Michael Brantley

PosDH

B/TL/L

Born1987-05-15

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	34	MLBHOU	508	.311/.363/.437	8	1	124	1.7
2022	35	MLBHOU	277	.288/.371/.416	5	1	119	0.8
2023	36	AAAHOU	64	.298/.468/.447	1	0	114	—	.264/.371/.396
2023	36	MLBHOU	57	.278/.304/.426	2	0	100	0.1
2024	37	No MLB games played
2025	38	No MLB games played
2026	39	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.6

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023

xwOBA90

Avg EV58

Barrel%29

Bat Spd24

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	18	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	241	207	71	5	1	0	28	17	2	16	5	343	426	377	803	34	374	7	12	365	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	435	360	108	10	2	0	61	51	4	24	7	300	407	339	746	39	344	12	14	341	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	223	187	47	6	1	0	29	25	1	17	3	251	355	294	649	43	288	11	13	298	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A	West Virginia Power	—	255	218	73	15	1	2	31	22	1	18	6	335	420	440	860	106	359	9	12	381	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	479	420	134	17	2	4	50	27	4	28	8	319	397	398	794	79	332	6	10	358	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	121	112	35	4	0	0	8	19	0	4	4	312	358	348	707	36	376	16	7	320	103	+0	-1	-7	+2	+3	-0.2
2009	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	528	457	122	21	2	6	59	48	1	46	5	267	352	361	713	94	286	9	11	320	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	325	297	73	9	3	3	22	38	0	10	2	246	298	327	624	81	271	12	7	278	76	-9	+1	-8	+2	+7	-0.7
2010	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	316	273	87	13	2	4	34	28	2	13	5	319	398	425	823	106	342	9	11	364	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	496	451	120	24	4	7	34	76	3	13	5	266	322	384	705	118	303	15	7	312	96	-2	+1	-2	-5	+11	0.1
2012	25	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	609	552	159	37	4	6	53	56	0	12	9	288	350	402	753	114	310	9	9	336	105	+3	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.8
2013	26	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	611	556	158	26	3	10	40	67	4	17	4	284	337	396	732	112	304	11	7	323	104	+3	+2	-7	-7	+13	0.5
2014	27	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	676	611	200	45	2	20	52	56	8	23	1	327	387	506	893	178	333	8	8	392	148	+39	+4	-4	-7	+15	4.7
2015	28	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	596	529	164	45	0	15	60	51	2	15	1	310	382	480	863	170	318	9	10	380	136	+25	+3	-9	-6	+13	2.6
2016	29	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	43	39	9	2	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	231	286	282	568	51	265	14	7	256	47	-3	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.2
2016	29	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	21	19	4	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	211	286	263	549	53	222	5	10	257	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	375	338	101	20	1	9	31	50	2	11	1	299	361	444	805	145	325	13	8	356	123	+10	+2	-0	-4	+8	1.6
2018	31	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	631	570	176	36	2	17	48	60	5	12	3	309	367	468	835	160	319	10	8	367	134	+26	+1	-5	-7	+14	2.9
2019	32	MLB	Houston Astros	—	637	575	179	40	2	22	51	66	7	3	2	311	374	503	877	191	320	10	8	385	142	+32	-0	-4	-7	+14	3.5
2020	33	MLB	Houston Astros	—	187	170	51	15	0	5	17	28	0	2	0	300	364	476	840	176	336	15	9	372	135	+8	+0	+1	-2	+4	1.1
2021	34	MLB	Houston Astros	—	508	469	146	29	3	8	33	53	5	1	0	311	363	437	800	126	337	10	6	357	124	+14	+0	-3	-5	+11	1.7
2022	35	MLB	Houston Astros	—	277	243	70	14	1	5	31	30	1	1	1	288	371	416	787	128	311	11	11	352	119	+6	-0	-1	-3	+6	0.8
2023	36	MLB	Houston Astros	—	57	54	15	2	0	2	2	2	0	0	0	278	304	426	729	148	255	4	4	317	100	-0	+0	+1	-1	+1	0.1
2023	36	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	64	47	14	4	0	1	15	1	0	0	0	298	468	447	915	149	277	2	23	404	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	6149	5566	1656	348	25	129	485	658	37	125	33	298	358	439	796	141	316	11	8	352	124	+179	+12	-50	-49	+133	23.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	18	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	241	218	65	4	1	0	17	25	2	16	5	298	354	326	680	28	326	10	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	435	379	112	9	2	0	42	68	4	24	7	296	372	330	702	34	344	16	10	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	223	196	50	6	1	0	20	31	1	17	3	255	327	296	623	41	292	14	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	255	228	74	14	1	2	21	30	1	18	6	325	384	421	805	96	346	12	8	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	479	438	133	17	2	4	32	33	4	28	8	304	357	379	736	75	315	7	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	121	112	35	4	0	0	8	19	0	4	4	312	358	348	707	36	376	16	7	320	103	+0	-1	-7	+2	+3	-0.2
2009	22	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	528	474	125	20	2	6	42	58	1	46	5	264	325	352	677	89	280	11	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	325	297	74	9	4	3	22	38	0	10	2	249	301	337	638	88	271	12	7	280	76	-9	+1	-8	+2	+7	-0.7
2010	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	316	283	87	12	2	4	24	33	2	13	5	307	366	406	772	99	325	10	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	496	453	121	24	5	7	32	76	3	13	5	267	320	389	708	121	303	15	6	310	96	-2	+1	-2	-5	+11	0.1
2012	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	609	564	159	36	5	6	41	56	0	12	9	282	331	395	726	113	310	9	7	323	105	+3	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.8
2013	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	611	557	159	26	4	10	39	67	4	17	4	285	337	400	737	115	304	11	6	322	104	+3	+2	-7	-7	+13	0.5
2014	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	676	615	199	44	2	20	48	56	8	23	1	324	380	499	879	176	333	8	7	387	148	+39	+4	-4	-7	+15	4.7
2015	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	596	537	163	44	0	15	52	51	2	15	1	304	367	469	836	166	318	9	9	369	136	+25	+3	-9	-6	+13	2.6
2016	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	43	40	9	2	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	225	262	275	537	50	265	14	5	238	47	-3	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.2
2016	29	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	21	20	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	200	238	250	488	50	198	5	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	375	341	101	20	1	9	28	50	2	11	1	296	353	440	793	144	325	13	7	349	123	+10	+2	-0	-4	+8	1.6
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	631	571	175	35	2	17	48	60	5	12	3	306	365	464	829	158	319	10	8	366	134	+26	+1	-5	-7	+14	2.9
2019	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	637	578	177	38	2	23	48	66	7	3	2	306	367	498	865	192	320	10	8	378	142	+32	-0	-4	-7	+14	3.5
2020	33	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	187	170	50	14	0	5	17	28	0	2	0	294	358	465	823	171	336	15	9	367	135	+8	+0	+1	-2	+4	1.1
2021	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	508	470	143	27	3	8	32	53	5	1	0	304	355	426	781	121	337	10	6	351	124	+14	+0	-3	-5	+11	1.7
2022	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	277	245	69	13	1	5	29	30	1	1	1	282	360	404	764	122	311	11	10	344	119	+6	-0	-1	-3	+6	0.8
2023	36	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	57	54	15	2	0	2	2	2	0	0	0	278	304	426	729	148	255	4	4	316	100	-0	+0	+1	-1	+1	0.1
2023	36	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	64	53	14	4	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	264	371	396	767	132	234	2	14	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	18	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	241	218	65	4	1	0	17	25	2	16	5	298	354	326	680	28	337	10	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	18	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	—	241	207	71	5	1	0	28	17	2	16	5	343	426	377	803	34	374	7	12	365	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	435	379	112	9	2	0	42	68	4	24	7	296	372	330	702	34	354	16	10	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	435	360	108	10	2	0	61	51	4	24	7	300	407	339	746	39	344	12	14	341	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	478	424	124	20	2	2	41	60	2	35	9	292	358	363	721	71	332	13	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	478	405	120	21	2	2	60	47	2	35	9	296	390	373	763	77	327	10	13	342	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	479	438	133	17	2	4	32	33	4	28	8	304	357	379	736	75	320	7	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	AA RAW	Huntsville Stars	—	479	420	134	17	2	4	50	27	4	28	8	319	397	398	794	79	332	6	10	358	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	649	586	160	24	2	6	50	77	1	50	9	273	331	352	683	78	304	12	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	649	569	157	25	2	6	67	67	1	50	9	276	353	359	712	83	303	10	10	320	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	641	580	161	21	6	7	46	71	2	23	7	278	333	371	703	93	304	11	7	306	93	-5	+2	-8	+2	+14	0.4
2010	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	641	570	160	22	5	7	56	66	2	23	7	281	347	374	721	93	305	10	9	321	93	-5	+2	-8	+2	+14	0.4
2011	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	496	453	121	24	5	7	32	76	3	13	5	267	320	389	708	121	304	15	6	310	96	-2	+1	-2	-5	+11	0.1
2011	24	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	496	451	120	24	4	7	34	76	3	13	5	266	322	384	705	118	303	15	7	312	96	-2	+1	-2	-5	+11	0.1
2012	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	609	564	159	36	5	6	41	56	0	12	9	282	331	395	726	113	302	9	7	323	105	+3	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.8
2012	25	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	609	552	159	37	4	6	53	56	0	12	9	288	350	402	753	114	310	9	9	336	105	+3	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.8
2013	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	611	557	159	26	4	10	39	67	4	17	4	285	337	400	737	115	305	11	6	322	104	+3	+2	-7	-7	+13	0.5
2013	26	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	611	556	158	26	3	10	40	67	4	17	4	284	337	396	732	112	304	11	7	323	104	+3	+2	-7	-7	+13	0.5
2014	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	676	615	199	44	2	20	48	56	8	23	1	324	380	499	879	176	329	8	7	387	148	+39	+4	-4	-7	+15	4.7
2014	27	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	676	611	200	45	2	20	52	56	8	23	1	327	387	506	893	178	333	8	8	392	148	+39	+4	-4	-7	+15	4.7
2015	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	596	537	163	44	0	15	52	51	2	15	1	304	367	469	836	166	311	9	9	369	136	+25	+3	-9	-6	+13	2.6
2015	28	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	596	529	164	45	0	15	60	51	2	15	1	310	382	480	863	170	318	9	10	380	136	+25	+3	-9	-6	+13	2.6
2016	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	64	60	13	3	0	0	3	7	0	1	0	217	254	267	521	50	241	11	5	230	42	-4	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.3
2016	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	64	58	13	3	0	0	5	7	0	1	0	224	286	276	562	52	250	11	8	256	42	-4	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.3
2017	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	375	341	101	20	1	9	28	50	2	11	1	296	353	440	793	144	322	13	7	349	123	+10	+2	-0	-4	+8	1.6
2017	30	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	375	338	101	20	1	9	31	50	2	11	1	299	361	444	805	145	325	13	8	356	123	+10	+2	-0	-4	+8	1.6
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	631	571	175	35	2	17	48	60	5	12	3	306	365	464	829	158	316	10	8	366	134	+26	+1	-5	-7	+14	2.9
2018	31	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	631	570	176	36	2	17	48	60	5	12	3	309	367	468	835	160	319	10	8	367	134	+26	+1	-5	-7	+14	2.9
2019	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	637	578	177	38	2	23	48	66	7	3	2	306	367	498	865	192	312	10	8	378	142	+32	-0	-4	-7	+14	3.5
2019	32	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	637	575	179	40	2	22	51	66	7	3	2	311	374	503	877	191	320	10	8	385	142	+32	-0	-4	-7	+14	3.5
2020	33	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	187	170	50	14	0	5	17	28	0	2	0	294	358	465	823	171	328	15	9	367	135	+8	+0	+1	-2	+4	1.1
2020	33	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	187	170	51	15	0	5	17	28	0	2	0	300	364	476	840	176	336	15	9	372	135	+8	+0	+1	-2	+4	1.1
2021	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	508	470	143	27	3	8	32	53	5	1	0	304	355	426	781	121	329	10	6	351	124	+14	+0	-3	-5	+11	1.7
2021	34	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	508	469	146	29	3	8	33	53	5	1	0	311	363	437	800	126	337	10	6	357	124	+14	+0	-3	-5	+11	1.7
2022	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	277	245	69	13	1	5	29	30	1	1	1	282	360	404	764	122	303	11	10	344	119	+6	-0	-1	-3	+6	0.8
2022	35	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	277	243	70	14	1	5	31	30	1	1	1	288	371	416	787	128	311	11	11	352	119	+6	-0	-1	-3	+6	0.8
2023	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	121	107	29	6	0	3	11	3	0	0	0	271	339	411	750	140	250	2	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	36	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	121	101	29	6	0	3	17	3	0	0	0	287	390	436	825	149	265	2	14	363	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	18	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	241	220	65	4	1	0	17	25	2	16	5	295	354	323	677	27	326	10	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	435	386	112	9	2	0	42	68	4	24	7	290	372	324	696	34	344	16	10	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	478	432	124	20	2	2	41	60	2	35	9	287	358	356	714	69	321	13	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	479	440	133	17	2	4	32	33	4	28	8	302	357	377	734	75	315	7	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	649	593	160	24	2	6	50	77	1	50	9	270	331	347	679	78	298	12	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	641	588	161	21	6	7	46	71	2	23	7	274	333	366	698	92	298	11	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	496	458	121	24	5	7	32	76	3	13	5	264	320	384	704	120	303	15	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	609	563	159	36	5	6	41	56	0	12	9	282	331	396	727	114	310	9	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	611	563	159	26	4	10	39	67	4	17	4	282	337	396	733	114	304	11	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	676	615	199	44	2	20	48	56	8	23	1	324	380	499	879	176	333	8	7	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	596	537	163	44	0	15	52	51	2	15	1	304	367	469	836	166	318	9	9	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	64	61	13	3	0	0	3	7	0	1	0	213	254	262	516	49	243	11	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	375	342	101	20	1	9	28	50	2	11	1	295	353	439	792	143	325	13	7	349	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	631	573	175	35	2	17	48	60	5	12	3	305	365	462	828	157	319	10	8	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	637	577	177	38	2	23	48	66	7	3	2	307	367	499	866	192	320	10	8	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	187	168	50	14	0	5	17	28	0	2	0	298	358	470	829	173	336	15	9	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	508	466	143	27	3	8	32	53	5	1	0	307	355	429	784	122	337	10	6	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	277	245	69	13	1	5	29	30	1	1	1	282	360	404	764	122	311	11	10	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	121	109	29	6	0	3	11	3	0	0	0	266	339	404	743	138	244	2	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6149	5566	1656	348	25	129	485	658	37	125	33	298	358	439	796	141	316	11	8	352	114	+179	+12	-50	-49	+133	23.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	176	37	3	14	51	70	4	13	3	299	359	444	803	145	318	11	8	352	114	+19	+1	-5	-5	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	8711	7893	2313	425	40	147	656	937	52	287	72	293	351	413	764	120	315	11	8	337	114	+179	+12	-50	-49	+133	23.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	173	32	3	11	49	70	4	21	5	294	352	414	766	121	316	11	8	337	114	+19	+1	-5	-5	+14	2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 64 PAwOBA .407 → .337 (−71)K% 1.6% → 1.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	1.56%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	1.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.44%	÷1.028	×0.690	—	×0.940	14.79%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.57%	÷0.981	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	16.57%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷0.882	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	7.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.056	×0.970	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.17%	÷0.896	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.60%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 96, 2B 76, 3B 111, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .407 → .337; ISO .149 → .137; BABIP .277 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 21 PAwOBA .251 → .213 (−38)K% 4.8% → 5.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	4.76%	÷0.997	×1.220	—	—	5.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.52%	÷0.950	×0.700	—	×0.958	6.73%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.014	×0.970	—	×0.958	15.28%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.015	×0.860	—	×0.958	4.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	—	×0.958	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.949	×0.780	—	×0.958	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .251 → .213; ISO .053 → .044; BABIP .222 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAColumbus Clippers · 316 PAwOBA .356 → .332 (−23)K% 8.9% → 10.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.86%	÷1.007	×1.200	—	—	10.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.44%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×1.050	7.54%
HBP% /PA	0.63%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.62%
Singles /BIP	27.76%	÷1.035	×0.930	×1.024	×1.050	26.83%
Doubles /BIP	5.31%	÷1.038	×0.830	×1.024	×1.050	4.56%
Triples /BIP	0.82%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.024	×1.050	0.95%
Home runs /BIP	1.63%	÷1.038	×0.840	—	×1.050	1.39%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .356 → .332; ISO .106 → .100; BABIP .342 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAColumbus Clippers · 528 PAwOBA .313 → .294 (−19)K% 9.1% → 10.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.09%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	10.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.98%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	7.96%
HBP% /PA	0.19%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.19%
Singles /BIP	22.74%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.023	×1.050	22.71%
Doubles /BIP	5.13%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.023	×1.050	4.58%
Triples /BIP	0.49%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.023	×1.050	0.51%
Home runs /BIP	1.47%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	1.29%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .313 → .294; ISO .094 → .089; BABIP .286 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAHuntsville Stars · 479 PAwOBA .347 → .323 (−24)K% 5.6% → 6.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.64%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	6.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.39%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.050	6.71%
HBP% /PA	0.84%	—	×0.840	—	×1.050	0.74%
Singles /BIP	28.24%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.985	×1.050	26.88%
Doubles /BIP	4.33%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.985	×1.050	4.07%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷1.000	×0.880	×0.985	×1.050	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	1.02%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.050	0.85%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .347 → .323; ISO .079 → .074; BABIP .332 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AWest Virginia Power · 255 PAwOBA .378 → .347 (−30)K% 8.6% → 11.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.63%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	11.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.16%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.030	8.26%
HBP% /PA	0.39%	—	×0.770	—	×1.030	0.31%
Singles /BIP	28.06%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.044	×1.030	27.76%
Doubles /BIP	7.65%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.044	×1.030	6.75%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.044	×1.030	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	1.02%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.030	0.86%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .378 → .347; ISO .106 → .097; BABIP .359 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAHuntsville Stars · 223 PAwOBA .291 → .280 (−11)K% 11.2% → 13.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.21%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	13.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.56%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.050	8.97%
HBP% /PA	0.45%	—	×0.840	—	×1.050	0.40%
Singles /BIP	24.69%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.050	25.04%
Doubles /BIP	3.70%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×1.050	3.72%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷1.000	×0.880	×1.050	×1.050	0.60%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .291 → .280; ISO .043 → .045; BABIP .288 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AWest Virginia Power · 435 PAwOBA .337 → .314 (−23)K% 11.7% → 15.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.72%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	15.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.02%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.045	9.67%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.770	—	×1.045	0.74%
Singles /BIP	31.07%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.045	31.36%
Doubles /BIP	3.24%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.045	2.91%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.050	×1.045	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.045	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .337 → .314; ISO .039 → .038; BABIP .344 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).