Eder Salcedo

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1982-10-26

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	31	AAADelfines de C…	422	.287/.342/.399	9	3	69	—	.258/.295/.339
2015	32	AAAAcereros del …	361	.267/.305/.365	5	5	55	—	.241/.267/.310
2016	33	AAAOlmecas de Ta…	93	.216/.242/.307	1	1	11	—	.178/.187/.256

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	AAA	Tuneros de San Luis	—	58	53	10	1	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	189	246	264	510	75	214	17	5	232	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA	Tuneros de San Luis	—	148	140	35	3	0	2	4	21	0	0	3	250	271	314	585	64	275	14	3	256	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	218	201	54	7	0	1	8	36	0	7	1	269	297	318	615	50	317	17	4	267	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	297	274	73	19	2	1	16	43	1	4	2	266	309	361	671	95	312	14	5	295	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	310	291	78	9	2	4	13	44	2	5	8	268	304	354	658	86	301	14	4	292	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	417	377	119	22	3	2	31	48	3	7	6	316	372	406	778	90	357	12	7	346	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	146	132	34	3	0	3	11	25	0	3	3	258	315	348	663	91	295	17	8	295	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	434	395	127	21	4	6	28	60	2	21	6	322	369	441	810	119	364	14	6	354	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	428	388	129	29	3	12	33	59	0	12	6	332	385	515	900	183	366	14	8	390	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA	Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen	—	422	376	108	11	2	9	28	55	3	3	2	287	342	399	740	112	312	13	7	321	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	361	326	87	17	0	5	16	50	2	5	3	267	305	365	670	98	295	14	4	287	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	93	88	19	5	0	1	3	11	0	1	1	216	242	307	549	91	237	12	3	240	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	AAA MLE	Tuneros de San Luis	—	58	54	10	1	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	185	228	259	487	74	216	21	3	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Tuneros de San Luis	—	148	141	34	3	0	1	3	25	0	0	3	241	257	284	541	43	272	17	2	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	218	203	54	6	0	1	6	43	0	7	1	266	287	310	597	44	311	20	3	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	297	280	71	17	2	1	10	52	1	4	2	254	282	339	621	86	296	18	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	310	296	75	8	2	3	8	53	2	5	8	253	278	324	602	71	289	17	3	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	417	388	109	20	3	1	20	55	3	7	6	281	321	356	677	75	319	13	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	146	136	32	3	0	2	7	31	0	3	3	235	273	301	574	66	277	21	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	434	405	111	16	4	4	18	75	2	21	6	274	308	363	671	89	315	17	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	428	401	109	21	2	7	20	77	0	12	6	272	306	387	693	115	313	18	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen	—	422	387	100	9	2	6	17	64	3	3	2	258	295	339	633	80	277	15	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	361	332	80	14	0	3	10	56	2	5	3	241	267	310	578	69	261	16	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	93	90	16	4	0	1	1	13	0	1	1	178	187	256	442	78	193	14	1	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AAA MLE	Tuneros de San Luis	—	58	54	10	1	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	185	228	259	487	74	220	21	3	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AAA RAW	Tuneros de San Luis	—	58	53	10	1	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	189	246	264	510	75	214	17	5	232	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Tuneros de San Luis	—	148	141	34	3	0	1	3	25	0	0	3	241	257	284	541	43	280	17	2	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA RAW	Tuneros de San Luis	—	148	140	35	3	0	2	4	21	0	0	3	250	271	314	585	64	275	14	3	256	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	218	203	54	6	0	1	6	43	0	7	1	266	287	310	597	44	327	20	3	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA RAW	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	218	201	54	7	0	1	8	36	0	7	1	269	297	318	615	50	317	17	4	267	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	297	280	71	17	2	1	10	52	1	4	2	254	282	339	621	86	307	18	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA RAW	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	297	274	73	19	2	1	16	43	1	4	2	266	309	361	671	95	312	14	5	295	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	310	296	75	8	2	3	8	53	2	5	8	253	278	324	602	71	296	17	3	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA RAW	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	310	291	78	9	2	4	13	44	2	5	8	268	304	354	658	86	301	14	4	292	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	417	388	109	20	3	1	20	55	3	7	6	281	321	356	677	75	324	13	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA RAW	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	417	377	119	22	3	2	31	48	3	7	6	316	372	406	778	90	357	12	7	346	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	146	136	32	3	0	2	7	31	0	3	3	235	273	301	574	66	288	21	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	146	132	34	3	0	3	11	25	0	3	3	258	315	348	663	91	295	17	8	295	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	434	405	111	16	4	4	18	75	2	21	6	274	308	363	671	89	325	17	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA RAW	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	434	395	127	21	4	6	28	60	2	21	6	322	369	441	810	119	364	14	6	354	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	428	401	109	21	2	7	20	77	0	12	6	272	306	387	693	115	319	18	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA RAW	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	428	388	129	29	3	12	33	59	0	12	6	332	385	515	900	183	366	14	8	390	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen	—	422	387	100	9	2	6	17	64	3	3	2	258	295	339	633	80	292	15	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA RAW	Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen	—	422	376	108	11	2	9	28	55	3	3	2	287	342	399	740	112	312	13	7	321	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	361	332	80	14	0	3	10	56	2	5	3	241	267	310	578	69	275	16	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	361	326	87	17	0	5	16	50	2	5	3	267	305	365	670	98	295	14	4	287	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	93	90	16	4	0	1	1	13	0	1	1	178	187	256	442	78	197	14	1	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA RAW	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	93	88	19	5	0	1	3	11	0	1	1	216	242	307	549	91	237	12	3	240	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AAA MLE	Tuneros de San Luis	—	58	55	10	1	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	182	228	255	483	73	216	21	3	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Tuneros de San Luis	—	148	144	34	3	0	1	3	25	0	0	3	236	257	278	535	42	272	17	2	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	218	210	54	6	0	1	6	43	0	7	1	257	287	300	587	43	311	20	3	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	297	284	71	17	2	1	10	52	1	4	2	250	282	335	616	85	296	18	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	310	297	75	8	2	3	8	53	2	5	8	253	278	323	601	71	289	17	3	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	417	391	109	20	3	1	20	55	3	7	6	279	321	353	674	74	319	13	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	146	138	32	3	0	2	7	31	0	3	3	232	273	297	570	65	277	21	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	434	411	111	16	4	4	18	75	2	21	6	270	308	358	666	88	315	17	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	428	405	109	21	2	7	20	77	0	12	6	269	306	383	689	114	313	18	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen	—	422	399	100	9	2	6	17	64	3	3	2	251	295	328	623	78	277	15	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	361	346	80	14	0	3	10	56	2	5	3	231	267	298	565	66	261	16	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	93	92	16	4	0	1	1	13	0	1	1	174	187	250	437	76	193	14	1	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3332	3113	801	122	15	31	122	556	14	68	41	257	288	336	624	79	301	17	4	269	68	-127	-3	+0	-36	+72	-9.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	607	156	24	3	6	24	108	3	13	8	257	289	336	625	79	301	17	4	269	68	-25	-1	+0	-7	+14	-1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 93 PAwOBA .229 → .184 (−45)K% 11.8% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.83%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	14.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.15%	÷0.933	×0.690	—	×0.940	1.49%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.88%	÷1.022	×0.930	×1.014	×0.940	14.64%
Doubles /BIP	6.49%	÷1.142	×0.830	×1.014	×0.940	4.50%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.014	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.30%	÷0.872	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.98%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .229 → .184; ISO .091 → .066; BABIP .237 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAAcereros del Norte · 361 PAwOBA .284 → .249 (−35)K% 13.9% → 15.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.85%	÷1.063	×1.200	—	—	15.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.16%	÷0.979	×0.690	—	×0.942	2.76%
HBP% /PA	0.55%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.49%
Singles /BIP	23.55%	÷0.988	×0.930	×1.038	×0.942	21.66%
Doubles /BIP	6.16%	÷1.051	×0.830	×1.038	×0.942	4.75%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.038	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.81%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×0.942	1.14%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 113, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .284 → .249; ISO .098 → .073; BABIP .295 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 422 PAwOBA .316 → .270 (−46)K% 13.0% → 15.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.03%	÷1.036	×1.200	—	—	15.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.40%	÷1.021	×0.690	—	×0.952	4.12%
HBP% /PA	0.71%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.64%
Singles /BIP	26.79%	÷0.978	×0.930	×1.009	×0.952	24.46%
Doubles /BIP	3.43%	÷1.015	×0.830	×1.009	×0.952	2.69%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.009	×0.952	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	2.80%	÷1.079	×0.700	—	×0.952	1.73%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .316 → .270; ISO .112 → .080; BABIP .312 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 428 PAwOBA .382 → .298 (−84)K% 13.8% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.79%	÷0.924	×1.200	—	—	17.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.71%	÷1.096	×0.690	—	×0.962	4.67%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.84%	÷0.957	×0.930	×0.990	×0.962	23.89%
Doubles /BIP	8.81%	÷1.089	×0.830	×0.990	×0.962	6.40%
Triples /BIP	0.91%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.990	×0.962	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	3.65%	÷1.235	×0.700	—	×0.962	1.99%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 91, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 85, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .382 → .298; ISO .183 → .117; BABIP .366 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 434 PAwOBA .347 → .288 (−59)K% 13.8% → 17.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.82%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	17.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.22%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×0.972	4.11%
HBP% /PA	0.46%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.42%
Singles /BIP	28.66%	÷1.057	×0.930	×1.045	×0.972	25.60%
Doubles /BIP	6.27%	÷1.130	×0.830	×1.045	×0.972	4.68%
Triples /BIP	1.19%	÷1.020	×0.920	×1.045	×0.972	1.09%
Home runs /BIP	1.79%	÷1.038	×0.700	—	×0.972	1.17%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 111, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .347 → .288; ISO .119 → .089; BABIP .364 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 146 PAwOBA .289 → .248 (−42)K% 17.1% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.12%	÷0.972	×1.200	—	—	21.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.53%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.97%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.17%	÷1.003	×0.930	×1.050	×0.982	25.02%
Doubles /BIP	2.80%	÷0.997	×0.830	×1.050	×0.982	2.41%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.020	×0.920	×1.050	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.80%	÷1.053	×0.700	—	×0.982	1.83%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 104, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .289 → .248; ISO .091 → .065; BABIP .295 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAADorados de Chihuahua · 417 PAwOBA .338 → .295 (−43)K% 11.5% → 13.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.51%	÷1.038	×1.200	—	—	13.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.43%	÷1.039	×0.690	—	×0.992	4.90%
HBP% /PA	0.72%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.67%
Singles /BIP	27.96%	÷1.072	×0.930	×1.042	×0.992	25.08%
Doubles /BIP	6.69%	÷0.961	×0.830	×1.042	×0.992	5.97%
Triples /BIP	0.91%	÷1.028	×0.920	×1.042	×0.992	0.84%
Home runs /BIP	0.61%	÷1.129	×0.700	—	×0.992	0.37%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 106, K 108, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .338 → .295; ISO .090 → .079; BABIP .357 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAADorados de Chihuahua · 310 PAwOBA .286 → .261 (−25)K% 14.2% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.19%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	17.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.87%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	2.68%
HBP% /PA	0.65%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.61%
Singles /BIP	25.51%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	24.98%
Doubles /BIP	3.64%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	3.19%
Triples /BIP	0.81%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.003	0.78%
Home runs /BIP	1.62%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.003	1.14%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .286 → .261; ISO .086 → .069; BABIP .301 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).