Pedro Diaz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 36 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 314 | .275/.320/.447 | 11 | 0 | 60 | — | .228/.261/.345 |
| 2016 | 37 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 52 | .163/.196/.224 | 1 | 0 | -12 | — | .140/.157/.200 |
| 2017 | 38 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 84 | .238/.265/.300 | 1 | 0 | 32 | — | .222/.241/.284 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 26 | AAA | Acereros de Monclova | — | 382 | 350 | 109 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 311 | 356 | 397 | 753 | 86 | 360 | 15 | 5 | 333 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA | Acereros de Monclova | — | 425 | 377 | 103 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 55 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 273 | 336 | 432 | 768 | 159 | 287 | 13 | 7 | 334 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 350 | 316 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 335 | 391 | 506 | 898 | 171 | 352 | 10 | 6 | 392 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 284 | 95 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 422 | 482 | 904 | 148 | 373 | 13 | 12 | 396 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 167 | 150 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 287 | 335 | 420 | 755 | 133 | 295 | 10 | 4 | 326 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 294 | 89 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 303 | 379 | 429 | 807 | 126 | 352 | 17 | 10 | 359 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 189 | 175 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 324 | 417 | 742 | 143 | 328 | 20 | 6 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 58 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 179 | 308 | 486 | 192 | 105 | 22 | 5 | 208 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 121 | 116 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 336 | 353 | 457 | 810 | 121 | 411 | 21 | 2 | 353 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 315 | 297 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 311 | 485 | 796 | 202 | 299 | 17 | 3 | 342 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 314 | 284 | 78 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 320 | 447 | 767 | 173 | 307 | 18 | 5 | 328 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 52 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 196 | 224 | 421 | 61 | 194 | 23 | 4 | 189 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 84 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 265 | 300 | 565 | 62 | 286 | 20 | 2 | 253 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Acereros de Monclova | — | 382 | 356 | 102 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 70 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 287 | 321 | 357 | 678 | 70 | 335 | 18 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Acereros de Monclova | — | 425 | 391 | 92 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 66 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 235 | 278 | 350 | 628 | 115 | 250 | 16 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 350 | 323 | 92 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 285 | 330 | 412 | 742 | 127 | 300 | 12 | 4 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 300 | 85 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 283 | 343 | 400 | 743 | 117 | 315 | 15 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 167 | 152 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 298 | 362 | 660 | 105 | 254 | 11 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 308 | 76 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 297 | 328 | 625 | 81 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 189 | 179 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 266 | 318 | 584 | 89 | 284 | 23 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 58 | 53 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 125 | 189 | 314 | 113 | 79 | 29 | 3 | 143 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 121 | 118 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 261 | 331 | 591 | 76 | 325 | 26 | 1 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 315 | 303 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 230 | 350 | 580 | 135 | 233 | 21 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 314 | 290 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 261 | 345 | 606 | 117 | 262 | 22 | 3 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 52 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 157 | 200 | 357 | 60 | 173 | 29 | 2 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 84 | 81 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 241 | 284 | 525 | 62 | 261 | 24 | 1 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Acereros de Monclova | — | 382 | 356 | 102 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 70 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 287 | 321 | 357 | 678 | 70 | 345 | 18 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA RAW | Acereros de Monclova | — | 382 | 350 | 109 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 311 | 356 | 397 | 753 | 86 | 360 | 15 | 5 | 333 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Acereros de Monclova | — | 425 | 391 | 92 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 66 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 235 | 278 | 350 | 628 | 115 | 259 | 16 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA RAW | Acereros de Monclova | — | 425 | 377 | 103 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 55 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 273 | 336 | 432 | 768 | 159 | 287 | 13 | 7 | 334 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 350 | 323 | 92 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 285 | 330 | 412 | 742 | 127 | 308 | 12 | 4 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 350 | 316 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 335 | 391 | 506 | 898 | 171 | 352 | 10 | 6 | 392 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 300 | 85 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 283 | 343 | 400 | 743 | 117 | 324 | 15 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 284 | 95 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 422 | 482 | 904 | 148 | 373 | 13 | 12 | 396 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 167 | 152 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 298 | 362 | 660 | 105 | 273 | 11 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 167 | 150 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 287 | 335 | 420 | 755 | 133 | 295 | 10 | 4 | 326 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 308 | 76 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 297 | 328 | 625 | 81 | 304 | 21 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 294 | 89 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 303 | 379 | 429 | 807 | 126 | 352 | 17 | 10 | 359 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 189 | 179 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 266 | 318 | 584 | 89 | 289 | 23 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 189 | 175 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 324 | 417 | 742 | 143 | 328 | 20 | 6 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 58 | 53 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 125 | 189 | 314 | 113 | 83 | 29 | 3 | 143 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 58 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 179 | 308 | 486 | 192 | 105 | 22 | 5 | 208 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 121 | 118 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 261 | 331 | 591 | 76 | 333 | 26 | 1 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 121 | 116 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 336 | 353 | 457 | 810 | 121 | 411 | 21 | 2 | 353 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 315 | 303 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 230 | 350 | 580 | 135 | 240 | 21 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 315 | 297 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 311 | 485 | 796 | 202 | 299 | 17 | 3 | 342 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 314 | 290 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 261 | 345 | 606 | 117 | 274 | 22 | 3 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 314 | 284 | 78 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 320 | 447 | 767 | 173 | 307 | 18 | 5 | 328 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 52 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 157 | 200 | 357 | 60 | 176 | 29 | 2 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 52 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 196 | 224 | 421 | 61 | 194 | 23 | 4 | 189 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 84 | 81 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 241 | 284 | 525 | 62 | 279 | 24 | 1 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 84 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 265 | 300 | 565 | 62 | 286 | 20 | 2 | 253 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Acereros de Monclova | — | 382 | 361 | 102 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 70 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 283 | 321 | 352 | 673 | 69 | 335 | 18 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Acereros de Monclova | — | 425 | 399 | 92 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 66 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 231 | 278 | 343 | 621 | 113 | 250 | 16 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 350 | 325 | 92 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 283 | 330 | 409 | 740 | 126 | 300 | 12 | 4 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 304 | 85 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 280 | 343 | 395 | 737 | 115 | 315 | 15 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 167 | 156 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 298 | 353 | 651 | 103 | 254 | 11 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 334 | 309 | 76 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 297 | 327 | 624 | 81 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 189 | 178 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 266 | 320 | 586 | 90 | 284 | 23 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 58 | 55 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 125 | 182 | 307 | 109 | 79 | 29 | 3 | 143 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 121 | 119 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 261 | 328 | 588 | 76 | 325 | 26 | 1 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 315 | 306 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 230 | 346 | 576 | 134 | 233 | 21 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 314 | 298 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 261 | 336 | 596 | 114 | 262 | 22 | 3 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 52 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | 157 | 196 | 353 | 59 | 173 | 29 | 2 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 84 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 241 | 280 | 521 | 61 | 261 | 24 | 1 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3125 | 2904 | 717 | 130 | 6 | 53 | 120 | 578 | 36 | 16 | 16 | 247 | 285 | 351 | 636 | 104 | 289 | 18 | 4 | 275 | 72 | -104 | -3 | +0 | +11 | +68 | -2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 149 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 120 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 247 | 285 | 349 | 634 | 103 | 288 | 18 | 4 | 275 | 72 | -22 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 84 PAwOBA .249 → .215 (−34)K% 20.2% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.24% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.38% | ÷1.045 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 1.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×0.940 | 23.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×0.940 | 2.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.18% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .249 → .215; ISO .062 → .048; BABIP .286 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 52 PAwOBA .184 → .150 (−34)K% 23.1% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 2.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 16.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.04% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .184 → .150; ISO .061 → .045; BABIP .194 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 314 PAwOBA .318 → .257 (−61)K% 17.8% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.83% | ÷0.969 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.78% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.37% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×0.940 | 19.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.011 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×0.940 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.14% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .318 → .257; ISO .173 → .123; BABIP .307 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 315 PAwOBA .331 → .248 (−83)K% 16.8% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.83% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.54% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 1.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.13% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×0.973 | ×0.940 | 18.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×0.940 | 4.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.19% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 107, 2B 115, 3B 87, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .331 → .248; ISO .202 → .138; BABIP .299 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 121 PAwOBA .340 → .258 (−82)K% 20.7% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.66% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.83% | ÷0.937 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 0.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.87% | ÷1.057 | ×0.930 | ×0.967 | ×0.940 | 25.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.79% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×0.940 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.129 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.28% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 111, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 93, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .340 → .258; ISO .121 → .083; BABIP .411 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 58 PAwOBA .206 → .143 (−63)K% 22.4% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.41% | ÷0.928 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷1.136 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 2.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×0.968 | ×0.940 | 2.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.003 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×0.940 | 3.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×0.940 | 1.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.43% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 107, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 86, BB 127 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .206 → .143; ISO .192 → .133; BABIP .105 → .079. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 189 PAwOBA .320 → .256 (−64)K% 20.1% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.11% | ÷1.063 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.29% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 3.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.63% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×0.942 | 20.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.49% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.942 | 7.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.307 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 1.47% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 113, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .320 → .256; ISO .143 → .093; BABIP .328 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAAcereros del Norte · 334 PAwOBA .352 → .276 (−76)K% 17.1% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.07% | ÷0.981 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.88% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.85% | ÷1.020 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×0.952 | 24.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.75% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×0.952 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.95% | ÷1.170 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 1.68% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .352 → .276; ISO .126 → .085; BABIP .352 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).