Omar Mendoza
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 30 | AAARieleros de A… | 403 | .273/.353/.382 | 7 | 2 | 66 | — | .246/.294/.317 |
| 2014 | 31 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 225 | .265/.326/.325 | 1 | 1 | 52 | — | .238/.280/.291 |
| 2015 | 32 | AAARieleros de A… | 88 | .284/.341/.358 | 2 | 0 | 35 | — | .212/.239/.247 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 22 | AAA | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 442 | 377 | 105 | 35 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 63 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 279 | 366 | 432 | 798 | 154 | 318 | 14 | 11 | 347 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 300 | 259 | 70 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 57 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 270 | 353 | 390 | 743 | 120 | 320 | 19 | 11 | 328 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 489 | 435 | 128 | 29 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 75 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 294 | 368 | 455 | 823 | 161 | 330 | 15 | 10 | 365 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 450 | 399 | 103 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 66 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 258 | 327 | 381 | 708 | 123 | 287 | 15 | 9 | 313 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 457 | 392 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 66 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 240 | 339 | 342 | 681 | 102 | 276 | 14 | 13 | 310 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 466 | 391 | 108 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 61 | 56 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 276 | 377 | 430 | 806 | 153 | 295 | 12 | 13 | 354 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 223 | 188 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 40 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 271 | 372 | 356 | 728 | 85 | 331 | 18 | 13 | 329 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 392 | 341 | 97 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 72 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 284 | 361 | 422 | 784 | 138 | 328 | 18 | 10 | 344 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 403 | 348 | 95 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 64 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 273 | 353 | 382 | 735 | 109 | 314 | 16 | 11 | 324 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 225 | 200 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 326 | 325 | 651 | 60 | 331 | 19 | 8 | 289 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 88 | 81 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 341 | 358 | 699 | 74 | 344 | 20 | 8 | 319 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 442 | 391 | 104 | 33 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 76 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 266 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 128 | 306 | 17 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 300 | 272 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 68 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 257 | 308 | 346 | 654 | 88 | 314 | 23 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 489 | 451 | 123 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 90 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 273 | 325 | 401 | 726 | 129 | 319 | 18 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 450 | 411 | 100 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 79 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 243 | 293 | 343 | 636 | 100 | 276 | 18 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 457 | 411 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 79 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 295 | 311 | 606 | 85 | 266 | 17 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 466 | 413 | 101 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 65 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 245 | 313 | 358 | 671 | 114 | 265 | 14 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 223 | 200 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 245 | 307 | 305 | 612 | 60 | 314 | 23 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 392 | 355 | 83 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 89 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 234 | 288 | 324 | 612 | 90 | 279 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 403 | 366 | 90 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 83 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 246 | 294 | 317 | 611 | 71 | 292 | 21 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 225 | 206 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 55 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 280 | 291 | 571 | 53 | 302 | 24 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 88 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 239 | 247 | 486 | 35 | 284 | 27 | 3 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 442 | 391 | 104 | 33 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 76 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 266 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 128 | 318 | 17 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | AAA RAW | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 442 | 377 | 105 | 35 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 63 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 279 | 366 | 432 | 798 | 154 | 318 | 14 | 11 | 347 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 300 | 272 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 68 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 257 | 308 | 346 | 654 | 88 | 323 | 23 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA RAW | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 300 | 259 | 70 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 57 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 270 | 353 | 390 | 743 | 120 | 320 | 19 | 11 | 328 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 489 | 451 | 123 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 90 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 273 | 325 | 401 | 726 | 129 | 320 | 18 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA RAW | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 489 | 435 | 128 | 29 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 75 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 294 | 368 | 455 | 823 | 161 | 330 | 15 | 10 | 365 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 450 | 411 | 100 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 79 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 243 | 293 | 343 | 636 | 100 | 284 | 18 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA RAW | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 450 | 399 | 103 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 66 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 258 | 327 | 381 | 708 | 123 | 287 | 15 | 9 | 313 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 457 | 411 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 79 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 295 | 311 | 606 | 85 | 271 | 17 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 457 | 392 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 66 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 240 | 339 | 342 | 681 | 102 | 276 | 14 | 13 | 310 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 466 | 413 | 101 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 65 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 245 | 313 | 358 | 671 | 114 | 272 | 14 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA RAW | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 466 | 391 | 108 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 61 | 56 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 276 | 377 | 430 | 806 | 153 | 295 | 12 | 13 | 354 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 223 | 200 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 245 | 307 | 305 | 612 | 60 | 322 | 23 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 223 | 188 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 40 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 271 | 372 | 356 | 728 | 85 | 331 | 18 | 13 | 329 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 392 | 355 | 83 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 89 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 234 | 288 | 324 | 612 | 90 | 289 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 392 | 341 | 97 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 72 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 284 | 361 | 422 | 784 | 138 | 328 | 18 | 10 | 344 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 403 | 366 | 90 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 83 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 246 | 294 | 317 | 611 | 71 | 305 | 21 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 403 | 348 | 95 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 64 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 273 | 353 | 382 | 735 | 109 | 314 | 16 | 11 | 324 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 225 | 206 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 55 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 280 | 291 | 571 | 53 | 318 | 24 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 225 | 200 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 326 | 325 | 651 | 60 | 331 | 19 | 8 | 289 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 88 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 239 | 247 | 486 | 35 | 283 | 27 | 3 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 88 | 81 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 341 | 358 | 699 | 74 | 344 | 20 | 8 | 319 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 442 | 401 | 104 | 33 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 76 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 259 | 331 | 384 | 715 | 125 | 306 | 17 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tuneros de San Luis | — | 300 | 277 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 68 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 253 | 308 | 339 | 648 | 87 | 314 | 23 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 489 | 451 | 123 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 90 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 273 | 325 | 401 | 726 | 129 | 319 | 18 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 450 | 418 | 100 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 79 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 239 | 293 | 337 | 631 | 98 | 276 | 18 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 457 | 414 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 79 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 295 | 309 | 604 | 85 | 266 | 17 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | Dorados de Chihuahua | — | 466 | 422 | 101 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 65 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 239 | 313 | 351 | 663 | 111 | 265 | 14 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 223 | 203 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 241 | 307 | 300 | 608 | 59 | 314 | 23 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 392 | 362 | 83 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 89 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 229 | 288 | 318 | 606 | 88 | 279 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 403 | 375 | 90 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 83 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 240 | 294 | 309 | 603 | 69 | 292 | 21 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 225 | 211 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 55 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 280 | 284 | 564 | 52 | 302 | 24 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 88 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 239 | 247 | 486 | 35 | 284 | 27 | 3 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3935 | 3561 | 880 | 163 | 7 | 54 | 279 | 760 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 247 | 303 | 342 | 646 | 95 | 299 | 19 | 7 | 283 | 77 | -106 | -5 | +0 | +14 | +85 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 145 | 27 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 126 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 247 | 302 | 342 | 644 | 95 | 298 | 19 | 7 | 283 | 77 | -18 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 88 PAwOBA .297 → .220 (−77)K% 20.5% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷0.903 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 2.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×0.955 | ×0.952 | 27.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.17% | ÷1.488 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 1.42% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .297 → .220; ISO .074 → .032; BABIP .344 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 225 PAwOBA .283 → .245 (−39)K% 19.1% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.11% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.39% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×1.049 | ×0.962 | 25.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.73% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×0.962 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.64% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.46% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 100, K 88, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .283 → .245; ISO .060 → .050; BABIP .331 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 403 PAwOBA .316 → .266 (−51)K% 15.9% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.88% | ÷0.924 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷1.096 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.930 | ×1.037 | ×0.972 | 24.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.99% | ÷1.089 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×0.972 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.46% | ÷1.235 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.36% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 91, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 85, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .316 → .266; ISO .109 → .073; BABIP .314 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 392 PAwOBA .336 → .270 (−66)K% 18.4% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.37% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.44% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷1.057 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×0.982 | 23.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷1.130 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×0.982 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.982 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.09% | ÷1.038 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.71% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 111, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .336 → .270; ISO .138 → .098; BABIP .328 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAAcereros del Norte · 223 PAwOBA .319 → .272 (−47)K% 17.9% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.94% | ÷0.928 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.70% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 26.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.73% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 4.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.03% | ÷1.126 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.25% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 86, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .319 → .272; ISO .085 → .063; BABIP .331 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAADorados de Chihuahua · 466 PAwOBA .345 → .293 (−52)K% 12.0% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.02% | ÷1.038 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.66% | ÷1.039 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.79% | ÷1.072 | ×0.930 | ×1.044 | ×1.003 | 19.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷0.961 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.003 | 5.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×1.003 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.58% | ÷1.129 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.23% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 106, K 108, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .345 → .293; ISO .153 → .121; BABIP .295 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 457 PAwOBA .301 → .268 (−33)K% 14.4% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×1.018 | 20.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×1.018 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×1.018 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.09% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .301 → .268; ISO .102 → .088; BABIP .276 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAADorados de Chihuahua · 450 PAwOBA .307 → .275 (−32)K% 14.7% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.033 | 21.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.033 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.95% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .307 → .275; ISO .123 → .100; BABIP .287 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).