Ryan Jackson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | AAALAA | 431 | .295/.374/.378 | 2 | 1 | 72 | — | .255/.312/.327 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAALAA | 343 | .248/.353/.286 | 0 | 5 | 47 | — | .206/.279/.235 |
| 2017 | 29 | AAASyracuse Chie… | 122 | .226/.328/.245 | 0 | 0 | 38 | — | .205/.270/.223 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 167 | 148 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 291 | 344 | 392 | 736 | 101 | 331 | 13 | 7 | 317 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 355 | 302 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 63 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 272 | 371 | 348 | 719 | 76 | 331 | 18 | 14 | 328 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 599 | 533 | 148 | 34 | 3 | 11 | 44 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 278 | 337 | 415 | 752 | 137 | 314 | 15 | 7 | 326 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 89 | 76 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 342 | 438 | 500 | 938 | 158 | 431 | 19 | 15 | 417 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 118 | 284 | 143 | 17 | 6 | 139 | -19 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | -0.0 | |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 503 | 445 | 121 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 75 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 272 | 336 | 396 | 732 | 124 | 306 | 15 | 9 | 319 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 510 | 442 | 123 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 52 | 91 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 278 | 357 | 346 | 703 | 68 | 338 | 18 | 10 | 315 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 22 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 381 | 250 | 631 | 62 | 250 | 18 | 23 | 299 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 211 | 461 | 308 | 30 | 0 | 218 | -22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 431 | 373 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 79 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 295 | 374 | 378 | 752 | 83 | 367 | 18 | 11 | 334 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 343 | 290 | 72 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 71 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 353 | 286 | 639 | 38 | 324 | 21 | 14 | 298 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 122 | 106 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 328 | 245 | 573 | 19 | 289 | 19 | 12 | 276 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 118 | 284 | 143 | 17 | 6 | 139 | -20 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | -0.0 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 167 | 151 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 312 | 377 | 690 | 106 | 312 | 19 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 355 | 316 | 72 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 85 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 228 | 303 | 288 | 591 | 60 | 292 | 24 | 10 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 599 | 546 | 138 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 111 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 298 | 363 | 660 | 110 | 288 | 19 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 118 | 284 | 143 | 17 | 6 | 140 | -19 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | -0.0 | |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 503 | 458 | 118 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 94 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 258 | 303 | 362 | 666 | 105 | 294 | 19 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 510 | 457 | 116 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 117 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 254 | 312 | 306 | 619 | 53 | 319 | 23 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 22 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 333 | 235 | 569 | 59 | 214 | 23 | 18 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 20 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 158 | 358 | 237 | 45 | 0 | 136 | -22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 431 | 388 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 107 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 255 | 312 | 327 | 639 | 72 | 329 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 343 | 306 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 95 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 206 | 279 | 235 | 514 | 29 | 285 | 28 | 9 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 122 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 270 | 223 | 494 | 18 | 266 | 22 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 467 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 115 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 238 | 302 | 304 | 606 | 66 | 306 | 22 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 522 | 450 | 125 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 84 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 278 | 363 | 362 | 725 | 84 | 331 | 16 | 11 | 325 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 688 | 630 | 159 | 32 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 127 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 297 | 360 | 657 | 108 | 299 | 18 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 688 | 609 | 174 | 41 | 4 | 12 | 57 | 108 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 286 | 351 | 425 | 776 | 140 | 327 | 16 | 8 | 338 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 475 | 120 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 97 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 298 | 354 | 652 | 101 | 300 | 19 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 521 | 462 | 123 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 78 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 266 | 330 | 385 | 715 | 119 | 300 | 15 | 8 | 313 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 510 | 457 | 116 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 117 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 254 | 312 | 306 | 619 | 53 | 330 | 23 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 510 | 442 | 123 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 52 | 91 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 278 | 357 | 346 | 703 | 68 | 338 | 18 | 10 | 315 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 42 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 268 | 194 | 463 | 28 | 273 | 33 | 10 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 42 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 317 | 229 | 546 | 29 | 280 | 24 | 12 | 260 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 431 | 388 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 107 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 255 | 312 | 327 | 639 | 72 | 345 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 431 | 373 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 79 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 295 | 374 | 378 | 752 | 83 | 367 | 18 | 11 | 334 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 343 | 306 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 95 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 206 | 279 | 235 | 514 | 29 | 294 | 28 | 9 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 343 | 290 | 72 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 71 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 353 | 286 | 639 | 38 | 324 | 21 | 14 | 298 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 122 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 270 | 223 | 494 | 18 | 271 | 22 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 122 | 106 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 328 | 245 | 573 | 19 | 289 | 19 | 12 | 276 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 474 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 115 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 234 | 302 | 300 | 602 | 65 | 298 | 22 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 688 | 643 | 159 | 32 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 127 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 247 | 297 | 353 | 650 | 106 | 288 | 18 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 485 | 120 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 97 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 247 | 298 | 346 | 645 | 99 | 289 | 19 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 510 | 466 | 116 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 117 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 249 | 312 | 300 | 613 | 52 | 319 | 23 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 42 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 162 | 268 | 189 | 457 | 27 | 225 | 33 | 10 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 431 | 396 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 107 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 250 | 312 | 321 | 633 | 71 | 329 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 343 | 309 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 95 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 204 | 279 | 233 | 512 | 29 | 285 | 28 | 9 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 122 | 111 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 270 | 225 | 496 | 18 | 266 | 22 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 118 | 284 | 143 | 17 | 6 | 139 | 69 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | -0.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 614 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 166 | 117 | 283 | 142 | 17 | 6 | 139 | 69 | -92 | +0 | +2 | +67 | +14 | -1.0 | ||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3179 | 2871 | 697 | 117 | 11 | 24 | 222 | 699 | 9 | 29 | 18 | 243 | 299 | 316 | 615 | 73 | 309 | 22 | 7 | 271 | 69 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 142 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 143 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 242 | 298 | 315 | 613 | 73 | 308 | 22 | 7 | 271 | 69 | -92 | +0 | +2 | +67 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 122 PAwOBA .263 → .225 (−38)K% 18.9% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.85% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.66% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.51% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×0.982 | 24.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.081 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×0.982 | 1.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .263 → .225; ISO .019 → .015; BABIP .289 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASalt Lake Bees · 343 PAwOBA .291 → .237 (−54)K% 20.7% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.70% | ÷0.969 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.12% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 9.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.85% | ÷1.033 | ×0.900 | ×1.032 | ×0.992 | 24.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.02% | ÷1.020 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×0.992 | 4.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 104, 3B 127, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .291 → .237; ISO .038 → .031; BABIP .324 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASalt Lake Bees · 431 PAwOBA .327 → .274 (−53)K% 18.3% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.33% | ÷0.952 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 7.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.25% | ÷1.012 | ×0.900 | ×1.023 | ×1.003 | 26.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.46% | ÷1.001 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.003 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷0.987 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.003 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.54% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .327 → .274; ISO .083 → .068; BABIP .367 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 22 PAwOBA .293 → .243 (−50)K% 18.2% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.002 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.73% | ÷0.970 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 16.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.018 | 15.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 6.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .293 → .243; ISO .062 → .053; BABIP .250 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKAZL Padres · 20 PAwOBA .212 → .136 (−76)K% 30.0% → 43.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 43.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 23.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .212 → .136; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .308 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 510 PAwOBA .311 → .277 (−34)K% 17.8% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.84% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.49% | ÷0.970 | ×0.900 | ×1.008 | ×1.033 | 27.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.033 | 4.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.033 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷0.988 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.70% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .311 → .277; ISO .068 → .057; BABIP .338 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 503 PAwOBA .311 → .287 (−25)K% 14.9% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.91% | ÷1.033 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.15% | ÷1.014 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.51% | ÷0.985 | ×0.900 | ×1.016 | ×1.048 | 22.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷0.916 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.048 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.048 | 0.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.993 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 97, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 107, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .311 → .287; ISO .124 → .110; BABIP .306 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AASpringfield Cardinals · 599 PAwOBA .320 → .285 (−35)K% 15.2% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.19% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.62% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.027 | 21.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.110 | ×0.840 | ×1.013 | ×1.027 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.994 | ×0.940 | ×1.013 | ×1.027 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.49% | ÷1.030 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 98, 2B 122, 3B 99, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .320 → .285; ISO .137 → .114; BABIP .314 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).