	430	793	182	301	22	13	343	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	147	124	28	9	2	3	22	24	0	2	0	226	342	403	746	177	255	16	15	334	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	199	174	41	13	2	4	15	54	2	0	3	236	304	402	706	167	311	27	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	456	408	124	24	7	14	39	114	0	7	4	304	365	500	865	196	391	25	9	373	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	214	195	57	9	2	7	13	46	1	7	2	292	340	467	806	174	352	21	6	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	31	25	9	1	0	1	6	6	0	1	0	360	484	520	1.004	160	444	19	19	448	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	441	352	91	13	6	25	80	121	2	5	6	259	399	543	941	284	316	27	18	404	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	124	112	29	5	0	3	8	41	1	2	1	259	314	384	698	125	366	33	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	336	293	61	11	1	12	37	123	2	3	3	208	301	375	677	167	308	37	11	302	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	42	34	7	1	0	0	6	16	1	1	0	206	341	235	577	29	368	38	14	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	127	115	30	8	1	2	9	39	1	4	0	261	320	400	720	139	378	31	7	317	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	65	57	10	3	0	1	7	26	0	0	0	175	266	281	546	105	290	40	11	250	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	19	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	58	55	12	1	0	1	1	25	1	1	0	218	246	291	537	73	367	43	2	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK MLE	GCL Indians	—	180	160	35	8	1	4	14	69	4	6	3	219	299	356	656	138	324	38	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	533	476	98	16	6	6	39	185	12	2	4	206	283	303	585	97	313	35	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	64	58	7	2	0	2	4	26	1	0	1	121	190	259	449	138	152	41	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	467	438	102	21	2	9	21	139	3	14	6	233	273	352	624	119	309	30	4	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	371	330	56	11	2	4	29	121	4	7	10	170	245	252	497	82	239	33	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	74	65	9	1	2	2	7	26	0	2	2	138	222	308	530	169	154	35	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	149	126	30	5	1	3	15	37	2	4	2	238	329	365	694	127	292	25	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	147	132	24	8	2	2	14	34	0	2	0	182	260	318	578	136	220	23	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	456	420	117	21	8	8	27	133	0	7	4	279	322	424	746	145	375	29	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	31	27	9	1	0	1	4	7	0	1	0	333	419	481	901	148	406	23	13	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	441	383	80	12	5	15	49	144	2	5	6	209	302	384	686	175	275	33	11	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	336	308	43	7	1	7	22	162	2	3	3	140	202	237	439	97	244	48	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	127	119	27	7	1	1	5	45	1	4	0	227	264	328	592	101	351	35	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	65	59	8	2	0	1	5	31	0	0	0	136	203	220	423	85	244	48	8	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	238	214	46	9	1	5	15	95	5	7	3	215	282	336	618	121	353	40	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	238	205	62	13	1	7	24	67	5	7	3	302	389	478	867	176	414	28	10	380	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	533	476	98	16	6	6	39	185	12	2	4	206	283	303	585	97	321	35	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A RAW	Lake County Captains	—	533	455	109	20	6	7	60	138	12	2	4	240	343	356	699	116	327	26	11	318	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	531	496	108	23	2	10	25	165	4	14	7	218	261	333	594	115	301	31	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	531	480	125	29	2	13	41	122	4	14	7	260	324	410	734	150	320	23	8	325	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	371	330	56	11	2	4	29	121	4	7	10	170	245	252	497	82	249	33	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ RAW	Kinston Indians	—	371	313	64	14	2	5	46	85	4	7	10	204	314	310	624	105	260	23	12	285	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	74	65	9	1	2	2	7	26	0	2	2	138	222	308	530	169	184	35	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ RAW	Kinston Indians	—	74	61	9	1	2	2	11	19	0	2	2	148	278	328	606	180	171	26	15	270	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	495	427	90	21	5	9	49	119	4	6	5	211	298	347	645	136	267	24	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	495	419	99	27	5	12	57	111	4	6	5	236	333	411	744	174	290	22	12	324	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	670	615	171	31	11	11	40	195	1	14	6	278	323	418	741	140	390	29	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	670	603	181	33	9	21	52	160	1	14	6	300	357	489	846	189	378	24	8	365	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	31	27	9	1	0	1	4	7	0	1	0	333	419	481	901	148	421	23	13	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA RAW	Piratas de Campeche	—	31	25	9	1	0	1	6	6	0	1	0	360	484	520	1.004	160	444	19	19	448	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	565	489	102	15	7	19	63	185	3	7	7	209	303	384	687	176	285	33	11	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	565	464	120	18	6	28	88	162	3	7	7	259	380	504	884	246	329	29	16	383	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	378	345	48	8	1	8	25	182	3	4	3	139	204	238	441	99	255	48	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	378	327	68	12	1	12	43	139	3	4	3	208	306	361	666	153	315	37	11	299	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	127	119	27	7	1	1	5	45	1	4	0	227	264	328	592	101	356	35	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA RAW	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	127	115	30	8	1	2	9	39	1	4	0	261	320	400	720	139	378	31	7	317	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	65	59	8	2	0	1	5	31	0	0	0	136	203	220	423	85	250	48	8	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	65	57	10	3	0	1	7	26	0	0	0	175	266	281	546	105	290	40	11	250	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	238	216	46	9	1	5	15	95	5	7	3	213	282	333	615	120	334	40	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	533	477	98	16	6	6	39	185	12	2	4	205	283	302	585	96	313	35	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	531	497	108	23	2	10	25	165	4	14	7	217	261	332	593	115	290	31	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	371	335	56	11	2	4	29	121	4	7	10	167	245	248	493	81	239	33	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	74	67	9	1	2	2	7	26	0	2	2	134	222	299	521	164	154	35	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	495	439	90	21	5	9	49	119	4	6	5	205	298	337	635	132	256	24	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	670	624	171	31	11	11	40	195	1	14	6	274	323	412	735	138	375	29	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	31	27	9	1	0	1	4	7	0	1	0	333	419	481	901	148	406	23	13	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	565	494	102	15	7	19	63	185	3	7	7	206	303	381	683	174	275	33	11	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	378	347	48	8	1	8	25	182	3	4	3	138	204	236	440	98	244	48	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	127	120	27	7	1	1	5	45	1	4	0	225	264	325	589	100	351	35	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	65	60	8	2	0	1	5	31	0	0	0	133	203	217	420	83	244	48	8	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4078	3662	772	145	38	77	306	1356	37	68	47	211	278	334	613	123	308	33	8	265	66	-167	-5	+0	-44	+88	-13.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	123	23	6	12	49	216	6	11	7	211	279	332	611	122	308	33	8	265	66	-27	-1	+0	-7	+14	-2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAVaqueros Union Laguna · 65 PAwOBA .248 → .184 (−64)K% 40.0% → 48.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	40.00%	÷0.993	×1.200	—	—	48.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.77%	÷0.991	×0.690	—	×0.962	7.21%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.35%	÷1.039	×0.930	—	×0.962	16.67%
Doubles /BIP	9.68%	÷0.972	×0.830	—	×0.962	7.95%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	—	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷0.879	×0.700	—	×0.962	2.47%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .248 → .184; ISO .105 → .078; BABIP .290 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 127 PAwOBA .302 → .262 (−40)K% 30.7% → 35.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.71%	÷1.042	×1.200	—	—	35.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.51%	÷1.031	×0.690	—	×0.972	3.59%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.72%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.945	×0.930	×1.008	×0.972	24.11%
Doubles /BIP	10.53%	÷0.941	×0.830	×1.008	×0.972	9.10%
Triples /BIP	1.32%	÷0.910	×0.920	×1.008	×0.972	1.30%
Home runs /BIP	2.63%	÷1.105	×0.700	—	×0.972	1.62%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 82, K 108, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .302 → .262; ISO .139 → .110; BABIP .378 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAPericos de Puebla · 336 PAwOBA .293 → .194 (−99)K% 36.6% → 48.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.61%	÷0.913	×1.200	—	—	48.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.42%	÷1.080	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.54%
HBP% /PA	0.60%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.55%
Singles /BIP	21.76%	÷1.075	×0.930	×0.989	×0.982	18.29%
Doubles /BIP	6.47%	÷1.100	×0.830	×0.989	×0.982	4.74%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.989	×0.982	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	7.06%	÷1.062	×0.700	—	×0.982	4.57%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 115, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 83, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .293 → .194; ISO .167 → .099; BABIP .308 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 441 PAwOBA .394 → .299 (−95)K% 27.4% → 32.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.44%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	32.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.23%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×0.992	11.18%
HBP% /PA	0.45%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.42%
Singles /BIP	20.35%	÷0.995	×0.930	×1.028	×0.992	19.38%
Doubles /BIP	5.63%	÷1.010	×0.830	×1.028	×0.992	4.72%
Triples /BIP	2.60%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.028	×0.992	2.12%
Home runs /BIP	10.82%	÷1.245	×0.700	—	×0.992	6.03%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .394 → .299; ISO .284 → .189; BABIP .316 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 31 PAwOBA .437 → .369 (−68)K% 19.4% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.35%	÷0.996	×1.200	—	—	23.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.35%	÷0.959	×0.690	—	×1.003	13.97%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	36.84%	÷0.990	×0.930	—	×1.003	34.72%
Doubles /BIP	5.26%	÷0.994	×0.830	—	×1.003	4.41%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷0.988	×0.700	—	×1.003	3.74%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .437 → .369; ISO .160 → .122; BABIP .444 → .406. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 456 PAwOBA .362 → .314 (−48)K% 25.0% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.032	×1.200	—	—	29.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.11%	÷0.969	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.88%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.87%	÷0.982	×0.930	×1.045	×1.018	27.05%
Doubles /BIP	8.16%	÷1.027	×0.830	×1.045	×1.018	7.02%
Triples /BIP	2.38%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.045	×1.018	2.59%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.331	×0.700	—	×1.018	2.55%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .362 → .314; ISO .196 → .144; BABIP .391 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 149 PAwOBA .334 → .294 (−40)K% 22.1% → 25.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.15%	÷1.063	×1.200	—	—	25.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.42%	÷0.964	×0.690	—	×1.033	9.93%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.30%
Singles /BIP	21.59%	÷0.986	×0.930	×1.050	×1.033	22.10%
Doubles /BIP	5.68%	÷1.032	×0.830	×1.050	×1.033	4.96%
Triples /BIP	1.14%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.050	×1.033	1.26%
Home runs /BIP	5.68%	÷1.307	×0.700	—	×1.033	3.14%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 113, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .334 → .294; ISO .182 → .133; BABIP .301 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AGreat Lakes Loons · 147 PAwOBA .328 → .258 (−70)K% 16.3% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.33%	÷0.957	×1.360	—	—	23.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.97%	÷1.018	×0.690	—	×0.970	9.84%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.970	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.00%	÷0.991	×0.920	×0.977	×0.970	12.32%
Doubles /BIP	9.00%	÷0.911	×0.830	×0.977	×0.970	7.77%
Triples /BIP	2.00%	÷1.095	×0.910	×0.977	×0.970	1.58%
Home runs /BIP	3.00%	÷0.917	×0.800	—	×0.970	2.54%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 119, K 91, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .328 → .258; ISO .177 → .147; BABIP .255 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .