Jesse Castillo

Pos3B

B/TL/R

Born1983-03-03

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	41	INTLAlgodoneros d…	237	.254/.385/.347	3	2	115	—
2025	42	INTLJaguares de N…	214	.237/.377/.410	6	1	126	—
2026	43	INTLAlgodoneros d…	48	.273/.478/.424	0	0	156	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	46	39	10	1	1	1	3	8	1	0	0	256	326	410	736	154	300	17	7	307	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	200	165	53	8	1	1	29	27	2	1	3	321	429	400	829	79	377	14	14	373	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	339	288	77	14	3	2	39	50	4	1	3	267	363	358	720	90	310	15	12	323	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	343	111	24	2	2	39	67	1	5	3	324	394	423	817	99	396	17	10	365	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA	Leones de Yucatan	—	398	313	89	12	2	6	77	54	2	11	2	284	429	393	822	109	323	14	19	374	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	277	242	71	9	0	5	31	40	1	1	3	293	376	393	768	99	333	14	11	346	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	205	168	47	9	0	7	33	49	2	0	1	280	404	458	862	179	354	24	16	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	431	376	111	23	0	9	48	65	0	0	1	295	375	428	803	133	338	15	11	356	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	102	90	18	1	0	2	12	18	0	0	0	200	294	278	572	78	229	18	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	442	389	127	22	0	6	46	63	1	4	0	326	399	429	828	103	375	14	10	369	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	240	209	60	11	0	7	29	23	0	1	0	287	374	440	814	153	296	10	12	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	244	208	63	10	1	0	32	32	2	6	3	303	401	361	761	58	358	13	13	350	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	98	90	20	1	0	0	7	12	0	1	0	222	278	233	512	11	256	12	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	480	409	137	25	1	17	59	57	2	14	2	335	421	526	947	191	353	12	12	410	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	256	216	65	14	1	1	33	33	0	3	2	301	394	389	782	88	350	13	13	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	493	416	150	35	1	17	67	56	2	15	5	361	452	572	1.024	212	382	11	14	442	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	281	240	70	13	0	8	36	37	2	2	1	292	388	446	834	154	315	13	13	371	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	467	392	134	24	1	12	67	75	0	14	7	342	438	500	938	158	395	16	14	411	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	INTL	Mexico	—	271	217	64	8	0	7	40	37	3	1	1	295	412	429	840	134	311	14	15	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	481	409	140	24	0	20	67	63	2	9	5	342	437	548	985	205	365	13	14	431	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	INTL	Mexico	—	285	237	74	8	0	9	43	44	1	0	2	312	420	460	880	148	346	15	15	391	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	135	113	34	7	0	0	19	19	3	0	0	301	415	363	778	62	362	14	14	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	37	INTL	Mexico	—	255	207	60	10	2	10	44	40	2	0	3	290	419	502	921	213	314	16	17	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	38	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	280	218	55	14	0	8	57	48	1	4	1	252	409	427	836	174	283	17	20	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	39	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	282	239	59	12	1	10	38	53	1	6	2	247	353	431	783	184	272	19	13	346	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	40	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	173	133	37	4	0	3	37	23	2	4	1	278	442	376	818	98	315	13	21	380	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	41	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	237	193	49	9	0	3	38	44	3	2	2	254	385	347	732	93	313	19	16	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	42	INTL	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	214	173	41	8	2	6	38	25	1	1	1	237	377	410	788	173	243	12	18	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	43	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	48	33	9	5	0	0	12	6	1	0	0	273	478	424	903	152	310	12	25	399	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	46	40	10	1	1	1	2	10	1	0	0	250	302	400	702	150	287	22	4	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	200	173	56	8	1	1	21	32	2	1	3	324	403	399	802	75	379	16	10	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	339	299	78	13	3	2	28	60	4	1	3	261	332	344	677	84	300	18	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	356	110	22	2	1	26	80	1	5	3	309	358	390	748	81	390	21	7	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	398	338	92	11	2	5	52	65	2	11	2	272	372	361	733	89	314	16	13	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	277	252	70	8	0	3	21	46	1	1	3	278	336	345	681	67	321	17	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	431	396	106	21	0	8	28	80	0	0	1	268	316	381	697	114	312	19	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	442	410	121	20	0	5	25	77	1	4	0	295	337	380	718	85	343	17	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	244	221	60	8	1	0	19	41	2	6	3	271	335	317	651	45	328	17	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	480	432	118	19	1	10	36	73	2	14	2	273	332	391	723	118	296	15	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	493	441	127	28	1	8	42	74	2	15	5	288	353	410	763	122	319	15	9	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	467	421	109	19	1	7	38	96	0	14	7	259	320	359	679	100	308	21	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	481	442	119	20	0	13	34	78	2	9	5	269	324	403	727	133	296	16	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	46	40	10	1	1	1	2	10	1	0	0	250	302	400	702	150	310	22	4	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	46	39	10	1	1	1	3	8	1	0	0	256	326	410	736	154	300	17	7	307	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	200	173	56	8	1	1	21	32	2	1	3	324	403	399	802	75	390	16	10	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	200	165	53	8	1	1	29	27	2	1	3	321	429	400	829	79	377	14	14	373	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	339	299	78	13	3	2	28	60	4	1	3	261	332	344	677	84	313	18	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	339	288	77	14	3	2	39	50	4	1	3	267	363	358	720	90	310	15	12	323	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	356	110	22	2	1	26	80	1	5	3	309	358	390	748	81	395	21	7	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	343	111	24	2	2	39	67	1	5	3	324	394	423	817	99	396	17	10	365	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	398	338	92	11	2	5	52	65	2	11	2	272	372	361	733	89	320	16	13	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA RAW	Leones de Yucatan	—	398	313	89	12	2	6	77	54	2	11	2	284	429	393	822	109	323	14	19	374	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	437	120	13	0	5	37	80	3	1	4	275	335	339	674	64	325	17	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	482	410	118	18	0	12	64	89	3	1	4	288	388	420	807	132	341	18	13	362	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	491	132	26	0	10	35	99	0	0	1	269	317	383	700	114	319	19	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	466	129	24	0	11	60	83	0	0	1	277	359	399	758	122	317	16	11	339	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	682	634	186	31	0	7	39	119	1	5	0	293	335	375	711	82	350	17	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	682	598	187	33	0	13	75	86	1	5	0	313	390	433	823	120	347	13	11	367	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	342	310	84	11	1	0	27	58	2	7	3	271	333	313	646	42	333	17	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	342	298	83	11	1	0	39	44	2	7	3	279	366	322	688	44	327	13	11	318	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	736	663	180	30	1	15	54	113	2	17	4	271	328	388	716	116	305	15	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	736	625	202	39	2	18	92	90	2	17	4	323	412	478	890	155	352	12	12	388	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	774	693	198	44	1	12	66	117	4	17	6	286	351	404	755	118	326	15	9	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	774	656	220	48	1	25	103	93	4	17	6	335	429	526	954	191	358	12	13	416	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	738	655	171	29	1	11	61	151	3	15	8	261	327	359	686	98	316	20	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	738	609	198	32	1	19	107	112	3	15	8	325	428	475	903	149	364	15	14	395	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	766	702	189	31	0	21	54	125	3	9	7	269	324	403	727	134	298	16	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	766	646	214	32	0	29	110	107	3	9	7	331	431	515	946	184	358	14	14	416	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	INTL MLE	Aguilas del Zulia	—	135	113	34	7	0	0	19	19	3	0	0	301	415	363	778	62	362	14	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	INTL RAW	Aguilas del Zulia	—	135	113	34	7	0	0	19	19	3	0	0	301	415	363	778	62	362	14	14	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	37	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	255	207	60	10	2	10	44	40	2	0	3	290	419	502	921	213	314	16	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	37	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	255	207	60	10	2	10	44	40	2	0	3	290	419	502	921	213	314	16	17	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	38	INTL MLE	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	280	218	55	14	0	8	57	48	1	4	1	252	409	427	836	174	283	17	20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	38	INTL RAW	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	280	218	55	14	0	8	57	48	1	4	1	252	409	427	836	174	283	17	20	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	39	INTL MLE	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	282	239	59	12	1	10	38	53	1	6	2	247	353	431	783	184	272	19	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	39	INTL RAW	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	282	239	59	12	1	10	38	53	1	6	2	247	353	431	783	184	272	19	13	346	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	40	INTL MLE	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	173	133	37	4	0	3	37	23	2	4	1	278	442	376	818	98	315	13	21	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	40	INTL RAW	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	173	133	37	4	0	3	37	23	2	4	1	278	442	376	818	98	315	13	21	380	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	41	INTL MLE	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	237	193	49	9	0	3	38	44	3	2	2	254	385	347	732	93	313	19	16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	41	INTL RAW	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	237	193	49	9	0	3	38	44	3	2	2	254	385	347	732	93	313	19	16	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	42	INTL MLE	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	214	173	41	8	2	6	38	25	1	1	1	237	377	410	788	173	243	12	18	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	42	INTL RAW	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	214	173	41	8	2	6	38	25	1	1	1	237	377	410	788	173	243	12	18	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	43	INTL MLE	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	48	33	9	5	0	0	12	6	1	0	0	273	478	424	903	152	310	12	25	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	43	INTL RAW	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	48	33	9	5	0	0	12	6	1	0	0	273	478	424	903	152	310	12	25	399	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	46	43	10	1	1	1	2	10	1	0	0	233	302	372	674	140	287	22	4	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	200	175	56	8	1	1	21	32	2	1	3	320	403	394	797	74	379	16	10	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	339	304	78	13	3	2	28	60	4	1	3	257	332	339	671	82	300	18	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	387	357	110	22	2	1	26	80	1	5	3	308	358	389	747	81	390	21	7	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	AAA MLE	Leones de Yucatan	—	398	341	92	11	2	5	52	65	2	11	2	270	372	358	730	88	314	16	13	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	439	120	13	0	5	37	80	3	1	4	273	335	337	673	64	321	17	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	493	132	26	0	10	35	99	0	0	1	268	317	381	699	114	312	19	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	682	637	186	31	0	7	39	119	1	5	0	292	335	374	709	82	343	17	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	342	310	84	11	1	0	27	58	2	7	3	271	333	313	646	42	328	17	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	736	674	180	30	1	15	54	113	2	17	4	267	328	381	710	114	296	15	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	774	698	198	44	1	12	66	117	4	17	6	284	351	401	752	117	319	15	9	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	738	668	171	29	1	11	61	151	3	15	8	256	327	352	679	96	308	20	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	766	703	189	31	0	21	54	125	3	9	7	269	324	403	727	134	296	16	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	8047	7100	1950	339	18	131	785	1367	42	106	54	275	350	383	733	108	321	17	10	251	56	-419	-0	+0	+29	+174	-22.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	157	27	1	11	63	110	3	9	4	274	348	382	729	108	319	17	10	251	56	-34	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 481 PAwOBA .416 → .325 (−91)K% 13.1% → 16.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.10%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	16.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.43%	÷1.059	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.01%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.37%
Singles /BIP	27.75%	÷1.026	×0.930	×0.992	×0.940	23.44%
Doubles /BIP	6.94%	÷1.008	×0.830	×0.992	×0.940	5.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.992	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.78%	÷1.050	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.62%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .416 → .325; ISO .205 → .145; BABIP .365 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 467 PAwOBA .401 → .299 (−102)K% 16.1% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.06%	÷0.941	×1.200	—	—	20.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.28%	÷1.053	×0.690	—	×0.942	8.19%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.60%	÷1.053	×0.930	×0.973	×0.942	24.75%
Doubles /BIP	7.57%	÷1.035	×0.830	×0.973	×0.942	5.56%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.973	×0.942	0.23%
Home runs /BIP	3.79%	÷1.236	×0.700	—	×0.942	2.02%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .401 → .299; ISO .158 → .103; BABIP .395 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 493 PAwOBA .433 → .333 (−101)K% 11.4% → 15.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.36%	÷0.903	×1.200	—	—	15.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.98%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×0.952	8.55%
HBP% /PA	0.41%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.36%
Singles /BIP	26.94%	÷1.007	×0.930	×1.013	×0.952	24.00%
Doubles /BIP	9.72%	÷1.046	×0.830	×1.013	×0.952	7.44%
Triples /BIP	0.28%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.013	×0.952	0.21%
Home runs /BIP	4.72%	÷1.488	×0.700	—	×0.952	2.11%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .433 → .333; ISO .212 → .128; BABIP .382 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 480 PAwOBA .400 → .316 (−85)K% 11.9% → 15.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.88%	÷0.929	×1.200	—	—	15.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.25%	÷1.010	×0.690	—	×0.962	7.40%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.38%
Singles /BIP	26.70%	÷1.032	×0.930	×1.026	×0.962	23.73%
Doubles /BIP	7.10%	÷1.105	×0.830	×1.026	×0.962	5.26%
Triples /BIP	0.28%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.026	×0.962	0.22%
Home runs /BIP	4.83%	÷1.197	×0.700	—	×0.962	2.72%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 106, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .400 → .316; ISO .191 → .125; BABIP .353 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 244 PAwOBA .340 → .289 (−51)K% 13.1% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.11%	÷0.924	×1.200	—	—	17.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.70%	÷1.096	×0.690	—	×0.972	7.77%
HBP% /PA	0.82%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.75%
Singles /BIP	29.55%	÷0.957	×0.930	×1.007	×0.972	28.08%
Doubles /BIP	5.68%	÷1.089	×0.830	×1.007	×0.972	4.24%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.007	×0.972	0.44%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.235	×0.700	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 91, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 85, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .340 → .289; ISO .058 → .045; BABIP .358 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 442 PAwOBA .357 → .316 (−41)K% 14.3% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.25%	÷0.982	×1.200	—	—	17.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.82%	÷1.046	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.72%
HBP% /PA	0.23%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.21%
Singles /BIP	30.37%	÷1.029	×0.930	×1.050	×0.982	28.31%
Doubles /BIP	6.75%	÷0.984	×0.830	×1.050	×0.982	5.87%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.952	×0.920	×1.050	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.84%	÷0.933	×0.700	—	×0.982	1.36%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 90, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .357 → .316; ISO .103 → .087; BABIP .375 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 431 PAwOBA .342 → .304 (−39)K% 15.1% → 18.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.08%	÷0.974	×1.200	—	—	18.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.98%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×0.992	6.62%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.40%	÷1.019	×0.930	×1.045	×0.992	24.03%
Doubles /BIP	7.40%	÷0.991	×0.830	×1.045	×0.992	6.42%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.040	×0.920	×1.045	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.89%	÷0.828	×0.700	—	×0.992	2.43%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 108, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .342 → .304; ISO .133 → .118; BABIP .338 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 277 PAwOBA .337 → .299 (−39)K% 14.4% → 16.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.44%	÷1.045	×1.200	—	—	16.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.83%	÷0.992	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.56%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.34%
Singles /BIP	28.22%	÷0.982	×0.930	×1.048	×1.003	28.09%
Doubles /BIP	4.46%	÷1.050	×0.830	×1.048	×1.003	3.70%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.048	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.48%	÷1.287	×0.700	—	×1.003	1.35%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .337 → .299; ISO .099 → .067; BABIP .333 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .