Ivan Araujo

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1984-01-29

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	32	AAAVaqueros de l…	209	.283/.337/.353	2	5	67	—	.262/.302/.309
2017	33	AAA/INTL2 orgs	343	.290/.344/.357	2	6	70	—	.269/.312/.325
2018	34	INTLMayos de Navo…	31	.259/.333/.333	0	0	88	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	22	AAA	Vaqueros Laguna	—	29	22	5	2	0	0	6	9	1	1	0	227	414	318	732	91	385	31	21	352	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA	Vaqueros Laguna	—	344	290	81	7	7	3	38	72	7	4	2	279	376	383	759	103	359	21	11	338	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA	Vaqueros Laguna	—	286	253	78	9	5	0	19	61	4	10	3	308	366	383	749	75	402	21	7	328	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA	Vaqueros Laguna	—	236	207	61	9	2	4	17	43	2	1	2	295	354	415	769	121	350	18	7	331	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	447	413	136	18	2	8	22	78	0	20	8	329	363	441	804	111	388	17	5	349	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	43	43	10	3	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	233	233	349	581	116	256	9	0	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	266	238	84	18	1	7	22	41	3	6	3	353	414	525	940	172	401	15	8	411	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	300	273	87	16	4	4	21	62	5	12	4	319	378	451	828	132	401	21	7	369	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	124	112	25	5	3	4	6	30	1	1	0	223	269	429	697	205	263	24	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	492	456	152	24	12	16	24	86	5	15	6	333	373	544	917	211	379	17	5	395	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	99	91	18	2	1	0	6	17	1	0	0	198	255	242	497	44	243	17	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	390	355	96	15	4	11	23	58	5	23	6	270	324	428	752	158	294	15	6	328	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	67	57	13	1	0	0	7	8	1	4	0	228	323	246	569	18	260	12	10	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	156	144	42	5	1	1	6	27	3	4	3	292	333	361	694	69	353	17	4	309	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	61	57	16	0	0	0	3	8	1	0	0	281	328	281	609		327	13	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	209	187	53	7	0	2	12	50	3	5	4	283	337	353	690	70	370	24	6	304	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	291	265	81	13	1	1	17	47	6	6	1	306	361	374	735	68	367	16	6	331	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	52	49	10	0	0	1	2	15	1	0	0	204	250	265	515	61	273	29	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	31	27	7	2	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	259	333	333	667	74	333	19	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	22	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	29	24	5	2	0	0	4	11	1	1	0	208	345	292	636	83	359	38	14	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	344	300	83	7	7	2	28	86	7	4	2	277	352	367	719	90	363	25	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	286	258	80	8	5	0	14	73	4	10	3	310	355	380	735	70	406	26	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	236	212	61	8	2	3	12	52	2	1	2	288	332	387	719	99	340	22	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	447	422	128	16	2	6	13	98	0	20	8	303	324	393	718	90	366	22	3	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	266	245	76	16	1	5	15	53	3	6	3	310	357	445	802	135	368	20	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	300	279	71	12	3	3	15	80	5	12	4	254	304	351	656	97	345	27	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	492	465	133	18	10	11	15	109	5	15	6	286	315	439	754	153	342	22	3	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	390	362	89	13	3	8	16	72	5	23	6	246	287	365	652	119	277	18	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	156	146	37	4	1	0	4	36	3	4	3	253	288	295	582	41	321	23	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	209	191	50	6	0	1	8	61	3	5	4	262	302	309	611	47	349	29	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	291	271	73	10	1	1	11	56	6	6	1	269	312	325	637	55	329	19	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	29	24	5	2	0	0	4	11	1	1	0	208	345	292	636	83	385	38	14	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Laguna	—	29	22	5	2	0	0	6	9	1	1	0	227	414	318	732	91	385	31	21	352	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	344	300	83	7	7	2	28	86	7	4	2	277	352	367	719	90	379	25	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Laguna	—	344	290	81	7	7	3	38	72	7	4	2	279	376	383	759	103	359	21	11	338	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	286	258	80	8	5	0	14	73	4	10	3	310	355	380	735	70	428	26	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Laguna	—	286	253	78	9	5	0	19	61	4	10	3	308	366	383	749	75	402	21	7	328	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	236	212	61	8	2	3	12	52	2	1	2	288	332	387	719	99	362	22	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Laguna	—	236	207	61	9	2	4	17	43	2	1	2	295	354	415	769	121	350	18	7	331	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	490	463	140	17	2	7	15	107	0	20	8	302	324	393	717	91	378	22	3	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	490	456	146	21	3	8	22	82	0	20	8	320	351	432	783	112	374	17	4	341	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	266	245	76	16	1	5	15	53	3	6	3	310	357	445	802	135	376	20	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA RAW	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	266	238	84	18	1	7	22	41	3	6	3	353	414	525	940	172	401	15	8	411	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	424	390	99	16	4	4	22	114	6	13	4	254	304	346	650	92	347	27	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	424	385	112	21	7	8	27	92	6	13	4	291	347	444	791	153	362	22	6	347	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	591	559	160	22	12	13	18	131	6	15	6	286	316	438	754	152	350	22	3	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	591	547	170	26	13	16	30	103	6	15	6	311	353	494	847	183	356	17	5	367	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	457	423	104	15	4	9	19	84	6	27	6	246	288	364	652	118	284	18	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	457	412	109	16	4	11	30	66	6	27	6	265	324	403	727	138	289	14	7	319	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	217	204	51	5	1	1	6	50	4	4	3	250	285	299	584	49	327	23	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	217	201	58	5	1	1	9	35	4	4	3	289	332	338	670	50	345	16	4	302	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	209	191	50	6	0	1	8	61	3	5	4	262	302	309	611	47	371	29	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA RAW	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	209	187	53	7	0	2	12	50	3	5	4	283	337	353	690	70	370	24	6	304	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	343	320	86	12	1	1	13	66	7	6	1	269	312	322	634	53	335	19	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	343	314	91	13	1	2	19	62	7	6	1	290	344	357	701	67	355	18	6	317	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	INTL MLE	Mayos de Navojoa	—	31	27	7	2	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	259	333	333	667	74	333	19	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	INTL RAW	Mayos de Navojoa	—	31	27	7	2	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	259	333	333	667	74	333	19	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	29	24	5	2	0	0	4	11	1	1	0	208	345	292	636	83	359	38	14	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	344	306	83	7	7	2	28	86	7	4	2	271	352	359	712	88	363	25	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	286	266	80	8	5	0	14	73	4	10	3	301	355	368	723	68	406	26	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	236	220	61	8	2	3	12	52	2	1	2	277	332	373	705	95	340	22	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	490	472	140	17	2	7	15	107	0	20	8	297	324	386	710	89	366	22	3	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	266	246	76	16	1	5	15	53	3	6	3	309	357	443	801	134	368	20	6	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	424	393	99	16	4	4	22	114	6	13	4	252	304	344	647	92	345	27	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	591	562	160	22	12	13	18	131	6	15	6	285	316	436	752	151	342	22	3	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	457	429	104	15	4	9	19	84	6	27	6	242	288	359	647	117	277	18	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	217	205	51	5	1	1	6	50	4	4	3	249	285	298	583	49	321	23	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	209	196	50	6	0	1	8	61	3	5	4	255	302	301	603	46	349	29	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	343	320	86	12	1	1	13	66	7	6	1	269	312	322	634	53	329	19	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3923	3616	1002	136	39	46	176	894	50	112	42	277	320	374	694	97	354	23	4	297	87	-59	+6	+0	-42	+85	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	166	23	6	8	29	148	8	19	7	277	319	376	694	98	353	23	4	297	87	-10	+1	+0	-7	+14	-0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAALeones de Yucatan · 291 PAwOBA .324 → .278 (−45)K% 16.2% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.15%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	19.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.84%	÷0.998	×0.690	—	×0.942	3.81%
HBP% /PA	2.06%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.83%
Singles /BIP	30.28%	÷1.002	×0.930	×1.050	×0.942	27.80%
Doubles /BIP	5.96%	÷1.054	×0.830	×1.050	×0.942	4.65%
Triples /BIP	0.46%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.050	×0.942	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	0.46%	÷0.945	×0.700	—	×0.942	0.32%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 100, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .324 → .278; ISO .068 → .054; BABIP .367 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 209 PAwOBA .300 → .267 (−33)K% 23.9% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.92%	÷0.986	×1.200	—	—	29.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.74%	÷1.051	×0.690	—	×0.952	3.59%
HBP% /PA	1.44%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.28%
Singles /BIP	32.12%	÷0.963	×0.930	×1.050	×0.952	31.01%
Doubles /BIP	5.11%	÷0.992	×0.830	×1.050	×0.952	4.28%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.046	×0.920	×1.050	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.46%	÷0.929	×0.700	—	×0.952	1.05%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 93, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .300 → .267; ISO .070 → .055; BABIP .370 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 156 PAwOBA .301 → .253 (−47)K% 17.3% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.31%	÷0.903	×1.200	—	—	23.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.85%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×0.962	2.56%
HBP% /PA	1.92%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.74%
Singles /BIP	29.91%	÷1.007	×0.930	×1.050	×0.962	27.90%
Doubles /BIP	4.27%	÷1.046	×0.830	×1.050	×0.962	3.43%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×0.962	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	0.85%	÷1.488	×0.700	—	×0.962	0.39%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .301 → .253; ISO .069 → .047; BABIP .353 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALeones de Yucatan · 390 PAwOBA .321 → .282 (−39)K% 14.9% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.87%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	18.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.64%	÷0.921	×0.690	—	×0.972	4.11%
HBP% /PA	1.28%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.17%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷0.969	×0.930	×1.050	×0.972	21.77%
Doubles /BIP	5.05%	÷0.970	×0.830	×1.050	×0.972	4.41%
Triples /BIP	1.35%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×0.972	1.10%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷0.947	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.66%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 94, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .321 → .282; ISO .158 → .122; BABIP .294 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 492 PAwOBA .387 → .323 (−64)K% 17.5% → 22.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.48%	÷0.949	×1.200	—	—	22.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.47%	÷0.989	×0.690	—	×0.982	3.06%
HBP% /PA	1.02%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.94%
Singles /BIP	27.03%	÷0.999	×0.930	×1.050	×0.982	25.95%
Doubles /BIP	6.49%	÷1.098	×0.830	×1.050	×0.982	5.06%
Triples /BIP	3.24%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×0.982	2.68%
Home runs /BIP	4.32%	÷0.991	×0.700	—	×0.982	3.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .387 → .323; ISO .211 → .155; BABIP .379 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 300 PAwOBA .359 → .284 (−75)K% 20.7% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.67%	÷0.925	×1.200	—	—	26.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.00%	÷0.942	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.08%
HBP% /PA	1.67%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.55%
Singles /BIP	29.86%	÷1.081	×0.930	×1.043	×0.992	26.59%
Doubles /BIP	7.58%	÷1.114	×0.830	×1.043	×0.992	5.85%
Triples /BIP	1.90%	÷1.132	×0.920	×1.043	×0.992	1.59%
Home runs /BIP	1.90%	÷1.018	×0.700	—	×0.992	1.29%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 116, 2B 123, 3B 126, K 85, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .359 → .284; ISO .132 → .094; BABIP .401 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 266 PAwOBA .403 → .343 (−60)K% 15.4% → 19.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.41%	÷0.928	×1.200	—	—	19.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.27%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.80%
HBP% /PA	1.13%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.06%
Singles /BIP	29.44%	÷1.035	×0.930	×1.045	×1.003	27.72%
Doubles /BIP	9.14%	÷0.976	×0.830	×1.045	×1.003	8.14%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷1.097	×0.920	×1.045	×1.003	0.45%
Home runs /BIP	3.55%	÷1.042	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.39%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 95, 3B 119, K 86, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .403 → .343; ISO .172 → .133; BABIP .401 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 447 PAwOBA .341 → .307 (−35)K% 17.4% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.45%	÷0.958	×1.200	—	—	21.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.70%	÷1.099	×0.690	—	×1.018	3.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	32.24%	÷1.033	×0.930	×1.050	×1.018	31.02%
Doubles /BIP	5.37%	÷1.018	×0.830	×1.050	×1.018	4.68%
Triples /BIP	0.60%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×1.018	0.51%
Home runs /BIP	2.39%	÷0.911	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.87%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .341 → .307; ISO .111 → .092; BABIP .388 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .