Jeremy Farrell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 26 | A+CWS | 493 | .253/.346/.415 | 11 | 2 | 49 | — | .185/.256/.296 |
| 2014 | 27 | AACWS | 275 | .247/.322/.350 | 2 | 2 | 55 | — | .218/.270/.317 |
| 2015 | 28 | AACWS | 209 | .226/.279/.321 | 2 | 1 | 34 | — | .192/.235/.269 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 312 | 270 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 71 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 341 | 359 | 700 | 111 | 313 | 23 | 10 | 317 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 306 | 275 | 82 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 57 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 298 | 369 | 487 | 857 | 189 | 349 | 19 | 8 | 380 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 16 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 438 | 643 | 1.080 | 286 | 364 | 12 | 12 | 467 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 353 | 312 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 78 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 342 | 372 | 714 | 112 | 330 | 22 | 8 | 324 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 18 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 294 | 143 | 437 | 200 | 28 | 11 | 219 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 24 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 72 | 63 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 268 | 286 | 553 | 111 | 222 | 25 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 32 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 281 | 241 | 523 | 34 | 261 | 19 | 6 | 248 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 345 | 299 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 83 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 224 | 322 | 321 | 643 | 97 | 297 | 24 | 9 | 296 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 493 | 431 | 109 | 35 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 113 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 346 | 415 | 761 | 162 | 319 | 23 | 9 | 342 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 275 | 243 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 68 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 247 | 322 | 350 | 672 | 103 | 330 | 25 | 8 | 301 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 209 | 190 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 279 | 321 | 600 | 95 | 313 | 28 | 3 | 267 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 312 | 282 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 95 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 206 | 273 | 291 | 564 | 85 | 285 | 30 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 306 | 282 | 69 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 82 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 245 | 304 | 387 | 690 | 142 | 322 | 27 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 533 | 846 | 267 | 270 | 19 | 6 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 353 | 319 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 97 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 313 | 339 | 652 | 94 | 333 | 27 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 18 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 133 | 369 | 155 | 39 | 6 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 32 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 219 | 200 | 419 | 33 | 237 | 22 | 3 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 345 | 309 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 104 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 191 | 269 | 262 | 531 | 71 | 266 | 30 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 493 | 449 | 83 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 163 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 185 | 256 | 296 | 552 | 111 | 263 | 33 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 275 | 252 | 55 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 87 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 218 | 270 | 317 | 588 | 99 | 305 | 32 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 209 | 193 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 73 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 235 | 269 | 505 | 78 | 283 | 35 | 2 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 312 | 282 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 95 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 206 | 273 | 291 | 564 | 85 | 289 | 30 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 312 | 270 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 71 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 341 | 359 | 700 | 111 | 313 | 23 | 10 | 317 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 297 | 73 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 85 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 246 | 304 | 394 | 698 | 148 | 322 | 26 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 322 | 289 | 87 | 26 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 59 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 301 | 373 | 495 | 867 | 194 | 350 | 18 | 8 | 384 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 443 | 395 | 95 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 125 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 317 | 334 | 651 | 94 | 336 | 28 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 443 | 389 | 94 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 101 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 242 | 328 | 350 | 678 | 108 | 309 | 23 | 8 | 308 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 338 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 189 | 267 | 257 | 525 | 68 | 272 | 29 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 377 | 328 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 89 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 223 | 318 | 314 | 632 | 91 | 294 | 24 | 9 | 292 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 493 | 449 | 83 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 163 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 185 | 256 | 296 | 552 | 111 | 270 | 33 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 493 | 431 | 109 | 35 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 113 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 346 | 415 | 761 | 162 | 319 | 23 | 9 | 342 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 275 | 252 | 55 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 87 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 218 | 270 | 317 | 588 | 99 | 319 | 32 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 275 | 243 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 68 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 247 | 322 | 350 | 672 | 103 | 330 | 25 | 8 | 301 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 209 | 193 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 73 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 235 | 269 | 505 | 78 | 298 | 35 | 2 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 209 | 190 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 279 | 321 | 600 | 95 | 313 | 28 | 3 | 267 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 312 | 283 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 95 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 205 | 273 | 290 | 562 | 85 | 285 | 30 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 294 | 73 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 85 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 248 | 304 | 398 | 702 | 150 | 319 | 26 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 443 | 396 | 95 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 125 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 317 | 333 | 650 | 93 | 324 | 28 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 338 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 189 | 267 | 257 | 525 | 68 | 264 | 29 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 493 | 447 | 83 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 163 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 186 | 256 | 298 | 554 | 112 | 263 | 33 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 275 | 255 | 55 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 87 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 216 | 270 | 314 | 584 | 98 | 305 | 32 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 209 | 196 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 73 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 235 | 265 | 501 | 77 | 283 | 35 | 2 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2431 | 2206 | 465 | 114 | 7 | 30 | 130 | 739 | 73 | 20 | 12 | 211 | 277 | 310 | 587 | 99 | 300 | 30 | 5 | 256 | 60 | -117 | -1 | +0 | +9 | +53 | -5.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 124 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 198 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 210 | 278 | 308 | 586 | 98 | 300 | 30 | 5 | 256 | 60 | -31 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AABirmingham Barons · 209 PAwOBA .262 → .219 (−43)K% 28.2% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.23% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.35% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 2.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.35% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 2.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.90% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×0.958 | 20.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.63% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | ×0.958 | 7.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.087 | ×0.880 | ×1.009 | ×0.958 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 1.06% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .262 → .219; ISO .095 → .080; BABIP .313 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABirmingham Barons · 275 PAwOBA .297 → .250 (−47)K% 24.7% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.73% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.36% | ÷1.057 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 5.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.43% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.035 | ×0.968 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.903 | ×0.910 | ×1.035 | ×0.968 | 8.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×1.035 | ×0.968 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.967 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 104, 2B 81, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .297 → .250; ISO .103 → .093; BABIP .330 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 493 PAwOBA .333 → .241 (−92)K% 22.9% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷0.985 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.72% | ÷1.001 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.958 | 5.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 2.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.50% | ÷1.040 | ×0.940 | ×1.015 | ×0.958 | 17.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.01% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×0.958 | 8.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.015 | ×0.958 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.46% | ÷1.083 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.958 | 2.75% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 108, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .333 → .241; ISO .162 → .114; BABIP .319 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAltoona Curve · 345 PAwOBA .287 → .236 (−51)K% 24.1% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.06% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.41% | ÷0.943 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.48% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.76% | ÷1.018 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×0.988 | 20.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.173 | ×0.860 | ×1.013 | ×0.988 | 5.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.026 | ×0.950 | ×1.013 | ×0.988 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.042 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 135, 3B 105, K 96, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .287 → .236; ISO .097 → .071; BABIP .297 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 32 PAwOBA .242 → .208 (−34)K% 18.8% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.014 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.043 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 19.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 3.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.095 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 103, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .242 → .208; ISO .034 → .030; BABIP .261 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAltoona Curve · 353 PAwOBA .315 → .288 (−27)K% 22.1% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.10% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.93% | ÷0.897 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.83% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.36% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 25.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.949 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 7.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷0.949 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷0.931 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.79% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 97, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 95, BB 79 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .315 → .288; ISO .112 → .098; BABIP .330 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKGCL Pirates · 18 PAwOBA .227 → .156 (−71)K% 27.8% → 40.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 6.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 3.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 17.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .227 → .156; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Bradenton Marauders · 306 PAwOBA .369 → .302 (−68)K% 18.6% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.63% | ÷0.984 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.52% | ÷1.061 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.61% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 2.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.02% | ÷1.039 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 20.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.47% | ÷1.041 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 10.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.13% | ÷1.118 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.21% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 97, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .369 → .302; ISO .189 → .150; BABIP .349 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .