Leobardo Arauz

PosLF

B/TS/R

Born1977-01-18

Age (2027)50

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	36	AAARieleros de A…	458	.312/.428/.507	14	2	88	—	.245/.324/.361
2014	37	AAARieleros de A…	297	.212/.346/.283	2	1	34	—	.171/.260/.217
2015	38	AAARieleros de A…	264	.301/.405/.434	7	0	77	—	.240/.311/.305

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	28	AAA	Acereros de Monclova	—	497	396	122	19	1	15	86	77	11	4	5	308	444	475	919	167	350	15	17	411	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	29	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	229	202	55	10	0	6	23	32	1	2	2	272	350	411	760	139	295	14	10	338	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	30	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	441	371	112	22	0	16	56	49	6	10	0	302	402	491	892	189	308	11	13	390	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	31	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	439	354	114	20	0	12	72	37	2	7	7	322	439	480	919	158	329	8	16	402	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	471	365	108	21	2	10	86	53	4	2	1	296	435	447	882	151	319	11	18	386	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	411	347	106	21	3	6	53	34	2	1	8	305	400	435	836	130	322	8	13	369	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	49	35	8	3	0	0	11	5	0	0	0	229	413	314	727	86	258	10	22	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	34	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	433	344	111	30	1	15	79	47	4	1	2	323	454	547	1.001	224	337	11	18	435	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	438	343	90	18	1	16	83	61	6	2	7	262	414	461	875	198	275	14	19	388	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	458	375	117	29	1	14	72	54	4	2	2	312	428	507	935	195	333	12	16	409	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	37	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	297	240	51	9	1	2	48	37	1	1	1	212	346	283	629	71	240	12	16	292	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	264	219	66	8	0	7	35	24	3	0	1	301	405	434	838	132	306	9	13	370	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	28	AAA MLE	Acereros de Monclova	—	497	425	112	16	1	11	57	92	11	4	5	264	365	384	749	120	307	19	11	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	29	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	229	210	48	8	0	4	15	38	1	2	2	229	283	324	607	95	259	17	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	30	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	441	393	100	18	0	12	34	59	6	10	0	254	323	392	715	137	261	13	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	31	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	439	382	106	17	0	9	44	44	2	7	7	277	355	393	748	115	283	10	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	471	397	99	18	2	7	54	64	4	2	1	249	345	358	703	108	265	14	11	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	411	371	93	17	3	4	29	42	2	1	8	251	308	345	653	94	263	10	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	433	378	95	24	1	10	45	61	4	1	2	251	337	399	737	148	267	14	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	438	373	73	13	1	11	53	76	6	2	7	196	306	324	630	129	211	17	12	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	458	404	99	21	1	8	43	70	4	2	2	245	324	361	685	116	271	15	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	37	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	297	258	44	7	1	1	30	48	1	1	1	171	260	217	477	47	193	16	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	264	233	56	6	0	3	21	32	3	0	1	240	311	305	616	64	254	12	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	28	AAA MLE	Acereros de Monclova	—	497	425	112	16	1	11	57	92	11	4	5	264	365	384	749	120	312	19	11	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	28	AAA RAW	Acereros de Monclova	—	497	396	122	19	1	15	86	77	11	4	5	308	444	475	919	167	350	15	17	411	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	29	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	229	210	48	8	0	4	15	38	1	2	2	229	283	324	607	95	259	17	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	29	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	229	202	55	10	0	6	23	32	1	2	2	272	350	411	760	139	295	14	10	338	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	30	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	441	393	100	18	0	12	34	59	6	10	0	254	323	392	715	137	268	13	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	30	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	441	371	112	22	0	16	56	49	6	10	0	302	402	491	892	189	308	11	13	390	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	31	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	439	382	106	17	0	9	44	44	2	7	7	277	355	393	748	115	290	10	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	31	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	439	354	114	20	0	12	72	37	2	7	7	322	439	480	919	158	329	8	16	402	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	471	397	99	18	2	7	54	64	4	2	1	249	345	358	703	108	278	14	11	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	471	365	108	21	2	10	86	53	4	2	1	296	435	447	882	151	319	11	18	386	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	414	103	19	3	4	32	46	2	1	8	249	306	338	644	89	268	10	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	460	382	114	24	3	6	64	39	2	1	8	298	402	424	826	126	316	8	14	364	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	433	378	95	24	1	10	45	61	4	1	2	251	337	399	737	148	274	14	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	34	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	433	344	111	30	1	15	79	47	4	1	2	323	454	547	1.001	224	337	11	18	435	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	438	373	73	13	1	11	53	76	6	2	7	196	306	324	630	129	215	17	12	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	AAA RAW	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	438	343	90	18	1	16	83	61	6	2	7	262	414	461	875	198	275	14	19	388	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	458	404	99	21	1	8	43	70	4	2	2	245	324	361	685	116	277	15	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	AAA RAW	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	458	375	117	29	1	14	72	54	4	2	2	312	428	507	935	195	333	12	16	409	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	37	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	297	258	44	7	1	1	30	48	1	1	1	171	260	217	477	47	203	16	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	37	AAA RAW	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	297	240	51	9	1	2	48	37	1	1	1	212	346	283	629	71	240	12	16	292	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	264	233	56	6	0	3	21	32	3	0	1	240	311	305	616	64	261	12	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA RAW	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	264	219	66	8	0	7	35	24	3	0	1	301	405	434	838	132	306	9	13	370	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	28	AAA MLE	Acereros de Monclova	—	497	426	112	16	1	11	57	92	11	4	5	263	365	383	748	120	307	19	11	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	29	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	229	211	48	8	0	4	15	38	1	2	2	227	283	322	605	95	259	17	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	30	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	441	398	100	18	0	12	34	59	6	10	0	251	323	387	710	136	261	13	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	31	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	439	390	106	17	0	9	44	44	2	7	7	272	355	385	740	113	283	10	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	471	410	99	18	2	7	54	64	4	2	1	241	345	346	691	105	265	14	11	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	423	103	19	3	4	32	46	2	1	8	243	306	331	637	87	263	10	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	433	381	95	24	1	10	45	61	4	1	2	249	337	396	734	147	267	14	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	438	376	73	13	1	11	53	76	6	2	7	194	306	322	627	128	211	17	12	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	458	408	99	21	1	8	43	70	4	2	2	243	324	358	682	115	271	15	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	37	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	297	264	44	7	1	1	30	48	1	1	1	167	260	212	472	45	193	16	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	264	238	56	6	0	3	21	32	3	0	1	235	311	298	610	63	254	12	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4427	3867	935	167	10	80	428	630	44	32	36	242	324	352	676	110	267	14	10	300	89	-56	-8	+0	-47	+96	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	138	25	1	12	63	93	6	5	5	243	325	354	679	111	269	14	10	300	89	-8	-1	+0	-7	+14	-0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 264 PAwOBA .365 → .282 (−83)K% 9.1% → 12.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.09%	÷0.903	×1.200	—	—	12.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×0.940	8.13%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.00%
Singles /BIP	26.15%	÷1.007	×0.930	×0.993	×0.940	22.53%
Doubles /BIP	4.10%	÷1.046	×0.830	×0.993	×0.940	3.04%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.993	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.59%	÷1.488	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.59%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .365 → .282; ISO .132 → .074; BABIP .306 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 297 PAwOBA .288 → .219 (−69)K% 12.5% → 16.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.46%	÷0.929	×1.200	—	—	16.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.82%	÷1.010	×0.690	—	×0.940	10.17%
HBP% /PA	0.34%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.30%
Singles /BIP	19.21%	÷1.032	×0.930	×0.983	×0.940	15.99%
Doubles /BIP	4.43%	÷1.105	×0.830	×0.983	×0.940	3.08%
Triples /BIP	0.49%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.983	×0.940	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	0.99%	÷1.197	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.54%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 106, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .288 → .219; ISO .071 → .049; BABIP .240 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 458 PAwOBA .400 → .299 (−101)K% 11.8% → 15.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.79%	÷0.924	×1.200	—	—	15.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.72%	÷1.096	×0.690	—	×0.940	9.30%
HBP% /PA	0.87%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.77%
Singles /BIP	22.74%	÷0.957	×0.930	×0.969	×0.940	20.12%
Doubles /BIP	9.03%	÷1.089	×0.830	×0.969	×0.940	6.27%
Triples /BIP	0.31%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.969	×0.940	0.23%
Home runs /BIP	4.36%	÷1.235	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.32%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 91, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 85, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .400 → .299; ISO .195 → .125; BABIP .333 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 438 PAwOBA .381 → .282 (−99)K% 13.9% → 17.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.93%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	17.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.72%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×0.940	11.97%
HBP% /PA	1.37%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.21%
Singles /BIP	19.50%	÷1.057	×0.930	×0.985	×0.940	15.88%
Doubles /BIP	6.38%	÷1.130	×0.830	×0.985	×0.940	4.34%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷1.020	×0.920	×0.985	×0.940	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	5.67%	÷1.038	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.60%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 111, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .381 → .282; ISO .198 → .140; BABIP .275 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAAcereros del Norte · 433 PAwOBA .425 → .320 (−105)K% 10.9% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.85%	÷0.928	×1.200	—	—	14.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.55%	÷1.083	×0.690	—	×0.940	10.51%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.82%
Singles /BIP	21.89%	÷0.996	×0.930	×0.960	×0.940	18.44%
Doubles /BIP	10.10%	÷1.016	×0.830	×0.960	×0.940	7.45%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.960	×0.940	0.24%
Home runs /BIP	5.05%	÷1.126	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.95%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 86, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .425 → .320; ISO .224 → .158; BABIP .337 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAAcereros del Norte · 411 PAwOBA .358 → .288 (−70)K% 8.3% → 10.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.27%	÷0.981	×1.200	—	—	10.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.44%	÷1.056	×0.690	—	×0.942	7.04%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.43%
Singles /BIP	24.28%	÷1.020	×0.930	×0.979	×0.942	20.42%
Doubles /BIP	6.71%	÷1.016	×0.830	×0.979	×0.942	5.05%
Triples /BIP	0.96%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.979	×0.942	0.90%
Home runs /BIP	1.92%	÷1.170	×0.700	—	×0.942	1.08%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .358 → .288; ISO .130 → .099; BABIP .322 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAAcereros del Norte · 471 PAwOBA .378 → .311 (−67)K% 11.3% → 13.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.25%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	13.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.41%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.952	11.44%
HBP% /PA	0.85%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.76%
Singles /BIP	24.04%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.969	×0.952	20.63%
Doubles /BIP	6.73%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.969	×0.952	5.15%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.969	×0.952	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	3.21%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.952	2.14%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .378 → .311; ISO .151 → .121; BABIP .319 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAAcereros del Norte · 439 PAwOBA .393 → .331 (−62)K% 8.4% → 10.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.43%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	10.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.03%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.962	9.98%
HBP% /PA	0.46%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.41%
Singles /BIP	25.87%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.993	×0.962	22.98%
Doubles /BIP	6.31%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.993	×0.962	5.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.993	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.79%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.962	2.55%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .393 → .331; ISO .158 → .125; BABIP .329 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .