Brandon Barnes

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1986-05-15

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	31	AAANew Orleans B…	451	.276/.334/.420	11	15	54	—	.207/.251/.309
2018	32	AAACLE	566	.273/.349/.444	14	19	69	—	.217/.279/.342
2018	32	MLBCleveland Ind…	21	.263/.333/.421	1	0	115	-0.5
2019	33	AAA/INTL2 orgs	576	.248/.313/.482	30	13	62	—	.194/.241/.381
2020	34	No MLB games played
2021	35	No MLB games played
2022	36	No MLB games played
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2018

Speed22

xwOBA21

Avg EV20

Barrel%10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	19	ROK	Greeneville Astros	—	161	145	29	5	2	2	10	36	5	3	2	200	275	303	578	103	250	22	6	264	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	ROK	Greeneville Astros	—	191	173	38	11	1	2	16	47	2	5	3	220	293	329	623	110	290	25	8	284	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A	Lexington Legends	—	337	311	75	19	1	2	18	96	2	7	3	241	286	328	614	87	340	28	5	273	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	24	21	2	0	0	1	3	7	0	0	0	95	208	238	446	143	77	29	12	212	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	291	266	78	19	3	12	15	74	5	1	2	293	343	523	865	229	363	25	5	372	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A	Lexington Legends	—	215	197	52	11	3	5	10	52	4	3	6	264	313	426	739	162	331	24	5	322	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	22	21	6	1	0	1	1	6	0	1	0	286	318	476	794	190	357	27	5	349	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	538	491	132	31	5	27	37	122	5	14	3	269	326	517	844	248	306	23	7	364	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	86	80	20	2	2	4	4	21	1	2	0	250	294	475	769	225	286	24	5	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	263	228	45	13	5	8	30	69	3	5	1	197	299	404	702	206	243	26	11	311	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	224	203	58	13	0	7	14	42	2	6	3	286	338	453	791	167	327	19	6	343	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	131	118	38	7	0	6	9	19	3	1	3	322	385	534	919	212	340	15	7	401	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	105	98	20	3	0	1	5	29	1	1	1	204	250	265	515	61	279	28	5	235	43	-7	-0	+4	+2	+2	0.1
2012	26	AAA	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	263	235	76	19	1	5	23	49	1	14	4	323	386	477	863	153	388	19	9	378	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	183	164	52	20	0	7	14	42	3	7	2	317	381	567	948	250	385	23	8	409	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	120	106	31	3	3	4	11	29	0	2	4	292	359	491	850	198	360	24	9	364	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	445	408	98	17	1	8	21	127	8	11	11	240	291	346	636	105	327	29	5	283	76	-13	-2	+6	+2	+10	0.2
2014	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	313	292	75	17	4	8	15	100	0	5	4	257	293	425	718	168	364	32	5	310	84	-6	-1	-1	-3	+7	-0.4
2015	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	281	255	64	13	2	2	21	67	3	4	2	251	315	341	657	90	332	24	7	297	75	-8	+0	-4	-5	+6	-1.1
2015	29	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	143	132	27	6	0	5	10	34	1	7	3	205	266	364	629	159	237	24	7	282	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	109	100	22	6	2	0	3	30	1	1	2	220	250	320	570	100	314	28	3	242	40	-8	-1	+2	-4	+2	-0.8
2016	30	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	255	238	67	13	2	5	15	58	0	11	5	282	324	416	740	134	352	23	6	327	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	451	410	113	22	2	11	31	114	5	15	6	276	334	420	754	144	353	25	7	333	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	21	19	5	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	263	333	421	754	158	308	24	10	338	115	+0	+0	+1	-6	+0	-0.5
2018	32	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	566	498	136	39	2	14	47	152	12	19	5	273	349	444	793	171	362	27	8	349	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	532	478	121	30	0	30	42	150	7	11	1	253	323	504	827	251	300	28	8	358	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	44	43	8	2	0	0	1	14	0	2	0	186	205	233	437	47	276	32	2	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1274	1172	284	56	9	20	67	358	13	22	20	242	291	357	647	114	331	28	5	286	80	-31	-4	+7	-14	+28	-1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	19	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	161	149	20	3	1	1	6	51	5	3	2	134	194	188	382	54	203	32	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	191	179	26	7	1	1	10	67	2	5	3	145	199	212	411	67	225	35	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	337	318	58	14	1	1	12	129	2	7	3	182	217	242	459	60	290	38	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	24	22	2	0	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	91	167	227	394	136	72	38	8	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	Lancaster JetHawks	—	291	270	62	14	2	10	11	99	5	1	2	230	273	407	680	178	311	34	4	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	215	201	43	8	3	4	6	70	4	3	6	214	251	343	594	129	289	33	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	22	21	5	1	0	1	1	8	0	1	0	238	273	429	701	190	324	36	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	Lancaster JetHawks	—	538	501	98	21	3	22	27	173	5	14	3	196	244	381	625	186	241	32	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	263	236	37	11	4	6	22	91	3	5	1	157	238	314	551	157	214	35	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	224	208	48	11	0	5	9	50	2	6	3	231	269	356	625	125	269	22	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	105	98	20	3	0	1	5	29	1	1	1	204	250	265	515	61	279	28	5	232	43	-7	-0	+4	+2	+2	0.1
2012	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	263	242	68	16	1	4	16	62	1	14	4	281	328	405	733	124	350	24	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	183	169	43	16	0	5	9	52	3	7	2	254	304	438	742	183	327	28	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	445	408	97	16	1	8	21	127	8	11	11	238	288	341	629	103	327	29	5	280	76	-13	-2	+6	+2	+10	0.2
2014	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	313	292	71	16	3	7	15	100	0	5	4	243	280	390	671	147	364	32	5	292	84	-6	-1	-1	-3	+7	-0.4
2015	29	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	281	258	62	13	1	2	18	67	3	4	2	240	297	322	619	81	332	24	6	279	75	-8	+0	-4	-5	+6	-1.1
2015	29	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	143	135	20	4	0	3	7	46	1	7	3	148	196	244	440	96	200	32	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	109	100	21	6	1	0	3	30	1	1	2	210	240	290	530	80	314	28	3	228	40	-8	-1	+2	-4	+2	-0.8
2016	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	255	244	49	9	1	3	9	79	0	11	5	201	229	283	512	82	278	31	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	451	421	87	17	1	8	20	152	5	15	6	207	251	309	560	102	292	34	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	21	19	5	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	263	333	421	754	158	308	24	10	338	115	+0	+0	+1	-6	+0	-0.5
2018	32	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	566	515	112	30	2	10	32	179	12	19	5	217	279	342	621	124	300	32	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	532	496	96	21	0	24	24	180	7	11	1	194	241	381	622	188	236	34	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	161	149	20	3	1	1	6	51	5	3	2	134	194	188	382	54	194	32	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	—	161	145	29	5	2	2	10	36	5	3	2	200	275	303	578	103	250	22	6	264	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	191	179	26	7	1	1	10	67	2	5	3	145	199	212	411	67	225	35	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	—	191	173	38	11	1	2	16	47	2	5	3	220	293	329	623	110	290	25	8	284	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	337	318	58	14	1	1	12	129	2	7	3	182	217	242	459	60	300	38	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A RAW	Lexington Legends	—	337	311	75	19	1	2	18	96	2	7	3	241	286	328	614	87	340	28	5	273	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	530	493	107	22	5	15	19	177	9	4	8	217	259	373	632	156	302	33	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	530	484	132	30	6	18	28	133	9	4	8	273	324	471	795	198	338	25	5	344	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	646	602	118	25	3	26	32	209	6	17	3	196	244	377	621	181	249	32	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	646	592	158	34	7	32	42	149	6	17	3	267	322	510	832	243	305	23	7	359	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	618	563	108	28	5	15	39	179	8	12	7	192	254	339	593	147	249	29	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	618	549	141	33	5	21	53	130	8	12	7	257	331	450	781	193	299	21	9	342	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	671	620	159	42	1	12	36	174	5	24	11	256	303	385	688	129	334	26	5	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	671	603	179	45	4	17	53	149	5	24	11	297	359	469	828	172	366	22	8	361	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	445	408	97	16	1	8	21	127	8	11	11	238	288	341	629	103	324	29	5	280	76	-13	-2	+6	+2	+10	0.2
2013	27	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	445	408	98	17	1	8	21	127	8	11	11	240	291	346	636	105	327	29	5	283	76	-13	-2	+6	+2	+10	0.2
2014	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	313	292	71	16	3	7	15	100	0	5	4	243	280	390	671	147	346	32	5	292	84	-6	-1	-1	-3	+7	-0.4
2014	28	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	—	313	292	75	17	4	8	15	100	0	5	4	257	293	425	718	168	364	32	5	310	84	-6	-1	-1	-3	+7	-0.4
2015	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	424	393	82	17	1	5	25	113	4	11	5	209	263	295	558	87	279	27	6	252	57	-22	+0	-4	-5	+9	-2.2
2015	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	424	387	91	19	2	7	31	101	4	11	5	235	299	349	647	114	300	24	7	292	57	-22	+0	-4	-5	+9	-2.2
2016	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	364	344	70	15	3	3	12	109	1	12	7	203	232	291	523	87	288	30	3	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	364	338	89	19	4	5	18	88	1	12	7	263	303	388	690	124	341	24	5	302	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	451	421	87	17	1	8	20	152	5	15	6	207	251	309	560	102	298	34	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA RAW	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	451	410	113	22	2	11	31	114	5	15	6	276	334	420	754	144	353	25	7	333	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	587	534	117	30	2	11	34	184	12	19	5	219	281	345	626	125	308	31	6	272	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	587	517	141	39	2	15	49	157	12	19	5	273	348	443	791	170	360	27	8	348	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	576	538	103	22	0	26	26	195	7	13	1	191	238	377	616	186	239	34	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	576	521	129	32	0	30	43	164	7	13	1	248	313	482	795	234	298	28	7	346	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	161	149	20	3	1	1	6	51	5	3	2	134	194	188	382	54	203	32	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	191	177	26	7	1	1	10	67	2	5	3	147	199	215	414	68	225	35	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	337	320	58	14	1	1	12	129	2	7	3	181	217	241	457	59	290	38	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	530	497	107	22	5	15	19	177	9	4	8	215	259	370	629	155	291	33	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	646	603	118	25	3	26	32	209	6	17	3	196	244	376	620	181	244	32	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	618	566	108	28	5	15	39	179	8	12	7	191	254	337	592	147	239	29	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	671	625	159	42	1	12	36	174	5	24	11	254	303	382	685	128	329	26	5	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	445	413	97	16	1	8	21	127	8	11	11	235	288	337	625	102	327	29	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	313	295	71	16	3	7	15	100	0	5	4	241	280	386	667	146	364	32	5	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	424	392	82	17	1	5	25	113	4	11	5	209	263	296	559	87	287	27	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	364	348	70	15	3	3	12	109	1	12	7	201	232	287	520	86	289	30	3	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	451	423	87	17	1	8	20	152	5	15	6	206	251	307	558	102	292	34	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	587	536	117	30	2	11	34	184	12	19	5	218	281	343	624	125	300	31	6	272	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	576	538	103	22	0	26	26	195	7	13	1	191	238	377	616	186	236	34	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1274	1172	284	56	9	20	67	358	13	22	20	242	291	357	647	114	331	28	5	286	61	-31	-4	+7	-14	+28	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	146	29	5	10	34	183	7	11	10	244	293	360	653	115	334	28	5	286	61	-16	-2	+3	-7	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6314	5854	1223	274	28	139	307	1966	74	158	76	209	257	337	594	128	286	31	5	259	61	-31	-4	+7	-14	+28	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	126	28	3	14	32	202	8	16	8	209	259	335	594	126	286	31	5	259	61	-16	-2	+3	-7	+14	-0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAARochester Red Wings · 532 PAwOBA .351 → .266 (−84)K% 28.2% → 33.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.20%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	33.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.71%	÷1.095	×0.690	—	×0.942	4.57%
HBP% /PA	1.32%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.17%
Singles /BIP	18.60%	÷0.982	×0.930	×0.950	×0.942	15.76%
Doubles /BIP	9.15%	÷1.063	×0.830	×0.950	×0.942	6.39%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.15%	÷0.958	×0.840	—	×0.942	7.56%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 96, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .351 → .266; ISO .251 → .195; BABIP .300 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAColumbus Clippers · 566 PAwOBA .342 → .270 (−73)K% 26.9% → 31.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.86%	÷1.017	×1.200	—	—	31.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.30%	÷0.972	×0.690	—	×0.952	5.61%
HBP% /PA	2.12%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.90%
Singles /BIP	23.41%	÷0.974	×0.930	×0.950	×0.952	20.21%
Doubles /BIP	11.27%	÷0.958	×0.830	×0.950	×0.952	8.83%
Triples /BIP	0.58%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.950	×0.952	0.56%
Home runs /BIP	4.05%	÷1.135	×0.840	—	×0.952	2.85%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .342 → .270; ISO .171 → .128; BABIP .362 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 451 PAwOBA .325 → .248 (−77)K% 25.3% → 33.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.28%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	33.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.43%	÷1.005	×0.710	—	×0.962	4.37%
HBP% /PA	1.11%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	1.05%
Singles /BIP	26.35%	÷1.015	×0.900	×0.980	×0.962	22.04%
Doubles /BIP	7.43%	÷0.918	×0.810	×0.980	×0.962	6.19%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷0.977	×0.810	×0.980	×0.962	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	3.72%	÷0.928	×0.780	—	×0.962	3.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 95, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .325 → .248; ISO .144 → .109; BABIP .353 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 255 PAwOBA .318 → .223 (−94)K% 22.7% → 30.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.75%	÷0.948	×1.290	—	—	30.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.49%	÷1.083	×0.710	—	×0.972	3.50%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.11%	÷1.032	×0.900	×0.970	×0.972	21.48%
Doubles /BIP	7.22%	÷1.050	×0.810	×0.970	×0.972	5.25%
Triples /BIP	1.11%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.970	×0.972	0.74%
Home runs /BIP	2.78%	÷1.202	×0.780	—	×0.972	1.75%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .318 → .223; ISO .134 → .084; BABIP .352 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 143 PAwOBA .274 → .199 (−75)K% 23.8% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.78%	÷0.960	×1.290	—	—	31.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.99%	÷1.056	×0.710	—	×0.982	4.61%
HBP% /PA	0.70%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.67%
Singles /BIP	16.33%	÷1.010	×0.900	×1.027	×0.982	14.68%
Doubles /BIP	6.12%	÷1.075	×0.810	×1.027	×0.982	4.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.933	×0.810	×1.027	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.10%	÷1.105	×0.780	—	×0.982	3.54%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 102, 2B 115, 3B 87, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .274 → .199; ISO .159 → .104; BABIP .237 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 263 PAwOBA .371 → .313 (−57)K% 18.6% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.63%	÷1.018	×1.290	—	—	23.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.75%	÷1.079	×0.710	—	×1.018	5.86%
HBP% /PA	0.38%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.38%
Singles /BIP	27.42%	÷1.001	×0.900	×1.011	×1.018	25.37%
Doubles /BIP	10.22%	÷0.960	×0.810	×1.011	×1.018	8.87%
Triples /BIP	0.54%	÷1.101	×0.810	×1.011	×1.018	0.41%
Home runs /BIP	2.69%	÷1.033	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.07%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 92, 3B 120, K 104, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .371 → .313; ISO .153 → .125; BABIP .388 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 183 PAwOBA .402 → .316 (−86)K% 23.0% → 28.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.95%	÷0.982	×1.220	—	—	28.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.65%	÷1.035	×0.700	—	×0.988	5.11%
HBP% /PA	1.64%	—	×0.870	—	×0.988	1.41%
Singles /BIP	20.49%	÷0.998	×0.920	×1.008	×0.988	18.80%
Doubles /BIP	16.39%	÷1.044	×0.840	×1.008	×0.988	13.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.940	×0.940	×1.008	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.74%	÷1.110	×0.800	—	×0.988	4.09%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 88, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .402 → .316; ISO .250 → .184; BABIP .385 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 263 PAwOBA .304 → .241 (−63)K% 26.2% → 34.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.24%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	34.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.41%	÷1.025	×0.710	—	×1.033	8.16%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	1.15%
Singles /BIP	11.95%	÷1.002	×0.900	×0.957	×1.033	10.61%
Doubles /BIP	8.18%	÷0.885	×0.810	×0.957	×1.033	7.40%
Triples /BIP	3.14%	÷0.974	×0.810	×0.957	×1.033	2.59%
Home runs /BIP	5.03%	÷0.934	×0.780	—	×1.033	4.34%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 77, 3B 95, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .304 → .241; ISO .206 → .166; BABIP .243 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .