Reynaldo Rodriguez

Pos1B

B/TR/R

Born1986-07-02

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	38	INTLMexico	279	.258/.330/.402	7	7	101	—
2025	39	INTLMexico Rojo	248	.339/.393/.482	5	5	145	—
2026	40	INTLCharros de Ja…	53	.480/.509/.720	1	2	249	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	21	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	143	129	45	8	7	3	11	9	1	9	5	349	404	589	993	240	356	6	8	424	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A	Greenville Drive	—	334	278	78	20	2	14	39	57	12	12	4	281	392	518	910	237	303	17	12	395	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	199	186	47	15	1	8	9	48	4	6	0	253	302	473	775	220	300	24	5	339	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	237	202	64	24	1	9	27	43	3	7	2	317	405	579	984	262	355	18	11	419	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	49	43	8	3	0	0	4	12	1	1	0	186	271	256	527	70	250	24	8	243	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	368	327	84	27	3	16	35	81	4	6	3	257	336	505	841	248	293	22	10	366	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	469	415	96	33	4	21	44	108	3	5	4	231	310	482	791	251	256	23	9	341	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	35	32	5	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	156	229	281	510	125	174	23	9	234	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	517	461	132	36	2	21	39	77	7	6	4	286	351	510	861	223	298	15	8	371	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	551	502	128	34	7	16	39	82	2	13	5	255	311	446	757	191	272	15	7	329	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	191	162	40	8	1	10	24	33	2	5	1	247	351	494	845	247	246	17	13	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	194	173	38	7	0	4	21	45	0	3	0	220	304	329	634	110	274	23	11	291	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	16	13	4	0	0	2	3	4	0	0	0	308	438	769	1.207	462	286	25	19	504	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	243	220	68	12	1	12	21	38	1	1	4	309	372	536	908	227	327	16	9	396	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA	Bravos de Leon	—	71	63	13	0	0	1	8	15	0	5	2	206	296	254	550	48	255	21	11	261	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	94	81	28	4	1	2	12	13	0	2	0	346	430	494	924	148	388	14	13	407	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	140	125	47	7	0	7	11	19	2	1	3	376	435	600	1.035	224	396	14	8	447	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	267	240	88	15	1	24	22	46	2	6	2	367	424	738	1.162	371	370	17	8	491	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	285	256	72	16	1	6	24	39	0	6	5	281	343	422	765	141	306	14	8	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	140	129	45	8	1	3	7	16	0	6	1	349	382	496	878	147	368	11	5	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	35	INTL	Colombia	—	305	268	82	12	0	6	29	46	5	12	7	306	384	418	802	112	349	15	10	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	36	INTL	Mexico	—	275	245	62	11	3	5	25	36	1	10	2	253	325	384	708	131	274	13	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	37	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	280	253	65	10	0	4	23	46	1	7	3	257	321	344	665	87	298	16	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	38	INTL	Mexico	—	279	244	63	8	3	7	24	49	2	7	1	258	330	402	731	143	284	18	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	39	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	248	224	76	11	3	5	18	28	2	5	6	339	393	482	876	143	364	11	7	383	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	40	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	53	50	24	9	0	1	3	7	0	2	3	480	509	720	1.229	240	548	13	6	536	249	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	21	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 1	—	143	132	28	5	4	1	8	11	1	9	5	212	262	333	596	121	212	8	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	334	292	60	15	2	6	25	75	12	12	4	205	295	332	627	127	244	22	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	199	189	38	11	1	6	6	60	4	6	0	201	241	365	606	164	254	30	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	237	213	51	16	1	8	16	64	3	7	2	239	302	437	738	197	287	27	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	49	44	7	2	0	0	3	15	1	1	0	159	229	205	434	45	228	31	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	368	338	65	19	2	11	24	103	4	6	3	192	254	358	612	166	239	28	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	469	430	85	28	4	18	29	129	3	5	4	198	253	407	660	209	222	28	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	35	33	5	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	152	200	273	473	121	151	29	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	517	477	117	29	2	17	23	95	7	6	4	245	290	421	711	176	259	18	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	551	514	112	27	7	14	27	95	2	13	5	218	260	379	639	161	234	17	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	194	179	32	4	0	3	15	54	0	3	0	179	242	251	494	73	238	28	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	16	14	4	0	0	2	2	6	0	0	0	286	375	714	1.089	429	247	38	12	390	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Bravos de Leon	—	71	66	11	0	0	1	5	19	0	5	2	167	225	212	437	45	220	27	7	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	267	251	74	12	1	18	11	55	2	6	2	295	330	566	895	271	300	21	4	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 1	—	143	132	28	5	4	1	8	11	1	9	5	212	262	333	596	121	223	8	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 1	—	143	129	45	8	7	3	11	9	1	9	5	349	404	589	993	240	356	6	8	424	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	334	292	60	15	2	6	25	75	12	12	4	205	295	332	627	127	251	22	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A RAW	Greenville Drive	—	334	278	78	20	2	14	39	57	12	12	4	281	392	518	910	237	303	17	12	395	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	436	402	89	28	2	13	22	124	7	13	2	221	274	398	672	177	281	28	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	436	388	111	39	2	17	36	91	7	13	2	286	357	528	886	242	330	21	8	383	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	417	382	73	22	2	11	27	118	5	7	3	191	254	346	599	154	242	28	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	417	370	92	30	3	16	39	93	5	7	3	249	329	476	804	227	288	22	9	351	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	469	430	85	28	4	18	29	129	3	5	4	198	253	407	660	209	231	28	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA RAW	New Britain Rock Cats	—	469	415	96	33	4	21	44	108	3	5	4	231	310	482	791	251	256	23	9	341	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	552	510	122	30	2	18	25	105	7	6	4	239	284	412	696	173	262	19	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AA RAW	2 teams	—	552	493	137	37	2	22	42	85	7	6	4	278	343	495	838	217	290	15	8	362	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	742	691	152	37	9	19	36	128	4	18	6	220	263	382	645	162	240	17	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	742	664	168	42	8	26	63	115	4	18	6	253	321	458	779	205	266	15	8	338	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	453	415	78	10	0	11	36	128	1	4	4	188	254	292	546	104	242	28	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	453	406	110	19	1	18	45	87	1	4	4	271	345	456	801	185	305	19	10	355	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	165	151	25	0	0	2	13	44	0	7	2	166	232	205	437	40	217	27	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	165	144	41	4	1	3	20	28	0	7	2	285	372	389	761	104	333	17	12	344	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	INTL MLE	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	140	125	47	7	0	7	11	19	2	1	3	376	435	600	1.035	224	396	14	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	INTL RAW	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	140	125	47	7	0	7	11	19	2	1	3	376	435	600	1.035	224	396	14	8	447	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	552	518	151	24	2	37	24	113	2	12	7	292	325	560	885	268	303	20	4	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	552	496	160	31	2	30	46	85	2	12	7	323	382	575	957	252	334	15	8	411	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	INTL MLE	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	140	129	45	8	1	3	7	16	0	6	1	349	382	496	878	147	368	11	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	INTL RAW	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	140	129	45	8	1	3	7	16	0	6	1	349	382	496	878	147	368	11	5	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	35	INTL MLE	Colombia	—	305	268	82	12	0	6	29	46	5	12	7	306	384	418	802	112	349	15	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	35	INTL RAW	Colombia	—	305	268	82	12	0	6	29	46	5	12	7	306	384	418	802	112	349	15	10	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	36	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	275	245	62	11	3	5	25	36	1	10	2	253	325	384	708	131	274	13	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	36	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	275	245	62	11	3	5	25	36	1	10	2	253	325	384	708	131	274	13	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	37	INTL MLE	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	280	253	65	10	0	4	23	46	1	7	3	257	321	344	665	87	298	16	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	37	INTL RAW	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	280	253	65	10	0	4	23	46	1	7	3	257	321	344	665	87	298	16	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	38	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	279	244	63	8	3	7	24	49	2	7	1	258	330	402	731	143	284	18	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	38	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	279	244	63	8	3	7	24	49	2	7	1	258	330	402	731	143	284	18	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	39	INTL MLE	Mexico Rojo	—	248	224	76	11	3	5	18	28	2	5	6	339	393	482	876	143	364	11	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	39	INTL RAW	Mexico Rojo	—	248	224	76	11	3	5	18	28	2	5	6	339	393	482	876	143	364	11	7	383	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	40	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	53	50	24	9	0	1	3	7	0	2	3	480	509	720	1.229	240	548	13	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	40	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	53	50	24	9	0	1	3	7	0	2	3	480	509	720	1.229	240	548	13	6	536	249	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 1	—	143	133	28	5	4	1	8	11	1	9	5	211	262	331	593	120	212	8	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	334	294	60	15	2	6	25	75	12	12	4	204	295	330	625	126	244	22	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	436	404	89	28	2	13	22	124	7	13	2	220	274	396	670	176	272	28	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	417	382	73	22	2	11	27	118	5	7	3	191	254	346	599	154	238	28	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	469	434	85	28	4	18	29	129	3	5	4	196	253	403	656	207	222	28	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	552	515	122	30	2	18	25	105	7	6	4	237	284	408	692	171	252	19	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	742	696	152	37	9	19	36	128	4	18	6	218	263	379	642	161	234	17	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	453	413	78	10	0	11	36	128	1	4	4	189	254	293	547	104	239	28	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	165	151	25	0	0	2	13	44	0	7	2	166	232	205	437	40	220	27	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	552	521	151	24	2	37	24	113	2	12	7	290	325	557	882	267	300	20	4	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	5983	5461	1327	275	37	174	385	1222	55	143	67	243	299	402	702	159	278	20	6	202	23	-547	+2	+0	-107	+130	-53.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	144	30	4	19	42	133	6	16	7	243	299	403	702	160	278	20	6	202	23	-59	+0	+0	-12	+14	-5.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 267 PAwOBA .478 → .381 (−97)K% 17.2% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.23%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	20.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.37%	÷0.966	×0.690	—	×0.942	4.28%
HBP% /PA	0.75%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.66%
Singles /BIP	24.74%	÷0.962	×0.930	×0.950	×0.942	21.41%
Doubles /BIP	7.73%	÷0.990	×0.830	×0.950	×0.942	5.80%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.950	×0.942	0.47%
Home runs /BIP	12.37%	÷0.898	×0.700	—	×0.942	9.08%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 92, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .478 → .381; ISO .371 → .282; BABIP .370 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAABravos de Leon · 71 PAwOBA .255 → .197 (−58)K% 21.1% → 26.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.13%	÷0.942	×1.200	—	—	26.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.27%	÷0.968	×0.690	—	×0.962	7.72%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.036	×0.930	×1.005	×0.962	21.71%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.960	×0.830	×1.005	×0.962	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.005	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.08%	÷0.981	×0.700	—	×0.962	1.43%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 88, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .255 → .197; ISO .048 → .032; BABIP .255 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAARochester Red Wings · 194 PAwOBA .283 → .227 (−56)K% 23.2% → 27.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.20%	÷1.007	×1.200	—	—	27.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.82%	÷0.968	×0.690	—	×0.972	7.50%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.09%	÷0.953	×0.930	×0.980	×0.972	19.61%
Doubles /BIP	5.47%	÷1.224	×0.830	×0.980	×0.972	3.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.971	×0.970	×0.980	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷0.951	×0.840	—	×0.972	2.68%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 145, 3B 94, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .283 → .227; ISO .110 → .084; BABIP .274 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 16 PAwOBA .490 → .390 (−99)K% 25.0% → 36.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.983	×1.420	—	—	36.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.75%	÷0.974	×0.750	—	×0.940	13.57%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷0.985	×0.920	—	×0.940	19.51%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.012	×0.960	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.907	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	22.22%	÷0.881	×0.880	—	×0.940	20.87%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 81, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .490 → .390; ISO .462 → .388; BABIP .286 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARochester Red Wings · 551 PAwOBA .325 → .275 (−49)K% 14.9% → 17.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.88%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	17.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.08%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.89%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.34%
Singles /BIP	16.90%	÷0.979	×0.930	×0.957	×0.982	15.09%
Doubles /BIP	8.10%	÷0.987	×0.830	×0.957	×0.982	6.39%
Triples /BIP	1.67%	÷0.932	×0.970	×0.957	×0.982	1.63%
Home runs /BIP	3.81%	÷0.956	×0.840	—	×0.982	3.29%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .325 → .275; ISO .191 → .166; BABIP .272 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 517 PAwOBA .367 → .304 (−64)K% 14.9% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.89%	÷0.989	×1.220	—	—	18.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.54%	÷1.155	×0.700	—	×0.968	4.42%
HBP% /PA	1.35%	—	×0.850	—	×0.968	1.11%
Singles /BIP	19.01%	÷0.967	×0.970	×0.951	×0.968	17.57%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷0.999	×0.860	×0.951	×0.968	7.43%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷1.011	×0.950	×0.951	×0.968	0.45%
Home runs /BIP	5.47%	÷0.956	×0.780	—	×0.968	4.32%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 93, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 98, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .367 → .304; ISO .223 → .182; BABIP .298 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARochester Red Wings · 35 PAwOBA .227 → .175 (−53)K% 22.9% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.86%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	27.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.57%	÷1.125	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.21%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.010	×0.930	—	×0.992	11.42%
Doubles /BIP	4.17%	÷1.059	×0.830	—	×0.992	3.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷1.075	×0.840	—	×0.992	3.23%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .227 → .175; ISO .125 → .095; BABIP .174 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 469 PAwOBA .335 → .279 (−56)K% 23.0% → 27.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.03%	÷1.020	×1.220	—	—	27.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.96%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×0.978	6.07%
HBP% /PA	0.64%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	0.53%
Singles /BIP	12.38%	÷0.995	×0.970	×0.950	×0.978	11.21%
Doubles /BIP	10.75%	÷0.963	×0.860	×0.950	×0.978	8.92%
Triples /BIP	1.30%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.950	×0.978	1.28%
Home runs /BIP	6.84%	÷0.897	×0.780	—	×0.978	5.82%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .335 → .279; ISO .251 → .215; BABIP .256 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .