Sergio Gastelum

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1978-10-19

Age (2027)48

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	36	AAA/INTL2 orgs	430	.305/.396/.365	3	4	90	—	.246/.286/.287
2016	37	INTLYaquis de Obr…	61	.175/.203/.211	0	1	11	—
2017	38	AAADiablos Rojos…	169	.273/.366/.357	1	0	56	—	.225/.287/.291

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	26	AAA	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	453	379	120	28	0	7	50	37	13	3	3	317	414	446	860	129	331	8	11	379	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	150	128	33	5	0	1	18	13	2	0	1	258	358	320	678	62	281	9	12	313	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA	Vaqueros Laguna	—	467	397	132	23	3	8	43	47	16	7	7	332	419	466	885	134	357	10	9	389	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA	Vaqueros Laguna	—	373	319	102	20	1	2	33	33	15	6	0	320	409	408	816	88	351	9	9	367	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA	Vaqueros Laguna	—	424	364	115	20	2	3	36	27	16	10	6	316	401	407	808	91	333	6	8	362	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	462	387	117	14	3	3	58	35	7	7	2	302	403	377	780	75	323	8	13	352	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	74	65	18	1	1	1	7	6	0	0	1	277	347	369	716	92	283	8	9	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	378	319	92	21	1	4	46	44	6	5	7	288	388	398	786	110	321	12	12	352	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	108	85	20	4	0	1	16	17	2	2	0	235	369	318	687	82	284	16	15	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	364	310	93	18	0	5	31	41	10	1	2	300	382	406	788	106	331	11	9	346	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	98	85	23	5	0	2	10	9	2	0	0	271	361	400	761	129	280	9	10	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	288	250	85	23	0	5	24	32	7	0	1	340	413	492	905	152	370	11	8	394	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	169	141	27	2	0	1	21	20	4	3	0	191	313	227	540	35	215	12	12	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	399	349	113	30	0	2	37	33	7	9	5	324	399	427	826	103	349	8	9	368	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	106	87	22	3	0	3	12	13	2	2	1	253	356	391	747	138	260	12	11	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	288	258	75	11	0	1	20	29	5	3	4	291	353	345	698	54	322	10	7	315	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	142	106	36	2	0	2	29	15	1	1	1	340	485	415	900	75	370	11	20	399	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	61	57	10	2	0	0	1	5	1	1	0	175	203	211	414	35	192	8	2	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	169	143	39	9	0	1	19	15	2	0	2	273	366	357	722	84	292	9	11	323	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	26	AAA MLE	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	453	395	115	25	0	5	34	44	13	3	3	291	367	392	759	101	302	10	8	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	150	134	32	4	0	1	12	16	2	0	1	239	311	291	602	52	262	11	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	467	412	127	20	3	6	28	57	16	7	7	308	375	415	790	107	330	12	6	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	373	330	95	17	1	1	22	40	15	6	0	288	360	355	714	67	316	11	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	424	377	106	17	2	2	23	32	16	10	6	281	349	353	701	72	293	8	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	Vaqueros de la Laguna	—	462	412	110	12	3	2	33	44	7	7	2	267	332	325	657	58	282	10	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	378	340	85	18	1	3	25	55	6	5	7	250	313	335	648	85	278	15	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	364	322	85	14	0	3	19	53	10	1	2	264	325	335	660	71	288	15	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	288	261	72	16	0	3	13	42	7	0	1	276	327	372	699	96	304	15	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	399	362	91	20	0	1	24	43	7	9	5	251	310	315	625	64	275	11	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	288	268	66	8	0	1	10	39	5	3	4	246	286	287	574	41	275	14	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	169	151	34	7	0	1	11	19	2	0	2	225	287	291	578	66	232	11	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AAA MLE	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	453	395	115	25	0	5	34	44	13	3	3	291	367	392	759	101	312	10	8	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AAA RAW	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	453	379	120	28	0	7	50	37	13	3	3	317	414	446	860	129	331	8	11	379	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	150	134	32	4	0	1	12	16	2	0	1	239	311	291	602	52	265	11	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA RAW	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	150	128	33	5	0	1	18	13	2	0	1	258	358	320	678	62	281	9	12	313	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	467	412	127	20	3	6	28	57	16	7	7	308	375	415	790	107	342	12	6	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Laguna	—	467	397	132	23	3	8	43	47	16	7	7	332	419	466	885	134	357	10	9	389	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	373	330	95	17	1	1	22	40	15	6	0	288	360	355	714	67	324	11	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Laguna	—	373	319	102	20	1	2	33	33	15	6	0	320	409	408	816	88	351	9	9	367	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	424	377	106	17	2	2	23	32	16	10	6	281	349	353	701	72	301	8	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Laguna	—	424	364	115	20	2	3	36	27	16	10	6	316	401	407	808	91	333	6	8	362	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	536	479	127	14	3	3	38	51	7	7	3	265	328	326	654	61	288	10	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	536	452	135	15	4	4	65	41	7	7	3	299	395	376	771	77	317	8	12	347	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	434	109	23	1	4	32	70	8	7	7	251	314	336	651	85	289	14	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	486	404	112	25	1	5	62	61	8	7	7	277	384	381	765	104	314	13	13	343	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	412	107	17	0	4	24	67	12	1	2	260	319	330	649	70	299	15	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	462	395	116	23	0	7	41	50	12	1	2	294	377	405	782	111	320	11	9	345	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	457	415	113	26	0	4	21	66	11	3	1	272	324	364	688	92	312	14	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	457	391	112	25	0	6	45	52	11	3	1	286	376	396	772	110	315	11	10	344	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	505	454	116	26	0	1	31	54	9	11	6	256	316	319	635	64	284	11	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	505	436	135	33	0	5	49	46	9	11	6	310	391	420	810	110	332	9	10	359	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	430	398	98	12	0	1	15	58	6	4	5	246	284	284	568	38	282	13	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	430	364	111	13	0	3	49	44	6	4	5	305	396	365	762	60	335	10	11	343	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	61	57	10	2	0	0	1	5	1	1	0	175	203	211	414	35	192	8	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	61	57	10	2	0	0	1	5	1	1	0	175	203	211	414	35	192	8	2	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	169	151	34	7	0	1	11	19	2	0	2	225	287	291	578	66	246	11	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	169	143	39	9	0	1	19	15	2	0	2	273	366	357	722	84	292	9	11	323	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AAA MLE	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	453	403	115	25	0	5	34	44	13	3	3	285	367	385	751	99	302	10	8	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Tigres de la Angelopolis	—	150	135	32	4	0	1	12	16	2	0	1	237	311	289	600	52	262	11	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	467	420	127	20	3	6	28	57	16	7	7	302	375	407	782	105	330	12	6	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	373	333	95	17	1	1	22	40	15	6	0	285	360	351	711	66	316	11	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Laguna	—	424	382	106	17	2	2	23	32	16	10	6	277	349	348	697	71	293	8	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	536	486	127	14	3	3	38	51	7	7	3	261	328	321	649	60	282	10	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	443	109	23	1	4	32	70	8	7	7	246	314	330	644	84	278	14	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	423	107	17	0	4	24	67	12	1	2	253	319	322	641	69	288	15	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	457	422	113	26	0	4	21	66	11	3	1	268	324	358	682	90	304	14	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	505	460	116	26	0	1	31	54	9	11	6	252	316	315	631	63	275	11	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	430	406	98	12	0	1	15	58	6	4	5	241	284	278	562	37	275	13	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	169	154	34	7	0	1	11	19	2	0	2	221	287	286	572	65	232	11	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4973	4448	1189	210	10	33	292	579	118	60	43	267	329	341	670	74	298	12	6	292	84	-95	-5	+0	+18	+108	2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	154	27	1	4	38	76	15	8	6	265	326	336	662	71	296	12	6	292	84	-12	-1	+0	+2	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 169 PAwOBA .316 → .251 (−66)K% 8.9% → 11.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.88%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	11.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.06%	÷1.003	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.50%
HBP% /PA	1.18%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.05%
Singles /BIP	22.66%	÷1.036	×0.930	×0.985	×0.940	18.84%
Doubles /BIP	7.03%	÷1.143	×0.830	×0.985	×0.940	4.73%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.093	×0.920	×0.985	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.78%	÷1.080	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.48%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 107, 2B 129, 3B 119, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .316 → .251; ISO .084 → .059; BABIP .292 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 288 PAwOBA .308 → .252 (−57)K% 10.1% → 13.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.07%	÷0.900	×1.200	—	—	13.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.60%	÷1.204	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.55%
HBP% /PA	1.74%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.53%
Singles /BIP	27.51%	÷1.045	×0.930	×1.050	×0.940	24.17%
Doubles /BIP	4.80%	÷1.122	×0.830	×1.050	×0.940	3.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.123	×0.920	×1.050	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.44%	÷1.043	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.28%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 109, 2B 124, 3B 125, K 80, BB 141 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .308 → .252; ISO .054 → .039; BABIP .322 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 399 PAwOBA .363 → .280 (−83)K% 8.3% → 10.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.27%	÷0.931	×1.200	—	—	10.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.27%	÷0.991	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.07%
HBP% /PA	1.75%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.55%
Singles /BIP	25.63%	÷1.039	×0.930	×0.996	×0.940	21.47%
Doubles /BIP	9.49%	÷1.183	×0.830	×0.996	×0.940	6.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.996	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.63%	÷1.180	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.35%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 108, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 86, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .363 → .280; ISO .103 → .068; BABIP .349 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 288 PAwOBA .385 → .303 (−82)K% 11.1% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.11%	÷0.920	×1.200	—	—	14.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.64%	÷1.068	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.64%
HBP% /PA	2.43%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	2.15%
Singles /BIP	26.15%	÷0.978	×0.930	×0.993	×0.940	23.21%
Doubles /BIP	10.55%	÷1.124	×0.830	×0.993	×0.940	7.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.993	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.29%	÷1.277	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.18%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 96, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 84, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .385 → .303; ISO .152 → .098; BABIP .370 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 364 PAwOBA .339 → .284 (−55)K% 11.3% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.26%	÷0.931	×1.200	—	—	14.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.52%	÷1.056	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.23%
HBP% /PA	2.75%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	2.43%
Singles /BIP	26.02%	÷0.985	×0.930	×1.033	×0.940	23.86%
Doubles /BIP	6.69%	÷1.118	×0.830	×1.033	×0.940	4.82%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.961	×0.920	×1.033	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.86%	÷1.045	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.17%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 92, K 86, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .339 → .284; ISO .106 → .076; BABIP .331 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 378 PAwOBA .345 → .282 (−62)K% 11.6% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.64%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	14.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.64%	÷1.169	×0.690	—	×0.942	6.47%
HBP% /PA	1.59%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.41%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷1.031	×0.930	×1.050	×0.942	21.42%
Doubles /BIP	7.64%	÷1.025	×0.830	×1.050	×0.942	6.12%
Triples /BIP	0.36%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×0.942	0.29%
Home runs /BIP	1.45%	÷1.016	×0.700	—	×0.942	0.94%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 93, BB 134 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .345 → .282; ISO .110 → .088; BABIP .321 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 462 PAwOBA .344 → .291 (−53)K% 7.6% → 9.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.58%	÷0.958	×1.200	—	—	9.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.90%	÷1.099	×0.690	—	×0.952	7.11%
HBP% /PA	1.52%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.36%
Singles /BIP	27.56%	÷1.033	×0.930	×1.034	×0.952	24.42%
Doubles /BIP	3.98%	÷1.018	×0.830	×1.034	×0.952	3.19%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.034	×0.952	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	0.85%	÷0.911	×0.700	—	×0.952	0.62%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .344 → .291; ISO .075 → .063; BABIP .323 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAVaqueros Laguna · 424 PAwOBA .354 → .307 (−47)K% 6.4% → 7.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.37%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	7.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.25%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.962	5.48%
HBP% /PA	3.77%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	3.41%
Singles /BIP	26.71%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.003	×0.962	23.96%
Doubles /BIP	5.93%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.003	×0.962	4.75%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.003	×0.962	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	0.89%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.962	0.60%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .354 → .307; ISO .091 → .074; BABIP .333 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .