Ryan Lollis
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | AAA/AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 597 | .335/.400/.460 | 6 | 10 | 105 | — | .291/.341/.392 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 517 | .249/.335/.321 | 5 | 7 | 64 | — | .232/.284/.286 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA/AASF | 378 | .263/.307/.323 | 1 | 2 | 46 | — | .227/.262/.278 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 425 | 389 | 112 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 55 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 288 | 345 | 380 | 726 | 93 | 329 | 13 | 8 | 326 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 57 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 333 | 294 | 627 | 39 | 310 | 16 | 7 | 294 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 339 | 296 | 93 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 47 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 314 | 395 | 422 | 817 | 108 | 365 | 14 | 12 | 366 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 205 | 175 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 309 | 393 | 434 | 827 | 126 | 347 | 13 | 12 | 364 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 349 | 318 | 94 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 53 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 296 | 351 | 418 | 769 | 123 | 337 | 15 | 8 | 340 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 540 | 470 | 126 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 50 | 61 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 268 | 348 | 381 | 729 | 113 | 291 | 11 | 9 | 324 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 49 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 182 | 250 | 273 | 523 | 91 | 222 | 16 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 227 | 203 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 217 | 279 | 281 | 560 | 64 | 244 | 12 | 7 | 252 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 119 | 109 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 275 | 316 | 385 | 702 | 110 | 276 | 7 | 6 | 308 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 313 | 279 | 92 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 37 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 330 | 388 | 466 | 854 | 136 | 364 | 12 | 8 | 373 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 18 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 471 | 500 | 529 | 1.029 | 59 | 471 | 0 | 6 | 462 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 131 | 113 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 345 | 431 | 478 | 909 | 133 | 409 | 15 | 11 | 403 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 135 | 117 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 316 | 385 | 419 | 803 | 103 | 324 | 7 | 7 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 425 | 372 | 94 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 56 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 253 | 332 | 320 | 652 | 67 | 286 | 13 | 10 | 295 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 92 | 77 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 352 | 325 | 676 | 91 | 267 | 16 | 15 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 200 | 185 | 54 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 292 | 335 | 384 | 719 | 92 | 317 | 10 | 6 | 319 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 178 | 165 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 277 | 255 | 531 | 24 | 270 | 14 | 6 | 245 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 425 | 402 | 107 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 68 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 266 | 303 | 353 | 656 | 87 | 313 | 16 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 57 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 281 | 250 | 531 | 38 | 275 | 21 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 339 | 311 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 62 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 257 | 315 | 350 | 665 | 93 | 311 | 18 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 205 | 185 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 286 | 343 | 400 | 743 | 114 | 329 | 17 | 8 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 349 | 327 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 71 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 254 | 293 | 352 | 644 | 98 | 306 | 20 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 540 | 488 | 122 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 77 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 250 | 307 | 346 | 653 | 96 | 273 | 14 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 227 | 210 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 210 | 252 | 271 | 524 | 62 | 232 | 15 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 119 | 112 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 282 | 357 | 639 | 107 | 248 | 8 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 313 | 288 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 46 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 285 | 329 | 392 | 721 | 108 | 313 | 15 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 18 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 471 | 500 | 529 | 1.029 | 59 | 426 | 0 | 6 | 404 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 131 | 118 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 280 | 346 | 373 | 719 | 93 | 342 | 20 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 425 | 388 | 90 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 70 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 232 | 284 | 286 | 570 | 54 | 265 | 16 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 200 | 188 | 47 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 284 | 330 | 614 | 80 | 272 | 12 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 178 | 169 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 201 | 237 | 219 | 456 | 18 | 245 | 18 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 425 | 402 | 107 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 68 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 266 | 303 | 353 | 656 | 87 | 314 | 16 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 425 | 389 | 112 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 55 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 288 | 345 | 380 | 726 | 93 | 329 | 13 | 8 | 326 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 363 | 92 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 74 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 253 | 312 | 339 | 651 | 85 | 311 | 19 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 396 | 347 | 106 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 56 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 305 | 386 | 403 | 789 | 98 | 357 | 14 | 11 | 356 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 554 | 512 | 136 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 106 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 266 | 311 | 369 | 680 | 104 | 319 | 19 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 554 | 493 | 148 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 79 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 300 | 366 | 424 | 790 | 124 | 341 | 14 | 9 | 349 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 589 | 532 | 132 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 84 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 248 | 306 | 340 | 646 | 92 | 281 | 14 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 589 | 514 | 134 | 27 | 3 | 8 | 53 | 69 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 261 | 340 | 372 | 712 | 111 | 286 | 12 | 9 | 317 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 323 | 71 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 220 | 257 | 294 | 551 | 74 | 242 | 13 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 346 | 312 | 74 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 237 | 292 | 317 | 609 | 80 | 255 | 10 | 7 | 271 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 597 | 543 | 156 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 93 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 287 | 338 | 387 | 725 | 99 | 333 | 16 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 597 | 526 | 176 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 51 | 65 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 335 | 400 | 460 | 860 | 125 | 367 | 11 | 9 | 377 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 473 | 109 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 85 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 230 | 282 | 285 | 567 | 55 | 272 | 16 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 517 | 449 | 112 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 56 | 71 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 249 | 335 | 321 | 656 | 71 | 283 | 14 | 11 | 298 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 357 | 81 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 262 | 277 | 539 | 50 | 265 | 15 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 378 | 350 | 92 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 263 | 307 | 323 | 630 | 60 | 295 | 12 | 6 | 284 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 425 | 401 | 107 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 68 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 267 | 303 | 354 | 657 | 87 | 313 | 16 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 362 | 92 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 74 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 254 | 312 | 340 | 652 | 86 | 306 | 19 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 554 | 515 | 136 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 106 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 264 | 311 | 367 | 678 | 103 | 315 | 19 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 589 | 540 | 132 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 84 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 244 | 306 | 335 | 641 | 91 | 273 | 14 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 327 | 71 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 217 | 257 | 291 | 547 | 73 | 238 | 13 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 597 | 550 | 156 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 93 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 284 | 338 | 382 | 720 | 98 | 326 | 16 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 478 | 109 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 85 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 228 | 282 | 282 | 564 | 54 | 265 | 16 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 358 | 81 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 262 | 277 | 539 | 50 | 259 | 15 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3802 | 3505 | 884 | 140 | 27 | 32 | 213 | 611 | 26 | 56 | 33 | 252 | 300 | 335 | 635 | 83 | 295 | 16 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -116 | -2 | -0 | -41 | +82 | -7.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 151 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 104 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 252 | 298 | 334 | 632 | 82 | 295 | 16 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -20 | -0 | -0 | -7 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAASacramento River Cats · 200 PAwOBA .313 → .263 (−50)K% 9.5% → 12.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.50% | ÷0.989 | ×1.290 | — | — | 12.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.50% | ÷0.952 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 3.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.49% | ÷1.027 | ×0.900 | ×1.032 | ×0.962 | 20.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×0.962 | 6.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.889 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 0.51% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .313 → .263; ISO .092 → .076; BABIP .317 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 178 PAwOBA .240 → .205 (−35)K% 14.0% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.04% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.62% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.29% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×0.940 | 22.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.096 | ×0.860 | ×1.021 | ×0.940 | 2.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.021 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.848 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .240 → .205; ISO .024 → .018; BABIP .270 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASacramento River Cats · 425 PAwOBA .289 → .253 (−36)K% 13.2% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.18% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.41% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.68% | ÷0.960 | ×0.900 | ×1.032 | ×0.972 | 23.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×0.972 | 2.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×0.972 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.082 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 0.66% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .289 → .253; ISO .067 → .056; BABIP .286 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASacramento River Cats · 313 PAwOBA .365 → .312 (−53)K% 11.8% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.82% | ÷1.047 | ×1.290 | — | — | 14.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.35% | ÷0.960 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 5.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.45% | ÷1.003 | ×0.900 | ×1.010 | ×0.982 | 23.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.024 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×0.982 | 7.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷0.925 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×0.982 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.982 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 1.29% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 85, K 109, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .365 → .312; ISO .136 → .111; BABIP .364 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+San Jose Giants · 131 PAwOBA .393 → .310 (−84)K% 14.5% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.50% | ÷0.983 | ×1.340 | — | — | 19.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.45% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.940 | 7.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.940 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.79% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 26.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.51% | ÷1.071 | ×0.820 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 0.89% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .393 → .310; ISO .133 → .095; BABIP .409 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 18 PAwOBA .450 → .404 (−46)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 3.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.18% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.958 | 37.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.860 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .450 → .404; ISO .059 → .049; BABIP .471 → .426. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 227 PAwOBA .248 → .223 (−25)K% 12.3% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.33% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.49% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.57% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.037 | ×0.968 | 19.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.29% | ÷0.983 | ×0.860 | ×1.037 | ×0.968 | 2.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.061 | ×0.950 | ×1.037 | ×0.968 | 1.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.47% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 112, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .248 → .223; ISO .064 → .058; BABIP .244 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+San Jose Giants · 119 PAwOBA .300 → .269 (−31)K% 6.7% → 8.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.72% | ÷1.026 | ×1.340 | — | — | 8.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.009 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.948 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.76% | ÷0.996 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 21.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.97% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 2.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷0.931 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 2.78% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 96, K 105, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .300 → .269; ISO .110 → .104; BABIP .276 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .